Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 11 | 11 | 44 | 188 | 41 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 4.0 | 14.8% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.74 | 5.85 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 11 | 11 | 44 | 188 | 41 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 4.0 | 21.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.04 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 8 | 6 | 32 | 129 | 26 | 17 | 2 | 75% | 4.0 | 13.7% | 16.5% | -2.8% | 2.7% | 1.95 | 5.53 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 8 | 6 | 32 | 129 | 26 | 17 | 2 | 75% | 4.0 | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 1.95 | 3.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 15 | 7 | 28 | 149 | 39 | 26 | 3 | 47% | 1.9 | 17.8% | 21.8% | -4.0% | 2.8% | 6.43 | 5.91 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 49 | 237 | 59 | 34 | 6 | — | — | 24.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 5.57 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 5 | 5 | 22 | 92 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 4.4 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 74 | 19 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 24 | 104 | 466 | 72 | 72 | 17 | 71% | 3.1 | 15.5% | 15.6% | -0.1% | 3.7% | 4.33 | 5.78 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 46 | 200 | 896 | 139 | 139 | 33 | 71% | 3.1 | 15.5% | 15.6% | -0.1% | 3.7% | 4.33 | 5.78 | -0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hamlet Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.3% | 14.2% | 22 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 84 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 83 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 81 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 80 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 80 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 80 |
| Grant Holman R 2027 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 79 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 79 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 77 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 77 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 77 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 77 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 77 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 76 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 76 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 76 |
| Anderson Brito R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 76 |
| Chris Campos R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 76 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 76 |