Colton Ledbetter

CF Memphis Redbirds
Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+TB446.273/.345/.484163459—.193/.247/.350
202523AATB535.265/.345/.37873766—.222/.284/.318
202624AAASTL477.269/.340/.429132670—.221/.277/.337
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBSTL21.198/.257/.3030158-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBSTL88.202/.262/.3152463-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB27MLBSTL124.203/.264/.3172564-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV95
Speed92
Whiff%42
BB%31
Chase%30
K%27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 4.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 87%
CompsMark Contreras (age 26) · Grae Kessinger (age 25) · Julian Escobedo (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .257 / .303
PA21
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP279
ISO50
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2272829
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ACharleston RiverDogs — 7463 16601 10160 22 254351397748 143326 2214 337 55 — — — — — —
202422 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 446395 10823616 361267 347 273345484828 210352 288 358 59 — — — — — —
202523 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 535465 1232447 511286 3711 265345378723 114339 2410 321 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 477427 11523313 421314 266 269340429769 159355 279 341 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 7467 13501 7220 22 194270313584 119271 309 249 55 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 446409 7917413 221737 347 193247350596 156276 395 256 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 535481 1072236 351556 3711 222284318602 96291 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 477439 971839 301574 266 221277337614 116315 336 271 70 — — — — — —
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 7467 13501 7220 22 194270313584 119273 309 249 55 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 7463 16601 10160 22 254351397748 143326 2214 337 55 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 446409 7917413 221737 347 193247350596 156286 395 256 59 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWBowling Green Hot Rods — 446395 10823616 361267 347 273345484828 210352 288 358 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 535481 1072236 351556 3711 222284318602 96304 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 535465 1232447 511286 3711 265345378723 114339 2410 321 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 477439 971839 301574 266 221277337614 116318 336 271 70 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAWMemphis Redbirds — 477427 11523313 421314 266 269340429769 159355 279 341 70 — — — — — —
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 7467 13501 7220 22 194270313584 119271 309 249 55 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 446414 7917413 221737 347 191247345592 155276 395 256 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 535489 1072236 351556 3711 219284313596 94291 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 477440 971839 301574 266 220277336613 116315 336 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 446414 7917413 221737 347 191247345592 155276 395 256 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 535489 1072236 351556 3711 219284313596 94291 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 477440 971839 301574 266 220277336613 116315 336 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESTL 10% 380349 701427 241204 174 198257305561 107277 326 253 58 -19 +2 +0 +1 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSTL 10% 2120 4100 170 10 198257303560 104279 335 253 58 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESTL 35% 254233 47915 17792 113 202262318580 116278 317 261 63 -11 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.4
202927 MLB MLESTL 44% 281257 521016 19863 123 203264320584 117278 317 263 64 -12 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXSTL 35% 8881 16302 6271 41 202262315577 113280 317 260 63 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXSTL 44% 124114 23512 8381 51 203264317581 114280 316 262 64 -5 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 212195 39814 14652 92 200261313573 113276 317 261 64 -9 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 12025312 431996 286 201261313574 112277 317 261 64 -28 +3 +0 +2 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 22772079 433881344 14373824 13134 208267327594 118294 326 262 64 -34 +3 +0 +3 +16 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 12425413 412117 3710 209268331599 121294 326 262 64 -30 +3 +0 +2 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 477 PAwOBA .334 → .271 (−64)K% 27.5% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.46%÷1.000×1.200——32.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.81%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0336.28%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.940—×1.0330.81%
Singles /BIP25.68%÷1.000×0.930×0.955×1.03323.56%
Doubles /BIP7.77%÷1.000×0.830×0.955×1.0336.36%
Triples /BIP1.01%÷1.000×0.970×0.955×1.0330.97%
Home runs /BIP4.39%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0333.18%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .334 → .271; ISO .159 → .119; BABIP .355 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 535 PAwOBA .319 → .266 (−53)K% 23.9% → 28.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.93%÷1.010×1.220——28.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.35%÷0.988×0.680—×1.0126.51%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.840—×1.0120.95%
Singles /BIP26.11%÷1.045×0.920×0.958×1.01222.29%
Doubles /BIP7.12%÷0.976×0.910×0.958×1.0126.44%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷1.150×0.880×0.958×1.0120.88%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷0.922×0.800—×1.0121.82%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .319 → .266; ISO .114 → .100; BABIP .339 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 446 PAwOBA .355 → .256 (−99)K% 28.3% → 38.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.25%÷0.956×1.310——38.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.07%÷0.972×0.600—×0.9984.97%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.770—×0.9981.21%
Singles /BIP23.42%÷1.047×0.870×0.950×0.99818.45%
Doubles /BIP8.55%÷0.898×0.780×0.950×0.9987.04%
Triples /BIP2.23%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×0.9981.56%
Home runs /BIP5.95%÷1.015×0.880—×0.9985.15%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .355 → .256; ISO .210 → .159; BABIP .352 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ACharleston RiverDogs · 74 PAwOBA .328 → .249 (−80)K% 21.6% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.62%÷0.985×1.360——29.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷1.035×0.690——9.01%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP19.15%÷1.071×0.920×0.971—15.97%
Doubles /BIP12.77%÷0.964×0.830×0.971—10.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.938×0.910×0.971—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.13%÷1.075×0.800——1.58%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 114, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .328 → .249; ISO .143 → .111; BABIP .326 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).