Hamlet Garcia — OGILVIE

Hamlet Garcia P FCL Marlins

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%20.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	11	44	188	41	15	6	100%	4.0	14.8%	10.0%	4.9%	4.7%	4.74	5.70	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	11	44	188	41	15	6	100%	4.0	14.8%	10.0%	4.9%	4.7%	4.74	5.70	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	11	44	188	41	15	6	100%	4.0	21.8%	8.0%	13.8%	3.2%	4.74	4.04	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	8	6	32	129	26	17	2	75%	4.0	13.7%	16.5%	-2.8%	2.4%	1.95	5.36	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	8	6	32	129	26	17	2	75%	4.0	13.7%	16.5%	-2.8%	2.4%	1.95	5.36	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	8	6	32	129	26	17	2	75%	4.0	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	1.6%	1.95	3.87	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	8	42	216	55	40	5	33%	1.8	16.5%	22.2%	-5.7%	3.3%	6.21	6.34	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	8	42	216	55	40	5	33%	1.8	16.5%	22.2%	-5.7%	3.3%	6.21	6.34	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	MIA	17	7	32	169	41	30	4	41%	1.9	24.3%	17.8%	6.5%	2.4%	6.54	4.60	—
2026	20	A RAW	MIA	7	1	10	47	14	10	1	14%	1.5	29.8%	21.3%	8.5%	2.1%	5.23	4.45	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	41	0	43	182	39	21	5	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.73	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIA	20	0	21	89	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	90	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.35	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	94	28	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		43	25	118	533	81	88	19	58%	2.7	15.2%	16.5%	-1.3%	3.6%	4.50	5.87	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	42	200	903	138	149	32	58%	2.7	15.2%	16.5%	-1.3%	3.6%	4.50	5.87	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hamlet Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	20.8%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.73	21.5%	10.1%	43	-0.24	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	87
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	84
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	84
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	84
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	83
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	81
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	81
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	81
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	80
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	80
Victor Simeon R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	20	SW	3.87	17.7%	13.8%	0.9%	.266	4.21	21.3%	5.1%	105	+0.34	3.22	180	80
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	79
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	79
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	79
Nick Lockhart R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	20	SW	5.73	18.3%	11.6%	4.9%	.315	4.53	19.3%	9.0%	92	-1.20	4.44	140	79
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	78
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	78
Henson Leal R 2023 · 5.16 FIP	19	SP-	5.16	17.6%	10.0%	4.2%	.408	4.05	17.7%	7.8%	146	-1.11	3.49	193	78
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.3%	11.8%	1.15	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58