Deniel Ortiz — OGILVIE

Deniel Ortiz3B Springfield Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION286 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP281

ISO131

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$54M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Arb-1	$6M	+1.6	$8M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$7M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$12M	+1.3	$6M	+$0.5M
Totals		$29M		$47M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	133	339	156	495	22	194	26	23	255	59	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	130	110	37	9	0	3	18	29	2	8	6	336	438	500	938	164	436	22	14	419	170	+11	-1	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	320	260	74	10	1	10	49	88	7	31	3	285	411	446	858	162	386	28	15	383	145	+17	+5	—	—	+7	3.0
2025	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	148	126	31	5	0	0	17	28	4	6	1	246	354	286	639	40	313	19	11	302	91	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	130	116	29	6	0	3	12	41	2	8	6	250	331	379	710	129	358	32	9	308	95	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	320	273	59	9	1	8	36	125	7	31	3	216	323	344	667	128	344	39	11	300	89	-4	+5	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	19	INTL MLE	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	133	339	156	495	22	194	26	23	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	INTL RAW	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	133	339	156	495	22	194	26	23	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	515	116	20	1	14	65	221	13	45	10	225	327	350	677	124	358	37	11	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	598	496	142	24	1	13	84	145	13	45	10	286	403	417	820	131	376	24	14	371	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	515	116	20	1	14	65	221	13	45	10	225	327	350	677	124	348	37	11	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	515	116	20	1	14	65	221	13	45	10	225	327	350	677	124	348	37	11	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	STL	—	286	242	56	11	0	8	31	67	7	12	4	231	336	376	712	145	277	23	11	318	102	+1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	STL	—	20	12	0	0	0	0	5	5	3	3	0		400		400			25	25	285	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	STL	—	266	215	60	12	0	10	40	49	4	9	4	279	400	474	874	195	309	18	15	381	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	STL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		282	22	11	306	93	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	STL	—	295	250	57	11	0	8	32	69	7	12	4	228	332	368	700	140	274	23	11	318	101	+0	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	44%	486	422	94	17	1	14	52	129	9	17	5	223	321	367	688	145	285	27	11	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	61%	525	455	105	19	1	17	56	135	9	18	6	231	327	389	716	158	287	26	11	322	104	+2	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	66%	567	491	115	21	1	19	61	143	10	20	6	234	331	397	728	163	288	25	11	327	107	+5	+2	-2	+2	+12	2.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	69%	610	528	124	22	1	21	66	153	11	21	6	235	332	400	732	165	288	25	11	330	109	+7	+2	-2	+2	+13	2.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	70%	617	534	126	23	1	22	67	155	11	21	6	236	333	406	740	170	288	25	11	331	110	+8	+2	-2	+2	+13	2.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	69%	617	533	126	23	1	22	68	155	11	21	6	236	335	407	742	171	288	25	11	331	110	+8	+2	-2	+2	+13	2.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	68%	612	528	124	22	1	22	68	155	11	20	6	235	334	405	740	170	287	25	11	330	110	+7	+2	-3	+2	+13	2.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	67%	602	520	122	22	1	21	67	153	10	19	6	235	333	402	735	167	286	25	11	328	108	+6	+1	-3	+2	+13	2.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	STL	66%	592	511	118	21	1	20	66	152	10	16	5	231	330	393	724	162	284	26	11	325	106	+4	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	STL	65%	578	499	113	20	1	19	64	150	10	14	4	226	326	385	711	158	282	26	11	321	103	+2	+1	-5	+2	+13	1.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	STL	65%	559	483	108	19	1	18	62	148	9	11	3	224	323	379	702	155	278	26	11	315	100	-0	+1	-5	+2	+12	1.0
2038	33	MLB MLE	STL	65%	529	457	100	17	0	17	58	142	9	8	2	219	319	368	686	149	273	27	11	308	95	-3	+1	-6	+2	+11	0.5
2039	34	MLB MLE	STL	60%	482	418	87	14	0	14	53	133	8	5	2	208	309	342	651	134	267	28	11	299	89	-6	+0	-6	+2	+10	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	44%	214	185	41	8	0	6	23	57	4	7	2	222	321	362	683	141	284	27	11	296	98	-0	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	61%	321	278	65	12	1	10	34	83	6	11	3	234	330	392	722	158	285	26	11	304	104	+1	+1	-1	+1	+7	1.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	66%	376	327	76	14	1	12	40	95	6	13	4	232	327	391	719	159	286	25	11	309	107	+3	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	69%	419	364	85	15	1	14	45	105	7	15	4	234	329	396	725	162	287	25	11	312	109	+5	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	70%	431	374	87	16	1	14	47	108	7	15	5	233	329	393	722	160	287	25	11	313	110	+5	+1	-1	+2	+9	1.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	69%	425	368	86	16	1	14	47	107	7	15	4	234	332	397	728	163	286	25	11	313	110	+5	+1	-1	+2	+9	1.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	68%	419	363	84	15	1	14	46	106	7	14	4	231	329	394	723	163	286	25	11	312	110	+5	+1	-2	+1	+9	1.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	67%	402	347	80	14	1	13	45	102	7	12	4	231	331	389	720	159	285	25	11	310	108	+4	+1	-2	+1	+9	1.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	STL	66%	389	336	77	14	1	12	43	100	7	11	3	229	329	384	713	155	283	26	11	308	106	+3	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	STL	65%	376	325	73	13	0	12	42	98	6	9	3	225	324	375	700	151	280	26	11	304	103	+2	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.9
2037	32	MLB CTX	STL	65%	362	313	69	12	0	11	40	96	6	7	2	220	320	364	685	144	277	27	11	298	100	-0	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.6
2038	33	MLB CTX	STL	65%	342	295	63	11	0	10	38	92	6	5	2	214	316	353	668	139	272	27	11	292	95	-2	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.3
2039	34	MLB CTX	STL	60%	290	251	51	8	0	8	32	80	5	3	1	203	306	331	636	127	266	28	11	283	89	-4	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4766	4126	937	168	8	150	522	1229	81	137	41	227	326	381	706	154	284	26	11	305	102	+27	+11	-27	+17	+103	13.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	127	23	1	20	71	168	11	19	6	226	324	377	701	151	283	26	11	305	102	+4	+2	-4	+2	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8044	6947	1585	281	12	260	888	2142	141	257	73	228	328	384	712	156	289	27	11	318	102	+38	+17	-42	+26	+160	20.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	128	23	1	21	72	173	11	21	6	228	328	385	713	157	288	27	11	318	102	+3	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#2Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#3B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#4Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#5Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#6Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	7.2	4,773	161	138	231	325	393	+17	-24	18.4	15.7
/162	664	22	19	+2.4	-3.4	2.6	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deniel Ortiz (OGILVIE)	21	42	55	47	63	216/316/350	134	282	8	13	27%	11%	93	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1	211/270/323	112	266	10	17	24%	7%	68	-1.0	202/249/302	100	249	8	18	21%	5%	53	-0.7
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	220/298/335	115	296	11	20	28%	9%	81	-0.1	235/317/411	176	321	19	22	30%	9%	106	+1.8	231/315/396	166	310	19	23	30%	9%	99	+1.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	44→53	48→50	49→55	46	223/293/360	136	290	16	16	28%	8%	85	+0.2	236/289/364	128	302	14	19	25%	6%	84	+0.1	242/290/375	133	303	14	21	24%	5%	85	+0.1
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	44→48	54→60	56→55	46	229/301/421	192	292	21	23	28%	8%	102	+1.5	232/297/428	196	269	23	20	23%	8%	103	+1.5	239/321/429	190	289	21	17	24%	10%	108	+2.1
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2023 · A	21	46→39	47→55	52→50	50	227/309/366	139	292	14	16	26%	10%	92	+0.7	215/268/349	134	288	12	13	28%	6%	72	-0.7	209/258/360	151	275	14	14	29%	5%	69	-0.6
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→53	50→55	53→50	44	238/298/398	160	301	17	13	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/306/401	161	301	18	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→50	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	233/296/404	171	326	21	20	33%	8%	97	+1.1	229/294/405	176	316	22	24	33%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	46→48	47→45	52→55	51	220/324/358	139	315	14	14	32%	11%	97	+1.1	214/316/335	121	285	12	18	27%	11%	88	+0.5	211/315/326	115	274	12	19	25%	11%	83	+0.1
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→48	43→45	54→50	49	203/292/313	110	263	10	21	26%	9%	75	-0.5	220/278/337	117	273	11	15	23%	6%	74	-0.6	216/272/322	106	264	10	16	22%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	49→54	45→60	56→55	41	239/293/364	125	307	11	21	25%	5%	86	+0.3	229/280/349	120	292	10	20	25%	5%	77	-0.3	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→53	45→50	55	52	231/313/367	136	291	10	21	23%	10%	94	+0.9	235/321/380	145	305	14	21	26%	10%	100	+1.3	231/323/380	149	298	15	24	26%	10%	97	+0.7
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	245/300/384	139	311	13	13	25%	6%	93	+0.8	242/291/421	179	311	22	4	29%	5%	99	+1.2	250/315/472	223	293	30	4	26%	7%	118	+2.6
✕Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	230/304/365	135	294	13	13	26%	9%	90	+0.6	213/284/325	112	292	9	13	28%	8%	73	-0.6	243/310/437	193	313	22	11	28%	8%	105	+1.0
●Jordan Walker 2023 · AA	21	54→56	50→55	54→50	43	261/318/421	160	343	16	16	28%	7%	108	+1.9	242/301/387	145	313	15	11	26%	7%	94	+0.9	239/296/396	156	308	18	13	27%	7%	92	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps