Jayson BassOF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION289 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .262 / .311
PA192
HR4
SB8
K%32
BB%8
BABIP264
ISO121
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -19.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +13.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.30.4+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 47
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT32
scouting grade only
POWER47
scouting grade only
EYE53
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Twins 170151 35411 14353 127 232310291601 60291 218 265 61
202317 ROKDSL Twins 170143 44511 22243 127 308411378788 70358 1413 360 133
202418 ROK2 teams 196184 34521 11620 86 185231250481 65270 326 215 23
202418 ROK2 teams 196177 46721 18430 86 260328339667 79336 229 303 90
202519 ROK2 teams 8678 14311 6351 71 179247282529 103302 417 220 27
202519 ROK2 teams 8675 19411 9241 71 253341373715 120353 2810 321 104
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 AMIN 289256 4810110 25995 195 188273352624 164253 349 274 68 -10 +2 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
YTD20 AMIN 289248 6012212 33705 195 242343452794 210284 2411 350 126 +8 +2 +0 -2 +8 1.7
ROS20 AMIN 0% 192173 33714 15612 82 190262311573 121264 328 265 61 -8 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.3
ROS20 MLBMIN 0% 01 0000 000 00 264 256 54 +0 -0
FULL20 AMIN 289257 4810110 25995 195 187273350623 163252 349 274 68 -10 +2 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
TOT20 AMIN 481429 8117214 401607 277 189269335604 147258 338 270 65 -19 +3 +0 -3 +14 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBMIN 34% 369331 671329 301125 123 202279335614 133270 308 277 70 -12 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.3
202822 MLBMIN 48% 455409 8516312 371346 144 208283350633 142273 298 285 76 -12 +1 +0 -3 +13 -0.1
202923 MLBMIN 54% 499449 9518314 411446 165 212286359645 147275 298 290 80 -11 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.1
203024 MLBMIN 55% 527471 10120315 441507 165 214291365656 151276 288 293 83 -10 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.3
203125 MLBMIN 56% 538481 10420316 451537 175 216293370663 154276 288 294 84 -10 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.3
203226 MLBMIN 56% 542484 10420316 461547 175 215292368660 153276 288 295 84 -10 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.4
202721 MLBMIN 34% 127114 24513 10392 41 211286351637 140270 318 268 63 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
202822 MLBMIN 48% 220197 41816 18653 72 208284350635 142273 308 276 69 -8 +1 +0 -1 +6 -0.2
202923 MLBMIN 54% 271244 511018 22783 83 209283357639 148275 298 281 73 -8 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
203024 MLBMIN 55% 292262 561128 24834 93 214290363652 149276 288 284 76 -8 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.1
203125 MLBMIN 56% 301269 581129 25854 93 216292372664 156276 288 285 77 -8 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.1
203226 MLBMIN 56% 305272 591129 26874 103 217295371666 154276 299 286 77 -8 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 15161359 28956943 12543720 4715 213289362651 149277 298 282 74 -45 +3 +0 -9 +43 -0.8
/ 162G 650583 12424418 541879 206 213290360650 148278 298 282 74 -19 +2 +0 -4 +18 -0.3
Career 35743211 6721262289 289104044 12743 209284345629 136277 298 282 74 -106 +8 +0 -21 +101 -1.9
/ 162G 650584 12223416 531898 238 209284344628 135277 298 282 74 -19 +1 +0 -4 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Twins 170143 44511 22243 127 308411378788 70358 1413 360 133 +6 -0 +5 1.1
202418 ROKFCL Twins 174156 43721 17360 85 276347365712 90350 2110 322 105 +1 -0 +5 0.6
202418 INTLCaneros de los Mochis 2221 3000 170 01 143182143325 214 325 155 -23 -3 -0 +1 -0.3
202519 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 2424 3000 090 10 125125125250 200 380 113 -55 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202519 ROKFCL Twins 6251 16411 9151 61 314426490916 176417 2415 402 165 +5 +1 +2 0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,6884652212284356-10+0-0.00.3
/1626641821-4.0+0.0-0.0pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jayson Bass (OGILVIE) 20 27→32 42→47 55→60 53 189/269/335 147258 1427 33% 8% 65 -0.6
Johan Mieses
2015 · A
20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Dalton Pompey
2013 · A
20 40→50 40→45 55 44 196/264/288 92278 816 31% 8% 52 -1.6 236/297/340 104317 624 26% 7% 79 +0.3 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
Brainer Bonaci
2022 · A
20 41→42 39→45 53→50 42 196/255/285 89270 513 28% 7% 46 -2.0 211/283/320 109300 1013 30% 9% 69 -0.4 209/285/321112292121430%9%67-0.4
Ian Lewis Jr.
2023 · A
20 46→41 40→45 57→60 42 218/276/313 95301 717 29% 7% 63 -0.9 213/275/311 98289 722 27% 7% 63 -0.9 205/269/314109262103425%7%58-0.7
Angel Martínez
2022 · A
20 41→47 41→50 49→50 44 202/257/305 102265 810 26% 7% 53 -1.5 223/285/351 128285 1210 25% 7% 77 +0.1 226/291/358132282131024%7%79+0.2
Allan Castro
2023 · A
20 38→43 40→45 54→55 39 184/247/283 100276 69 34% 6% 43 -2.2 200/271/309 109281 913 30% 8% 60 -1.0 198/272/30510827391429%9%57-1.0
Zack Larson
2014 · A
20 46→35 41→45 53→50 41 222/281/319 97293 813 26% 6% 67 -0.5 197/253/262 65273 310 27% 6% 40 -2.4 177/233/2234724911027%5%21-2.0
David Calabrese
2023 · A
20 38→37 41→45 56→50 41 186/249/288 102279 815 35% 7% 45 -2.1 184/254/304 120272 1313 35% 8% 53 -1.5 166/230/26296226111331%7%28-1.4
Troy Stokes Jr.
2016 · A
20 42→38 38→50 54→55 43 198/270/278 80278 620 29% 7% 53 -1.5 204/274/319 115276 1018 28% 7% 65 -0.7 194/270/326132268131931%8%62-0.7
Jonatan Clase
2022 · A
20 45→47 41→55 59→65 44 211/283/309 99307 826 32% 8% 66 -0.6 207/279/366 159301 1839 35% 8% 79 +0.3 205/278/368164287194734%8%76+0.1
Jose Meza
2023 · A
20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
George Feliz
2023 · A
20 36 40→50 54→45 36 177/234/268 91293 813 40% 6% 33 -2.9 180/242/287 107318 1211 44% 6% 43 -2.2 173/237/30012728316943%6%41-0.8
Jose Salas
2023 · A
20 43→39 41→45 57→55 42 210/280/309 99289 921 29% 7% 65 -0.7 179/236/261 82276 720 36% 6% 33 -2.9 166/219/271105257132439%5%26-1.6
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 39 187/256/305 118276 129 35% 7% 54 -1.4 197/279/292 95352 78 42% 9% 60 -1.0 146/272/221753593452%12%39-0.5
Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A
20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
C.J. Beatty
2010 · A
21 40 42→45 52→40 41 198/253/297 98278 99 31% 7% 49 -1.8 209/271/322 113297 95 31% 8% 63 -0.8 201/268/32812728110230%8%60-0.6
Cayden Wallace
2023 · A
21 45→42 42→50 56→50 40 218/268/331 113302 815 30% 6% 64 -0.8 215/273/337 122287 1112 27% 6% 68 -0.5 225/274/377152279181326%5%77+0.1
Misael Urbina
2022 · A
20 36→29 40→45 51→50 48 177/255/271 94227 713 24% 8% 44 -2.1 175/249/266 91263 610 33% 8% 40 -2.4 157/237/2367924751036%9%25-2.0
Jorge Barrosa
2021 · A
20 45→48 38→45 55 44 215/279/298 83279 518 24% 6% 61 -1.0 218/278/326 108276 1019 24% 6% 68 -0.5 215/281/329114266112023%7%66-0.5
Cole Roederer
2019 · A
19 41→31 43→45 53→50 41 205/260/318 113293 1115 33% 7% 57 -1.2 189/259/288 99290 912 35% 8% 50 -1.7 180/254/293113270131136%8%49-1.0