Javier Mogollon — OGILVIE

Javier Mogollon2B Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 160 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .281 / .347

PA140

HR4

SB8

K%38

BB%9

BABIP294

ISO153

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$14M		$23M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	199	176	37	7	1	6	16	35	4	11	2	210	291	364	654	153	225	18	8	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	199	165	52	10	2	10	27	28	4	11	2	315	423	582	1.005	267	323	14	14	431	188	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	180	156	20	7	0	4	20	101	3	16	0	128	240	250	490	122	308	56	11	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	180	143	37	14	0	8	33	69	3	16	0	259	408	524	932	266	433	38	18	408	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	224	198	35	8	2	6	18	78	6	15	6	177	266	328	594	152	254	35	8	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	224	186	41	10	3	5	30	56	6	15	6	220	347	387	734	167	288	25	13	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CWS	—	210	187	37	7	2	5	16	91	5	22	5	198	279	337	616	139	344	43	8	277	70	-7	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
YTD	20	A	CWS	—	210	177	47	9	3	7	26	64	5	22	5	266	375	469	844	203	370	30	12	372	143	+10	+2	+0	+1	+6	2.0
ROS	20	A	CWS	0%	140	124	24	5	1	4	12	53	3	8	2	194	281	347	627	153	295	38	9	275	68	-5	+1	-1	+0	+4	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	262	58	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CWS	—	210	188	37	7	2	5	16	91	5	22	5	197	279	335	614	138	340	43	8	277	70	-7	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
TOT	20	A	CWS	—	350	311	61	12	3	9	28	144	8	30	7	196	280	341	620	145	323	41	8	276	69	-12	+3	-1	+1	+10	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CWS	34%	354	315	63	13	2	10	30	127	6	13	3	200	282	349	631	149	296	36	8	287	78	-9	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2028	22	MLB	CWS	48%	440	391	81	16	3	13	38	152	8	14	3	207	291	363	654	156	296	35	9	295	84	-8	+2	-3	+2	+12	0.5
2029	23	MLB	CWS	54%	493	438	92	18	3	16	43	166	9	15	4	210	294	374	668	164	297	34	9	300	88	-7	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.7
2030	24	MLB	CWS	55%	526	466	100	20	3	17	46	174	9	15	4	215	298	380	677	165	297	33	9	303	90	-6	+1	-3	+2	+15	0.9
2031	25	MLB	CWS	56%	544	481	105	21	4	18	48	180	10	15	4	218	302	391	693	173	297	33	9	305	91	-5	+1	-3	+2	+15	1.0
2032	26	MLB	CWS	56%	552	488	106	21	4	18	49	182	10	15	3	217	302	387	689	170	297	33	9	305	92	-5	+2	-3	+2	+16	1.1
2033	27	MLB	CWS	55%	552	487	105	21	4	18	50	183	10	14	3	216	302	386	688	170	297	33	9	305	92	-5	+2	-3	+2	+16	1.1
2034	28	MLB	CWS	55%	548	483	103	20	3	18	50	182	10	14	3	213	300	379	679	166	296	33	9	304	91	-6	+2	-4	+2	+16	1.0
2035	29	MLB	CWS	53%	538	475	100	20	3	17	49	180	9	13	3	211	296	373	669	162	295	33	9	302	90	-6	+1	-5	+2	+15	0.8
2036	30	MLB	CWS	57%	527	465	98	19	3	17	48	177	9	12	3	211	297	374	671	163	294	34	9	300	87	-7	+1	-5	+2	+15	0.5
2027	21	MLB	CWS	34%	122	109	22	4	1	4	10	44	2	4	1	202	281	367	648	165	297	36	8	276	69	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	CWS	48%	213	189	40	8	1	7	18	73	4	7	2	212	294	376	670	164	297	34	8	283	75	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.0
2029	23	MLB	CWS	54%	267	237	51	10	2	9	23	90	5	8	2	215	298	388	686	173	298	34	9	289	79	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2030	24	MLB	CWS	55%	292	259	56	11	2	10	26	97	5	8	2	216	300	390	690	174	298	33	9	292	82	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2031	25	MLB	CWS	56%	305	270	59	12	2	10	27	101	5	8	2	219	301	389	690	170	298	33	9	293	83	-6	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.3
2032	26	MLB	CWS	56%	310	273	59	12	2	10	28	102	6	8	2	216	303	385	688	168	298	33	9	294	83	-6	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.3
2033	27	MLB	CWS	55%	305	269	58	12	2	10	28	101	5	8	2	216	301	387	688	171	298	33	9	294	83	-6	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.3
2034	28	MLB	CWS	55%	300	265	57	11	2	10	27	100	5	7	2	215	300	385	685	170	297	33	9	293	82	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2035	29	MLB	CWS	53%	287	254	54	11	2	9	26	96	5	7	2	213	298	378	676	165	296	33	9	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2036	30	MLB	CWS	57%	301	265	56	11	2	10	28	101	5	7	2	211	299	381	680	170	295	34	9	288	79	-7	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2702	2391	512	102	18	89	241	905	47	72	19	214	299	384	682	169	300	33	9	290	80	-60	+7	-19	+10	+77	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	123	25	4	21	58	218	11	17	5	214	298	381	679	167	300	34	9	290	80	-14	+1	-4	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5817	5143	1069	216	36	182	517	1970	106	190	43	208	293	370	663	162	293	34	9	296	85	-101	+21	-35	+21	+165	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	119	24	4	20	58	220	12	21	5	207	293	367	660	160	292	34	9	296	85	-11	+2	-4	+2	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	199	165	52	10	2	10	27	28	4	11	2	315	423	582	1.005	267	323	14	14	431	188	+20	+1	—	—	+6	2.7
2024	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	180	143	37	14	0	8	33	69	3	16	0	259	408	524	932	266	433	38	18	408	170	+14	+3	—	—	+5	2.3
2025	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	224	186	41	10	3	5	30	56	6	15	6	220	347	387	734	167	288	25	13	331	112	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,960	93	81	211	293	375	+11	+0	5.9	5.4
	/162	664	21	18	211	293	375	+2.4	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Mogollon (OGILVIE)	20	20→34	35→50	60	50	196/280/341	145	323	9	30	41%	8%	69	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→43	46→55	53→50	45	188/278/321	133	289	14	16	37%	10%	68	-0.5	217/294/348	131	331	14	16	35%	9%	81	+0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→34	48→50	53→50	42	192/272/344	152	278	15	13	35%	8%	70	-0.3	196/254/341	145	281	17	14	35%	6%	62	-0.9	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	39→45	47→55	52→55	40	199/261/337	138	279	13	19	33%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/332	129	293	11	17	33%	7%	66	-0.6	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	43→50	56→60	36	185/253/297	112	281	10	19	36%	6%	50	-1.7	173/244/264	91	301	8	23	42%	7%	38	-2.6	140/212/218	79	253	8	29	45%	7%	12	-1.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	40→50	57→55	42	201/257/293	92	281	6	22	30%	7%	50	-1.8	232/286/367	135	290	12	21	23%	7%	82	+0.5	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Thomas Saggese 2022 · A	20	42→52	47→50	51→50	42	205/278/344	139	318	15	12	38%	9%	72	-0.2	231/281/378	147	317	16	10	31%	5%	82	+0.5	235/288/373	137	319	15	8	30%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	204/270/313	108	299	11	15	34%	8%	61	-1.0	227/282/354	127	289	11	19	24%	6%	76	+0.1	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Ian Moller 2023 · A	20	39	45→40	53→50	45	190/281/307	117	298	13	17	38%	10%	66	-0.6	175/259/256	81	288	7	12	38%	10%	43	-2.2	165/244/251	85	267	9	13	38%	9%	32	-1.3
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	78	+0.2	210/269/323	113	265	11	17	24%	7%	63	-0.8	202/247/302	100	249	8	18	22%	5%	46	-0.6
✕Carson Williams 2023 · A	20	41→40	48→50	52→55	35	192/260/335	143	342	16	16	46%	7%	63	-0.8	192/259/343	151	314	18	19	42%	7%	65	-0.7	191/260/348	157	279	19	24	37%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	40	186/256/304	118	288	12	11	38%	8%	53	-1.5	183/255/292	109	329	10	20	44%	8%	50	-1.8	168/243/272	104	301	10	25	44%	8%	37	-2.0