Aaron Shackelford

Aaron ShackelfordSS Altoona Curve

Age 29 L/R 5'9" / 215 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .263 / .314

PA14

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO125

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	421	372	78	15	2	22	36	133	8	3	0	210	293	438	731	228	252	32	9	320	102	+1	+1	—	—	+9	1.1
2022	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		111	44	0	57	-76	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	443	397	95	23	1	26	40	128	4	11	2	239	315	499	814	259	283	29	9	354	126	+14	+1	—	—	+10	2.5
2023	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	425	355	79	17	3	14	59	123	8	8	1	223	346	406	752	183	294	29	14	338	115	+7	+1	—	—	+9	1.8
2024	27	AA	Altoona Curve	—	95	88	19	3	1	4	3	34	3	1	1	216	266	409	675	193	294	36	3	295	86	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	421	385	58	12	2	13	23	176	8	3	0	151	214	294	507	143	216	42	5	222	36	-32	+1	—	—	+9	-2.3
2022	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		95	56	0	39	-87	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	443	410	78	20	1	18	27	160	4	11	2	190	247	376	623	185	256	36	6	266	66	-18	+1	—	—	+10	-0.7
2023	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	425	376	63	13	2	9	38	153	8	8	1	168	258	285	543	117	244	36	9	244	51	-25	+1	—	—	+9	-1.5
2024	27	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	95	90	15	2	1	3	1	43	3	1	1	167	202	311	513	144	253	45	1	224	38	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	421	385	58	12	2	13	23	176	8	3	0	151	214	294	507	143	224	42	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	421	372	78	15	2	22	36	133	8	3	0	210	293	438	731	228	252	32	9	320	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	459	426	79	20	1	18	27	169	4	11	2	185	241	364	605	178	254	37	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	459	413	96	23	1	26	40	135	4	11	2	232	306	482	788	249	277	29	9	344	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	425	376	63	13	2	9	38	153	8	8	1	168	258	285	543	117	249	36	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	425	355	79	17	3	14	59	123	8	8	1	223	346	406	752	183	294	29	14	338	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	95	90	15	2	1	3	1	43	3	1	1	167	202	311	513	144	267	45	1	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	95	88	19	3	1	4	3	34	3	1	1	216	266	409	675	193	294	36	3	295	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	421	387	58	12	2	13	23	176	8	3	0	150	214	292	506	142	216	42	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	459	425	79	20	1	18	27	169	4	11	2	186	241	365	605	179	250	37	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	425	376	63	13	2	9	38	153	8	8	1	168	258	285	543	117	244	36	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	95	91	15	2	1	3	1	43	3	1	1	165	202	308	510	143	253	45	1	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	425	376	63	13	2	9	38	153	8	8	1	168	258	285	543	117	244	36	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	95	91	15	2	1	3	1	43	3	1	1	165	202	308	510	143	253	45	1	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	PIT	2%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		254	29	7	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	23%	243	219	43	8	1	6	18	71	4	4	1	196	270	324	594	128	258	29	7	267	67	-10	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	PIT	35%	245	220	43	8	1	6	19	71	4	3	1	195	272	323	594	127	258	29	8	267	67	-10	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	23%	55	50	9	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	180	255	280	535	100	256	29	7	251	67	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	PIT	35%	85	78	15	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	192	259	308	567	115	256	29	7	252	67	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	140	128	24	5	0	3	10	41	2	2	0	188	257	297	554	109	250	29	7	252	54	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	111	23	0	14	46	190	9	9	0	187	255	296	552	109	249	29	7	252	54	-26	+2	-7	+7	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1902	1729	303	63	8	55	127	687	31	30	6	175	244	316	561	141	248	36	7	248	54	-20	+1	-5	+5	+11	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	104	22	3	19	43	235	11	10	2	176	245	320	565	144	249	36	7	248	54	-26	+1	-6	+7	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Shackelford (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	190/263/314	124	254	4	3	30%	7%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	40	42→40	44→45	44	199/258/302	103	260	10	4	27%	7%	58	-1.7	206/276/328	122	265	13	5	26%	8%	72	-0.7	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	35	49→50	40	46	188/262/334	147	237	17	4	29%	8%	68	-1.0	187/261/319	132	239	17	4	29%	8%	64	-1.3	170/248/285	115	218	16	1	30%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Austin Hedges 2022 · MLB	29	34→40	49→60	46→45	42	188/244/326	137	230	19	5	28%	6%	59	-1.6	181/242/276	95	225	12	6	25%	6%	47	-2.6	190/263/292	101	234	13	4	24%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jordan Procyshen 2022 · AA	29	39	47→40	49→40	43	202/272/335	133	259	16	6	28%	7%	72	-0.7	208/288/325	117	296	12	9	32%	8%	76	-0.4	181/267/305	124	251	16	10	33%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→40	49→50	46→50	42	189/267/338	149	282	18	7	38%	9%	71	-0.8	189/261/304	115	312	13	8	40%	8%	61	-1.5	166/235/251	85	293	9	8	44%	8%	36	-1.3
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	46→50	50	44	180/256/309	130	256	14	12	34%	9%	60	-1.6	194/270/319	125	275	14	12	33%	8%	68	-1.0	163/251/289	126	221	17	12	33%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	41→50	43→45	41	191/242/288	96	249	9	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/329	125	273	14	4	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	37→47	48→50	52→50	42	197/253/337	140	262	16	10	31%	7%	65	-1.2	204/263/315	111	281	10	9	29%	7%	63	-1.4	194/252/287	94	273	6	7	30%	6%	50	-0.9
✕René Rivera 2012 · MLB	29	43→33	45→55	46→30	40	216/259/340	123	270	13	3	25%	5%	68	-1.0	231/281/355	124	284	12	3	22%	6%	79	-0.2	238/298/393	156	304	23	0	29%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Jason Smith 2006 · MLB	29	41→35	46→55	51→50	38	211/247/348	137	269	13	14	27%	4%	64	-1.3	219/260/373	154	301	18	9	32%	5%	76	-0.4	208/246/368	159	291	19	5	35%	4%	66	-0.6
✕Robel García 2022 · MLB	29	35→37	50	44→40	40	188/256/337	150	274	19	5	38%	8%	66	-1.1	220/287/388	168	318	21	6	35%	8%	90	+0.6	225/296/442	217	318	31	0	38%	9%	104	+0.4
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	47→45	42	191/262/331	140	285	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	192/256/321	129	288	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→45	47→55	48→50	44	214/281/347	133	264	14	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/271/329	124	273	14	10	29%	7%	70	-0.8	191/262/312	122	255	14	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB	28	39→46	46→50	46→40	43	204/252/325	121	249	15	3	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/356	151	281	20	5	33%	6%	71	-0.8	172/222/349	176	212	27	0	34%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Yamid Haad 2007 · MLB	29	40	46→45	46→40	42	207/248/336	129	240	14	6	21%	5%	62	-1.4	213/256/310	97	271	10	6	24%	5%	59	-1.7	218/259/304	86	277	8	1	23%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/250/331	121	270	13	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	213/269/337	124	275	12	6	26%	6%	70	-0.8	198/259/304	106	255	9	3	25%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Kellin Deglan 2021 · AAA	29	43→35	45→50	49→40	36	211/269/332	122	316	13	6	36%	6%	70	-0.9	192/256/291	99	293	9	9	36%	7%	55	-1.9	159/245/251	93	251	11	4	39%	7%	42	-0.6