Eliezer Pena — OGILVIE

Eliezer Pena P ACL Rockies

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 167 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%18.9%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	10	36	169	26	25	5	83%	3.0	10.5%	18.5%	-8.0%	3.6%	7.68	6.54	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	10	36	169	26	25	5	83%	3.0	10.5%	18.5%	-8.0%	3.6%	7.68	6.54	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	10	36	169	26	25	5	83%	3.0	15.4%	14.8%	0.6%	3.0%	7.68	5.52	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	3	31	138	31	8	1	23%	2.4	15.3%	7.2%	8.0%	1.0%	3.77	3.26	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	3	31	138	31	8	1	23%	2.4	15.3%	7.2%	8.0%	1.0%	3.77	3.26	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	3	31	138	31	8	1	23%	2.4	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	0.7%	3.77	2.29	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	6	43	181	54	22	1	55%	3.9	20.3%	15.2%	5.1%	0.9%	3.80	3.80	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	6	43	181	54	22	1	55%	3.9	20.3%	15.2%	5.1%	0.9%	3.80	3.80	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	6	43	181	54	22	1	55%	3.9	29.8%	12.2%	17.7%	0.6%	3.80	2.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	11	40	191	50	40	3	85%	3.1	17.8%	26.2%	-8.4%	2.2%	5.85	6.12	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	11	40	191	50	40	3	85%	3.1	17.8%	26.2%	-8.4%	2.2%	5.85	6.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	COL	13	11	40	191	50	40	3	85%	3.1	26.2%	20.9%	5.2%	1.6%	5.85	4.40	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	41	174	34	22	5	100%	5.2	19.7%	12.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.08	5.00	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	4	4	20	84	17	11	2	100%	5.0	19.7%	12.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.08	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	86	17	11	2	100%	5.1	19.7%	12.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.08	4.61	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	168	109	20	100%	4.8	19.7%	12.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.08	4.61	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		49	30	150	679	109	119	13	61%	3.1	16.1%	17.5%	-1.4%	2.0%	5.28	5.03	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	40	200	905	146	158	18	61%	3.1	16.1%	17.5%	-1.4%	2.0%	5.28	5.03	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eliezer Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	18.9%	14.4%	2.9%	—	5.00	19.7%	6.8%	41	-0.29	—	—	—
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	88
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	88
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	84
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	83
Gage Stanifer R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	19	SP-	4.78	16.6%	14.9%	2.2%	.342	4.35	24.2%	7.9%	259	-0.43	2.85	301	83
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	83
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	83
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	82
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	82
Luis Cohen R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	20	SP-	4.11	17.2%	11.4%	1.9%	.263	4.98	14.1%	3.9%	247	+0.87	3.00	333	82
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	82
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	82
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	81
Eduardo Soriano R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	20	SP-	5.06	16.5%	12.5%	3.2%	.306	4.32	15.1%	-4.5%	29	-0.74	4.32	109	81
Ulices Campos R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	20	SP-	4.58	17.9%	11.5%	2.8%	.253	5.32	12.0%	1.0%	65	+0.74	4.11	153	81
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	81
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	81
Luis Garcia R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	21	SP-	4.30	17.9%	13.4%	1.8%	.295	3.65	27.4%	17.5%	264	-0.65	3.40	535	81
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	80
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	19.4%	13.5%	1.10	5.16
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84