Daniel Martinez
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 28
RHP
5'11" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP77
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 1 | 26 | 105 | 29 | 12 | 1 | 6% | 1.6 | 20.3% | 16.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 3.12 | 3.41 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 1 | 26 | 105 | 29 | 12 | 1 | 6% | 1.6 | 27.6% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 1.0% | 3.12 | 2.75 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 4 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 75% | 3.8 | 15.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.35 | 4.15 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 4 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 75% | 3.8 | 20.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 1.5% | 2.35 | 3.30 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 5 | 58 | 298 | 61 | 29 | 13 | 25% | 2.9 | 14.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.69 | 5.84 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 5 | 58 | 298 | 61 | 29 | 13 | 25% | 2.9 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 8.69 | 5.41 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 30 | 1 | 39 | 188 | 35 | 26 | 12 | 3% | 1.3 | 14.3% | 15.9% | -1.6% | 9.0% | 9.00 | 8.83 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 30 | 1 | 39 | 188 | 35 | 26 | 12 | 3% | 1.3 | 18.6% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.00 | 7.31 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 20 | 111 | 471 | 116 | 36 | 8 | 83% | 4.6 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.50 | 3.68 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 20 | 111 | 471 | 116 | 36 | 8 | 83% | 4.6 | 24.6% | 7.6% | 17.0% | 1.7% | 3.50 | 2.92 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 2 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 50% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 21.6% | -2.7% | 5.4% | 9.82 | 7.21 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 2 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 50% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 21.6% | -2.7% | 5.4% | 9.82 | 8.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 73 | 0 | 77 | 324 | 74 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 70 | 0 | 73 | 309 | 70 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 65 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 271 | 60 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.69 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.69 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 94 | 0 | 98 | 416 | 93 | 41 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.28 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 31 | 256 | 1167 | 199 | 136 | 43 | 32% | 2.7 | 17.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.18 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 24 | 200 | 911 | 155 | 106 | 34 | 32% | 2.7 | 17.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.18 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.62 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 206 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 84 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 81 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 80 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 76 |
| Phil Klein R 2025 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.17 | 24.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 178 | 76 |
| Elian Leyva R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 76 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 76 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 75 |
| Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 523 | 74 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 74 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 74 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 73 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 73 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.42 | 24.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .321 | 5.26 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 146 | +1.84 | 3.14 | 406 | 73 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 73 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.59 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 302 | 73 |
| Jesse Scholtens R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.22 | 19.1% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.24 | 3.13 | 825 | 72 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 72 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% | .329 | 3.99 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 157 | -1.10 | 3.39 | 382 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 71 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 1.23 | 4.48 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |