Jose Tovar — OGILVIE

Jose TovarC FCL Rays

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 168 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .295 / .289

PA74

HR1

K%24

BB%11

BABIP257

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
Totals		$14M		$36M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	124	18	2	1	1	14	68	4	0	1	145	254	202	455	56	304	48	10	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	114	26	4	2	2	24	47	4	0	1	228	380	351	731	123	364	33	17	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	170	147	33	7	1	0	14	36	6	3	1	224	317	286	603	61	289	21	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	170	139	40	10	1	0	22	25	6	3	1	288	407	374	781	86	342	15	13	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	146	129	14	4	1	0	15	51	0	2	1	109	201	155	356	47	179	35	10	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	146	120	20	6	2	0	24	34	0	2	1	167	306	250	556	83	233	23	16	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	TB	—	112	88	13	4	0	0	18	22	3	0	2	148	312	193	505	45	191	20	16	245	46	-7	-1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
YTD	20	ROK	TB	—	112	75	14	5	0	0	29	15	3	0	2	187	422	253	675	67	226	13	26	330	111	+1	-1	+0	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	20	ROK	TB	0%	74	65	13	3	0	1	8	18	1	1	1	198	295	289	584	91	263	24	11	269	64	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	259	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	TB	—	112	89	13	4	0	0	18	22	3	0	2	146	312	191	503	45	188	20	16	245	46	-7	-1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
TOT	20	ROK	TB	—	186	153	26	7	0	1	26	40	4	1	3	169	305	234	539	65	218	21	14	254	53	-10	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	228	199	42	9	1	3	24	53	3	3	2	211	305	312	617	101	267	23	11	281	73	-7	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	348	303	65	14	2	5	37	80	5	6	3	215	310	323	634	109	270	23	11	290	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	427	373	81	17	2	7	45	97	6	7	3	217	311	330	641	113	272	23	11	295	84	-8	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.2
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	480	421	92	19	2	9	50	109	6	9	4	219	310	337	648	119	274	23	10	298	86	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.5
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	509	443	99	20	3	10	54	115	7	9	4	223	317	350	667	126	274	23	11	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	520	453	101	21	3	10	55	117	7	10	5	223	317	349	665	126	273	22	11	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	520	453	101	21	3	10	55	118	7	10	5	223	317	349	665	126	273	23	11	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	520	452	100	20	3	10	56	118	7	9	4	221	317	345	662	124	273	23	11	299	87	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	520	452	98	20	2	10	56	119	7	9	4	217	313	336	649	119	272	23	11	297	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2036	30	MLB	TB	53%	514	446	96	20	2	9	56	119	7	9	4	215	312	330	642	114	271	23	11	295	84	-10	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2037	31	MLB	TB	52%	486	424	89	18	2	8	53	114	6	8	4	210	306	318	625	108	268	23	11	290	80	-11	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2038	32	MLB	TB	52%	454	396	82	17	2	7	49	109	6	7	3	207	304	313	617	106	265	24	11	285	76	-12	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.6
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	78	69	14	3	0	1	8	18	1	1	1	203	295	290	585	87	270	23	10	272	67	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	169	147	33	7	1	3	18	39	2	3	1	224	317	347	664	122	273	23	11	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	232	203	44	9	1	4	24	53	3	4	2	217	309	330	639	113	275	23	10	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	266	232	51	10	1	5	28	60	4	5	2	220	314	336	651	116	277	23	11	289	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	285	249	56	11	2	5	30	64	4	5	2	225	318	345	663	120	277	22	11	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	292	255	57	11	2	6	31	66	4	5	3	224	317	353	670	129	277	23	11	291	81	-6	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	288	251	56	11	2	5	31	65	4	5	3	223	318	343	661	120	276	23	11	291	81	-6	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	285	248	55	11	2	5	31	65	4	5	2	222	318	343	661	121	276	23	11	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	278	242	53	11	1	5	30	64	4	5	2	219	315	335	650	116	275	23	11	288	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2036	30	MLB	TB	53%	270	235	51	10	1	5	29	63	4	5	2	217	313	332	645	115	274	23	11	286	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2037	31	MLB	TB	52%	253	221	46	9	1	4	27	59	3	4	2	208	303	312	615	104	271	23	11	282	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2038	32	MLB	TB	52%	235	205	43	8	1	4	25	56	3	4	2	210	305	317	622	107	268	24	11	276	70	-8	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2931	2558	559	111	15	52	312	672	40	51	24	219	313	335	648	116	275	23	11	287	77	-75	+1	-6	+52	+83	5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	124	25	3	12	69	149	9	11	5	219	313	337	650	118	275	23	11	287	77	-17	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	6059	5280	1124	232	30	100	641	1441	85	102	49	213	308	325	633	112	271	24	11	289	79	-141	+1	-10	+108	+172	13.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	121	25	3	11	69	155	9	11	5	214	309	327	636	113	272	24	11	289	79	-15	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	114	26	4	2	2	24	47	4	0	1	228	380	351	731	123	364	33	17	339	118	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	170	139	40	10	1	0	22	25	6	3	1	288	407	374	781	86	342	15	13	356	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	146	120	20	6	2	0	24	34	0	2	1	167	306	250	556	83	233	23	16	264	60	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,067	54	53	218	309	336	+55	+28	8.2	7.1
	/162	664	12	12	218	309	336	+11.9	+6.1	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Tovar (OGILVIE)	20	44→49	28→33	45→50	65	169/305/234	65	218	1	1	21%	14%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	47	37→45	47→55	54	220/301/294	74	277	4	12	20%	10%	69	-0.4	211/284/306	95	333	9	15	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/268/287	93	319	11	18	39%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/288/307	89	289	3	11	24%	9%	66	-0.6	244/304/360	116	301	9	13	21%	7%	87	+0.8	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	66	-0.6	248/321/370	122	279	11	7	15%	7%	98	+1.6	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Tucker Barnhart 2011 · A	20	47→54	35→45	48→40	45	216/280/282	66	302	2	7	28%	8%	56	-1.3	225/284/304	79	292	4	3	22%	7%	63	-0.8	242/327/368	126	287	12	2	19%	11%	89	+0.7
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	225/290/318	93	285	7	6	23%	8%	70	-0.3	245/313/328	83	314	6	4	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Logan Watkins 2010 · A	20	50→52	36→40	50→55	48	229/306/299	69	323	3	7	28%	9%	72	-0.2	234/294/316	82	315	3	14	25%	7%	70	-0.3	238/303/328	90	315	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	231/304/321	90	315	3	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1	213/282/287	74	343	3	10	36%	7%	59	-1.1	171/249/199	28	339	0	12	45%	7%	20	-0.7
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→49	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	230/299/349	119	326	11	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	228/302/349	121	326	10	15	31%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	48→53	37→40	46→45	46	226/292/310	84	301	3	10	24%	7%	69	-0.4	240/291/327	87	298	5	8	20%	6%	72	-0.2	233/281/325	92	296	4	6	22%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	49	36→40	44→45	51	228/300/296	67	288	2	6	20%	8%	69	-0.4	194/255/265	71	271	5	5	28%	7%	42	-2.3	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	69	-0.4	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕José Godoy 2016 · A	21	50	36→45	48→30	50	233/297/301	67	280	4	5	18%	8%	69	-0.4	250/306/328	78	298	5	3	17%	6%	79	+0.3	260/316/340	80	308	6	2	17%	6%	83	+0.3
●Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	56	-1.3	245/295/352	107	322	5	15	24%	6%	81	+0.4	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
●Jordany Valdespin 2008 · A	20	43→53	37→50	49→55	48	202/278/277	75	266	4	10	24%	8%	56	-1.3	223/264/322	99	273	7	13	20%	5%	59	-1.1	256/296/403	147	298	17	28	20%	4%	92	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Jeffer Patino 2009 · A	20	49	39→45	41→45	49	231/298/323	92	280	5	6	19%	7%	75	-0.0	206/256/281	75	259	5	4	21%	6%	46	-2.0	182/221/238	56	229	5	2	22%	4%	17	-1.0