Deniel Ortiz — OGILVIE

Deniel Ortiz3B Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs A HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.5 · 2032

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .297 / .349

PA320

HR9

SB8

K%33

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

42→42

PWR

55→55

SPD

47→47

FLD

42→42

EYE

59↗64

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.4	$22M	+$21M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.5	$24M	+$23M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.3	$23M	+$22M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.1	$21M	+$17M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$19M	+$13M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.6	$17M	+$10M
Totals		$20M		$126M	+$106M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	.133	.339	.156	.495	.022	.194	26	23	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	598	515	117	20	1	14	65	218	13	45	10	.227	.329	.351	.680	.124	.358	36	11	.303	90	-7	+5	+0	+2	+17	1.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	STL	320	282	59	11	1	9	31	104	4	8	2	.209	.297	.351	.648	.142	.294	32	10	.295	84	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	STL	523	459	100	18	2	16	52	165	7	12	3	.218	.307	.370	.677	.153	.296	32	10	.304	91	-5	+1	-2	+2	+15	1.1
2028	23	MLB 28%	STL	566	495	111	20	2	19	58	172	8	12	3	.224	.316	.388	.703	.164	.297	30	10	.314	98	-1	+1	-2	+2	+16	1.7
2029	24	MLB 45%	STL	594	519	119	21	3	21	62	176	8	12	3	.229	.321	.403	.724	.173	.298	30	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-2	+2	+17	2.1
2030	25	MLB 60%	STL	610	532	122	21	3	22	65	179	8	12	3	.229	.322	.404	.726	.175	.298	29	11	.324	106	+4	+1	-2	+2	+17	2.3
2031	26	MLB 77%	STL	617	538	124	22	3	22	66	181	8	11	3	.230	.324	.405	.729	.175	.299	29	11	.326	107	+5	+1	-2	+2	+17	2.4
2032	27	MLB 92%	STL	617	537	124	22	3	22	67	182	8	11	2	.231	.325	.406	.731	.175	.299	29	11	.326	107	+5	+1	-2	+2	+17	2.5
2033	28	MLB	STL	612	532	121	21	2	22	67	181	8	10	2	.227	.323	.398	.721	.171	.299	30	11	.325	107	+5	+1	-3	+2	+17	2.3
2034	29	MLB	STL	602	523	118	21	2	21	66	180	8	10	2	.226	.322	.394	.715	.168	.298	30	11	.322	105	+3	+1	-3	+2	+17	2.1
2035	30	MLB	STL	592	514	115	20	2	21	65	179	8	9	1	.224	.320	.393	.713	.169	.296	30	11	.319	102	+2	+1	-4	+2	+17	1.8
2036	31	MLB	STL	578	501	111	19	2	20	64	177	8	8	0	.222	.319	.387	.707	.166	.295	31	11	.316	100	-0	+2	-5	+2	+16	1.6
2037	32	MLB	STL	559	486	105	18	2	18	61	174	7	7	0	.216	.312	.372	.685	.156	.293	31	11	.311	96	-3	+1	-5	+2	+16	1.2
2038	33	MLB	STL	529	459	99	17	2	17	58	169	7	7	0	.216	.313	.373	.686	.157	.291	32	11	.305	92	-5	+1	-6	+2	+15	0.8
2039	34	MLB	STL	482	421	88	15	2	15	52	158	6	6	0	.209	.305	.361	.666	.152	.289	33	11	.298	87	-7	+1	-6	+2	+14	0.3
2040	35	MLB	STL	426	372	74	12	1	12	46	144	5	6	0	.199	.296	.333	.629	.134	.287	34	11	.291	81	-9	+1	-7	+2	+12	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	STL	366	320	62	10	1	10	39	127	4	5	0	.194	.289	.325	.614	.131	.284	35	11	.282	74	-11	+1	-7	+1	+10	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9252	8050	1775	309	34	301	998	2882	125	192	34	.220	.316	.380	.695	.159	.300	31	11	.310	96	-45	+25	-58	+33	+262	22.1
/ 162G	—			650	566	124	22	2	21	70	202	9	13	2	.219	.315	.376	.692	.157	.297	31	11	.310	96	-3	+2	-4	+2	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	.133	.339	.156	.495	.022	.194	26	23	.255	54	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	130	110	37	9	0	3	18	29	2	8	6	.336	.438	.500	.938	.164	.436	22	14	.419	179	+12	-1	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	320	260	74	10	1	10	49	88	7	31	3	.285	.411	.446	.858	.162	.386	28	15	.383	151	+19	+5	—	—	+9	3.3
2025	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	148	126	31	5	0	0	17	28	4	6	1	.246	.354	.286	.639	.040	.313	19	11	.302	90	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deniel Ortiz (OGILVIE)	21	42	55	47	64	.208/.297/.349	.141	.294	9	8	33%	10%	84	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	45→53	49→50	49→55	46	.228/.296/.370	.142	.291	17	15	27%	8%	87	+0.8	.236/.291/.369	.133	.300	14	19	25%	6%	84	+0.6	.241/.288/.377	.137	.301	14	21	24%	5%	83	+0.4
●Jonathan India 2019 · A	22	43→51	45→50	51→50	45	.208/.290/.333	.125	.296	12	10	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.304/.340	.123	.297	12	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.243/.342/.393	.150	.294	17	11	22%	10%	107	+1.9
✕Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	45	52→55	45	47	.227/.308/.406	.179	.310	19	6	31%	9%	102	+1.8	.208/.286/.362	.154	.324	18	6	39%	9%	81	+0.4	.213/.297/.387	.174	.298	22	7	34%	10%	90	+0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	37→46	49→60	51→45	45	.195/.277/.339	.144	.267	18	8	33%	9%	72	-0.2	.231/.297/.425	.194	.284	25	6	27%	8%	102	+1.9	.233/.299/.438	.204	.278	26	7	26%	8%	105	+1.8
✕George Valera 2022 · AA	21	43→40	52→55	49→45	51	.218/.316/.385	.166	.299	21	11	32%	11%	100	+1.7	.212/.294/.372	.160	.293	20	6	32%	10%	87	+0.8	.206/.283/.354	.148	.282	18	4	32%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	43	50	50→45	45	.215/.318/.372	.157	.292	18	8	31%	8%	98	+1.6	.214/.320/.369	.155	.268	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	.212/.320/.363	.151	.264	17	7	25%	8%	94	+0.8
●Jo Adell 2020 · AAA	21	45→44	50→65	53→50	37	.226/.275/.384	.159	.319	17	11	34%	5%	82	+0.5	.216/.265/.378	.162	.312	20	9	36%	5%	76	+0.1	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→40	47→55	46→50	48	.191/.279/.329	.137	.266	14	9	32%	10%	70	-0.3	.188/.272/.324	.136	.273	14	8	34%	9%	66	-0.6	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	43→34	49→60	48→50	40	.217/.277/.364	.147	.303	17	8	33%	7%	77	+0.1	.205/.259/.386	.181	.288	24	14	36%	7%	76	+0.1	.209/.277/.424	.216	.279	30	13	36%	8%	90	+0.6
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	47	.234/.306/.402	.168	.294	19	12	27%	8%	99	+1.7	.228/.299/.402	.174	.291	21	11	28%	7%	97	+1.5	.238/.311/.439	.201	.293	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→46	51→60	52→45	41	.220/.279/.381	.161	.292	20	8	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.303/.416	.188	.302	22	6	31%	8%	102	+1.9	.224/.304/.422	.198	.291	24	4	30%	9%	102	+1.6
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	42→52	52→55	45→50	47	.217/.293/.381	.164	.280	20	5	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.205/.301/.370	.165	.275	20	8	31%	11%	90	+1.0	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	48→52	51→55	54→50	44	.240/.301/.407	.166	.305	18	14	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.242/.307/.404	.162	.305	18	7	26%	8%	101	+1.8	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2022 · A	21	46	51→50	47→45	42	.231/.299/.393	.162	.316	19	7	32%	7%	95	+1.4	.224/.287/.370	.146	.291	16	6	28%	6%	83	+0.6	.214/.276/.357	.142	.275	16	6	27%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	47→41	46→50	51→45	44	.234/.299/.364	.130	.297	14	10	25%	7%	87	+0.8	.205/.283/.348	.143	.298	17	8	35%	7%	77	+0.1	.172/.265/.319	.148	.217	21	9	31%	7%	61	-0.4
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	49→50	49→55	54→55	43	.237/.299/.390	.152	.332	17	16	32%	8%	93	+1.3	.231/.295/.403	.172	.327	21	19	34%	8%	95	+1.4	.226/.292/.399	.173	.315	22	24	34%	8%	90	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)