Irv Carter
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.53
FIP5.53
K%16.9%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 48 | 204 | 53 | 15 | 10 | 77% | 3.7 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.48 | 7.30 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 48 | 204 | 53 | 15 | 10 | 77% | 3.7 | 26.0% | 7.4% | 18.6% | 4.9% | 5.48 | 4.55 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 13 | 10 | 38 | 194 | 30 | 31 | 9 | 77% | 2.9 | 11.4% | 18.9% | -7.4% | 3.9% | 8.60 | 6.65 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 13 | 10 | 38 | 194 | 30 | 31 | 9 | 77% | 2.9 | 15.5% | 16.0% | -0.5% | 4.6% | 8.60 | 7.08 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 73 | 306 | 78 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 2.0 | 19.1% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 5.05 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 73 | 306 | 78 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 2.0 | 25.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 27 | 0 | 60 | 273 | 62 | 20 | 12 | 0% | 2.2 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.67 | 6.93 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 27 | 0 | 60 | 273 | 62 | 20 | 12 | 0% | 2.2 | 22.7% | 7.3% | 15.4% | 4.4% | 5.67 | 4.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 10 | 0 | 17 | 81 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 22.0% | 21.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.86 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 44 | 28 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 78 | 341 | 66 | 44 | 11 | — | — | 19.3% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 16.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.53 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 48 | 27 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 5.33 | 5.28 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 26 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 5.18 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 26 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 5.33 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 5.18 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 117 | 0 | 122 | 517 | 98 | 51 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 5.18 | 4.76 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 83 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 5.18 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 20 | 236 | 1058 | 183 | 139 | 57 | 20% | 2.4 | 17.3% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.46 | 6.24 | -2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 17 | 200 | 898 | 155 | 118 | 48 | 20% | 2.4 | 17.3% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.46 | 6.24 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Irv Carter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.53 | 16.9% | 10.7% | 3.9% | — | 5.16 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 191 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 88 |
| Jack Jasiak R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.97 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .332 | 3.51 | 21.5% | 13.8% | 112 | -1.46 | 3.25 | 248 | 88 |
| Diego Granado R 2027 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.26 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .335 | 4.40 | 15.5% | 1.1% | 40 | -0.86 | 4.40 | 110 | 87 |
| Scott Burke R 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 86 |
| Matt Eckelman R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.77 | 15.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.48 | 17.4% | 5.7% | 97 | -0.29 | 4.10 | 386 | 86 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 86 |
| Anthony Simonelli R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.47 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | .345 | 4.08 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 138 | -1.39 | 3.76 | 206 | 86 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 86 |
| Jake McCasland R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.86 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.94 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 317 | -0.92 | 3.27 | 367 | 86 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.09 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.7% | .303 | 4.81 | 15.4% | 3.5% | 55 | -0.28 | 4.74 | 149 | 85 |
| Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 85 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 85 |
| Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.80 | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .312 | 4.08 | 11.4% | 4.0% | 190 | -0.72 | 4.03 | 266 | 85 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.42 | 19.0% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .319 | 4.82 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 51 | -0.60 | 4.82 | 120 | 84 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 84 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 84 |
| Luis Eusebio R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 131 | 84 |
| Colin Welmon R 2026 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.06 | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | .339 | 4.69 | 12.0% | 5.0% | 73 | -1.37 | 4.69 | 142 | 84 |
| David Reid-Foley R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.89 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 6.53 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 33 | +1.64 | 4.89 | 110 | 84 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.82 | 16.9% | 11.0% | 5.0% | .351 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 6.2% | 58 | -1.19 | 4.63 | 124 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 1.44 | 5.28 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |