Liosward Marin — OGILVIE

Liosward MarinC FCL Red Sox

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 158 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$16M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	74	65	11	1	0	1	7	14	0	0	1	169	250	231	481	62	192	19	9	222	36	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	106	83	23	6	0	0	17	17	3	1	0	277	417	349	767	72	333	16	16	351	123	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	25	24	6	4	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	250	280	417	697	167	333	24	4	306	93	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	74	68	9	1	0	1	4	20	0	0	1	132	181	191	372	59	161	27	5	168	0	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	106	90	19	4	0	0	10	24	3	1	0	211	311	256	566	44	263	23	9	263	64	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	25	24	3	2	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	125	160	208	368	83	234	36	4	177	6	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	74	68	9	1	0	1	4	20	0	0	1	132	181	191	372	59	163	27	5	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	74	65	11	1	0	1	7	14	0	0	1	169	250	231	481	62	192	19	9	222	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	106	90	19	4	0	0	10	24	3	1	0	211	311	256	566	44	275	23	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	106	83	23	6	0	0	17	17	3	1	0	277	417	349	767	72	333	16	16	351	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	25	24	3	2	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	125	160	208	368	83	200	36	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	25	24	6	4	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	250	280	417	697	167	333	24	4	306	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	74	70	9	1	0	1	4	20	0	0	1	129	181	186	366	57	161	27	5	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	106	92	19	4	0	0	10	24	3	1	0	207	311	250	561	43	263	23	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	25	24	3	2	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	125	160	208	368	83	234	36	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	74	70	9	1	0	1	4	20	0	0	1	129	181	186	366	57	161	27	5	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	106	92	19	4	0	0	10	24	3	1	0	207	311	250	561	43	263	23	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	25	24	3	2	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	125	160	208	368	83	234	36	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	BOS	—	97	85	21	5	0	4	10	26	1	13	3	247	333	447	780	200	304	27	10	331	110	+1	+1	+0	+2	+2	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	BOS	—	97	79	26	7	0	5	16	18	1	13	3	329	448	608	1.056	278	368	19	16	453	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	BOS	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	22	11	289	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	BOS	—	106	93	22	5	0	4	11	28	1	13	3	237	324	419	743	183	290	26	10	327	108	+1	+1	+0	+2	+2	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	129	116	27	5	1	3	11	33	1	3	1	233	305	371	675	138	289	26	9	295	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	271	243	55	11	1	6	23	69	3	7	2	226	301	354	655	128	290	25	8	300	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	371	333	77	15	2	9	31	93	4	9	2	231	304	369	674	138	291	25	8	303	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	440	396	92	18	2	11	37	110	4	11	3	232	304	371	676	139	292	25	8	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	480	431	100	20	2	12	41	120	5	12	3	232	306	371	677	139	292	25	9	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+10	1.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	503	450	105	21	2	13	43	125	5	12	3	233	307	376	683	142	292	25	9	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	514	460	107	21	2	13	44	129	5	13	3	233	306	372	678	139	292	25	9	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	516	461	107	21	2	13	45	130	5	12	3	232	307	371	678	139	291	25	9	304	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	511	456	106	21	2	13	45	130	5	12	3	232	308	373	681	140	290	25	9	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	503	449	102	20	2	12	44	129	5	11	3	227	303	361	664	134	289	26	9	300	89	-7	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	475	425	96	19	2	11	42	123	5	10	2	226	303	358	661	132	287	26	9	296	86	-8	+1	-3	+8	+10	1.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	445	399	88	17	2	10	39	117	4	9	2	221	296	348	645	128	283	26	9	290	82	-9	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.6
2039	33	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	404	362	78	15	1	9	35	108	4	8	2	215	292	337	629	122	279	27	9	283	78	-11	+1	-4	+7	+9	0.2
2040	34	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	351	315	65	12	1	7	30	96	3	7	2	206	282	317	599	111	273	27	9	274	72	-12	+1	-5	+6	+8	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	44	40	9	2	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	295	25	9	290	86	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	131	118	28	6	1	3	11	33	1	3	1	237	308	381	689	144	296	25	8	295	89	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	201	180	43	9	1	5	17	51	2	5	1	239	312	383	695	144	297	25	8	298	91	-2	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	244	219	52	11	1	6	21	61	2	6	1	237	310	379	689	142	298	25	9	300	92	-2	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	269	241	58	12	1	7	23	67	3	7	2	241	315	386	700	145	298	25	9	300	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	283	254	60	12	1	7	24	71	3	7	2	236	310	374	684	138	298	25	8	301	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	284	255	60	12	1	7	24	71	3	7	2	235	309	373	681	137	298	25	8	301	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	283	253	59	12	1	7	25	71	3	7	2	233	310	372	681	138	297	25	9	300	92	-3	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	273	244	58	12	1	7	24	69	3	6	2	238	314	381	695	143	296	25	9	298	91	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2036	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	265	237	54	11	1	6	23	68	3	6	1	228	304	359	663	131	295	26	9	295	89	-3	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2037	31	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	268	240	55	11	1	6	23	69	3	6	1	229	305	358	663	129	293	26	9	291	86	-4	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	263	235	54	11	1	6	23	69	3	5	1	230	307	362	668	132	289	26	9	286	82	-6	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	247	222	48	9	1	5	21	66	2	5	1	216	290	333	623	117	285	27	9	279	78	-7	+1	-3	+4	+5	0.1
2040	34	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	198	177	38	7	1	4	17	54	2	4	1	215	291	333	624	119	278	27	9	270	72	-7	+0	-3	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3253	2915	676	137	13	77	280	831	33	75	18	232	306	367	673	135	297	26	9	294	86	-46	+8	-11	+58	+70	8.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	135	27	3	15	56	166	7	15	4	232	307	366	673	134	297	26	9	294	86	-9	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6127	5486	1237	243	24	143	526	1567	61	137	35	225	300	357	657	131	287	26	9	296	86	-83	+14	-20	+106	+128	14.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	132	26	3	15	56	166	6	15	4	227	301	359	660	132	289	26	9	296	86	-9	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.0	3,296	79	76	228	300	363	+59	+36	10.9	9.2
/162	664	16	15	+11.9	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Liosward Marin (OGILVIE)	20	45→50	41→46	55→60	61	221/293/345	123	290	1	2	27%	8%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50→51	46→45	49→50	47	248/302/374	126	296	14	11	21%	7%	91	+0.7	233/316/354	121	279	10	13	19%	9%	92	+0.7	238/315/361	123	274	12	9	17%	8%	91	+0.6
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→52	42→60	54→60	45	242/287/364	122	283	8	14	18%	5%	82	+0.0	248/294/362	114	306	9	25	21%	5%	85	+0.2	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	51→59	41→40	50	44	246/290/344	98	299	8	12	20%	6%	79	-0.2	259/306/352	93	311	6	10	18%	6%	86	+0.3	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	68	-1.0	243/281/377	134	290	14	6	21%	5%	84	+0.1	251/302/378	128	291	13	2	18%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A	21	47→49	44→50	51→50	42	227/284/347	121	310	11	11	30%	7%	78	-0.3	234/294/372	138	318	14	11	29%	7%	88	+0.4	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	82	-0.0	222/294/296	74	305	5	6	26%	7%	71	-0.8	277/346/357	80	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	85	+0.2	231/279/321	90	301	5	7	24%	6%	70	-0.9	236/282/326	90	306	4	6	23%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	225/290/318	93	285	7	6	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/312/324	81	312	5	4	22%	8%	83	+0.1	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	215/270/339	125	281	10	8	27%	7%	71	-0.8	232/297/337	105	300	8	4	23%	9%	80	-0.1	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Robert Hassell III 2022 · A	20	51→53	44→45	55	47	245/311/372	127	329	11	19	28%	8%	94	+0.9	224/286/321	97	321	9	16	30%	8%	73	-0.6	228/280/309	81	303	8	19	26%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	53→60	41	234/277/341	106	294	10	12	24%	5%	74	-0.6	244/290/338	94	290	7	24	18%	5%	78	-0.3	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps