Aaron Shackelford
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/AAPIT | 459 | .232/.306/.482 | 26 | 11 | 60 | — | .186/.241/.358 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAAPIT | 425 | .223/.346/.406 | 14 | 8 | 52 | — | .168/.258/.285 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAPIT | 95 | .216/.266/.409 | 4 | 1 | 35 | — | .167/.202/.311 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 421 | 372 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 22 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 210 | 293 | 438 | 731 | 228 | 252 | 32 | 9 | 320 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 111 | 44 | 0 | 57 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 443 | 397 | 95 | 23 | 1 | 26 | 40 | 128 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 239 | 315 | 499 | 814 | 259 | 283 | 29 | 9 | 354 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 425 | 355 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 123 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 223 | 346 | 406 | 752 | 183 | 294 | 29 | 14 | 338 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 95 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 266 | 409 | 675 | 193 | 294 | 36 | 3 | 295 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 421 | 386 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 176 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 150 | 212 | 293 | 504 | 142 | 211 | 42 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 97 | 56 | 0 | 40 | -87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 443 | 410 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 160 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 190 | 247 | 368 | 615 | 178 | 257 | 36 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 425 | 376 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 153 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 168 | 258 | 285 | 543 | 117 | 245 | 36 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 95 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 202 | 311 | 513 | 144 | 250 | 45 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 421 | 386 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 176 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 150 | 212 | 293 | 504 | 142 | 223 | 42 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 421 | 372 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 22 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 210 | 293 | 438 | 731 | 228 | 252 | 32 | 9 | 320 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 426 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 169 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 185 | 241 | 357 | 598 | 171 | 257 | 37 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 459 | 413 | 96 | 23 | 1 | 26 | 40 | 135 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 232 | 306 | 482 | 788 | 249 | 277 | 29 | 9 | 344 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 425 | 376 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 153 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 168 | 258 | 285 | 543 | 117 | 249 | 36 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 425 | 355 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 123 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 223 | 346 | 406 | 752 | 183 | 294 | 29 | 14 | 338 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 95 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 202 | 311 | 513 | 144 | 267 | 45 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 95 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 266 | 409 | 675 | 193 | 294 | 36 | 3 | 295 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 421 | 388 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 176 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 212 | 291 | 503 | 142 | 211 | 42 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 425 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 169 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 186 | 241 | 358 | 598 | 172 | 251 | 37 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 425 | 376 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 153 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 168 | 258 | 285 | 543 | 117 | 245 | 36 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 95 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 202 | 308 | 510 | 143 | 250 | 45 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 95 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 202 | 308 | 510 | 143 | 250 | 45 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1400 | 1278 | 215 | 47 | 6 | 42 | 88 | 541 | 23 | 23 | 4 | 168 | 235 | 313 | 548 | 145 | 245 | 39 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -87 | +3 | +0 | +15 | +30 | -3.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 101 | 22 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 251 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 170 | 237 | 319 | 556 | 148 | 248 | 39 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -40 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAltoona Curve · 95 PAwOBA .285 → .220 (−66)K% 35.8% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.79% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.11% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 1.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.37% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 17.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.948 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.844 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 6.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 104, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .285 → .220; ISO .193 → .149; BABIP .294 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 425 PAwOBA .331 → .245 (−86)K% 28.9% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.94% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.65% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.40% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.03% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 93, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .245; ISO .183 → .124; BABIP .294 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAltoona Curve · 443 PAwOBA .344 → .265 (−79)K% 28.9% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.89% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.73% | ÷1.010 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 15.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.928 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 7.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.67% | ÷1.084 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 6.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .344 → .265; ISO .259 → .185; BABIP .283 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 16 PAwOBA .055 → .040 (−15)K% 43.8% → 53.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.75% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 53.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.087 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 9.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .055 → .040; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .097. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 421 PAwOBA .314 → .217 (−96)K% 31.6% → 41.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.59% | ÷1.021 | ×1.350 | — | — | 41.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.31% | ÷1.085 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.32% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×0.978 | 14.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.28% | ÷0.918 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.978 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.962 | ×0.978 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.21% | ÷1.238 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 6.03% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 96, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 104, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .314 → .217; ISO .228 → .145; BABIP .252 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).