Jose TovarC
FCL Rays
Age 20
L/R
5'10" / 168 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.8 · 2032
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .289 / .323
PA122
HR2
K%28
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40↗45
PWR
28↗33
SPD
45↗50
EYE
54↗59
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.8 | $27M | +$26M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.8 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.7 | $27M | +$26M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.6 | $27M | +$22M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.3 | $25M | +$17M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +1.9 | $21M | +$12M |
| Totals | $25M | $155M | +$130M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 143 | 124 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .145 | .254 | .202 | .455 | .056 | .304 | 48 | 10 | .214 | 22 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays | 170 | 147 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .224 | .317 | .286 | .603 | .061 | .289 | 21 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | 146 | 129 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .109 | .201 | .155 | .356 | .047 | .177 | 34 | 10 | .167 | -14 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | TB | 122 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .289 | .321 | .610 | .110 | .288 | 29 | 9 | .280 | 73 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | TB | 205 | 182 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .300 | .341 | .641 | .121 | .289 | 27 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | TB | 330 | 291 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 86 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .230 | .315 | .371 | .686 | .141 | .290 | 26 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | TB | 415 | 365 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 105 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .230 | .318 | .375 | .693 | .145 | .291 | 25 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | TB | 472 | 414 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 118 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .234 | .324 | .386 | .711 | .152 | .291 | 25 | 10 | .317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | TB | 504 | 440 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 125 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .234 | .325 | .386 | .711 | .152 | .292 | 25 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.7 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | TB | 520 | 453 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 129 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .236 | .328 | .393 | .721 | .157 | .292 | 25 | 11 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.8 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TB | 520 | 453 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 130 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .236 | .328 | .393 | .721 | .157 | .292 | 25 | 11 | .322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TB | 520 | 452 | 106 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 131 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .235 | .328 | .392 | .720 | .157 | .292 | 25 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TB | 520 | 452 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 132 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .232 | .326 | .383 | .709 | .150 | .291 | 25 | 11 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TB | 513 | 446 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 56 | 132 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .231 | .325 | .381 | .706 | .150 | .290 | 26 | 11 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 2.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TB | 485 | 423 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 127 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .225 | .320 | .369 | .688 | .144 | .288 | 26 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TB | 454 | 396 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 50 | 121 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .222 | .317 | .364 | .681 | .141 | .287 | 27 | 11 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TB | 413 | 360 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 113 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .217 | .312 | .350 | .662 | .133 | .285 | 27 | 11 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | TB | 359 | 313 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 101 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .214 | .309 | .342 | .651 | .128 | .283 | 28 | 11 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | TB | 301 | 263 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 88 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .299 | .319 | .618 | .114 | .281 | 29 | 11 | .287 | 78 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | TB | 242 | 211 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .199 | .296 | .313 | .609 | .114 | .278 | 30 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2043 | 37 | MLB | TB | 183 | 160 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .194 | .287 | .294 | .581 | .100 | .274 | 31 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -8 | +1 | -7 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7537 | 6583 | 1462 | 272 | 41 | 183 | 795 | 2012 | 92 | 126 | 21 | .222 | .314 | .359 | .674 | .137 | .289 | 27 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -81 | +17 | -38 | +135 | +214 | 25.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 126 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 69 | 174 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .222 | .315 | .361 | .676 | .139 | .288 | 27 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 143 | 114 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .228 | .380 | .351 | .731 | .123 | .364 | 33 | 17 | .339 | 118 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays | 170 | 139 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .288 | .407 | .374 | .781 | .086 | .342 | 15 | 13 | .356 | 130 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | 146 | 120 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .167 | .306 | .250 | .556 | .083 | .233 | 23 | 16 | .264 | 60 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jose Tovar (OGILVIE) | 20 | 40→45 | 28→33 | 45→50 | 59 | .211/.289/.323 | .112 | .288 | 2 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A |
20 | 45→47 | 41→45 | 46→55 | 51 | .216/.301/.314 | .097 | .294 | 9 | 7 | 28% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 | .227/.294/.343 | .116 | .313 | 11 | 10 | 29% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.299/.352 | .124 | .336 | 11 | 21 | 33% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A |
20 | 45 | 37→40 | 47→40 | 49 | .211/.278/.287 | .076 | .265 | 3 | 4 | 21% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .229/.290/.332 | .103 | .270 | 9 | 4 | 18% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .264/.310/.326 | .062 | .295 | 2 | 0 | 11% | 6% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A |
21 | 49 | 38→45 | 49→50 | 54 | .230/.313/.315 | .085 | .291 | 5 | 8 | 21% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .213/.274/.290 | .077 | .279 | 3 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.252/.280 | .079 | .255 | 0 | 6 | 20% | 6% | 40 | -0.6 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Cole Young 2023 · A |
20 | 50→49 | 45 | 49→50 | 47 | .245/.300/.368 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .232/.316/.354 | .122 | .279 | 10 | 13 | 20% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .227/.316/.346 | .119 | .270 | 10 | 12 | 19% | 10% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A |
20 | 41→50 | 41→45 | 47→55 | 46 | .198/.271/.297 | .099 | .267 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.270/.283 | .085 | .271 | 5 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .229/.318/.327 | .099 | .300 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A |
20 | 48 | 40 | 50→45 | 49 | .226/.306/.321 | .095 | .306 | 6 | 7 | 26% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .222/.295/.296 | .074 | .304 | 5 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .272/.340/.355 | .083 | .316 | 4 | 2 | 14% | 7% | 101 | +0.6 |
|
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A |
20 | 38→47 | 43→50 | 46→50 | 46 | .188/.269/.299 | .110 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .198/.288/.331 | .133 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 74 | -0.1 | .206/.294/.357 | .151 | .275 | 17 | 10 | 30% | 11% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A |
21 | 43 | 41→50 | 42→45 | 48 | .206/.286/.310 | .104 | .297 | 8 | 6 | 31% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .180/.241/.263 | .083 | .269 | 8 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 36 | -2.7 | .183/.230/.260 | .077 | .238 | 8 | 4 | 26% | 5% | 28 | -1.0 |
|
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A |
20 | 51→58 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 51 | .245/.310/.342 | .096 | .296 | 8 | 15 | 20% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .235/.303/.332 | .097 | .280 | 8 | 11 | 18% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .263/.355/.386 | .123 | .307 | 11 | 2 | 17% | 11% | 113 | +2.8 |
|
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A |
20 | 47→55 | 40 | 50→40 | 47 | .224/.290/.318 | .093 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .241/.308/.323 | .082 | .307 | 6 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .246/.316/.311 | .065 | .316 | 4 | 2 | 22% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A |
21 | 48→53 | 42→50 | 51→55 | 42 | .228/.286/.337 | .109 | .309 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.293/.326 | .100 | .295 | 6 | 15 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 46→50 | 46→40 | 47 | .216/.283/.346 | .130 | .273 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .241/.299/.377 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .259/.317/.396 | .137 | .305 | 16 | 3 | 20% | 7% | 100 | +1.5 |
|
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A |
20 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 46 | .222/.285/.324 | .103 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .230/.313/.368 | .138 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 21% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .226/.311/.371 | .145 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 20% | 10% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A |
19 | 50→59 | 41→50 | 50 | 56 | .236/.325/.340 | .104 | .299 | 8 | 10 | 22% | 12% | 91 | +1.1 | .251/.334/.388 | .137 | .334 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 11% | 107 | +2.2 | .247/.330/.386 | .139 | .319 | 14 | 15 | 25% | 10% | 103 | +1.9 |
|
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A |
21 | 48→58 | 39→40 | 45 | 51 | .228/.304/.321 | .093 | .288 | 5 | 7 | 22% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .241/.330/.319 | .078 | .292 | 4 | 8 | 17% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .264/.349/.334 | .069 | .312 | 2 | 8 | 14% | 8% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A |
19 | 44→43 | 39→55 | 52→50 | 46 | .211/.278/.300 | .089 | .298 | 6 | 9 | 30% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.251/.313 | .119 | .273 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.308/.399 | .183 | .269 | 22 | 12 | 28% | 11% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A |
20 | 44→52 | 44→50 | 50→40 | 45 | .216/.273/.341 | .124 | .279 | 10 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.297/.343 | .111 | .298 | 9 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.289/.369 | .145 | .265 | 17 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
●Evan Carter 2022 · A |
19 | 46→52 | 43→50 | 52→55 | 54 | .219/.321/.336 | .117 | .295 | 9 | 17 | 27% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .230/.314/.374 | .144 | .298 | 13 | 20 | 25% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .229/.316/.381 | .152 | .296 | 15 | 21 | 26% | 10% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A |
21 | 46→53 | 40 | 45→50 | 43 | .222/.277/.317 | .095 | .275 | 7 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .237/.310/.330 | .093 | .300 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .241/.350/.334 | .093 | .308 | 6 | 3 | 21% | 13% | 99 | +0.8 |