Joseph Sullivan

OF Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 198 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AHOU89.250/.420/.3240876—.208/.352/.264
202523AA/A+/INTL2 orgs550.230/.401/.406185077—.170/.302/.294
202624AAHOU343.221/.328/.391112059—.186/.267/.322
2027PROJMLE25MLBHOU4.189/.289/.3160073-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB26MLBHOU73.193/.291/.3252276-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed77
Chase%72
BB%66
ISO63
wOBA45
wRC+43
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 0.6, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsKameron Misner (age 25) · Elijah Dunham (age 25) · Alerick Soularie (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .289 / .316
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%10
BABIP282
ISO128
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 8968 17500 13117 84 250420324744 74293 1215 354 76 — — — — — —
202523 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 140110 21202 23426 81 191360264623 73284 3016 304 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+Asheville Tourists — 341262 6111215 659114 348 233411462872 229295 2719 393 68 — — — — — —
202523 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 6954 16211 13161 82 296441426867 130395 2319 390 150 — — — — — —
202624 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 343294 6513211 411076 208 221328391720 170305 3112 324 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 8972 15400 9157 84 208352264616 56246 1710 280 76 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 140116 21202 18496 81 181324250574 69283 3513 262 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 341289 488210 3812214 348 166293311605 145236 3611 269 68 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 343307 571129 281316 208 186267322589 137275 388 255 59 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 8972 15400 9157 84 208352264616 56259 1710 280 76 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 8968 17500 13117 84 250420324744 74293 1215 354 76 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE3 teams — 550463 7811213 6419621 5011 168297285583 117254 3612 267 67 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAW3 teams — 550426 9815318 10114921 5011 230401406808 176307 2718 370 67 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 343307 571129 281316 208 186267322589 137286 388 255 59 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWCorpus Christi Hooks — 343294 6513211 411076 208 221328391720 170305 3112 324 59 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 8973 15400 9157 84 205352260613 55246 1710 280 76 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE3 teams — 550460 7811213 6419621 5011 170297287584 117250 3612 267 67 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 343306 571129 281316 208 186267324590 137275 388 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 8973 15400 9157 84 205352260613 55246 1710 280 76 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE3 teams — 550460 7811213 6419621 5011 170297287584 117250 3612 267 67 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 343306 571129 281316 208 186267324590 137275 388 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEHOU 2% 380331 621129 371359 154 187287314601 127278 3610 276 73 -12 +1 -0 -2 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXHOU 2% 44 0000 010 00 189289316605 127282 250 277 73 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEHOU 31% 234204 39716 23825 82 191290323613 132279 3510 280 76 -7 +1 -0 -1 +5 -0.2
202826 MLB CTXHOU 31% 7364 12202 7252 21 193291325616 132283 3410 282 76 -2 +0 -0 -0 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7364 12202 7252 21 188288312600 125270 3410 282 68 -2 +0 -0 -0 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650570 10718018 6222318 189 188288314602 126271 3410 282 68 -19 +0 -0 -4 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 14221225 22339633 14449744 9427 182291304595 122271 3510 268 68 -13 +2 -0 -3 +10 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650560 10218315 6622720 4312 182291305596 123271 3510 268 68 -20 +2 -0 -4 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 343 PAwOBA .316 → .255 (−60)K% 31.2% → 38.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.20%÷1.000×1.220——38.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.66%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0128.26%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.870—×1.0121.54%
Singles /BIP20.86%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×1.01219.45%
Doubles /BIP6.95%÷1.000×0.840×1.002×1.0125.92%
Triples /BIP1.07%÷1.000×0.940×1.002×1.0121.02%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.76%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .316 → .255; ISO .170 → .135; BABIP .305 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 341 PAwOBA .384 → .269 (−115)K% 26.7% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.69%÷0.977×1.310——35.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.06%÷1.016×0.600—×0.99811.23%
HBP% /PA4.11%—×0.770—×0.9983.15%
Singles /BIP19.30%÷0.984×0.870×0.979×0.99816.66%
Doubles /BIP6.43%÷1.095×0.780×0.979×0.9984.47%
Triples /BIP1.17%÷0.900×0.850×0.979×0.9981.08%
Home runs /BIP8.77%÷1.297×0.880—×0.9985.94%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .384 → .269; ISO .229 → .159; BABIP .295 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 140 PAwOBA .300 → .262 (−38)K% 30.0% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷1.036×1.220——35.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.43%÷0.948×0.700—×1.02712.45%
HBP% /PA4.29%—×0.870—×1.0273.83%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.982×0.920×1.048×1.02725.20%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷0.930×0.840×1.048×1.0272.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.949×0.940×1.048×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP2.94%÷1.057×0.800—×1.0272.29%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .300 → .262; ISO .073 → .060; BABIP .284 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 89 PAwOBA .350 → .280 (−70)K% 12.4% → 16.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.36%÷1.020×1.360——16.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.61%÷1.024×0.690——9.84%
HBP% /PA7.87%—×0.780——6.13%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷1.038×0.920×0.998—18.62%
Doubles /BIP8.77%÷1.132×0.830×0.998—6.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.998—0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.118×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .350 → .280; ISO .074 → .057; BABIP .293 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .