Wilder Dalis
SS Fresno Grizzlies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKCOL | 256 | .327/.454/.450 | 3 | 21 | 75 | — | .226/.325/.295 |
| 2025 | 19 | A/ROKCOL | 356 | .308/.407/.468 | 6 | 16 | 81 | — | .241/.314/.357 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/A/ROKCOL | 413 | .308/.402/.551 | 19 | 27 | 109 | — | .256/.329/.441 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBCOL | 523 | .230/.303/.386 | 15 | 15 | 94 | 0.7 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 22 | MLBCOL | 157 | .248/.320/.431 | 6 | 4 | 98 | 0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ61% MLB | 23 | MLBCOL | 248 | .251/.323/.438 | 9 | 7 | 100 | 0.9 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 112 | 94 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 245 | 343 | 277 | 619 | 32 | 311 | 19 | 11 | 284 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 256 | 202 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 34 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 327 | 454 | 450 | 904 | 124 | 371 | 13 | 16 | 399 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 137 | 116 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 241 | 338 | 379 | 718 | 138 | 281 | 19 | 12 | 317 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 219 | 179 | 63 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 44 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 352 | 450 | 525 | 975 | 173 | 438 | 20 | 13 | 416 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 61 | 59 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 322 | 344 | 492 | 836 | 169 | 364 | 20 | 3 | 369 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 328 | 277 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 79 | 4 | 23 | 3 | 310 | 412 | 574 | 986 | 264 | 378 | 24 | 13 | 426 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 24 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 417 | 389 | 806 | 167 | 333 | 25 | 21 | 372 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 112 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 182 | 250 | 202 | 452 | 20 | 223 | 22 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 256 | 217 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 226 | 325 | 295 | 620 | 69 | 255 | 16 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 137 | 121 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 215 | 286 | 339 | 625 | 124 | 258 | 27 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 219 | 190 | 49 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 64 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 258 | 332 | 368 | 700 | 111 | 336 | 29 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 61 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 267 | 279 | 383 | 662 | 117 | 340 | 26 | 2 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 328 | 290 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 108 | 4 | 23 | 3 | 259 | 338 | 459 | 797 | 200 | 351 | 33 | 9 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 350 | 683 | 150 | 255 | 38 | 12 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 112 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 182 | 250 | 202 | 452 | 20 | 240 | 22 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 112 | 94 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 245 | 343 | 277 | 619 | 32 | 311 | 19 | 11 | 284 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 256 | 217 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 226 | 325 | 295 | 620 | 69 | 267 | 16 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 256 | 202 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 34 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 327 | 454 | 450 | 904 | 124 | 371 | 13 | 16 | 399 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 312 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 101 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 234 | 305 | 346 | 651 | 112 | 319 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 295 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 70 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 308 | 407 | 468 | 875 | 159 | 376 | 20 | 13 | 378 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 413 | 369 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 132 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 252 | 327 | 436 | 763 | 184 | 347 | 32 | 9 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 413 | 354 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 51 | 97 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 308 | 402 | 551 | 953 | 243 | 373 | 23 | 12 | 414 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 112 | 102 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 176 | 250 | 196 | 446 | 20 | 223 | 22 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 256 | 222 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 221 | 325 | 288 | 614 | 68 | 255 | 16 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 321 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 101 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 227 | 305 | 336 | 642 | 109 | 306 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 413 | 369 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 132 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 252 | 327 | 436 | 763 | 184 | 344 | 32 | 9 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 256 | 222 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 221 | 325 | 288 | 614 | 68 | 255 | 16 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 321 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 101 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 227 | 305 | 336 | 642 | 109 | 306 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 413 | 369 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 132 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 252 | 327 | 436 | 763 | 184 | 344 | 32 | 9 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | COL | 0% | 523 | 469 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 141 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 230 | 303 | 386 | 689 | 156 | 292 | 27 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +2 | -2 | +6 | +11 | 0.7 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | COL | 43% | 364 | 326 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 234 | 307 | 396 | 703 | 162 | 292 | 26 | 9 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | COL | 61% | 408 | 366 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 105 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 237 | 311 | 402 | 713 | 166 | 293 | 26 | 9 | 317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | COL | 66% | 455 | 408 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 116 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 239 | 313 | 407 | 720 | 168 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -0 | +5 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 69% | 505 | 451 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 127 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 239 | 314 | 408 | 722 | 169 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 70% | 525 | 469 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 46 | 132 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 240 | 314 | 408 | 723 | 169 | 293 | 25 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 69% | 526 | 470 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 46 | 133 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 239 | 313 | 406 | 719 | 167 | 293 | 25 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 68% | 521 | 465 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 46 | 133 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 237 | 311 | 401 | 713 | 164 | 292 | 26 | 9 | 317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 67% | 509 | 455 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 131 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 235 | 309 | 395 | 704 | 161 | 291 | 26 | 9 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 72% | 496 | 446 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 129 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 305 | 388 | 693 | 156 | 289 | 26 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 75% | 480 | 432 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 127 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 301 | 378 | 679 | 151 | 287 | 26 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | COL | 77% | 459 | 414 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 124 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 295 | 366 | 661 | 143 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -8 | -1 | -3 | +5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB MLE | COL | 79% | 423 | 382 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 116 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 217 | 287 | 351 | 639 | 135 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -10 | -4 | -4 | +5 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | COL | 43% | 157 | 141 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 320 | 431 | 751 | 183 | 308 | 26 | 8 | 331 | 98 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | COL | 61% | 248 | 223 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 251 | 323 | 438 | 761 | 187 | 309 | 26 | 8 | 335 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | COL | 66% | 301 | 269 | 68 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 77 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 253 | 326 | 443 | 768 | 190 | 310 | 26 | 9 | 338 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 69% | 347 | 311 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 88 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 254 | 327 | 444 | 771 | 191 | 310 | 25 | 9 | 339 | 103 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 70% | 367 | 328 | 83 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 92 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 254 | 327 | 444 | 771 | 190 | 309 | 25 | 9 | 339 | 103 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 69% | 363 | 325 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 92 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 253 | 326 | 441 | 767 | 188 | 309 | 25 | 9 | 338 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 68% | 357 | 320 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 91 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 251 | 324 | 436 | 760 | 185 | 308 | 25 | 9 | 335 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 67% | 340 | 304 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 321 | 429 | 750 | 181 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 331 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 72% | 355 | 318 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 93 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 245 | 317 | 421 | 738 | 176 | 305 | 26 | 9 | 326 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 75% | 359 | 322 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 241 | 312 | 410 | 723 | 169 | 301 | 26 | 9 | 320 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | COL | 77% | 354 | 318 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 95 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 235 | 306 | 397 | 703 | 161 | 297 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 86 | -6 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB CTX | COL | 79% | 333 | 300 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 92 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 229 | 298 | 380 | 679 | 152 | 292 | 28 | 8 | 302 | 80 | -8 | -3 | -3 | +4 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3881 | 3479 | 858 | 154 | 32 | 136 | 335 | 1008 | 34 | 72 | 23 | 247 | 319 | 427 | 745 | 180 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 329 | 95 | -16 | +5 | -8 | +42 | +84 | 10.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 144 | 26 | 5 | 23 | 56 | 169 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 247 | 320 | 427 | 747 | 180 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 329 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7018 | 6269 | 1461 | 269 | 41 | 203 | 606 | 1825 | 69 | 186 | 53 | 233 | 308 | 386 | 694 | 153 | 293 | 26 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -23 | +9 | -12 | +63 | +127 | 16.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 136 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 56 | 169 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 234 | 308 | 389 | 697 | 155 | 295 | 26 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 328 PAwOBA .418 → .341 (−77)K% 24.1% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.030 | 23.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.030 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.030 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.66% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .418 → .341; ISO .264 → .210; BABIP .378 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Spokane Indians · 61 PAwOBA .358 → .301 (−57)K% 19.7% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 2.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 30.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 1.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 5.52% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .301; ISO .169 → .135; BABIP .364 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Rockies · 24 PAwOBA .364 → .249 (−116)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 12.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 13.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .364 → .249; ISO .167 → .115; BABIP .333 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rockies · 219 PAwOBA .414 → .304 (−109)K% 20.1% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.09% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.79% | ÷0.987 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.85% | ÷1.021 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 25.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷0.991 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 2.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .414 → .304; ISO .173 → .124; BABIP .438 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 137 PAwOBA .314 → .263 (−51)K% 19.0% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.98% | ÷0.951 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.045 | 19.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.045 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .314 → .263; ISO .138 → .123; BABIP .281 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Rockies · 256 PAwOBA .398 → .279 (−119)K% 13.3% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.28% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.41% | ÷1.099 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.006 | ×0.680 | ×1.037 | ×1.008 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | ×1.037 | ×1.008 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.037 | ×1.008 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.188 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .398 → .279; ISO .124 → .076; BABIP .371 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Rockies · 112 PAwOBA .276 → .202 (−74)K% 18.8% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.017 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.82% | ÷1.119 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.40% | ÷1.006 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 19.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.975 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 103, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .276 → .202; ISO .032 → .023; BABIP .311 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).