Ernesto Martinez Jr.

Ernesto Martinez Jr.1B Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 27 L/L 6'6" / 254 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION299 act + 199 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .289 / .368

PA199

HR6

K%30

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO151

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	196	170	27	7	1	2	21	72	3	2	3	159	263	247	510	88	255	37	11	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	196	155	36	10	1	3	36	50	3	2	3	232	387	368	754	135	317	26	18	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	146	131	19	3	1	0	10	69	5	5	3	145	233	183	416	38	306	47	7	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	146	125	28	5	1	0	16	48	5	5	3	224	336	280	616	56	364	33	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	277	55	8	4	8	21	115	10	30	4	199	279	343	622	144	299	37	7	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	266	73	15	5	11	32	84	10	30	4	274	373	492	866	218	356	27	10	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	102	84	14	2	0	4	16	40	1	8	1	167	307	333	640	167	244	39	16	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	102	78	19	3	0	5	22	28	1	8	1	244	416	474	890	231	304	27	22	395	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	397	365	76	15	1	9	27	118	5	16	6	208	272	329	601	121	282	30	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	397	349	91	16	1	12	40	79	5	16	6	261	343	415	758	155	306	20	10	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	414	104	27	2	8	27	101	13	20	5	251	317	384	701	133	312	22	6	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	401	114	30	2	13	40	77	13	20	5	284	368	466	834	182	322	17	9	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	327	290	65	12	2	4	27	100	6	3	3	224	303	321	624	97	321	31	8	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	327	276	72	14	2	6	41	83	6	3	3	261	368	391	760	130	346	25	13	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	NYY	—	299	269	56	7	2	13	22	95	3	5	1	208	276	394	670	186	259	32	7	285	76	-8	+1	+0	-5	+8	-0.4
YTD	27	AAA	NYY	—	299	259	63	9	2	15	32	79	3	5	1	243	333	467	801	224	282	26	11	348	124	+8	+1	+0	-5	+8	1.2
ROS	27	AAA	NYY	10%	199	179	39	7	1	6	15	60	3	3	1	217	289	368	657	151	285	30	8	290	80	-4	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.2
ROS	27	MLB	NYY	10%	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	286	30	5	283	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	NYY	—	319	288	61	8	2	14	23	101	3	5	1	212	277	399	676	188	264	32	7	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-6	+9	-0.5
TOT	27	AAA	NYY	—	498	448	95	14	3	19	37	155	6	8	2	212	281	384	665	172	271	31	7	287	78	-12	+1	+0	-9	+14	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	NYY	31%	322	291	64	12	2	9	24	95	4	5	2	220	288	368	656	148	285	30	7	292	81	-7	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.4
2027	28	MLB	NYY	31%	100	91	21	4	1	3	8	30	1	2	1	231	300	396	696	165	287	30	8	285	76	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	120	110	26	5	1	4	9	36	1	2	1	236	300	409	709	173	314	30	8	285	76	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	141	27	5	22	49	195	5	11	5	237	300	409	709	173	314	30	8	285	76	-17	+0	-1	-12	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	2457	2201	463	93	14	50	188	770	50	92	28	210	287	333	621	123	296	31	8	276	69	-85	+7	-1	-44	+70	-5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	123	25	4	13	50	204	13	24	7	211	288	335	623	124	298	31	8	276	69	-22	+2	-0	-12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	196	155	36	10	1	3	36	50	3	2	3	232	387	368	754	135	317	26	18	347	123	+5	-1	—	—	+6	1.0
2018	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	146	125	28	5	1	0	16	48	5	5	3	224	336	280	616	56	364	33	11	293	82	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	266	73	15	5	11	32	84	10	30	4	274	373	492	866	218	356	27	10	379	148	+17	+4	—	—	+9	3.1
2022	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	77	59	14	3	0	2	16	21	1	8	1	237	408	390	798	153	324	27	21	364	137	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	23	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	25	19	5	0	0	3	6	7	0	0	0	263	440	737	1.177	474	222	28	24	490	233	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	106	26	5	0	2	17	22	1	3	2	245	352	349	701	104	293	18	14	323	105	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	24	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	272	243	65	11	1	10	23	57	4	13	4	267	338	444	783	177	312	21	8	347	124	+7	+1	—	—	+8	1.6
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	401	114	30	2	13	40	77	13	20	5	284	368	466	834	182	322	17	9	369	141	+21	+2	—	—	+13	3.7
2025	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	311	263	67	13	2	6	39	81	5	1	3	255	362	388	749	133	339	26	13	337	116	+6	-1	—	—	+9	1.4
2025	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	16	13	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	2	0	385	500	462	962	77	455	12	12	440	195	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ernesto Martinez Jr. (OGILVIE)	27	45	45	45	60	212/281/384	172	271	19	8	31%	7%	78	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaycob Brugman 2019 · MLB	27	48→49	44→50	47→45	44	234/288/346	112	307	11	9	27%	7%	76	+0.1	222/278/391	169	301	21	7	32%	7%	85	+0.7	199/258/405	206	258	28	0	34%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	45→49	46→55	49→50	45	225/284/358	133	284	14	11	26%	7%	78	+0.2	225/284/342	117	302	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	227/283/338	111	311	9	11	28%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2021 · AAA	27	47→55	43→45	49→50	42	226/293/339	114	319	11	11	31%	7%	78	+0.2	235/305/333	98	312	8	11	25%	8%	80	+0.4	233/311/331	98	302	8	11	24%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	46→43	48→45	46→50	42	227/288/367	140	312	16	10	31%	7%	82	+0.5	226/285/356	130	327	13	13	33%	7%	79	+0.3	217/273/305	88	346	4	17	36%	6%	55	-0.3
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB	26	43→42	47→50	48→45	47	216/290/357	141	287	13	7	29%	8%	81	+0.4	218/307/369	151	274	18	5	26%	10%	92	+1.2	208/307/357	149	255	19	3	25%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	45→47	45	44→45	49	223/300/347	124	295	13	5	28%	9%	83	+0.6	219/284/325	106	305	9	8	29%	8%	70	-0.3	171/227/213	42	253	0	0	30%	6%	12	-0.7
✕Larry Broadway 2008 · AAA	27	45→48	49→50	49→40	45	228/287/374	147	291	16	5	27%	8%	84	+0.6	222/277/351	129	296	13	5	28%	7%	73	-0.1	216/270/336	120	289	12	2	28%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Cal Towey 2017 · AAA	27	44→50	43→45	47→50	44	208/287/318	110	318	10	13	35%	9%	69	-0.4	201/285/308	107	325	9	8	37%	9%	67	-0.5	171/271/265	94	294	6	3	39%	10%	48	-1.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2015 · AAA	27	46	43→45	47→45	52	224/295/338	114	269	9	9	20%	9%	78	+0.2	234/308/328	94	289	6	8	20%	8%	80	+0.4	234/309/309	75	294	3	6	20%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Collins 2017 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	49→50	43	224/275/350	126	277	15	10	25%	6%	72	-0.2	217/279/344	127	291	14	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	221/288/362	141	300	16	12	30%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Mike Costanzo 2011 · AAA	27	43→48	45→50	49→40	40	213/270/338	125	305	12	6	33%	7%	67	-0.5	208/267/342	134	298	14	4	33%	7%	67	-0.5	200/262/332	133	282	14	2	33%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2016 · AAA	27	50	41→40	45→40	49	241/299/337	96	295	8	8	21%	8%	79	+0.3	229/275/339	110	280	11	8	22%	6%	69	-0.4	226/268/315	90	272	9	2	20%	5%	59	-0.2
✕Joshua Palacios 2022 · MLB	27	45→52	42→50	47→55	45	217/297/321	104	294	10	12	28%	8%	76	+0.0	250/309/385	135	301	15	18	21%	7%	96	+1.5	254/313/400	146	302	16	19	21%	7%	98	+1.0
●Brad Nelson 2009 · AAA	26	44→48	48→50	44→50	48	226/288/369	143	269	16	11	22%	8%	83	+0.6	209/271/351	142	246	17	6	23%	8%	72	-0.2	217/287/376	159	258	20	2	24%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→50	49→50	43	190/272/319	129	288	14	7	37%	9%	64	-0.8	247/309/426	179	300	21	9	24%	7%	107	+2.2	262/327/469	207	303	25	6	22%	7%	123	+1.7
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	219/289/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	78	+0.2	228/294/355	127	284	12	8	23%	8%	82	+0.5	228/294/350	122	280	11	5	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Baltazar Lopez 2010 · AAA	26	49	46→50	44→45	38	242/280/369	127	321	14	9	29%	4%	79	+0.3	225/260/347	122	332	13	7	35%	4%	65	-0.7	222/290/321	100	349	12	1	37%	8%	70	-0.1
✕KD Kang 2015 · AA	27	46→52	48→50	47→45	41	228/283/377	149	320	15	5	33%	7%	83	+0.6	239/294/375	136	330	14	6	30%	7%	86	+0.8	241/301/370	130	334	13	4	30%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Casey Rogowski 2008 · AAA	27	46→53	45	50→55	46	228/290/357	129	285	13	18	24%	7%	81	+0.4	225/284/353	128	302	14	16	28%	7%	77	+0.1	222/282/345	123	305	13	17	30%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Todd Self 2006 · MLB	27	47→51	44→45	48→45	47	227/300/347	120	310	11	7	29%	9%	82	+0.5	227/298/345	118	309	12	6	28%	9%	81	+0.4	247/320/374	127	313	14	4	24%	9%	98	+1.3