Tayden Hall
C Wisconsin Timber Rattlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 404 | .260/.383/.347 | 2 | 5 | 79 | — | .232/.325/.312 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+MIL | 336 | .157/.339/.261 | 4 | 8 | 35 | — | .122/.267/.201 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+MIL | 371 | .264/.417/.462 | 12 | 13 | 93 | — | .212/.333/.365 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBMIL | 1 | .188/.306/.297 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 25 | MLBMIL | 84 | .192/.308/.308 | 2 | 1 | 80 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ55% MLB | 26 | MLBMIL | 151 | .195/.309/.314 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 36 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 343 | 367 | 710 | 133 | 304 | 22 | 11 | 315 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 44 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 455 | 474 | 928 | 105 | 467 | 18 | 14 | 418 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 217 | 173 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 266 | 409 | 312 | 721 | 46 | 343 | 19 | 18 | 341 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 333 | 529 | 375 | 904 | 42 | 364 | 11 | 25 | 406 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 156 | 135 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 296 | 383 | 474 | 857 | 178 | 312 | 13 | 11 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 304 | 249 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 51 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 221 | 349 | 289 | 638 | 68 | 262 | 17 | 14 | 298 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 100 | 82 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 378 | 485 | 524 | 1.009 | 146 | 463 | 16 | 17 | 443 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 336 | 261 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 67 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 157 | 339 | 261 | 600 | 103 | 204 | 24 | 20 | 291 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 371 | 292 | 77 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 85 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 264 | 417 | 462 | 880 | 199 | 330 | 23 | 18 | 394 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 36 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 355 | 669 | 129 | 268 | 28 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 44 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 341 | 350 | 691 | 75 | 363 | 25 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 217 | 186 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 220 | 326 | 253 | 578 | 32 | 307 | 26 | 12 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 296 | 441 | 333 | 775 | 37 | 301 | 17 | 17 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 304 | 262 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 65 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 198 | 295 | 260 | 555 | 61 | 239 | 21 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 100 | 87 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 414 | 471 | 885 | 138 | 428 | 22 | 12 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 336 | 278 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 122 | 267 | 201 | 469 | 79 | 172 | 32 | 15 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 371 | 312 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 108 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 333 | 365 | 699 | 154 | 279 | 29 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 80 | 71 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 304 | 310 | 614 | 85 | 320 | 28 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 80 | 68 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 405 | 426 | 832 | 118 | 396 | 20 | 12 | 371 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 409 | 345 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 101 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 229 | 340 | 264 | 604 | 35 | 316 | 25 | 13 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 409 | 332 | 94 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 66 | 65 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 283 | 409 | 383 | 792 | 99 | 332 | 16 | 16 | 361 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 349 | 80 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 87 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 322 | 307 | 629 | 77 | 292 | 22 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 404 | 331 | 86 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 67 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 383 | 347 | 730 | 88 | 312 | 17 | 15 | 334 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 336 | 278 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 122 | 267 | 201 | 469 | 79 | 181 | 32 | 15 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 336 | 261 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 67 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 157 | 339 | 261 | 600 | 103 | 204 | 24 | 20 | 291 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 371 | 312 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 108 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 333 | 365 | 699 | 154 | 286 | 29 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 371 | 292 | 77 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 85 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 264 | 417 | 462 | 880 | 199 | 330 | 23 | 18 | 394 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 80 | 72 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 304 | 306 | 609 | 83 | 320 | 28 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 409 | 348 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 101 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 227 | 340 | 261 | 601 | 34 | 306 | 25 | 13 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 353 | 80 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 87 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 322 | 303 | 626 | 76 | 286 | 22 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 336 | 278 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 122 | 267 | 201 | 469 | 79 | 172 | 32 | 15 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 371 | 311 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 108 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 333 | 367 | 700 | 154 | 279 | 29 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 353 | 80 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 87 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 322 | 303 | 626 | 76 | 286 | 22 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 336 | 278 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 122 | 267 | 201 | 469 | 79 | 172 | 32 | 15 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 371 | 311 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 108 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 333 | 367 | 700 | 154 | 279 | 29 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 380 | 322 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 103 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 190 | 308 | 299 | 607 | 109 | 255 | 27 | 13 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 306 | 297 | 603 | 109 | 251 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 77 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 38% | 222 | 189 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 194 | 310 | 310 | 620 | 116 | 257 | 27 | 13 | 287 | 80 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 273 | 233 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 72 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 197 | 311 | 316 | 627 | 119 | 259 | 26 | 12 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 61% | 300 | 256 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 79 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 198 | 310 | 318 | 628 | 120 | 260 | 26 | 12 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 65% | 314 | 269 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 83 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 199 | 308 | 318 | 627 | 119 | 261 | 26 | 12 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 70% | 312 | 268 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 83 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 199 | 306 | 316 | 622 | 117 | 261 | 27 | 12 | 287 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 74% | 309 | 265 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 83 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 196 | 303 | 308 | 611 | 112 | 259 | 27 | 12 | 282 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 76% | 280 | 241 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 191 | 298 | 298 | 595 | 106 | 255 | 27 | 12 | 276 | 73 | -9 | -1 | -3 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 38% | 84 | 72 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 308 | 308 | 616 | 116 | 253 | 26 | 13 | 285 | 80 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 151 | 129 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 195 | 309 | 314 | 623 | 119 | 254 | 26 | 13 | 288 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 61% | 184 | 156 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 308 | 316 | 624 | 120 | 256 | 27 | 12 | 288 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 65% | 203 | 173 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 307 | 316 | 623 | 119 | 256 | 27 | 12 | 287 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 70% | 218 | 187 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 304 | 314 | 619 | 118 | 256 | 27 | 12 | 285 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 74% | 228 | 196 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 301 | 306 | 607 | 113 | 254 | 27 | 12 | 280 | 77 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 76% | 214 | 184 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 58 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 189 | 296 | 296 | 592 | 107 | 251 | 27 | 12 | 274 | 73 | -7 | -1 | -2 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1282 | 1097 | 214 | 41 | 6 | 25 | 156 | 342 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 195 | 305 | 312 | 617 | 117 | 257 | 27 | 12 | 283 | 76 | -32 | +0 | -5 | +23 | +28 | 1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 556 | 109 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 79 | 173 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 196 | 306 | 315 | 621 | 119 | 257 | 27 | 12 | 283 | 76 | -16 | +0 | -3 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3802 | 3238 | 644 | 123 | 22 | 56 | 468 | 1012 | 57 | 61 | 23 | 199 | 311 | 302 | 613 | 103 | 267 | 27 | 12 | 281 | 76 | -55 | +1 | -7 | +39 | +48 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 554 | 111 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 80 | 173 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 200 | 312 | 307 | 619 | 106 | 269 | 27 | 12 | 281 | 76 | -16 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 371 PAwOBA .386 → .306 (−80)K% 22.9% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 29.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 12.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.43% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.63% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .386 → .306; ISO .199 → .158; BABIP .330 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 336 PAwOBA .288 → .220 (−68)K% 23.5% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.51% | ÷0.943 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.94% | ÷0.965 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 14.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.74% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×1.012 | 11.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | ×0.953 | ×1.012 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.953 | ×1.012 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.246 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.43% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .288 → .220; ISO .103 → .075; BABIP .204 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 304 PAwOBA .295 → .253 (−42)K% 16.8% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.78% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 21.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.991 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.003 | ×1.027 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .295 → .253; ISO .068 → .058; BABIP .262 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 100 PAwOBA .437 → .381 (−56)K% 16.0% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 12.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 30.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 8.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 4.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .437 → .381; ISO .146 → .138; BABIP .463 → .428. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ACarolina Mudcats · 217 PAwOBA .335 → .273 (−62)K% 18.9% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.89% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.97% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 12.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.79% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.030 | 26.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.090 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.030 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .335 → .273; ISO .046 → .037; BABIP .343 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Brewers · 36 PAwOBA .422 → .338 (−83)K% 11.1% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 15.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 28.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .422 → .338; ISO .042 → .037; BABIP .364 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 44 PAwOBA .407 → .291 (−116)K% 18.2% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.963 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 26.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 9.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .407 → .291; ISO .105 → .071; BABIP .467 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 36 PAwOBA .316 → .268 (−48)K% 22.2% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 2.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 16.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 4.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .316 → .268; ISO .133 → .118; BABIP .304 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .