Joseph Sullivan — OGILVIE

Joseph SullivanOF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 198 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION343 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP281

ISO119

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	68	17	5	0	0	13	11	7	8	4	250	420	324	744	74	293	12	15	354	126	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	140	110	21	2	0	2	23	42	6	8	1	191	360	264	623	73	284	30	16	304	92	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	341	262	61	11	2	15	65	91	14	34	8	233	411	462	872	229	295	27	19	393	152	+21	+4	—	—	+7	3.3
2025	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	69	54	16	2	1	1	13	16	1	8	2	296	441	426	867	130	395	23	19	390	150	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	73	15	4	0	0	8	15	7	8	4	205	341	260	601	55	250	17	9	280	76	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	140	116	20	2	0	1	17	49	6	8	1	172	309	216	525	43	282	35	12	258	61	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	341	285	48	8	2	9	42	125	14	34	8	168	305	305	610	137	249	37	12	273	71	-12	+4	—	—	+7	-0.1
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	73	15	4	0	0	8	15	7	8	4	205	341	260	601	55	254	17	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	68	17	5	0	0	13	11	7	8	4	250	420	324	744	74	293	12	15	354	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	550	459	78	11	2	12	68	199	21	50	11	170	305	281	586	111	264	36	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	550	426	98	15	3	18	101	149	21	50	11	230	401	406	808	176	307	27	18	370	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	74	15	4	0	0	8	15	7	8	4	203	341	257	598	54	250	17	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	550	456	78	11	2	12	68	199	21	50	11	171	305	283	588	112	259	36	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	74	15	4	0	0	8	15	7	8	4	203	341	257	598	54	250	17	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	550	456	78	11	2	12	68	199	21	50	11	171	305	283	588	112	259	36	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	HOU	—	343	308	56	11	2	8	27	131	6	20	8	182	261	308	569	127	282	38	8	254	58	-17	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	HOU	—	343	294	65	13	2	11	41	107	6	20	8	221	328	391	720	170	305	31	12	324	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	HOU	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		279	33	11	270	69	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	HOU	—	352	316	57	11	2	8	28	134	6	20	8	180	260	304	564	123	280	38	8	254	58	-17	+1	-0	-2	+8	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	370	324	62	11	2	9	35	128	8	14	4	191	286	321	607	130	280	35	9	280	76	-11	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	407	357	71	13	2	11	39	137	8	13	4	199	292	339	631	140	281	34	10	286	80	-10	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	420	369	74	13	2	12	40	139	8	13	4	201	293	344	637	144	282	33	10	288	81	-10	+1	-0	-3	+9	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	425	373	75	14	2	12	41	140	8	11	4	201	294	346	640	145	281	33	10	288	81	-10	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	115	101	20	4	1	3	11	40	2	4	1	198	289	347	636	149	282	35	10	264	76	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	181	158	32	6	1	5	17	61	4	6	2	203	296	348	644	146	283	34	9	271	80	-4	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	207	181	37	7	1	6	20	69	4	6	2	204	298	354	651	149	284	33	10	273	81	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	219	192	39	7	1	6	21	72	4	6	2	203	295	344	639	141	283	33	10	273	81	-5	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	722	632	128	24	4	20	69	242	14	22	7	203	295	348	643	146	289	34	10	271	76	-17	+2	-1	-4	+16	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	116	22	4	18	62	218	13	20	6	204	297	351	649	148	291	34	10	271	76	-16	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2270	1963	376	66	10	56	232	761	60	109	31	192	296	321	617	129	277	34	10	281	76	-40	+4	-2	-10	+35	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	108	19	3	16	66	218	17	31	9	192	296	322	618	130	278	34	10	281	76	-16	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	728	20	23	199	290	339	-4	-0	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	18	21	-4.0	-0.1	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joseph Sullivan (OGILVIE)	24	36→40	47→50	55→56	67	183/279/304	122	279	7	16	36%	9%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kameron Misner 2023 · AA	25	43	46→50	55	46	206/294/339	133	319	13	24	37%	10%	81	-0.1	196/283/332	136	308	14	23	37%	10%	76	-0.4	198/276/336	137	285	15	27	34%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	85	+0.2	209/281/351	142	283	14	27	30%	8%	78	-0.3	199/272/342	143	270	15	29	30%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	189/273/305	116	294	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	219/303/367	148	341	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	202/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA	24	38	42→40	55→60	53	176/298/286	110	285	8	22	36%	13%	72	-0.7	200/307/297	97	308	7	22	33%	11%	77	-0.3	197/303/281	84	309	6	27	34%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→55	54→50	48	196/273/312	116	263	10	14	28%	9%	67	-1.1	193/273/316	123	270	11	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	37→42	48→55	48→50	45	191/268/335	144	270	15	12	34%	9%	70	-0.8	207/281/371	164	300	18	12	35%	9%	83	+0.1	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
●Wilyer Abreu 2023 · AA	24	41→49	48→60	51→50	50	205/299/344	139	299	16	19	34%	11%	84	+0.2	232/313/410	178	296	22	14	28%	10%	104	+1.6	246/323/456	210	288	25	9	24%	10%	114	+1.9
✕Kevin Watson Jr 2023 · A	24	45	46→50	56→50	47	212/305/344	132	321	13	13	35%	10%	86	+0.3	228/305/311	83	317	5	10	27%	9%	78	-0.3	243/324/290	48	330	0	8	24%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	47→46	46→50	53→50	49	230/313/360	130	297	14	18	26%	9%	93	+0.8	205/283/344	139	266	16	12	28%	9%	78	-0.3	177/258/316	138	227	16	10	29%	9%	60	-0.9
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	44→47	48→50	54→55	44	218/287/350	133	308	16	18	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/374	153	277	16	24	25%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Ernesto Martinez Jr. 2023 · A	24	43→52	49→50	58→55	43	211/295/358	147	320	17	24	37%	9%	86	+0.3	225/291/348	123	298	12	16	27%	7%	82	-0.0	221/290/348	127	291	12	14	27%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44	43→45	52→55	45	214/281/321	107	290	11	16	29%	8%	71	-0.8	211/274/323	112	303	9	19	31%	8%	69	-0.9	205/272/308	104	303	7	20	32%	8%	61	-0.7
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	227/289/369	142	279	15	18	24%	8%	85	+0.2	212/272/351	139	283	14	21	29%	7%	75	-0.5	193/256/309	117	259	9	10	28%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→47	47→50	53→55	45	190/292/330	139	296	15	31	38%	10%	79	-0.2	212/286/364	152	311	18	24	36%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/366	150	316	19	25	36%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Estevan Florial 2022 · MLB	24	38→48	47→50	47→60	41	193/262/330	137	290	15	15	37%	8%	67	-1.1	213/280/361	148	320	16	29	36%	8%	80	-0.1	207/277/357	150	310	16	35	36%	8%	77	-0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→50	48→50	55	46	234/298/377	143	301	16	24	27%	8%	91	+0.6	226/293/350	124	292	12	15	25%	8%	82	+0.0	225/293/333	108	284	10	17	23%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	46→51	46→50	57→60	43	220/296/353	134	329	13	29	35%	8%	85	+0.2	230/294/365	135	343	13	26	34%	7%	86	+0.3	229/307/355	126	348	13	28	35%	8%	87	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps