Cooper Kinney — OGILVIE

Cooper Kinney2B Durham Bulls

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 191 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .269 / .357

PA191

HR5

K%32

BB%6

BABIP296

ISO142

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.2M
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	47	39	9	1	1	0	6	13	2	2	0	231	362	308	669	77	346	28	13	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	47	35	10	1	1	0	10	9	2	2	0	286	468	371	840	86	385	19	21	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	505	474	96	20	0	7	24	157	5	3	5	203	249	289	538	86	285	31	5	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	505	456	125	24	0	10	42	107	5	3	5	274	342	393	734	118	337	21	8	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	361	332	75	30	1	7	22	117	2	6	3	226	278	386	664	160	319	32	6	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	361	322	93	32	2	10	32	80	2	6	3	289	357	494	851	205	350	22	9	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	501	468	96	19	2	13	26	158	3	0	1	205	252	338	589	132	276	32	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	501	458	111	21	3	13	36	125	3	0	1	242	302	386	688	144	302	25	7	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	TB	—	287	264	58	9	3	7	20	100	1	3	3	220	277	356	633	136	321	35	7	273	67	-11	-1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
YTD	23	AAA	TB	—	287	255	65	11	3	8	29	82	1	3	3	255	333	416	749	161	341	29	10	333	113	+4	-1	+0	+1	+8	1.3
ROS	23	AAA	TB	10%	191	176	38	8	1	5	12	61	1	2	1	216	269	357	627	142	296	32	6	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	TB	10%	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	300	32	5	271	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	23	AAA	TB	—	306	282	61	10	3	7	21	106	1	3	3	216	273	348	621	131	316	35	7	273	67	-11	-1	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
TOT	23	AAA	TB	—	478	440	96	17	4	12	32	161	2	5	4	218	274	357	631	139	311	34	7	274	68	-18	-1	+0	+2	+14	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TB	35%	531	489	107	22	3	13	34	163	3	4	3	219	274	356	630	137	297	31	6	282	74	-15	-0	+0	+2	+15	0.1
2028	25	MLB	TB	46%	561	515	114	23	3	15	38	168	3	4	3	221	279	365	644	144	297	30	7	288	79	-14	-0	+0	+2	+16	0.4
2029	26	MLB	TB	52%	577	529	119	24	3	16	40	171	3	4	3	225	283	372	656	147	297	30	7	291	81	-13	-0	+0	+2	+16	0.6
2030	27	MLB	TB	53%	583	533	119	24	3	16	41	172	4	4	3	223	284	370	653	146	296	30	7	292	81	-12	-0	+0	+2	+17	0.6
2031	28	MLB	TB	54%	582	532	119	24	3	16	42	172	3	4	3	224	284	370	655	147	296	30	7	291	81	-13	-0	-1	+2	+16	0.5
2032	29	MLB	TB	53%	575	526	117	24	3	15	41	171	3	4	3	222	282	365	647	143	295	30	7	289	79	-14	-0	-1	+2	+16	0.3
2033	30	MLB	TB	52%	566	517	114	23	3	15	41	170	3	3	2	221	282	364	645	143	294	30	7	286	77	-15	-0	-2	+2	+16	0.1
2027	24	MLB	TB	35%	185	170	38	8	1	5	12	57	1	1	1	224	279	371	649	147	300	31	6	279	72	-6	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	TB	46%	260	239	55	11	2	7	18	78	1	2	1	230	287	381	668	151	300	30	7	284	76	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2029	26	MLB	TB	52%	298	273	62	12	2	8	21	88	2	2	2	227	287	374	661	147	300	30	7	287	78	-7	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2030	27	MLB	TB	53%	309	282	64	13	2	8	22	91	2	2	2	227	288	372	660	145	300	29	7	288	78	-8	-0	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2031	28	MLB	TB	54%	312	285	64	13	2	8	22	92	2	2	2	225	285	368	653	144	299	29	7	287	78	-8	-0	-0	+1	+9	0.1
2032	29	MLB	TB	53%	303	276	62	12	2	8	22	90	2	2	1	225	287	370	656	145	298	30	7	285	76	-8	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2033	30	MLB	TB	52%	295	270	60	12	2	7	21	89	2	2	1	222	283	359	643	137	297	30	7	282	74	-9	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1981	1813	408	82	13	51	139	591	12	13	10	225	285	369	654	144	302	30	7	285	76	-53	-1	-2	+7	+56	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	134	27	4	17	46	194	4	4	3	225	285	370	655	145	302	30	7	285	76	-18	-0	-1	+2	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	5580	5130	1123	242	26	138	367	1693	35	40	30	219	276	357	633	138	296	30	7	280	73	-172	-4	-4	+20	+158	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	131	28	3	16	43	197	4	5	3	219	276	356	633	137	296	30	7	280	73	-20	-0	-0	+2	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	47	35	10	1	1	0	10	9	2	2	0	286	468	371	840	86	385	19	21	395	161	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	505	456	125	24	0	10	42	107	5	3	5	274	342	393	734	118	337	21	8	331	111	+6	-1	—	—	+14	2.0
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	361	322	93	32	2	10	32	80	2	6	3	289	357	494	851	205	350	22	9	369	141	+17	+0	—	—	+10	2.7
2025	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	501	458	111	21	3	13	36	125	3	0	1	242	302	386	688	144	302	25	7	306	92	-4	-0	—	—	+14	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,994	53	14	223	279	369	+7	+4	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	18	5	223	279	369	+2.4	+1.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cooper Kinney (OGILVIE)	23	40	45	40	35	218/274/357	139	311	12	5	34%	7%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryne Birk 2018 · AA	23	43→42	46→45	43→50	40	219/261/345	126	274	14	6	26%	5%	65	-0.7	198/251/283	85	262	6	11	25%	6%	44	-2.1	173/230/232	58	234	1	12	25%	6%	21	-2.9
✕Cole Armstrong 2008 · AA	24	42→36	44→50	42→30	39	211/252/326	115	277	13	3	28%	5%	56	-1.3	226/261/354	128	276	14	2	23%	4%	68	-0.5	228/278/362	134	273	17	1	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→43	48→55	41→40	43	207/273/350	142	258	17	3	27%	6%	72	-0.2	207/268/376	169	282	22	3	34%	7%	77	+0.1	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→45	46→50	44→50	37	213/256/341	128	292	14	7	32%	5%	62	-0.9	221/268/342	121	290	11	8	27%	6%	67	-0.5	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	44→50	40→45	45	195/268/311	116	267	12	3	30%	8%	60	-1.0	203/267/306	103	269	8	5	26%	8%	58	-1.2	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕David Vidal 2013 · AA	23	43→45	44→45	42→30	40	213/264/335	122	283	11	3	28%	6%	64	-0.8	200/253/291	91	289	7	3	31%	6%	48	-1.9	212/272/321	108	271	11	2	25%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Drew Ward 2018 · AA	23	43→45	43→55	41→30	41	210/273/319	110	314	12	2	35%	7%	64	-0.8	212/274/355	143	334	17	3	39%	7%	74	-0.1	200/266/360	160	314	20	1	41%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Steven Lerud 2009 · AA	24	40→41	43→45	43→40	38	200/261/311	111	290	11	4	34%	6%	57	-1.2	203/268/305	102	278	10	4	29%	6%	59	-1.1	199/291/280	82	290	7	2	31%	9%	60	-0.3
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA	23	41→40	43→50	48→45	40	201/261/311	110	293	10	4	34%	7%	56	-1.3	186/249/296	110	271	10	4	33%	7%	47	-1.9	155/224/269	113	219	10	1	33%	7%	27	-1.2
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	44→51	47→50	40→50	38	225/266/354	129	288	15	6	27%	4%	70	-0.3	231/281/366	135	295	15	11	26%	6%	79	+0.3	220/276/356	136	284	15	12	27%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Matt Wallach 2009 · A	23	40	48→50	46→40	39	206/262/350	144	278	15	3	31%	6%	68	-0.5	213/271/331	118	263	12	3	23%	6%	66	-0.6	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Joe Rizzo 2021 · A	23	45→50	45→55	43→40	40	226/267/342	116	283	13	4	25%	5%	66	-0.6	234/280/389	155	295	20	4	27%	6%	85	+0.7	228/276/387	159	282	21	2	27%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Dan Gamache 2015 · AA	24	45→50	44→40	41→45	40	218/272/339	121	306	10	5	31%	6%	68	-0.5	243/288/348	105	319	9	4	25%	6%	77	+0.1	248/292/341	94	322	8	2	24%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Fernando Perez 2017 · A	23	36→40	49→50	44→30	37	196/243/337	141	265	18	3	33%	5%	56	-1.3	218/260/365	147	286	19	3	30%	4%	70	-0.3	229/267/377	148	288	20	1	28%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	44→42	44→55	38→30	37	220/255/336	116	297	12	2	30%	4%	59	-1.1	233/277/398	165	310	22	3	31%	6%	86	+0.8	216/265/392	177	286	27	1	34%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Michael Burgess 2012 · AA	23	38→41	48→50	45	42	199/264/337	138	265	16	4	31%	7%	66	-0.6	206/261/344	138	266	14	3	27%	6%	65	-0.7	209/256/357	148	263	15	2	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	41→40	46→50	43→45	42	208/270/340	132	285	14	5	32%	7%	68	-0.5	211/263/322	111	297	11	5	31%	6%	59	-1.1	162/194/241	79	211	11	0	29%	4%	7	-1.0
✕Coco Montes 2022 · AA	25	39→43	46→50	40→50	36	200/242/333	132	273	13	5	31%	4%	54	-1.4	211/280/347	136	305	14	10	33%	8%	74	-0.1	211/287/344	133	305	14	11	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Chad Spann 2006 · AA	22	40→37	45	40	38	202/255/327	125	284	13	4	33%	6%	58	-1.2	213/264/328	115	299	11	4	31%	5%	62	-0.9	206/256/308	103	288	10	2	31%	5%	50	-1.0