Javier Mogollon

2B Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 160 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#983ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCWS180.259/.408/.52481645—.135/.246/.276
202519ACWS224.220/.347/.38751559—.174/.275/.313
202620A+/ACWS411.262/.373/.448143674—.202/.287/.337
2027PROJMLE21MLBCWS521.193/.277/.328131972-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCWS125.200/.284/.3474478-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCWS198.205/.289/.35866820.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$5M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%76
wRC+75
wOBA72
ISO68
Speed67
Chase%35
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 3.5, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%
CompsSean Coyle (age 21) · Max Wagner (age 22) · Jeter Downs (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .275 / .325
PA210
HR5
SB8
K%34
BB%9
ISO136
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.30.40.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$3M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$5M+0.3$0.8M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.8M $4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL White Sox — 199165 5210210 27284 112 3154235821.005 267323 1414 431 58 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL White Sox — 180143 371408 33693 160 259408524932 266433 3818 408 45 — — — — — —
202519 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 224186 411035 30566 156 220347387734 167288 2513 331 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 170138 37507 25483 133 268392457848 188349 2815 372 84 — — — — — —
202620 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 241206 531137 28755 235 257360442802 184365 3112 356 67 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL White Sox — 199173 31614 19324 112 179276295570 116187 1610 254 58 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL White Sox — 180156 21705 201003 160 135246276521 141308 5611 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 224195 34825 21756 156 174275313588 138248 339 255 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 170148 32406 15633 133 216301365666 149295 379 292 84 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 241214 41825 201025 235 192276318594 126330 428 267 67 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL White Sox — 199173 31614 19324 112 179276295570 116193 1610 254 58 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL White Sox — 199165 5210210 27284 112 3154235821.005 267323 1414 431 58 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL White Sox — 180156 21705 201003 160 135246276521 141308 5611 234 45 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL White Sox — 180143 371408 33693 160 259408524932 266433 3818 408 45 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 224195 34825 21756 156 174275313588 138252 339 255 59 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 224186 411035 30566 156 220347387734 167288 2513 331 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 411362 7312211 351658 368 202286337623 135325 409 277 74 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 411344 9016314 531238 368 262373448821 186358 3013 362 74 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL White Sox — 199174 31614 19324 112 178276293569 115187 1610 254 58 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL White Sox — 180155 21705 201003 160 135246277523 142308 5611 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 224195 34825 21756 156 174275313588 138248 339 255 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 411365 7312211 351658 368 200286334621 134316 409 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL White Sox — 180155 21705 201003 160 135246277523 142308 5611 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 224195 34825 21756 156 174275313588 138248 339 255 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 411365 7312211 351658 368 200286334621 134316 409 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECWS 0% 521463 8917313 451788 195 193277328605 136275 349 274 72 -18 +2 -4 +2 +11 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECWS 34% 364323 6412210 321216 133 199283344628 145277 339 283 78 -10 +1 -2 +1 +8 -0.1
202923 MLB MLECWS 48% 408363 7414212 361326 133 204288355643 151279 329 289 82 -9 +1 -1 +1 +9 0.2
203024 MLB MLECWS 53% 455404 8415314 411447 143 207292362653 154280 329 293 85 -8 +2 -0 +2 +10 0.5
203125 MLB MLECWS 55% 505446 9417316 461578 154 210294366659 156281 319 296 86 -8 +1 -0 +2 +11 0.6
203226 MLB MLECWS 56% 521461 9818316 471608 144 211295368663 156281 319 297 87 -8 +1 -0 +2 +11 0.6
203327 MLB MLECWS 55% 523463 9818316 471618 143 210294365659 154281 319 296 86 -9 +2 -0 +2 +11 0.6
203428 MLB MLECWS 55% 518459 9618315 471617 123 208292360652 152279 319 293 84 -10 +1 -1 +2 +11 0.4
203529 MLB MLECWS 53% 506449 9317315 451587 103 206289354643 148278 319 289 82 -11 +1 -1 +2 +11 0.1
203630 MLB MLECWS 53% 494440 8816214 441567 93 203285346631 143275 329 284 79 -13 +1 -2 +2 +11 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXCWS 34% 125111 23414 11412 41 200284347631 147278 339 284 78 -3 +0 -1 +0 +3 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXCWS 48% 198175 36716 18643 62 205289358647 153279 329 291 82 -4 +0 -0 +1 +4 0.1
203024 MLB CTXCWS 53% 240212 43817 22764 72 208292365657 156281 329 295 85 -4 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.2
203125 MLB CTXCWS 55% 276245 531029 25864 82 211295369664 158282 319 297 86 -5 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.3
203226 MLB CTXCWS 56% 290258 551029 26894 82 212296371667 158282 319 299 87 -4 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.4
203327 MLB CTXCWS 55% 288256 541029 26894 72 211295368663 157281 319 297 86 -5 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.3
203428 MLB CTXCWS 55% 283251 541029 26884 72 209293363656 154280 319 294 84 -5 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.2
203529 MLB CTXCWS 53% 270240 49918 24844 52 207290357647 150279 319 291 82 -6 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.0
203630 MLB CTXCWS 53% 260231 47917 23824 51 204286349635 145276 329 286 79 -7 +1 -1 +1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22301979 414771368 20169933 5716 209293364657 155283 319 293 79 -43 +5 -4 +8 +48 1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 12122420 5920410 175 210295366660 156284 319 293 79 -13 +1 -1 +2 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 55184881 98418530158 498179488 20047 202287349636 147279 339 285 79 -92 +12 -9 +16 +98 2.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 11722419 5921110 246 203289355644 151281 329 285 79 -13 +2 -1 +2 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 241 PAwOBA .349 → .267 (−83)K% 31.1% → 42.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.12%÷1.000×1.360——42.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.62%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0158.14%
HBP% /PA2.07%—×0.780—×1.0151.64%
Singles /BIP24.43%÷1.000×0.920×1.004×1.01522.89%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷1.000×0.830×1.004×1.0157.10%
Triples /BIP2.29%÷1.000×0.910×1.004×1.0152.12%
Home runs /BIP5.34%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0154.34%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .349 → .267; ISO .184 → .137; BABIP .365 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 170 PAwOBA .369 → .292 (−78)K% 28.2% → 37.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.24%÷1.000×1.310——36.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.71%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0279.06%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.770—×1.0271.40%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.000×0.870×0.972×1.02724.12%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.780×0.972×1.0274.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.972×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP7.78%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0277.03%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .369 → .292; ISO .188 → .165; BABIP .349 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 224 PAwOBA .323 → .255 (−68)K% 25.0% → 33.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.009×1.360——33.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.39%÷1.030×0.690—×1.0309.24%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.780—×1.0302.15%
Singles /BIP17.69%÷1.018×0.920×0.951×1.03015.68%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.992×0.830×0.951×1.0306.31%
Triples /BIP2.31%÷1.091×0.910×0.951×1.0301.89%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷0.853×0.800—×1.0303.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .323 → .255; ISO .167 → .140; BABIP .288 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL White Sox · 180 PAwOBA .400 → .234 (−166)K% 38.3% → 55.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.33%÷0.990×1.440——55.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.33%÷1.017×0.620—×1.00811.26%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.720—×1.0081.21%
Singles /BIP20.27%÷0.993×0.820×0.950×1.00816.02%
Doubles /BIP18.92%÷1.012×0.720×0.950×1.00812.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×0.950×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP10.81%÷1.076×0.780—×1.0087.90%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .400 → .234; ISO .266 → .146; BABIP .433 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL White Sox · 199 PAwOBA .426 → .254 (−172)K% 14.1% → 16.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.07%÷1.073×1.220——16.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.57%÷1.030×0.700—×1.0089.29%
HBP% /PA2.01%—×0.700—×1.0081.42%
Singles /BIP21.90%÷1.045×0.680×0.955×1.00813.71%
Doubles /BIP7.30%÷1.013×0.600×0.955×1.0084.16%
Triples /BIP1.46%÷1.150×0.600×0.955×1.0080.73%
Home runs /BIP7.30%÷1.233×0.470—×1.0082.80%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 115, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .426 → .254; ISO .267 → .124; BABIP .323 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).