Cashel Dugger — OGILVIE

Cashel DuggerC Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 22 L/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .280 / .304

PA78

HR1

K%31

BB%9

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	48	8	3	1	0	12	17	2	0	1	167	355	271	626	104	242	27	19	296	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	52	8	3	1	0	8	23	2	0	1	154	290	250	540	96	218	36	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	52	8	3	1	0	8	23	2	0	1	154	290	250	540	96	258	36	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	48	8	3	1	0	12	17	2	0	1	167	355	271	626	104	242	27	19	296	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	54	8	3	1	0	8	23	2	0	1	148	290	241	531	93	218	36	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	64	54	8	3	1	0	8	23	2	0	1	148	290	241	531	93	218	36	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	174	153	31	7	2	2	16	54	3	2	1	198	282	307	588	109	285	31	9	269	68	-7	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	WSH	25%	172	153	31	7	2	2	15	53	2	2	1	201	285	315	600	113	286	31	9	273	71	-6	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	WSH	36%	286	254	52	11	3	4	26	86	4	4	1	205	288	322	609	117	287	30	9	277	73	-9	+0	+2	+5	+6	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	WSH	43%	356	316	66	14	4	6	32	106	5	5	2	207	290	327	617	120	288	30	9	280	75	-10	+0	+3	+6	+8	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	WSH	47%	403	358	75	16	4	7	36	118	6	5	2	209	291	331	622	123	288	29	9	282	77	-11	+0	+3	+7	+9	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	425	378	79	17	4	7	38	124	6	5	2	210	291	333	624	123	287	29	9	283	77	-11	+0	+3	+8	+9	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	435	387	80	17	4	7	39	128	6	5	2	208	289	328	617	120	286	29	9	280	75	-13	+0	+2	+8	+9	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	434	386	80	17	4	7	39	129	6	5	3	205	286	322	608	116	285	30	9	276	73	-14	-0	+2	+8	+9	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	WSH	47%	430	384	77	16	4	6	38	129	5	4	3	202	283	314	596	112	282	30	9	271	70	-15	-0	+1	+8	+9	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	WSH	25%	43	38	8	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	200	284	310	594	110	284	30	9	271	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	WSH	36%	104	93	19	4	1	2	9	31	1	1	1	203	286	317	604	114	285	30	9	275	73	-3	-0	+1	+2	+2	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	WSH	43%	152	135	27	6	1	2	14	45	2	2	1	206	288	323	611	117	286	30	9	278	75	-4	+0	+1	+3	+3	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	WSH	47%	187	165	33	7	1	3	17	55	3	2	1	208	290	327	617	119	286	29	9	280	77	-5	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	202	179	37	8	2	3	18	59	3	3	1	208	290	329	619	120	286	29	9	281	77	-5	+0	+1	+4	+4	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	210	186	39	8	2	4	19	62	3	2	1	207	288	324	612	117	285	30	9	278	75	-6	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	206	183	38	8	2	3	18	61	3	2	1	204	285	318	603	114	283	30	9	274	73	-7	+0	+1	+4	+4	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	WSH	47%	202	179	36	8	1	3	18	61	3	2	2	201	282	310	592	109	281	30	9	270	70	-7	-0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1306	1158	237	51	10	21	117	387	19	15	8	205	288	320	609	116	285	30	9	276	74	-40	-0	+7	+23	+28	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	117	25	5	10	58	193	9	7	4	203	285	316	601	113	285	30	9	276	74	-20	-0	+4	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3083	2738	562	121	31	47	278	920	43	36	17	205	289	324	612	118	288	30	9	277	74	-93	+1	+17	+54	+65	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	120	26	7	10	59	194	9	8	4	208	291	329	621	121	293	30	9	277	74	-20	+0	+4	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,384	22	16	207	286	325	+25	+16	2.1	2.0
/162	664	11	8	+11.9	+7.7	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cashel Dugger (OGILVIE)	22	45	45	40	—	196/280/304	108	285	1	1	31%	9%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	42	39→45	42→45	49	199/281/287	88	284	6	6	30%	10%	64	-1.3	180/242/262	82	268	8	5	34%	7%	43	-2.8	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Omar Martinez 2023 · A	22	40→37	42→45	42→40	49	196/285/296	101	266	10	5	28%	10%	68	-1.0	194/270/315	121	284	14	5	34%	9%	67	-1.1	176/253/289	113	268	15	1	38%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Matt Wallach 2008 · A	22	44	42→45	45→40	44	217/280/322	105	275	9	5	24%	6%	72	-0.7	206/259/327	121	267	12	3	27%	6%	64	-1.3	213/285/325	112	244	13	3	18%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Tony Wolters 2014 · A	22	49→53	40	38→45	42	234/287/330	95	314	7	5	27%	6%	75	-0.5	223/281/300	77	301	4	6	25%	7%	66	-1.1	224/298/292	68	289	4	1	22%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→45	42→30	47	211/290/320	109	300	10	4	31%	9%	75	-0.5	219/283/344	125	297	13	3	29%	8%	77	-0.3	234/317/366	131	296	12	0	23%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Colton Ledbetter 2024 · A	22	45→46	42→45	46→55	44	216/279/325	109	304	8	10	30%	8%	71	-0.8	210/264/334	124	308	12	26	34%	6%	68	-1.0	209/264/327	118	303	11	30	33%	6%	65	-1.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2023 · A	22	44	41→50	44→45	39	212/274/305	93	304	9	5	32%	6%	65	-1.2	204/270/346	142	306	16	5	37%	6%	74	-0.5	183/251/335	152	281	19	3	40%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	47	40→45	44→45	52	223/301/324	101	288	7	7	24%	10%	79	-0.2	215/285/332	117	275	12	6	25%	9%	76	-0.4	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Cooper Kinney 2024 · A	21	46→49	41→50	40	41	220/272/314	94	303	9	4	29%	6%	65	-1.2	224/272/354	130	310	13	4	30%	6%	75	-0.5	225/275/365	140	309	14	4	31%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Jorge Burgos 2024 · A	21	48→53	40→50	42→45	47	228/296/320	92	310	7	4	27%	8%	76	-0.4	199/263/328	129	269	14	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	187/252/327	141	243	16	4	30%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Calvin Harris 2024 · A	22	46	39→40	46→45	48	216/291/300	85	295	6	5	27%	9%	70	-0.8	208/264/290	82	293	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	205/262/287	83	282	7	5	28%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	44	43→45	45	56	213/315/327	114	278	9	7	25%	12%	86	+0.3	190/277/296	106	269	11	5	31%	10%	65	-1.2	162/249/251	89	227	10	4	31%	10%	42	-1.2
✕Brett Pope 2019 · A	23	47	38→40	39→50	48	223/296/304	81	295	5	8	25%	8%	73	-0.6	220/281/301	81	290	5	10	24%	7%	67	-1.1	216/273/283	66	282	4	10	23%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→45	47→30	41	207/267/304	97	289	9	5	31%	6%	62	-1.4	193/273/308	115	277	10	3	31%	9%	66	-1.1	168/258/285	117	236	11	0	32%	10%	54	-0.8
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/290/302	81	298	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	224/291/339	115	293	11	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	43→44	43→50	42→40	42	211/278/315	104	301	11	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	213/278/334	121	292	14	4	30%	8%	74	-0.6	224/283/361	136	280	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕John Whittleman 2009 · AA	22	44→45	44→50	39→45	50	213/294/332	119	292	10	3	29%	10%	79	-0.2	196/278/320	124	265	12	3	29%	10%	70	-0.8	172/259/320	148	230	18	1	32%	11%	63	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps