Edgar Colon — OGILVIE

Edgar Colon P Daytona Tortugas

+0.0 WAR

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2030

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.9%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%9.8%

IP36

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2030

OFP—50

STUF2545

CTRL2030

CMD2020

K†5060

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	16	13	46	208	35	33	5	11.3%	18.1%	3.2%	5.09	6.21	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	3	3	15	57	18	4	3	23.4%	8.3%	6.8%	3.60	5.93	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	36	—	36	154	31	23	5	20.4%	14.6%	3.0%	5.27	5.27	-0.1
2026 Total	20	MLB	CIN	—	—	52	211	49	27	8	23.4%	12.6%	3.6%	4.78	5.46	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	21	MLB	CIN	38	—	38	162	34	22	5	21.1%	13.7%	3.0%	5.10	5.06	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	CIN	40	—	40	170	38	22	5	22.2%	12.9%	2.9%	4.92	4.83	+0.1
2029	23	MLB	CIN	42	—	42	176	40	22	5	22.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.77	4.68	+0.1
2030	24	MLB	CIN	43	—	43	180	42	22	5	23.5%	12.1%	2.8%	4.66	4.58	+0.2
2031	25	MLB	CIN	43	—	43	182	44	22	5	23.9%	12.0%	2.8%	4.58	4.53	+0.2
2032	26	MLB	CIN	43	—	43	182	44	22	5	24.1%	11.9%	2.8%	4.54	4.51	+0.2
2033	27	MLB	CIN	43	—	43	181	44	22	5	24.1%	11.9%	2.8%	4.52	4.51	+0.2
2034	28	MLB	CIN	42	—	42	179	43	21	5	24.1%	12.0%	2.9%	4.53	4.54	+0.2
2035	29	MLB	CIN	41	—	41	174	42	21	5	23.9%	12.1%	2.9%	4.56	4.59	+0.2
2036	30	MLB	CIN	40	—	40	169	40	21	5	23.7%	12.2%	3.0%	4.61	4.65	+0.1
2037	31	MLB	CIN	39	—	39	163	38	20	5	23.5%	12.3%	3.0%	4.68	4.72	+0.1
2038	32	MLB	CIN	37	—	37	157	36	20	5	23.2%	12.4%	3.1%	4.76	4.81	+0.1
2039	33	MLB	CIN	36	—	36	150	34	19	5	22.9%	12.6%	3.2%	4.85	4.91	+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			19	16	61	265	37	42	11	13.9%	16.0%	4.0%	4.72	6.15	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—			62	52	200	869	121	138	36	13.9%	16.0%	4.0%	4.72	6.15	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Colon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	20.4%	14.6%	3.0%	—	4.85	22.1%	9.1%	120	-0.42	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2026 · 5.58 FIP	20	SU	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.45	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.13	2.44	139	91
Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.27 FIP	20	SU	5.27	18.2%	14.3%	3.5%	.248	5.60	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.33	5.27	284	90
Gerson Moreno R 2026 · 4.48 FIP	20	SU	4.48	18.6%	14.8%	2.0%	.278	4.13	23.0%	9.1%	67	-0.35	3.66	349	90
Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP	20	SU	5.08	17.5%	13.6%	3.1%	.258	5.28	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.20	3.92	116	90
Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.49 FIP	21	SU	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	89
Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	20	SU	4.34	19.4%	11.9%	2.5%	.316	4.01	14.2%	3.6%	122	-0.33	3.99	157	89
Juan Mendez R 2028 · 4.50 FIP	22	SU	4.50	20.5%	14.2%	2.4%	.271	5.08	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.58	3.73	156	89
Alix Hernandez R 2026 · 4.40 FIP	20	SU	4.40	21.7%	13.7%	2.5%	.300	3.49	29.1%	15.7%	14	-0.91	3.49	107	89
Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.90 FIP	21	SU	4.90	16.7%	14.0%	2.6%	.311	5.68	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.78	4.10	109	88
Michael Brewer R 2026 · 4.28 FIP	20	SU	4.28	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.68	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.40	3.11	144	88
Kyle Hinton R 2027 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	88
Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.74 FIP	20	SU	4.74	17.7%	11.6%	3.0%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.19	3.03	538	87
Tommy DeJuneas R 2027 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	87
Johzan Oquendo R 2026 · 4.19 FIP	20	SU	4.19	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.54	3.61	187	87
Carlos Lagrange R 2026 · 4.16 FIP	20	SU	4.16	22.1%	15.5%	1.8%	.291	3.72	25.8%	11.2%	134	-0.44	3.66	209	87
Tyler Smith R 2028 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.36	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.94	3.45	121	87
Jordan Mikel R 2028 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.17	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.32	3.05	195	87
Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	20	SU	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.19	16.1%	7.1%	239	-0.23	4.15	337	87
Tanner Cooper R 2027 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.31	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.59	4.51	148	87
Luis Alvarado R 2027 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.18	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.06	4.91	162	87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.