Eliezer Pena P ACL Rockies
Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 167 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.11
FIP5.11
K%18.9%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
K: +0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -6.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-7BBCONTACT: -4.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +3.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: -0.80 (63 IP)-0.8WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL3030
CMD4545
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202317ROKDSL Colorado1210361692625583%3.010.5%18.5%-8.0%3.2%7.686.32
202317ROKDSL Colorado1210361692625583%3.015.4%14.8%0.6%3.0%7.685.52
202418ROKDSL Colorado13331138318123%2.415.3%7.2%8.0%0.9%3.773.25
202418ROKDSL Colorado13331138318123%2.422.5%5.8%16.7%0.7%3.772.29
202519ROKDSL Rockies116431815422155%3.920.3%15.2%5.1%1.1%3.803.89
202519ROKDSL Rockies116431815422155%3.929.8%12.2%17.7%0.6%3.802.42
▸ 2026 Season
202620ROKACL Rockies1110371744535391%3.317.6%25.1%-7.6%2.4%5.156.12-0.7
ROS20MLBCOL552711321153100%5.418.9%13.0%5.9%2.9%5.115.11-0.2
ROS20MLBCOL018.9%13.0%5.9%2.9%5.115.11
2026 TOT20MLBCOL632876650623.1%17.3%5.8%2.2%5.145.70-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721MLBCOL662811923143100%4.719.7%11.8%7.9%2.8%4.934.86-0.1
202721MLBCOL3314591272100%4.719.7%11.8%7.9%2.8%4.934.86-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career3314581172100%4.619.7%11.8%7.9%2.8%4.934.48+0.0
/ 200 IP414120084415910129100%4.819.7%11.8%7.9%2.8%4.934.48+2.2
Career47291476621061121362%3.116.0%17.0%-1.0%1.9%5.094.96+0.7
/ 200 IP64402009031451531862%3.116.0%17.0%-1.0%1.9%5.094.96+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Eliezer Pena (OGILVIE) 5.11 18.9%13.0%2.9% 4.86 19.7%7.9%28 -0.25
Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.94 FIP 19 SP- 4.94 17.0%13.1%2.9%.290 5.61 14.5%1.7%63 +0.67 4.38 190 89
Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.33 FIP 20 SP- 5.33 18.2%14.3%3.5%.248 5.50 13.0%1.2%243 +0.17 5.24 347 87
Jonawel Valdez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 20 SP- 4.20 17.5%13.8%1.5%.309 4.62 12.4%1.1%70 +0.42 4.04 131 86
Luis Cohen R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 20 SP- 4.14 17.2%11.4%1.9%.263 4.99 13.7%3.4%225 +0.85 3.00 310 85
Jairo Garcia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP 20 SP- 4.47 16.4%11.3%2.4%.298 5.25 10.1%-1.9%96 +0.78 3.88 148 85
Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 20 SP- 4.34 18.3%11.7%2.4%.293 4.27 19.3%10.1%73 -0.07 3.48 153 85
Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 20 SP- 4.60 17.9%11.5%2.8%.253 5.16 12.0%1.0%65 +0.56 4.13 153 84
Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP 21 SP 4.86 16.7%14.0%2.5%.311 6.15 21.4%4.1%64 +1.29 4.16 109 84
Tanner Hall R 2028 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP- 4.56 18.8%11.2%3.0%.295 5.39 10.1%-4.6%72 +0.83 4.56 137 84
Henry Valencio R 2026 · 4.15 FIP 20 SP- 4.15 16.4%10.6%2.0%.293 5.11 11.9%-11.9%14 +0.96 3.48 136 83
Angel Rivero R 2025 · 5.06 FIP 19 SP- 5.06 19.9%16.7%2.8%.325 2.60 105 83
Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP 20 SP 5.08 17.5%13.6%3.2%.258 5.35 13.3%4.3%92 +0.27 3.91 116 83
Nicholas Economos R 2026 · 4.95 FIP 20 SP- 4.95 15.3%10.7%3.3%.233 5.28 10.4%0.6%57 +0.33 4.58 223 83
Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP 21 SP- 5.08 21.3%11.8%4.2%.277 4.65 16.2%4.0%187 -0.43 4.20 301 83
Ryan Atkinson R 2029 · 4.58 FIP 23 SP- 4.58 18.4%11.3%2.9%.315 4.53 21.6%9.0%305 -0.05 4.07 338 83
Kamdyn Perry R 2026 · 5.18 FIP 20 SP 5.18 18.6%12.8%3.7%.323 5.18 123 82
Nolberto Henriquez R 2027 · 4.75 FIP 21 SP- 4.75 16.0%13.4%2.4%.305 5.43 11.3%-3.1%52 +0.68 4.75 108 82
Gabriel Chinchilla R 2025 · 5.10 FIP 19 SP- 5.10 17.9%14.4%3.1%.349 3.64 113 82
Michael Cederoth R 2028 · 4.02 FIP 22 SP- 4.02 16.8%13.0%1.3%.292 4.87 21.6%2.4%83 +0.85 4.02 118 82
Jose Guevara R 2026 · 5.68 FIP 20 SP- 5.68 18.9%13.1%4.6%.255 6.99 17.9%0.5%32 +1.31 2.48 129 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22719.3%12.4%1.105.02
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52