Jacob Frost
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%23.5%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 87 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 17 | 2 | 51 | 218 | 70 | 35 | 7 | 12% | 3.0 | 24.7% | 18.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.35 | 5.55 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 87 | 369 | 105 | 50 | 12 | — | — | 28.6% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 3.79 | 5.08 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.03 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 75 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 2 | 51 | 218 | 54 | 40 | 9 | 12% | 3.0 | 24.7% | 18.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.35 | 5.55 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 8 | 200 | 855 | 211 | 158 | 34 | 12% | 3.0 | 24.7% | 18.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.35 | 5.55 | -0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Frost (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.5% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.28 | 24.0% | 14.7% | 37 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.25 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 39 | +1.48 | 3.77 | 132 | 83 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 81 |
| Josh Simpson L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 80 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 80 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 79 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 78 |
| Jake Rice L 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.29 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.56 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 130 | +1.27 | 3.29 | 199 | 77 |
| Brandon Walter L 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.51 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .270 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 23.0% | 139 | -0.51 | 2.94 | 391 | 76 |
| Jordan Woods L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 75 |
| Austin Drury L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% | .275 | 5.23 | 12.9% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.30 | 2.54 | 187 | 75 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 74 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 74 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .307 | 3.80 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 123 | -0.51 | 3.77 | 200 | 74 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 74 |
| Caden Monke L 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.38 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.28 | 19.0% | -0.3% | 51 | -0.10 | 3.73 | 152 | 73 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.89 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.81 | 4.08 | 212 | 73 |
| Jeffrey Springs L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.13 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .265 | 3.59 | 25.7% | 16.0% | 233 | -0.54 | 1.39 | 861 | 73 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 73 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.17 | 4.37 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |