Antony Aparicio — OGILVIE

Antony Aparicio P FCL Astros

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 183 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%23.2%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%14.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	7	32	130	40	9	2	54%	2.4	20.9%	8.7%	12.3%	1.6%	2.84	3.32	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	7	32	130	40	9	2	54%	2.4	20.9%	8.7%	12.3%	1.6%	2.84	3.32	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	13	7	32	130	40	9	2	54%	2.4	30.8%	6.9%	23.8%	1.5%	2.84	2.25	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	3	1	9	34	13	2	0	33%	3.0	38.2%	5.9%	32.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.62	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	3	1	9	34	13	2	0	33%	3.0	38.2%	5.9%	32.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.62	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	3	1	9	34	13	2	0	33%	3.0	38.2%	5.9%	32.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.88	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	HOU	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	23.2%	9.0%	14.2%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	4	4	20	84	20	7	3	100%	5.0	23.8%	8.7%	15.0%	3.0%	4.25	4.20	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	HOU	2	2	9	38	9	3	1	100%	4.5	23.8%	8.7%	15.0%	3.0%	4.25	4.20	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	36	9	3	1	100%	4.3	23.8%	8.7%	15.0%	3.0%	4.25	3.82	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	211	70	23	100%	5.6	23.8%	8.7%	15.0%	3.0%	4.25	3.82	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		16	8	41	164	40	13	2	50%	2.5	24.5%	8.1%	16.4%	1.3%	2.21	2.76	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	39	200	807	198	65	10	50%	2.5	24.5%	8.1%	16.4%	1.3%	2.21	2.76	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antony Aparicio (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	23.2%	9.0%	3.0%	—	4.20	23.8%	15.0%	20	-0.11	—	—	—
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	85
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	81
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	80
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	79
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	77
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	76
Evan McKendry R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	18.4%	5.5%	3.6%	.256	5.11	18.0%	11.7%	324	+0.91	4.20	474	76
Clay Chandler R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	23	SP-	4.97	18.3%	6.0%	4.8%	.319	4.89	14.8%	8.8%	293	-0.08	4.49	328	76
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	75
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	75
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	74
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	74
Duque Hebbert R 2023 · 3.18 FIP	21	SP-	3.18	17.8%	4.8%	1.8%	.324	4.54	13.4%	6.1%	130	+1.36	3.18	168	74
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	74
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	74
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	73
Adam Leverett R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	23	SW	5.20	20.6%	9.3%	4.9%	.338	4.10	13.8%	4.8%	154	-1.10	3.41	401	73
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	73
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	73