Omar Martinez
C Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+NYY | 430 | .238/.377/.404 | 13 | 3 | 55 | — | .178/.265/.304 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 433 | .220/.322/.358 | 12 | 1 | 46 | — | .176/.248/.284 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 291 | .210/.322/.367 | 11 | 0 | 56 | — | .181/.266/.293 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 26 | MLBLAA | 16 | .171/.249/.286 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 27 | MLBLAA | 59 | .173/.252/.289 | 1 | 0 | 54 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | — | 136 | 108 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 376 | 324 | 700 | 93 | 280 | 20 | 18 | 323 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | — | 192 | 148 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 250 | 413 | 432 | 845 | 182 | 316 | 24 | 18 | 379 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 87 | 71 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 407 | 465 | 872 | 183 | 309 | 16 | 15 | 387 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 444 | 371 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 18 | 67 | 110 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 251 | 370 | 445 | 814 | 194 | 305 | 25 | 15 | 363 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 19 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 263 | 67 | 330 | 100 | 26 | 21 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 430 | 349 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 73 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 377 | 404 | 781 | 166 | 294 | 23 | 17 | 354 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 88 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 280 | 590 | 80 | 368 | 42 | 12 | 276 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 96 | 85 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 287 | 376 | 664 | 165 | 259 | 27 | 9 | 292 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 249 | 212 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 231 | 340 | 377 | 717 | 146 | 315 | 31 | 13 | 325 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 261 | 224 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 91 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 328 | 397 | 726 | 174 | 315 | 35 | 11 | 326 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 30 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 83 | 350 | 118 | 23 | 17 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 136 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 278 | 256 | 535 | 77 | 229 | 29 | 11 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 2 | — | 192 | 160 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 144 | 275 | 231 | 506 | 88 | 188 | 31 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 87 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 291 | 316 | 606 | 118 | 238 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 444 | 395 | 76 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 154 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 192 | 277 | 322 | 598 | 129 | 272 | 35 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 430 | 382 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 140 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 265 | 304 | 568 | 126 | 236 | 33 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 88 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 241 | 241 | 482 | 76 | 352 | 51 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 96 | 87 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 245 | 299 | 544 | 115 | 252 | 34 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 249 | 225 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 178 | 251 | 293 | 544 | 116 | 269 | 41 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 261 | 232 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 109 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 266 | 293 | 560 | 112 | 296 | 42 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 136 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 278 | 256 | 535 | 77 | 241 | 29 | 11 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees West | — | 136 | 108 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 376 | 324 | 700 | 93 | 280 | 20 | 18 | 323 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 2 | — | 192 | 160 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 144 | 275 | 231 | 506 | 88 | 200 | 31 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees 2 | — | 192 | 148 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 250 | 413 | 432 | 845 | 182 | 316 | 24 | 18 | 379 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 87 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 291 | 316 | 606 | 118 | 236 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 87 | 71 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 407 | 465 | 872 | 183 | 309 | 16 | 15 | 387 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 463 | 413 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 160 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 194 | 276 | 324 | 601 | 131 | 276 | 35 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 463 | 386 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 18 | 71 | 115 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 244 | 365 | 430 | 795 | 187 | 297 | 25 | 15 | 356 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 430 | 382 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 140 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 265 | 304 | 568 | 126 | 244 | 33 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 430 | 349 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 73 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 377 | 404 | 781 | 166 | 294 | 23 | 17 | 354 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 433 | 391 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 179 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 248 | 284 | 532 | 107 | 285 | 41 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 433 | 372 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 139 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 322 | 358 | 680 | 137 | 310 | 32 | 12 | 308 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 259 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 122 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 270 | 301 | 571 | 116 | 305 | 42 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 291 | 248 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 98 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 322 | 367 | 689 | 157 | 291 | 34 | 11 | 313 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 136 | 119 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 278 | 252 | 530 | 76 | 229 | 29 | 11 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 2 | — | 192 | 161 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 143 | 275 | 230 | 505 | 87 | 188 | 31 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 87 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 291 | 312 | 602 | 117 | 238 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 463 | 413 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 160 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 194 | 276 | 324 | 601 | 131 | 272 | 35 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 430 | 382 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 140 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 265 | 304 | 568 | 126 | 236 | 33 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 433 | 393 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 179 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 248 | 282 | 530 | 107 | 282 | 41 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 259 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 122 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 270 | 301 | 571 | 116 | 296 | 42 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 430 | 382 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 140 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 265 | 304 | 568 | 126 | 236 | 33 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 433 | 393 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 179 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 248 | 282 | 530 | 107 | 282 | 41 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 259 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 122 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 270 | 301 | 571 | 116 | 296 | 42 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 10% | 311 | 279 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 118 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 250 | 286 | 536 | 114 | 256 | 38 | 8 | 245 | 52 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 10% | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 249 | 286 | 535 | 115 | 255 | 38 | 6 | 245 | 52 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 31% | 191 | 171 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 71 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 252 | 289 | 542 | 115 | 258 | 37 | 8 | 248 | 54 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 31% | 59 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 252 | 289 | 541 | 116 | 256 | 37 | 8 | 247 | 54 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 59 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 237 | 226 | 464 | 75 | 233 | 37 | 8 | 247 | 55 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 242 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 237 | 226 | 463 | 75 | 233 | 37 | 8 | 247 | 55 | -36 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2378 | 2109 | 378 | 58 | 5 | 58 | 212 | 850 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 179 | 265 | 294 | 559 | 115 | 262 | 36 | 9 | 250 | 55 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 103 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 58 | 232 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 179 | 264 | 293 | 557 | 115 | 260 | 36 | 9 | 250 | 55 | -36 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 261 PAwOBA .320 → .257 (−63)K% 34.9% → 41.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.033 | 24.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.033 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .320 → .257; ISO .174 → .122; BABIP .315 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 249 PAwOBA .318 → .239 (−79)K% 30.5% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.52% | ÷0.985 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.45% | ÷0.984 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 7.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.870 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 21.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.850 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.969 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 5.28% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .318 → .239; ISO .146 → .119; BABIP .315 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 96 PAwOBA .290 → .246 (−44)K% 27.1% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.08% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.95% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 17.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 7.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .290 → .246; ISO .165 → .130; BABIP .259 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 88 PAwOBA .272 → .215 (−57)K% 42.0% → 51.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.05% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 51.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 30.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 2.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.944 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 2.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.070 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 89, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .272 → .215; ISO .080 → .061; BABIP .368 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 430 PAwOBA .348 → .250 (−97)K% 23.5% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.49% | ÷0.946 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.98% | ÷1.099 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.37% | ÷1.025 | ×0.870 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 17.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.05% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 4.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.24% | ÷1.032 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.46% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .348 → .250; ISO .166 → .136; BABIP .294 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ATampa Tarpons · 444 PAwOBA .356 → .268 (−88)K% 24.8% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.77% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | — | 20.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | — | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | — | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.08% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .356 → .268; ISO .194 → .140; BABIP .305 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Yankees · 87 PAwOBA .381 → .273 (−108)K% 16.1% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.09% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.026 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.56% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | ×0.979 | ×0.985 | 19.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.974 | ×0.720 | ×0.979 | ×0.985 | 2.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.979 | ×0.985 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .381 → .273; ISO .183 → .130; BABIP .309 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Yankees 2 · 192 PAwOBA .376 → .232 (−144)K% 24.5% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.48% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.23% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 12.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.78% | ÷1.033 | ×0.680 | ×0.980 | ×0.985 | 13.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.91% | ÷1.033 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×0.985 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.063 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 2.59% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 95, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .376 → .232; ISO .182 → .091; BABIP .316 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .