Adan Moreno — OGILVIE

Adan Moreno P ACL Padres

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.4%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	13	10	43	197	34	20	2	77%	3.3	11.7%	12.7%	-1.0%	1.6%	4.19	4.57	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	13	10	43	197	34	20	2	77%	3.3	11.7%	12.7%	-1.0%	1.6%	4.19	4.57	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	13	10	43	197	34	20	2	77%	3.3	17.3%	10.2%	7.1%	1.0%	4.19	3.52	—
2024	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	0	2	9	2	1	0	0%	1.7	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.63	—
2024	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	0	2	9	2	1	0	0%	1.7	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.63	—
2024	19	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	0	2	9	2	1	0	0%	1.7	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.50	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	8	6	15	70	14	7	2	75%	1.9	13.6%	12.5%	1.1%	3.9%	6.46	5.69	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	8	6	15	70	14	7	2	75%	1.9	13.6%	12.5%	1.1%	3.9%	6.46	5.69	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	8	6	15	70	14	7	2	75%	1.9	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	2.9%	6.46	4.34	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	SD	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	4	4	20	84	18	9	2	100%	5.0	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	2.9%	4.67	4.58	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	SD	2	2	10	42	9	4	1	100%	5.0	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	2.9%	4.67	4.58	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	4	1	100%	4.9	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	2.9%	4.67	4.20	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	183	81	20	100%	5.1	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	2.9%	4.67	4.20	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		22	16	60	276	35	35	6	73%	2.7	12.6%	12.6%	-0.0%	2.1%	4.65	4.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	53	200	920	115	116	19	73%	2.7	12.6%	12.6%	-0.0%	2.1%	4.65	4.79	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adan Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.4%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.58	21.6%	11.3%	20	-0.29	—	—	—
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	84
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	83
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	82
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	79
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	79
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	79
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	79
Jonathan Petit R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.3%	9.1%	3.2%	.272	5.11	15.6%	2.4%	113	+0.47	2.70	189	78
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	78
Jose Gonzalez R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	21	SP-	4.11	16.0%	10.4%	1.9%	.318	3.51	21.0%	14.0%	293	-0.60	2.47	369	78
Zach Haake R 2018 · 4.13 FIP	21	SP	4.13	16.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.205	4.54	20.2%	6.8%	121	+0.41	3.44	272	77
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	899	77
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	77
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	77
Pedro Reyes R 2023 · 4.17 FIP	20	SP-	4.17	18.0%	9.2%	2.6%	.159	4.92	11.0%	0.5%	90	+0.75	2.87	180	77
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	77
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	77
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	76
Aneury Lora R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	18	SP	3.95	16.6%	11.1%	1.5%	.339	3.72	15.1%	5.9%	114	-0.23	3.69	192	76