Robinson Ventura prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Robinson Ventura P DSL LAD Bautista

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 169 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 4 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.01

FIP6.01

K%22.3%

BB%21.9%

K-BB%0.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	5	0	3	22	2	7	0	0%	0.7	9.1%	31.8%	-22.7%	0.0%	21.60	6.36	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	5	0	3	22	2	7	0	0%	0.7	9.1%	31.8%	-22.7%	0.0%	21.60	6.36	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	5	0	3	22	2	7	0	0%	0.7	9.1%	31.8%	-22.7%	0.0%	21.60	8.20	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	8	59	11	20	0	0%	0.7	12.7%	42.4%	-29.7%	0.0%	27.00	7.40	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	8	59	11	20	0	0%	0.7	12.7%	42.4%	-29.7%	0.0%	27.00	7.40	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	8	59	11	20	0	0%	0.7	18.6%	33.9%	-15.3%	0.0%	27.00	8.06	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	20	MLB	LAD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.3%	21.9%	0.4%	3.0%	6.01	6.01	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAD	19	0	20	84	19	15	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	5.62	5.47	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	LAD	10	0	10	42	10	8	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	5.62	5.47	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	8	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	5.62	5.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	163	20	0%	1.1	22.8%	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	5.62	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		16	0	11	81	9	32	0	0%	0.7	11.7%	39.5%	-27.8%	0.0%	25.36	7.12	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		291	0	200	1473	172	582	0	0%	0.7	11.7%	39.5%	-27.8%	0.0%	25.36	7.12	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robinson Ventura (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.01	22.3%	21.9%	3.0%	—	5.47	22.8%	4.5%	20	-0.54	—	—	—
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	87
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	86
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	85
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	84
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	84
Edgar Isea R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	20	SU	6.17	24.2%	27.6%	2.9%	.310	4.90	20.6%	-4.4%	76	-1.27	4.50	162	84
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	84
Adrian Rodriguez R 2021 · 6.92 FIP	20	SU	6.92	23.1%	34.0%	2.7%	.368	5.46	23.1%	-1.6%	93	-1.46	2.43	148	84
Andrew Marrero R 2021 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	21.7%	22.0%	1.9%	.395	4.61	24.3%	9.1%	148	-0.48	3.45	221	83
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	82
Junior Flores R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	19	SU	5.28	20.5%	24.1%	1.6%	.220	4.93	14.5%	-3.9%	92	-0.35	4.87	110	82
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	81
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	80
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	79
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	79
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	79
Walker Brockhouse R 2021 · 6.65 FIP	22	SU	6.65	20.2%	19.7%	5.0%	.265	4.69	19.3%	3.2%	111	-1.96	4.24	126	79
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	79
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	79
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	79