David Burgos — OGILVIE

David Burgos P DSL LAD Bautista

Age 21 LHP 5'11" / 178 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.70

FIP5.70

K%20.5%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%2.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	12	1	26	106	14	12	3	8%	2.1	9.0%	14.2%	-5.2%	3.6%	3.86	6.12	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	12	1	26	106	14	12	3	8%	2.1	9.0%	14.2%	-5.2%	3.6%	3.86	6.12	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	12	1	26	106	14	12	3	8%	2.1	13.2%	11.3%	1.9%	2.8%	3.86	4.93	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	28	141	27	29	0	0%	1.9	13.0%	25.7%	-12.7%	0.0%	7.07	5.26	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	28	141	27	29	0	0%	1.9	13.0%	25.7%	-12.7%	0.0%	7.07	5.26	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	28	141	27	29	0	0%	1.9	19.1%	20.6%	-1.4%	0.0%	7.07	4.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	LAD	15	0	16	68	14	12	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	18.4%	2.1%	2.9%	5.70	5.70	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAD	25	0	26	112	24	17	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	5.19	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAD	12	0	13	55	12	8	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	4.81	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	138	31	0%	1.1	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	2.9%	5.34	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		27	1	54	247	28	51	4	4%	2.0	11.3%	20.7%	-9.5%	1.6%	5.53	5.63	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	4	200	920	104	191	14	4%	2.0	11.3%	20.7%	-9.5%	1.6%	5.53	5.63	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Burgos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.70	20.5%	18.4%	2.9%	—	5.19	21.7%	6.2%	26	-0.51	—	—	—
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	87
Yenfri Sosa L 2024 · 6.08 FIP	20	SU	6.08	19.0%	21.3%	3.4%	.309	4.41	21.7%	7.4%	38	-1.67	2.49	128	84
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	83
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	83
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	82
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	81
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	81
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	80
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	80
Felix Cabrera L 2023 · 4.62 FIP	21	SU	4.62	17.9%	18.6%	1.2%	.258	5.43	13.8%	-5.3%	62	+0.81	3.96	132	79
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	79
Deyer Zapata L 2024 · 5.79 FIP	20	SU	5.79	18.0%	15.3%	4.1%	.319	3.77	16.2%	7.0%	15	-2.02	3.77	130	79
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	78