Matt Eckelman — OGILVIE

Matt Eckelman P Altoona Curve

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 285 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%18.6%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	13	11	62	240	55	9	6	85%	4.8	15.6%	4.7%	10.9%	3.5%	2.76	4.30	—
2016	22	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	13	11	62	240	55	9	6	85%	4.8	22.9%	3.8%	19.2%	2.5%	2.76	3.02	—
2017	23	A MLE	West Virginia Power	37	3	72	310	63	26	7	8%	1.9	15.0%	9.9%	5.1%	3.0%	4.62	4.73	—
2017	23	A RAW	West Virginia Power	37	3	72	310	63	26	7	8%	1.9	20.3%	8.4%	11.9%	2.3%	4.62	3.70	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	48	204	44	20	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	11.0%	6.0%	1.8%	2.05	4.07	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	48	204	44	20	3	0%	1.2	21.6%	9.8%	11.8%	1.5%	2.05	3.33	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	51	222	47	23	3	2%	1.1	17.8%	12.3%	5.4%	2.2%	3.88	4.39	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	1	51	222	47	23	3	2%	1.1	21.2%	10.4%	10.8%	1.4%	3.88	3.37	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	36	0	66	285	54	14	12	0%	1.8	16.7%	5.2%	11.5%	4.2%	4.91	4.67	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	36	0	66	285	54	14	12	0%	1.8	18.9%	4.9%	14.0%	4.2%	4.91	4.46	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	6	62	292	43	35	10	16%	1.7	12.4%	13.2%	-0.7%	3.6%	5.69	5.72	—
2022	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	6	62	292	43	35	10	16%	1.7	14.7%	12.0%	2.7%	3.4%	5.69	5.52	—
2023	29	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	14	2	27	135	11	27	3	14%	1.9	6.6%	22.0%	-15.4%	2.4%	8.33	6.65	—
2023	29	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	14	2	27	135	11	27	3	14%	1.9	6.6%	22.0%	-15.4%	2.4%	8.33	6.65	—
2023	29	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	14	2	27	135	11	27	3	14%	1.9	8.1%	20.0%	-11.9%	2.2%	8.33	6.73	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	PIT	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.3%	5.2%	3.0%	5.24	5.24	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	16	11	3	0%	1.1	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.3%	5.29	5.39	-0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	PIT	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.3%	5.29	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	4	1	0%	1.0	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.3%	5.29	5.01	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	128	32	0%	1.1	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.3%	5.29	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		225	23	388	1688	251	174	52	10%	1.7	14.9%	10.3%	4.5%	3.1%	4.38	4.86	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	12	200	870	129	90	27	10%	1.7	14.9%	10.3%	4.5%	3.1%	4.38	4.86	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Matt Eckelman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	18.6%	13.3%	3.0%	—	5.39	18.5%	5.2%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	80
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	79
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	79
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	78
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	78
A.J. Schugel R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	32	SU	4.82	16.6%	12.3%	2.9%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	299	77
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	76
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	75
Fredy Quintero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	31	SU	4.62	17.2%	13.7%	2.2%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	241	75
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	74
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	73
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	73
Jaye Chapman R 2017 · 5.51 FIP	30	SU	5.51	13.0%	13.4%	3.3%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.25	150	73
Antonio Guzman R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	31	SU	4.96	19.3%	14.7%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	254	72
Benjamin Sandoval R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	32	SU	5.65	11.8%	14.0%	3.2%	.358	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	146	71
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	71
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	71
Matt Bush R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	32	SU	4.72	17.6%	13.0%	2.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	70
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	69
Brandon Workman R 2021 · 4.97 FIP	32	SU	4.97	18.4%	14.0%	3.0%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.04	269	69