Gabriel Colmenarez

P ACL Brewers

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKDSL Brewers 1	9	7	24	3.33	4.05	17.3%	14.5%	—	K 11.7% · BB 18.2% · FIP 5.05
2025	19	ROKMIL	8	5	32	3.09	3.29	20.7%	8.9%	—	K 14.1% · BB 11.1% · FIP 4.49
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIL	4	4	18	4.79	4.79	20.9%	11.4%	0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIL	3	3	15	4.61	4.52	22.1%	10.3%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsGabe Bierman (age 21) · Chad Donato (age 22) · Ryan Atkinson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%20.9%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	10	7	38	153	26	15	0	70%	3.8	11.6%	12.3%	-0.7%	0.0%	3.11	3.68	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	10	7	38	153	26	15	0	70%	3.8	17.0%	9.8%	7.2%	0.0%	3.11	2.91	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	9	7	24	110	19	16	1	78%	2.7	11.7%	18.2%	-6.4%	1.2%	3.33	5.05	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	9	7	24	110	19	16	1	78%	2.7	11.7%	18.2%	-6.4%	1.2%	3.33	5.05	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	9	7	24	110	19	16	1	78%	2.7	17.3%	14.5%	2.7%	0.9%	3.33	4.05	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	8	5	32	135	28	12	2	62%	4.0	14.1%	11.1%	3.0%	2.1%	3.09	4.49	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	8	5	32	135	28	12	2	62%	4.0	14.1%	11.1%	3.0%	2.1%	3.09	4.49	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	8	5	32	135	28	12	2	62%	4.0	20.7%	8.9%	11.9%	1.5%	3.09	3.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIL	4	4	18	76	16	9	2	100%	4.5	20.9%	11.4%	9.5%	3.0%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	6	6	30	128	28	13	4	100%	5.0	22.1%	10.3%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.52	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	3	3	15	63	14	7	2	100%	5.0	22.1%	10.3%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.52	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	63	14	6	2	100%	4.9	22.1%	10.3%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.14	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	189	81	27	100%	5.1	22.1%	10.3%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.14	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		27	19	94	398	50	54	4	70%	3.5	12.5%	13.5%	-1.0%	1.0%	3.16	4.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	40	200	847	106	114	9	70%	3.5	12.5%	13.5%	-1.0%	1.0%	3.16	4.33	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Colmenarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	20.9%	11.4%	3.0%	—	4.52	22.1%	11.8%	30	-0.27	—	—	—
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	91
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	87
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	86
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	83
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	82
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	82
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	82
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	81
Joshua Quezada R 2024 · 4.46 FIP	20	SP-	4.46	18.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.293	4.03	19.6%	10.8%	80	-0.43	3.61	161	81
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	81
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	81
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	80
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	80
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	80
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	80
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	80
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	80
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	80
Robert Colina R 2022 · 4.09 FIP	21	SP-	4.09	20.5%	10.8%	2.5%	.366	3.37	22.3%	15.2%	61	-0.72	3.25	266	79