Colton Ledbetter

Colton LedbetterCF Memphis Redbirds

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION271 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .246 / .294

PA180

HR3

SB8

K%37

BB%6

BABIP297

ISO102

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	68	13	5	0	1	6	23	0	2	2	191	257	309	566	118	273	31	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	63	16	6	0	1	10	16	0	2	2	254	351	397	748	143	326	22	14	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	406	77	19	4	11	25	185	7	34	7	190	249	337	586	148	303	41	6	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	395	108	23	6	16	36	126	7	34	7	273	345	484	828	210	352	28	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	481	104	21	3	8	35	162	6	37	11	216	278	322	600	106	297	30	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	465	123	24	4	7	51	128	6	37	11	265	345	378	723	114	339	24	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	STL	—	271	252	49	7	3	5	14	108	4	11	3	194	248	306	554	111	314	40	5	244	45	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
YTD	24	AAA	STL	—	271	245	59	9	3	7	21	90	4	11	3	241	311	388	699	147	349	33	8	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.9
ROS	24	AAA	STL	10%	180	166	32	6	1	3	10	67	2	8	2	192	246	294	540	102	301	37	6	253	52	-10	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	STL	10%	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	176	222	235	458	59	301	39	6	244	45	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	24	AAA	STL	—	289	269	52	8	3	5	15	115	4	12	3	193	247	301	548	108	313	40	5	244	45	-18	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
TOT	24	AAA	STL	—	451	418	81	13	4	8	24	175	6	19	5	193	247	301	548	107	307	39	5	248	48	-27	+2	+0	+2	+13	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	STL	35%	535	490	100	18	4	12	33	190	7	22	6	204	264	331	595	127	300	36	6	266	62	-23	+2	+0	+2	+15	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	STL	46%	550	502	105	19	4	14	36	190	7	22	6	209	272	347	618	137	300	35	7	274	68	-20	+2	+0	+2	+16	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	STL	50%	554	505	106	19	4	14	37	188	7	22	6	210	273	347	620	137	299	34	7	276	70	-19	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.1
2030	28	MLB	STL	52%	554	504	106	19	4	14	38	187	7	21	6	210	275	347	622	137	299	34	7	277	70	-19	+2	-1	+2	+16	-0.0
2031	29	MLB	STL	52%	549	499	103	19	3	13	38	187	7	20	5	206	272	335	607	128	298	34	7	275	69	-19	+2	-1	+2	+16	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	STL	35%	186	170	34	6	1	4	12	66	2	7	2	200	261	318	579	118	300	35	6	257	55	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	STL	46%	255	234	49	9	2	6	16	88	3	10	3	209	269	342	611	132	300	35	6	265	61	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	STL	50%	278	254	54	10	2	7	19	94	3	11	3	213	275	350	626	138	299	34	7	267	63	-12	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	STL	52%	289	264	55	10	2	7	20	98	3	11	3	208	272	341	613	133	299	34	7	268	63	-12	+1	-0	+1	+8	-0.2
2031	29	MLB	STL	52%	285	260	54	10	2	7	20	97	3	10	3	208	272	342	614	135	298	34	7	266	62	-12	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1311	1199	249	46	9	31	88	450	14	50	14	208	270	339	608	131	302	34	7	265	61	-58	+4	-1	+5	+37	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	123	23	4	15	44	223	7	25	7	207	269	335	604	128	302	34	7	265	61	-29	+2	-1	+2	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3977	3621	746	145	27	90	258	1379	50	188	51	206	268	335	604	129	300	35	6	268	63	-165	+17	-2	+14	+113	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	122	24	4	15	42	225	8	31	8	206	268	336	604	130	299	35	6	268	63	-27	+3	-0	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	63	16	6	0	1	10	16	0	2	2	254	351	397	748	143	326	22	14	337	116	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	395	108	23	6	16	36	126	7	34	7	273	345	484	828	210	352	28	8	358	132	+16	+4	—	—	+13	3.4
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	465	123	24	4	7	51	128	6	37	11	265	345	378	723	114	339	24	10	321	103	+2	+3	—	—	+15	2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,323	32	52	209	268	342	+5	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	16	26	209	268	342	+2.4	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Ledbetter (OGILVIE)	24	30→35	50	50→40	50	193/247/301	107	307	8	19	39%	5%	48	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→50	47→55	38	194/256/300	106	290	9	11	35%	6%	52	-1.6	186/249/308	122	277	12	13	36%	6%	52	-1.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Slade Heathcott 2015 · AA	24	44→43	42→45	50	37	213/261/322	109	311	9	15	34%	5%	59	-1.1	229/280/342	113	319	11	10	30%	6%	72	-0.2	218/286/353	135	311	15	11	33%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Conner Capel 2021 · AAA	24	43→46	43→50	47→55	41	215/263/327	112	286	11	11	29%	6%	61	-1.0	217/279/345	128	273	14	15	25%	8%	73	-0.1	213/283/334	121	267	13	19	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	47→45	47→50	37	190/259/319	130	282	15	12	37%	6%	59	-1.1	199/266/320	121	289	13	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	177/247/292	116	250	14	12	34%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	199/272/316	117	310	10	19	36%	8%	63	-0.8	200/289/343	143	318	15	23	38%	11%	78	+0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	34→42	42→45	47→50	34	170/231/269	99	302	11	12	45%	7%	33	-2.9	190/257/305	115	308	11	15	39%	7%	54	-1.4	210/277/334	124	312	12	15	34%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA	24	43→48	41→45	46→45	42	209/269/304	95	294	8	9	30%	7%	58	-1.2	206/266/322	116	338	12	12	39%	7%	62	-0.9	194/257/314	120	296	15	15	37%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	42→31	45	47→50	39	208/266/327	119	307	12	12	35%	7%	63	-0.8	195/267/309	114	297	12	11	36%	8%	59	-1.1	173/256/281	107	263	12	11	36%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Ronnie Dawson 2019 · AA	24	45→48	45	50→55	40	219/276/344	125	307	13	19	32%	6%	72	-0.2	196/263/320	124	294	13	16	36%	7%	60	-1.0	190/261/300	110	280	11	15	34%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Justin Toerner 2021 · AA	24	45→39	43→45	47→50	47	214/301/321	106	307	11	12	32%	10%	76	+0.1	187/278/296	109	286	12	9	36%	9%	62	-0.9	161/262/266	104	245	12	9	36%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Sam Hilliard 2018 · A	24	41→46	40→55	52→55	35	194/246/285	90	326	8	20	41%	6%	43	-2.2	196/249/317	121	312	13	19	39%	6%	53	-1.5	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→45	46→50	44→50	37	213/256/341	128	292	14	7	32%	5%	62	-0.9	221/268/342	121	290	11	8	27%	6%	67	-0.5	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Estevan Florial 2022 · MLB	24	39→49	48→55	47→60	41	197/265/341	144	297	16	15	38%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/379	163	322	18	29	36%	8%	83	+0.6	210/277/376	166	312	19	35	37%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Edward Salcedo 2015 · AAA	24	36→41	45→50	48→50	39	190/239/307	117	257	13	16	31%	6%	46	-2.0	203/253/312	109	258	11	11	25%	6%	53	-1.5	194/237/286	92	235	8	5	21%	5%	38	-1.1
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0