Colton Ledbetter

Colton LedbetterCF Memphis Redbirds

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.2 · 2029

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .264 / .329

PA320

HR7

SB12

K%34

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗35

PWR

50→50

SPD

50↘40

FLD

50→50

EYE

41↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$-3M	-$5M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	74	68	13	5	0	1	6	23	0	2	2	.191	.257	.309	.566	.118	.273	31	8	.245	46	-5	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	446	409	77	18	3	12	22	176	7	34	7	.188	.242	.335	.577	.147	.284	39	5	.252	51	-25	+4	+0	+2	+13	-0.7
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	535	482	103	21	2	7	34	165	6	37	11	.214	.274	.309	.583	.095	.298	31	6	.260	57	-26	+3	+0	+2	+15	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	81	76	9	1	1	1	3	41	1	3	0	.118	.163	.197	.360	.079	.229	51	4	.148	-28	-12	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.9
ROS	24	MLB	STL	239	219	42	9	1	5	15	88	3	9	2	.192	.253	.311	.564	.119	.288	37	6	.252	51	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
TOT	24	MLB	STL	320	295	51	10	2	6	18	129	4	12	2	.173	.230	.281	.512	.108	.278	40	6	.225	31	-25	+2	+0	+1	+9	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 25%	STL	370	338	69	14	2	9	25	102	4	12	3	.204	.267	.337	.604	.133	.261	28	7	.270	65	-15	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.2
2028	26	MLB 43%	STL	407	371	76	15	2	10	29	110	4	11	2	.205	.270	.337	.607	.132	.264	27	7	.278	71	-14	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.1
2029	27	MLB 58%	STL	420	381	80	16	2	11	31	113	5	10	2	.210	.278	.349	.627	.139	.266	27	7	.280	72	-13	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.2
2030	28	MLB 68%	STL	425	386	81	16	2	11	31	115	5	9	2	.210	.277	.347	.624	.137	.266	27	7	.280	72	-13	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.1
2031	29	MLB 77%	STL	420	382	79	15	2	11	31	115	4	7	1	.207	.273	.343	.616	.136	.265	27	7	.278	71	-14	+1	-1	+1	+12	-0.1
2032	30	MLB 84%	STL	414	376	77	15	2	10	31	115	4	6	1	.205	.273	.335	.608	.130	.264	28	7	.275	68	-15	+1	-2	+1	+12	-0.3
2033	31	MLB	STL	401	364	74	14	2	10	30	113	4	4	0	.203	.271	.335	.607	.132	.262	28	7	.271	66	-16	+1	-3	+1	+11	-0.5
2034	32	MLB	STL	384	349	69	13	2	9	28	110	4	3	0	.198	.265	.324	.589	.126	.261	29	7	.266	62	-16	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.7
2035	33	MLB	STL	355	323	63	12	2	8	26	104	3	2	0	.195	.261	.319	.580	.124	.259	29	7	.261	58	-17	+0	-4	+1	+10	-1.0
2036	34	MLB	STL	311	282	54	10	2	6	23	94	3	2	0	.191	.260	.305	.565	.113	.257	30	7	.255	53	-17	+0	-5	+1	+9	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5201	4730	957	193	26	120	362	1543	56	148	33	.202	.267	.330	.597	.128	.269	30	7	.268	63	-217	+16	-20	+19	+147	-5.5
/ 162G	—			650	591	119	24	3	15	45	193	7	18	4	.201	.266	.328	.594	.127	.268	30	7	.268	63	-27	+2	-2	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	74	63	16	6	0	1	10	16	0	2	2	.254	.351	.397	.748	.143	.326	22	14	.337	116	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	446	395	108	23	6	16	36	126	7	34	7	.273	.345	.484	.828	.210	.352	28	8	.358	132	+16	+4	—	—	+13	3.4
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	535	465	123	24	4	7	51	128	6	37	11	.265	.345	.378	.723	.114	.339	24	10	.321	103	+2	+3	—	—	+15	2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Ledbetter (OGILVIE)	24	30→35	50	50→40	50	.204/.264/.329	.125	.296	7	12	34%	7%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→41	48→55	48→50	44	.188/.265/.331	.144	.271	15	11	35%	9%	65	-0.7	.204/.278/.369	.165	.296	18	13	35%	9%	79	+0.3	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	41→44	47→50	44→45	38	.212/.255/.346	.135	.285	15	6	31%	5%	63	-0.9	.217/.264/.338	.121	.287	12	8	27%	6%	65	-0.7	.224/.282/.338	.114	.277	10	7	22%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	39→40	46→55	48→45	43	.198/.269/.330	.132	.286	14	10	34%	8%	66	-0.6	.209/.280/.354	.145	.285	17	7	31%	8%	76	+0.1	.204/.284/.367	.164	.263	21	5	30%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Conner Capel 2021 · AAA	24	43→45	42→45	46→55	41	.211/.262/.316	.105	.284	10	11	29%	6%	58	-1.2	.219/.281/.347	.128	.275	14	15	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.216/.288/.339	.123	.271	13	19	24%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	42→33	45	47→50	40	.210/.267/.331	.122	.301	13	12	34%	7%	64	-0.8	.196/.266/.316	.120	.294	13	11	35%	8%	61	-1.0	.172/.254/.285	.112	.260	13	11	36%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	40→38	42→50	47→55	38	.195/.256/.302	.107	.293	9	11	35%	6%	53	-1.5	.185/.248/.308	.123	.276	12	13	36%	6%	51	-1.7	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	43→45	46→55	54	.196/.296/.310	.114	.268	9	11	28%	12%	72	-0.2	.198/.295/.313	.115	.254	11	19	24%	12%	72	-0.2	.200/.299/.321	.122	.247	12	27	23%	12%	74	-0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2011 · AA	24	43	47→50	46→50	38	.221/.257/.352	.131	.281	15	10	27%	4%	65	-0.7	.230/.273/.362	.132	.298	14	11	27%	5%	75	-0.0	.243/.288/.385	.141	.304	15	8	25%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→60	46→50	44	.202/.279/.318	.116	.282	12	12	31%	8%	67	-0.5	.221/.280/.382	.161	.276	19	14	27%	6%	84	+0.6	.220/.279/.406	.186	.266	23	17	26%	6%	87	+0.6
✕Justin Toerner 2021 · AA	24	46→39	43→45	46→50	47	.217/.302/.320	.104	.311	11	12	31%	10%	77	+0.1	.187/.280/.295	.108	.286	12	10	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.159/.264/.263	.104	.242	12	9	36%	10%	46	-1.0
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	40→37	46→45	48→45	44	.205/.275/.336	.132	.274	14	11	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.284/.329	.117	.274	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.282/.265	.072	.245	6	0	22%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	49→50	52→55	41	.194/.257/.337	.143	.263	18	19	33%	7%	63	-0.9	.184/.262/.320	.136	.261	17	22	35%	8%	61	-1.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
●Estevan Florial 2022 · MLB	24	38→48	48→55	47→60	40	.195/.260/.338	.143	.297	16	15	38%	8%	63	-0.8	.218/.284/.380	.162	.323	18	29	36%	8%	85	+0.7	.213/.283/.381	.168	.313	20	35	36%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	46→50	40	.213/.282/.361	.148	.291	19	12	33%	7%	79	+0.3	.207/.276/.353	.146	.273	18	12	30%	6%	75	-0.0	.199/.271/.343	.144	.260	17	13	29%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA	24	42→32	48→55	48→55	42	.203/.283/.350	.147	.312	14	10	37%	8%	77	+0.1	.201/.287/.362	.161	.274	18	19	32%	9%	82	+0.5	.184/.279/.346	.163	.237	19	25	30%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	44→45	47→50	36	.186/.256/.298	.111	.288	12	12	38%	6%	53	-1.5	.195/.262/.305	.110	.289	12	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.178/.246/.285	.106	.257	12	12	34%	5%	41	-1.1
✕Quincy Latimore 2013 · AA	24	40→42	47→50	43→50	37	.206/.256/.341	.135	.286	15	8	33%	5%	63	-0.9	.216/.268/.347	.131	.287	14	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.217/.269/.354	.137	.281	15	10	28%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→55	48→45	42	.210/.273/.351	.142	.298	16	9	34%	8%	72	-0.2	.197/.270/.336	.139	.293	15	9	35%	9%	67	-0.5	.183/.265/.325	.142	.273	14	7	36%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→47	44→50	52→55	45	.189/.271/.304	.115	.294	11	13	37%	10%	59	-1.1	.219/.303/.372	.153	.347	16	14	37%	10%	90	+1.0	.205/.288/.342	.137	.315	13	20	36%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	39→42	47→55	39→45	37	.196/.258/.331	.135	.292	14	5	36%	6%	61	-1.0	.202/.263/.363	.161	.288	19	6	35%	7%	72	-0.2	.198/.263/.366	.168	.274	20	5	35%	7%	70	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)