Javier Mogollon
2B Kannapolis Cannon Ballers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKCWS | 180 | .259/.408/.524 | 8 | 16 | 45 | — | .135/.246/.276 |
| 2025 | 19 | ACWS | 224 | .220/.347/.387 | 5 | 15 | 59 | — | .174/.275/.313 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/ACWS | 411 | .262/.373/.448 | 14 | 36 | 74 | — | .202/.287/.337 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBCWS | 521 | .193/.277/.328 | 13 | 19 | 72 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBCWS | 125 | .200/.284/.347 | 4 | 4 | 78 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBCWS | 198 | .205/.289/.358 | 6 | 6 | 82 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 199 | 165 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 315 | 423 | 582 | 1.005 | 267 | 323 | 14 | 14 | 431 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 180 | 143 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 69 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 259 | 408 | 524 | 932 | 266 | 433 | 38 | 18 | 408 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 224 | 186 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 56 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 220 | 347 | 387 | 734 | 167 | 288 | 25 | 13 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 170 | 138 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 48 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 268 | 392 | 457 | 848 | 188 | 349 | 28 | 15 | 372 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 241 | 206 | 53 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 75 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 257 | 360 | 442 | 802 | 184 | 365 | 31 | 12 | 356 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 199 | 173 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 179 | 276 | 295 | 570 | 116 | 187 | 16 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 180 | 156 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 100 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 135 | 246 | 276 | 521 | 141 | 308 | 56 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 224 | 195 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 174 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 138 | 248 | 33 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 170 | 148 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 216 | 301 | 365 | 666 | 149 | 295 | 37 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 241 | 214 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 102 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 192 | 276 | 318 | 594 | 126 | 330 | 42 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 199 | 173 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 179 | 276 | 295 | 570 | 116 | 193 | 16 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 199 | 165 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 315 | 423 | 582 | 1.005 | 267 | 323 | 14 | 14 | 431 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 180 | 156 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 100 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 135 | 246 | 276 | 521 | 141 | 308 | 56 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 180 | 143 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 69 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 259 | 408 | 524 | 932 | 266 | 433 | 38 | 18 | 408 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 224 | 195 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 174 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 138 | 252 | 33 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 224 | 186 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 56 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 220 | 347 | 387 | 734 | 167 | 288 | 25 | 13 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 362 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 165 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 202 | 286 | 337 | 623 | 135 | 325 | 40 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 411 | 344 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 123 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 262 | 373 | 448 | 821 | 186 | 358 | 30 | 13 | 362 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 199 | 174 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 178 | 276 | 293 | 569 | 115 | 187 | 16 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 180 | 155 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 100 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 135 | 246 | 277 | 523 | 142 | 308 | 56 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 224 | 195 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 174 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 138 | 248 | 33 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 365 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 165 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 200 | 286 | 334 | 621 | 134 | 316 | 40 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 180 | 155 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 100 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 135 | 246 | 277 | 523 | 142 | 308 | 56 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 224 | 195 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 174 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 138 | 248 | 33 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 365 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 165 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 200 | 286 | 334 | 621 | 134 | 316 | 40 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | CWS | 0% | 521 | 463 | 89 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 178 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 193 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 136 | 275 | 34 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -18 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | CWS | 34% | 364 | 323 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 121 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 199 | 283 | 344 | 628 | 145 | 277 | 33 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | CWS | 48% | 408 | 363 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 132 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 204 | 288 | 355 | 643 | 151 | 279 | 32 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | CWS | 53% | 455 | 404 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 144 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 207 | 292 | 362 | 653 | 154 | 280 | 32 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -8 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 55% | 505 | 446 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 157 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 210 | 294 | 366 | 659 | 156 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 296 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 56% | 521 | 461 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 47 | 160 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 211 | 295 | 368 | 663 | 156 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -8 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 55% | 523 | 463 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 47 | 161 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 210 | 294 | 365 | 659 | 154 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 296 | 86 | -9 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 55% | 518 | 459 | 96 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 161 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 208 | 292 | 360 | 652 | 152 | 279 | 31 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 53% | 506 | 449 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 45 | 158 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 206 | 289 | 354 | 643 | 148 | 278 | 31 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 53% | 494 | 440 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 156 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 203 | 285 | 346 | 631 | 143 | 275 | 32 | 9 | 284 | 79 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | CWS | 34% | 125 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 284 | 347 | 631 | 147 | 278 | 33 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | CWS | 48% | 198 | 175 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 289 | 358 | 647 | 153 | 279 | 32 | 9 | 291 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | CWS | 53% | 240 | 212 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 208 | 292 | 365 | 657 | 156 | 281 | 32 | 9 | 295 | 85 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | CWS | 55% | 276 | 245 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 86 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 211 | 295 | 369 | 664 | 158 | 282 | 31 | 9 | 297 | 86 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 56% | 290 | 258 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 89 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 212 | 296 | 371 | 667 | 158 | 282 | 31 | 9 | 299 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 55% | 288 | 256 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 89 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 211 | 295 | 368 | 663 | 157 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 297 | 86 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 55% | 283 | 251 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 88 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 293 | 363 | 656 | 154 | 280 | 31 | 9 | 294 | 84 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 53% | 270 | 240 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 290 | 357 | 647 | 150 | 279 | 31 | 9 | 291 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 53% | 260 | 231 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 204 | 286 | 349 | 635 | 145 | 276 | 32 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2230 | 1979 | 414 | 77 | 13 | 68 | 201 | 699 | 33 | 57 | 16 | 209 | 293 | 364 | 657 | 155 | 283 | 31 | 9 | 293 | 79 | -43 | +5 | -4 | +8 | +48 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 59 | 204 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 210 | 295 | 366 | 660 | 156 | 284 | 31 | 9 | 293 | 79 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5518 | 4881 | 984 | 185 | 30 | 158 | 498 | 1794 | 88 | 200 | 47 | 202 | 287 | 349 | 636 | 147 | 279 | 33 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -92 | +12 | -9 | +16 | +98 | 2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 117 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 59 | 211 | 10 | 24 | 6 | 203 | 289 | 355 | 644 | 151 | 281 | 32 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -13 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 241 PAwOBA .349 → .267 (−83)K% 31.1% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 22.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .349 → .267; ISO .184 → .137; BABIP .365 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 170 PAwOBA .369 → .292 (−78)K% 28.2% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 9.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 7.03% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .369 → .292; ISO .188 → .165; BABIP .349 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 224 PAwOBA .323 → .255 (−68)K% 25.0% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.030 | 15.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.030 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.31% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×1.030 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .323 → .255; ISO .167 → .140; BABIP .288 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL White Sox · 180 PAwOBA .400 → .234 (−166)K% 38.3% → 55.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.33% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 55.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷0.993 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 16.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.012 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 12.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.81% | ÷1.076 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 7.90% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .400 → .234; ISO .266 → .146; BABIP .433 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL White Sox · 199 PAwOBA .426 → .254 (−172)K% 14.1% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.07% | ÷1.073 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.57% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.90% | ÷1.045 | ×0.680 | ×0.955 | ×1.008 | 13.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.013 | ×0.600 | ×0.955 | ×1.008 | 4.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.955 | ×1.008 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.233 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 2.80% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 115, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .426 → .254; ISO .267 → .124; BABIP .323 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).