Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 13 | 13 | 55 | 225 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 3.79 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 13 | 13 | 55 | 225 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.6% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 1.8% | 3.79 | 3.32 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 12 | 3 | 20 | 93 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 1.7 | 15.4% | 13.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 8.10 | 5.66 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 12 | 3 | 20 | 93 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 1.7 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 8.10 | 4.45 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 10 | 9 | 32 | 143 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 90% | 3.2 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.01 | 4.66 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 10 | 9 | 32 | 143 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 90% | 3.2 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 5.01 | 3.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | CWS | 4 | 4 | 18 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 25 | 107 | 461 | 64 | 49 | 11 | 71% | 3.1 | 13.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.96 | 4.56 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 47 | 200 | 862 | 119 | 91 | 20 | 71% | 3.1 | 13.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.96 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Denny Lima (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.25 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 84 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 82 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 81 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 81 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 81 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2028 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 80 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 80 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Miguelangel Boadas R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.44 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 1.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 129 | 79 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 79 |
| Grant Holman R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 78 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 78 |
| Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 78 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 78 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 78 |
| Colin Fields R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 78 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 77 |
| Jared Karros R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 77 |