Liosward Marin

C FCL Red Sox
Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 158 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#769ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Red Sox B…106.277/.417/.3490154—.193/.311/.239
202519ROKBOS25.250/.280/.417007—.125/.160/.208
202620ROKBOS97.329/.448/.608513109—.247/.333/.447
2027PROJMLE21MLBBOS207.215/.283/.31735700.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBBOS36.225/.294/.33911750.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBBOS88.229/.297/.34922780.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO96
wOBA92
wRC+92
Whiff%74
K%64
BB%58
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsCarlos Rodriguez (age 21) · Bo Naylor (age 21) · Carlos Vidal (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .281 / .315
PA53
HR1
K%27
BB%8
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.50.50.40.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2037Arb-2$0.7M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 7465 11101 7140 01 169250231481 62192 199 222 -10 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 10683 23600 17173 10 277417349767 72333 1616 351 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Red Sox — 2524 6400 160 00 250280417697 167333 244 306 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Red Sox — 9779 26705 16181 133 3294486081.056 278368 1916 453 109 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 7467 9101 5170 01 134194194388 60136 237 154 -10 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 10688 17400 12213 10 193311239549 45221 2011 248 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 2524 3200 190 00 125160208368 83235 364 178 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9785 21504 10261 133 247333447780 200290 2710 330 109 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 7467 9101 5170 01 134194194388 60157 237 154 -10 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Red — 7465 11101 7140 01 169250231481 62192 199 222 -10 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 10688 17400 12213 10 193311239549 45243 2011 248 54 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Blue — 10683 23600 17173 10 277417349767 72333 1616 351 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 2524 3200 190 00 125160208368 83200 364 178 7 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 2524 6400 160 00 250280417697 167333 244 306 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9785 21504 10261 133 247333447780 200304 2710 330 109 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 9779 26705 16181 133 3294486081.056 278368 1916 453 109 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 7469 9101 5170 01 130194188383 58136 237 154 -10 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 10690 17400 12213 10 189311233544 44221 2011 248 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 2524 3200 190 00 125160208368 83235 364 178 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9786 21504 10261 133 244333442775 198290 2710 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 10690 17400 12213 10 189311233544 44221 2011 248 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 2524 3200 190 00 125160208368 83235 364 178 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9786 21504 10261 133 244333442775 198290 2710 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEBOS 0% 207187 40813 16562 51 215283317601 103287 278 272 70 -7 +1 +0 +4 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEBOS 34% 10494 21412 8281 21 219288329617 111288 278 279 75 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202923 MLB MLEBOS 48% 182164 36713 14482 41 222291339630 117290 268 284 78 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203024 MLB MLEBOS 53% 267241 541115 21703 71 225294347641 123291 268 289 81 -6 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.6
203125 MLB MLEBOS 55% 330298 671327 26863 82 226296353650 127291 268 292 84 -6 +1 +0 +6 +7 0.8
203226 MLB MLEBOS 56% 370334 761528 29954 92 228298358656 130291 268 294 85 -7 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.9
203327 MLB MLEBOS 55% 387349 791628 311004 92 227297355652 129290 268 293 84 -7 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.9
203428 MLB MLEBOS 55% 393355 801628 311034 92 225295351645 126289 268 290 82 -8 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.8
203529 MLB MLEBOS 53% 388350 781528 311024 92 222292344636 122288 268 286 80 -9 +1 -1 +7 +8 0.6
203630 MLB MLEBOS 57% 380344 751527 301023 82 219288336624 117286 278 281 77 -11 +1 -2 +7 +8 0.3
203731 MLB MLEBOS 60% 349316 671316 27953 73 215283327610 112282 278 275 73 -11 +0 -3 +6 +8 -0.0
202822 MLB CTXBOS 34% 3633 8201 3100 10 225294339633 114299 288 285 75 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202923 MLB CTXBOS 48% 8880 18402 7231 20 229297349646 120300 268 291 78 -2 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
203024 MLB CTXBOS 53% 141128 30613 11371 31 231300357657 126301 268 295 81 -3 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.3
203125 MLB CTXBOS 55% 181163 38814 14472 41 233302363665 130301 268 298 84 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.4
203226 MLB CTXBOS 56% 206186 43914 16532 51 235304368671 133301 268 301 85 -4 +1 +0 +4 +4 0.5
203327 MLB CTXBOS 55% 213192 461015 17552 51 233303365668 132300 268 299 84 -4 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203428 MLB CTXBOS 55% 215194 451014 17562 51 231301360661 129299 268 296 82 -5 +1 -0 +4 +5 0.4
203529 MLB CTXBOS 53% 207187 43914 16552 51 229298354652 125298 278 293 80 -5 +1 -1 +4 +4 0.3
203630 MLB CTXBOS 57% 217196 451014 17582 51 226294346640 120296 278 288 77 -6 +1 -1 +4 +5 0.2
203731 MLB CTXBOS 60% 208188 42914 16562 42 221289336625 115292 278 282 73 -7 +0 -2 +4 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 17121547 35877835 13445016 399 231299359659 128302 268 294 78 -40 +4 -4 +31 +37 2.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 13529313 511716 153 230298356654 126300 268 294 78 -15 +2 -2 +12 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 35053157 6931391668 28091636 8722 220291338629 119285 268 283 78 -75 +7 -7 +57 +69 5.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 12926313 521707 164 221292342634 121286 268 283 78 -15 +2 -1 +12 +14 1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 97 PAwOBA .446 → .330 (−116)K% 18.6% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.56%÷1.000×1.440——26.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.49%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99510.18%
HBP% /PA1.03%—×0.720—×0.9950.74%
Singles /BIP22.95%÷1.000×0.820×1.027×0.99519.23%
Doubles /BIP11.48%÷1.000×0.720×1.027×0.9958.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.027×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP8.20%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9956.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .446 → .330; ISO .278 → .211; BABIP .368 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 25 PAwOBA .297 → .178 (−119)K% 24.0% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.00%÷0.965×1.440——35.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.00%÷0.988×0.620—×1.0082.53%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷1.033×0.820—×1.0088.88%
Doubles /BIP22.22%÷1.101×0.720—×1.00814.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.815×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .297 → .178; ISO .167 → .094; BABIP .333 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 106 PAwOBA .349 → .248 (−101)K% 16.0% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.04%÷1.004×1.220——19.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.09%÷0.976×0.700—×1.00810.90%
HBP% /PA2.83%—×0.700—×1.0082.00%
Singles /BIP25.76%÷0.998×0.680×1.009×1.00817.84%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.080×0.600×1.009×1.0085.14%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.031×0.600×1.009×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.992×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .349 → .248; ISO .072 → .044; BABIP .333 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 74 PAwOBA .222 → .154 (−68)K% 18.9% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.92%÷0.983×1.220——23.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.46%÷1.029×0.700—×1.0226.58%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.001×0.680×1.032×1.02212.65%
Doubles /BIP1.96%÷0.951×0.600×1.032×1.0221.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.136×0.600×1.032×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷0.856×0.470—×1.0221.10%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 100, 2B 90, 3B 127, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .222 → .154; ISO .062 → .037; BABIP .192 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).