Aaron ShackelfordSS
Altoona Curve
Age 29
L/R
5'9" / 215 lbs
AA
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .265 / .319
PA170
HR4
K%35
BB%8
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-7M | $-7M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 421 | 385 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 176 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .153 | .216 | .304 | .520 | .151 | .225 | 42 | 5 | .225 | 30 | -33 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | -1.6 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 459 | 426 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 27 | 178 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .188 | .243 | .373 | .616 | .185 | .265 | 39 | 6 | .261 | 58 | -22 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 425 | 377 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 153 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .170 | .258 | .294 | .553 | .125 | .249 | 36 | 9 | .250 | 50 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Altoona Curve | 95 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .156 | .191 | .278 | .469 | .122 | .256 | 47 | 1 | .219 | 26 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 170 | 152 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .197 | .274 | .329 | .603 | .132 | .278 | 35 | 8 | .267 | 62 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 9% | PIT | 243 | 218 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 83 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .193 | .270 | .321 | .591 | .128 | .278 | 34 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 19% | PIT | 245 | 220 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .195 | .272 | .323 | .594 | .127 | .278 | 33 | 8 | .270 | 64 | -10 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 29% | PIT | 236 | 212 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 79 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .198 | .274 | .330 | .604 | .132 | .277 | 33 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 40% | PIT | 213 | 191 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .194 | .270 | .319 | .590 | .126 | .276 | 34 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 54% | PIT | 175 | 158 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .266 | .323 | .589 | .127 | .274 | 35 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -9 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +5 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2682 | 2429 | 442 | 90 | 11 | 77 | 187 | 988 | 43 | 36 | 6 | .182 | .253 | .323 | .576 | .141 | .264 | 37 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -142 | +5 | -17 | +29 | +76 | -5.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 239 | 10 | 9 | 1 | .183 | .253 | .328 | .581 | .144 | .266 | 37 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -35 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +18 | -1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 421 | 372 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 22 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .210 | .293 | .438 | .731 | .228 | .252 | 32 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .062 | .062 | .062 | .125 | .000 | .111 | 44 | 0 | .057 | -98 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 443 | 397 | 95 | 23 | 1 | 26 | 40 | 128 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .239 | .315 | .499 | .814 | .259 | .283 | 29 | 9 | .354 | 129 | +15 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 425 | 355 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 123 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .223 | .346 | .406 | .752 | .183 | .294 | 29 | 14 | .338 | 117 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Altoona Curve | 95 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .216 | .266 | .409 | .675 | .193 | .294 | 36 | 3 | .295 | 84 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Aaron Shackelford (OGILVIE) | 29 | — | — | — | — | .190/.265/.319 | .129 | .278 | 4 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 62 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB |
29 | 36→40 | 50 | 46→50 | 41 | .190/.266/.341 | .151 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .188/.260/.304 | .116 | .308 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .166/.236/.251 | .085 | .293 | 9 | 8 | 44% | 8% | 28 | -1.3 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→37 | 50→55 | 47→45 | 41 | .196/.266/.350 | .154 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .196/.260/.343 | .147 | .289 | 18 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.245/.318 | .137 | .261 | 18 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39→37 | 49→50 | 51→50 | 36 | .205/.244/.348 | .143 | .271 | 17 | 12 | 31% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .225/.280/.351 | .126 | .287 | 13 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .235/.302/.339 | .104 | .296 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kellin Deglan 2021 · AAA |
29 | 43→34 | 45→50 | 49→40 | 36 | .209/.268/.333 | .124 | .321 | 13 | 6 | 38% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .194/.258/.299 | .105 | .297 | 11 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .160/.246/.264 | .104 | .251 | 14 | 4 | 39% | 7% | 38 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jason Smith 2006 · MLB |
29 | 42→35 | 47→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .215/.250/.359 | .145 | .271 | 14 | 14 | 27% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .220/.260/.375 | .155 | .300 | 18 | 10 | 32% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.246/.368 | .159 | .291 | 19 | 5 | 35% | 4% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 40 | .200/.262/.313 | .113 | .299 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .195/.259/.307 | .112 | .360 | 12 | 6 | 45% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .163/.227/.268 | .105 | .321 | 15 | 3 | 51% | 7% | 28 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB |
29 | 36→46 | 48→50 | 52→50 | 40 | .194/.248/.334 | .140 | .266 | 17 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .203/.262/.317 | .114 | .278 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.252/.288 | .094 | .273 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 44 | -0.8 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 49→50 | 50→55 | 37 | .194/.258/.343 | .149 | .284 | 16 | 15 | 36% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.264/.339 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 23 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.256/.306 | .115 | .275 | 14 | 30 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA |
29 | 36 | 48→50 | 43→40 | 35 | .191/.246/.323 | .132 | .283 | 17 | 3 | 38% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .200/.247/.340 | .140 | .324 | 17 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.237/.332 | .141 | .307 | 18 | 2 | 42% | 4% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .183/.244/.299 | .117 | .258 | 13 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.247/.272 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .158/.224/.222 | .065 | .226 | 5 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 16 | -2.0 |
|
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB |
30 | 34 | 49→50 | 45→40 | 46 | .185/.257/.324 | .139 | .228 | 18 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.268/.328 | .134 | .254 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .175/.254/.294 | .120 | .232 | 15 | 0 | 31% | 8% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bret Boswell 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43→41 | 47→50 | 50→45 | 41 | .208/.277/.339 | .131 | .319 | 15 | 11 | 38% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .196/.265/.325 | .129 | .304 | 13 | 9 | 37% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .152/.231/.275 | .124 | .234 | 12 | 4 | 38% | 9% | 33 | -1.2 |
|
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA |
28 | 34→35 | 47→45 | 48→45 | 37 | .181/.241/.311 | .129 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.246/.332 | .143 | .280 | 19 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.218/.302 | .144 | .215 | 22 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 36 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB |
29 | 42→41 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 40 | .211/.264/.333 | .122 | .283 | 13 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.271/.370 | .163 | .326 | 22 | 14 | 41% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .151/.220/.316 | .164 | .233 | 26 | 18 | 47% | 7% | 40 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jordan Procyshen 2022 · AA |
29 | 38 | 49→40 | 49→40 | 42 | .201/.266/.346 | .145 | .253 | 18 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.286/.328 | .122 | .297 | 13 | 9 | 33% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .176/.263/.308 | .133 | .247 | 18 | 10 | 35% | 9% | 56 | -0.3 |
|
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 50 | .191/.285/.319 | .128 | .261 | 14 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.313 | .124 | .261 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 68 | -0.5 | .168/.270/.287 | .119 | .228 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 11% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA |
29 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .194/.247/.308 | .114 | .270 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.255/.324 | .126 | .283 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.287/.336 | .152 | .261 | 22 | 8 | 36% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |