Edgar Colon
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160150vR 141
ERA6.30
FIP6.30
K%14.2%
BB%18.7%
K-BB%-4.5%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 13 | 46 | 208 | 35 | 33 | 5 | 81% | 2.9 | 11.3% | 18.1% | -6.7% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 6.14 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 13 | 46 | 208 | 35 | 33 | 5 | 81% | 2.9 | 16.8% | 15.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.09 | 5.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 10 | 9 | 43 | 197 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 90% | 4.3 | 20.3% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.82 | 5.74 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 14.2% | 18.7% | -4.5% | 3.0% | 6.30 | 6.30 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.2% | 18.7% | -4.5% | 3.0% | 6.30 | 6.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 70 | 310 | 70 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 22.6% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 6.00 | 5.96 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 6 | 28 | 119 | 19 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 16.4% | 16.7% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.83 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 16.4% | 16.7% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.83 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.4% | 16.7% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 145 | 29 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.4% | 16.7% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 26 | 22 | 89 | 405 | 64 | 66 | 16 | 85% | 3.4 | 15.7% | 16.3% | -0.6% | 3.8% | 5.44 | 5.95 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 49 | 200 | 907 | 142 | 148 | 35 | 85% | 3.4 | 15.7% | 16.3% | -0.6% | 3.8% | 5.44 | 5.95 | -1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edgar Colon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.30 | 14.2% | 18.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.83 | 16.4% | -0.3% | 28 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 86 |
| Hunter Stratton R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.73 | 13.1% | 20.3% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.58 | 14.5% | 0.1% | 174 | -1.15 | 2.95 | 532 | 86 |
| Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 10.0% | 18.5% | 3.8% | .317 | 5.89 | 14.8% | 0.7% | 62 | -0.76 | 3.66 | 117 | 85 |
| Darlin Alcántara R 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.12 | 12.3% | 22.2% | 2.3% | .320 | 4.61 | 12.3% | 2.5% | 31 | -1.51 | 3.61 | 118 | 85 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 85 |
| Moises Nova R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.61 | 14.2% | 16.8% | 2.9% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.3% | 4.2% | 110 | -1.59 | 3.42 | 219 | 85 |
| Jorge Bautista R 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.99 | 13.1% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .297 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 231 | -1.16 | 3.69 | 336 | 85 |
| Irwin Ramirez R 2025 · 7.04 FIP | 19 | SP- | 7.04 | 12.8% | 22.6% | 3.9% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.88 | 106 | 84 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2025 · 6.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.57 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 113 | 84 |
| Jordany Chirinos R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.19 | 12.2% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 126 | 84 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 84 |
| Irv Carter R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.4% | 18.9% | 3.9% | .266 | 5.78 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 150 | -0.87 | 4.81 | 236 | 84 |
| Ismael Agreda R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.23 | 17.1% | 18.5% | 2.3% | .269 | 4.73 | 21.9% | 5.3% | 145 | -0.50 | 3.35 | 239 | 84 |
| Edinxon Arias R 2025 · 7.03 FIP | 19 | SP | 7.03 | 7.6% | 19.9% | 3.7% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.61 | 127 | 83 |
| Kyle Larsen R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.8% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .274 | 5.00 | 20.2% | 6.7% | 77 | -0.50 | 4.71 | 137 | 82 |
| Wilmer Blanco R 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.93 | 14.9% | 16.3% | 3.7% | .364 | 5.18 | 15.1% | 6.8% | 30 | -0.75 | 3.99 | 145 | 82 |
| Trey Riley R 2027 · 6.03 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.03 | 10.6% | 19.0% | 2.6% | .344 | 6.14 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 74 | +0.11 | 4.48 | 227 | 81 |
| Esteban Mejia R 2025 · 6.99 FIP | 19 | SP | 6.99 | 16.0% | 31.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 122 | 81 |
| Blake Wolters R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.66 | 14.3% | 22.8% | 1.6% | .250 | 6.02 | 17.6% | 3.2% | 68 | +0.36 | 4.56 | 171 | 81 |
| Edelvis Perez R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.22 | 16.8% | 21.6% | 1.5% | .255 | 5.79 | 19.6% | 2.8% | 24 | +0.57 | 5.19 | 103 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.3% | 17.7% | 1.15 | 6.12 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |