Jaycob Brugman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 213 | .258/.352/.323 | 1 | 4 | 74 | — | .252/.308/.308 | |
| 2017 | 25 | MLBOakland Athle… | 162 | .266/.348/.343 | 3 | 1 | 100 | 0.1 | ||
| 2018 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 292 | .250/.320/.405 | 8 | 6 | 66 | — | .213/.265/.331 | |
| 2019 | 27 | AAASEA | 339 | .279/.358/.598 | 24 | 0 | 83 | — | .205/.266/.426 | |
| 2020 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 214 | 195 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 282 | 336 | 533 | 870 | 251 | 311 | 23 | 7 | 373 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 287 | 248 | 68 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 368 | 480 | 848 | 206 | 339 | 22 | 12 | 372 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 566 | 500 | 130 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 62 | 89 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 260 | 344 | 382 | 726 | 122 | 305 | 16 | 11 | 327 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 72 | 64 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 338 | 375 | 713 | 109 | 370 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 433 | 386 | 114 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 88 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 295 | 358 | 438 | 796 | 142 | 358 | 20 | 8 | 348 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 176 | 157 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 261 | 337 | 439 | 777 | 178 | 300 | 19 | 9 | 343 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 162 | 143 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 348 | 343 | 690 | 77 | 340 | 23 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 172 | 153 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 355 | 340 | 695 | 65 | 331 | 16 | 11 | 320 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 41 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 341 | 242 | 584 | 61 | 240 | 20 | 20 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 243 | 218 | 54 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 59 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 322 | 381 | 703 | 133 | 316 | 24 | 9 | 316 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 49 | 46 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 522 | 828 | 261 | 321 | 31 | 6 | 360 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 339 | 301 | 84 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 35 | 89 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 358 | 598 | 956 | 319 | 317 | 26 | 10 | 411 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 162 | 143 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 348 | 343 | 690 | 77 | 340 | 23 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 214 | 201 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 67 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 234 | 270 | 418 | 688 | 184 | 286 | 31 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 287 | 259 | 55 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 89 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 212 | 284 | 355 | 639 | 143 | 294 | 31 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 566 | 522 | 116 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 117 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 222 | 280 | 316 | 596 | 94 | 275 | 21 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 433 | 396 | 104 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 113 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 263 | 311 | 391 | 703 | 129 | 333 | 26 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 176 | 162 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 210 | 269 | 340 | 608 | 130 | 262 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 162 | 144 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 342 | 340 | 682 | 76 | 340 | 23 | 10 | 316 | 100 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 172 | 159 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 308 | 308 | 616 | 57 | 319 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 243 | 225 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 70 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 218 | 273 | 324 | 597 | 107 | 296 | 29 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 49 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 224 | 362 | 586 | 170 | 291 | 39 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 339 | 312 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 24 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 266 | 426 | 693 | 221 | 256 | 34 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 501 | 459 | 101 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 156 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 220 | 278 | 379 | 657 | 159 | 295 | 31 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 501 | 443 | 123 | 25 | 6 | 21 | 51 | 114 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 278 | 355 | 503 | 858 | 226 | 327 | 23 | 10 | 373 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 587 | 131 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 132 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 223 | 282 | 317 | 599 | 94 | 277 | 21 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 638 | 564 | 147 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 108 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 261 | 343 | 381 | 725 | 121 | 311 | 17 | 11 | 326 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 558 | 139 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 157 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 249 | 301 | 378 | 679 | 129 | 323 | 26 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 609 | 543 | 155 | 33 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 121 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 285 | 352 | 438 | 791 | 153 | 341 | 20 | 9 | 347 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 375 | 340 | 88 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 83 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 259 | 326 | 329 | 656 | 71 | 328 | 22 | 9 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 375 | 329 | 86 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 74 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 261 | 350 | 331 | 682 | 70 | 325 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 272 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 89 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 217 | 268 | 338 | 606 | 121 | 298 | 30 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 292 | 264 | 66 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 74 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 250 | 320 | 405 | 725 | 155 | 317 | 25 | 9 | 323 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 339 | 312 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 24 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 266 | 426 | 693 | 221 | 261 | 34 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 339 | 301 | 84 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 35 | 89 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 358 | 598 | 956 | 319 | 317 | 26 | 10 | 411 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 501 | 459 | 101 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 156 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 220 | 278 | 379 | 657 | 159 | 291 | 31 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 585 | 131 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 132 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 224 | 282 | 318 | 600 | 94 | 275 | 21 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 563 | 139 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 157 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 247 | 301 | 375 | 675 | 128 | 312 | 26 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 375 | 338 | 88 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 83 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 260 | 326 | 331 | 658 | 71 | 329 | 22 | 9 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 271 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 89 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 218 | 268 | 339 | 608 | 122 | 295 | 30 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 339 | 310 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 24 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 266 | 429 | 695 | 223 | 256 | 34 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 162 | 143 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 348 | 343 | 690 | 77 | 340 | 23 | 11 | 316 | 78 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 152 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 72 | 152 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 265 | 347 | 341 | 688 | 77 | 338 | 23 | 11 | 316 | 78 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +5 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2754 | 2528 | 582 | 103 | 23 | 59 | 193 | 733 | 12 | 37 | 23 | 230 | 288 | 359 | 647 | 129 | 298 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 78 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 137 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 173 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 229 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 127 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 78 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +5 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAATacoma Rainiers · 339 PAwOBA .400 → .291 (−109)K% 26.3% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.25% | ÷0.990 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.45% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 15.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.38% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 8.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.073 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.32% | ÷1.049 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 8.44% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 115, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .400 → .291; ISO .319 → .223; BABIP .317 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANorfolk Tides · 243 PAwOBA .309 → .266 (−43)K% 24.3% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.28% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.90% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.14% | ÷0.964 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .309 → .266; ISO .133 → .112; BABIP .316 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABowie Baysox · 49 PAwOBA .349 → .263 (−86)K% 30.6% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.61% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.12% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.971 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 8.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 7.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .349 → .263; ISO .261 → .179; BABIP .321 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANashville Sounds · 172 PAwOBA .310 → .276 (−34)K% 16.3% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.28% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷1.029 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 27.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.868 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .310 → .276; ISO .065 → .058; BABIP .331 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANashville Sounds · 433 PAwOBA .344 → .307 (−37)K% 20.3% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.32% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.85% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.84% | ÷1.035 | ×0.900 | ×1.016 | ×1.048 | 23.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷0.898 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.048 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.015 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.048 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.856 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .344 → .307; ISO .142 → .132; BABIP .358 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMidland RockHounds · 176 PAwOBA .336 → .269 (−67)K% 18.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.920 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.97% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 19.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 2.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.03% | ÷0.999 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.27% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 84, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .336 → .269; ISO .178 → .140; BABIP .300 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMidland RockHounds · 566 PAwOBA .320 → .264 (−57)K% 15.7% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.72% | ÷0.928 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.106 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.65% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 20.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷1.125 | ×0.840 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.982 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 86, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .320 → .264; ISO .122 → .097; BABIP .305 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ABeloit Snappers · 287 PAwOBA .364 → .277 (−88)K% 22.3% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.30% | ÷0.974 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 18.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.33% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.942 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 2.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.01% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 97, 2B 112, 3B 88, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .364 → .277; ISO .206 → .147; BABIP .339 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .