Mason McGwire
P
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 22
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125115vR 106
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
K%21.9%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 11 | 10 | 35 | 185 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 91% | 3.2 | 13.2% | 19.6% | -6.4% | 3.8% | 9.42 | 6.54 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 11 | 10 | 35 | 185 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 91% | 3.2 | 19.5% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 9.42 | 5.36 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 15 | 8 | 41 | 189 | 30 | 34 | 4 | 53% | 2.7 | 11.7% | 21.2% | -9.5% | 3.4% | 5.71 | 6.65 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 15 | 8 | 41 | 189 | 30 | 34 | 4 | 53% | 2.7 | 15.9% | 18.0% | -2.1% | 2.1% | 5.71 | 5.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 16 | 10 | 52 | 214 | 67 | 20 | 3 | 62% | 3.2 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 1.8% | 2.94 | 3.50 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CHC | 5 | 5 | 24 | 100 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 4.7 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.66 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 76 | 314 | 89 | 31 | 6 | — | — | 28.3% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 1.9% | 3.48 | 3.86 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 5 | 5 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 4.9 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 83 | 33 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 28 | 128 | 588 | 97 | 100 | 17 | 67% | 3.1 | 16.5% | 17.0% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 5.47 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 44 | 200 | 916 | 151 | 155 | 27 | 67% | 3.1 | 16.5% | 17.0% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason McGwire (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 24 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 85 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 83 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 83 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 83 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 83 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 83 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 82 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 82 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 81 |
| Chris Campos R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 80 |
| Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.72 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.31 | 4.31 | 174 | 79 |
| Blair Henley R 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Grant Judkins R 2027 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 79 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 79 |
| Mac Sceroler R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.46 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .318 | 4.22 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 200 | -0.24 | 3.81 | 275 | 78 |
| Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 78 |
| Nick Garcia R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 265 | +0.57 | 4.27 | 384 | 77 |