Cooper Kinney
2B Montgomery Biscuits| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+TB | 361 | .289/.357/.494 | 10 | 6 | 82 | — | .228/.275/.386 |
| 2025 | 22 | AATB | 501 | .242/.302/.386 | 13 | 0 | 63 | — | .214/.260/.335 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 494 | .269/.347/.444 | 16 | 5 | 90 | — | .240/.299/.382 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBTB | 4 | .211/.265/.340 | 0 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 25 | MLBTB | 60 | .214/.270/.348 | 2 | 0 | 72 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBTB | 107 | .216/.273/.352 | 3 | 1 | 74 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 286 | 468 | 371 | 840 | 86 | 385 | 19 | 21 | 395 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 505 | 456 | 125 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 274 | 342 | 393 | 734 | 118 | 337 | 21 | 8 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 361 | 322 | 93 | 32 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 289 | 357 | 494 | 851 | 205 | 350 | 22 | 9 | 369 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 501 | 458 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 125 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 302 | 386 | 688 | 144 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 306 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 199 | 179 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 63 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 229 | 299 | 346 | 646 | 117 | 325 | 32 | 9 | 290 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 253 | 218 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 303 | 387 | 523 | 910 | 220 | 357 | 23 | 11 | 393 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 42 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 447 | 781 | 184 | 333 | 24 | 10 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 362 | 308 | 669 | 77 | 315 | 28 | 13 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 505 | 470 | 102 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 148 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 217 | 268 | 304 | 573 | 87 | 298 | 29 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 361 | 334 | 76 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 110 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 275 | 386 | 662 | 159 | 301 | 30 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 501 | 468 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 151 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 335 | 595 | 122 | 285 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 199 | 184 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 76 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 201 | 254 | 293 | 547 | 92 | 316 | 38 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 253 | 226 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 71 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 270 | 335 | 451 | 786 | 181 | 333 | 28 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 362 | 308 | 669 | 77 | 346 | 28 | 13 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 286 | 468 | 371 | 840 | 86 | 385 | 19 | 21 | 395 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 505 | 470 | 102 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 148 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 217 | 268 | 304 | 573 | 87 | 300 | 29 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 505 | 456 | 125 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 274 | 342 | 393 | 734 | 118 | 337 | 21 | 8 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 361 | 334 | 76 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 110 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 275 | 386 | 662 | 159 | 308 | 30 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 361 | 322 | 93 | 32 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 289 | 357 | 494 | 851 | 205 | 350 | 22 | 9 | 369 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 501 | 468 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 151 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 335 | 595 | 122 | 287 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 501 | 458 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 125 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 302 | 386 | 688 | 144 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 306 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 494 | 449 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 160 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 241 | 300 | 381 | 681 | 140 | 336 | 32 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 494 | 435 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 131 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 269 | 347 | 444 | 791 | 175 | 342 | 27 | 10 | 347 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 362 | 308 | 669 | 77 | 315 | 28 | 13 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 505 | 467 | 102 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 148 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 218 | 268 | 306 | 575 | 88 | 298 | 29 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 361 | 336 | 76 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 110 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 275 | 384 | 659 | 158 | 301 | 30 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 501 | 467 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 151 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 336 | 596 | 122 | 285 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 494 | 453 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 160 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 238 | 300 | 377 | 677 | 139 | 326 | 32 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 361 | 336 | 76 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 110 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 275 | 384 | 659 | 158 | 301 | 30 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 501 | 467 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 151 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 336 | 596 | 122 | 285 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 494 | 453 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 160 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 238 | 300 | 377 | 677 | 139 | 326 | 32 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 2% | 380 | 351 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 126 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 264 | 341 | 605 | 131 | 294 | 33 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -14 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 265 | 340 | 605 | 128 | 297 | 25 | 0 | 270 | 69 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 23% | 260 | 239 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 268 | 349 | 617 | 136 | 294 | 32 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 35% | 305 | 280 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 97 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 271 | 353 | 625 | 139 | 294 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 40% | 321 | 295 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 273 | 353 | 626 | 138 | 293 | 31 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 44% | 328 | 301 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 103 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 273 | 351 | 625 | 137 | 292 | 31 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -10 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 45% | 321 | 294 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 100 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 273 | 348 | 621 | 134 | 290 | 31 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -10 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 23% | 60 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 270 | 348 | 618 | 133 | 297 | 32 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 35% | 107 | 98 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 273 | 352 | 625 | 136 | 297 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 40% | 130 | 119 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 274 | 352 | 626 | 135 | 296 | 32 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 44% | 144 | 132 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 274 | 350 | 625 | 134 | 295 | 31 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 45% | 143 | 131 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 131 | 293 | 31 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 584 | 536 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 40 | 184 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 279 | 364 | 643 | 144 | 300 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 73 | -18 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 45 | 205 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 219 | 279 | 362 | 640 | 142 | 299 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 73 | -20 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3653 | 3363 | 737 | 151 | 15 | 85 | 230 | 1136 | 26 | 25 | 19 | 219 | 274 | 349 | 623 | 130 | 300 | 31 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -55 | -1 | -13 | +6 | +38 | -2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 131 | 27 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 202 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 219 | 275 | 349 | 624 | 130 | 301 | 31 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -21 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 253 PAwOBA .390 → .339 (−50)K% 22.9% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 24.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 7.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.65% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .390 → .339; ISO .220 → .190; BABIP .357 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAADurham Bulls · 199 PAwOBA .285 → .243 (−42)K% 31.7% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 25.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .285 → .243; ISO .117 → .093; BABIP .325 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 501 PAwOBA .300 → .262 (−38)K% 25.0% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.95% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷0.988 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.042 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.042 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×1.042 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.922 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .300 → .262; ISO .144 → .129; BABIP .302 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 361 PAwOBA .364 → .289 (−75)K% 22.2% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.16% | ÷0.956 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.25% | ÷1.047 | ×0.870 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 17.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.22% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 11.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.13% | ÷1.015 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.68% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .364 → .289; ISO .205 → .172; BABIP .350 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ACharleston RiverDogs · 505 PAwOBA .323 → .255 (−68)K% 21.2% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.19% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.07% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.030 | 23.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.030 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷1.075 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 114, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .323 → .255; ISO .118 → .091; BABIP .337 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Rays · 47 PAwOBA .387 → .287 (−100)K% 19.1% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.15% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.28% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 13.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.26% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.990 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 26.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.065 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 113, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .387 → .287; ISO .086 → .061; BABIP .385 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .