Luis Sotillo

P FCL Mets

Age 22 LHP 6'3" / 176 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	18	ROKDSL Mets Blue	8	2	14	8.16	6.80	19.7%	25.0%	—	K 13.4% · BB 31.2% · FIP 8.25
2025	20	ROKDSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	6.82	5.18	14.6%	18.5%	—	K 9.9% · BB 23.2% · FIP 6.14
2026	21	MIX2 levels	19	0	24	8.62	5.56	26.6%	26.6%	—	K 20.0% · BB 31.6% · FIP 6.22
2027PROJ	22	MLBNYM	13	0	14	5.92	5.92	20.2%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBNYM	14	0	15	5.53	5.39	21.3%	16.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJackson Lancaster (age 24) · Matt Minnick (age 23) · Felix Polanco (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 146

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%20.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.2%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	8	2	14	76	15	19	2	25%	1.8	13.4%	31.2%	-17.8%	4.2%	8.16	8.25	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	8	2	14	76	15	19	2	25%	1.8	19.7%	25.0%	-5.3%	2.6%	8.16	6.80	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	151	22	28	2	92%	2.6	9.9%	23.2%	-13.3%	1.7%	6.82	6.14	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	151	22	28	2	92%	2.6	9.9%	23.2%	-13.3%	1.7%	6.82	6.14	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	151	22	28	2	92%	2.6	14.6%	18.5%	-4.0%	1.3%	6.82	5.18	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	24	124	33	33	2	0%	1.3	20.0%	31.6%	-11.5%	1.5%	8.62	6.22	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	24	124	33	33	2	0%	1.3	20.0%	31.6%	-11.5%	1.5%	8.62	6.22	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	24	124	33	33	2	0%	1.3	26.6%	26.6%	0.0%	1.6%	8.62	5.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYM	13	0	14	59	12	12	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	20.0%	0.2%	2.9%	5.92	5.92	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	28	0	30	125	27	21	4	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.9%	5.53	5.39	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	14	0	15	63	14	11	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.9%	5.53	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	61	13	10	2	0%	1.0	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.9%	5.53	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	137	27	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.9%	5.53	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		39	13	70	351	50	98	8	33%	1.8	14.2%	27.9%	-13.6%	2.2%	7.71	6.62	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	37	200	1003	143	280	22	33%	1.8	14.2%	27.9%	-13.6%	2.2%	7.71	6.62	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Sotillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	20.2%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.39	21.3%	4.6%	30	-0.53	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	82
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	80
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	79
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	79
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	78
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	78
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	77
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	76
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	76
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	76
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	75
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	75
Bryan Warzek L 2019 · 5.92 FIP	22	SW	5.92	17.7%	24.4%	2.2%	.328	6.74	20.2%	1.9%	73	+0.82	1.91	138	75
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	75
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	74
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.76	17.5%	7.2%	239	-0.07	3.78	348	74
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	74
Oriel Castro L 2023 · 6.44 FIP	22	SU	6.44	16.0%	21.3%	3.6%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.63	129	74
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	74
Johan Simon L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	22	SU	6.17	14.6%	15.4%	4.3%	.341	3.96	19.6%	6.5%	115	-2.21	3.45	178	74