Ty Hanchey — OGILVIE

Ty HancheyC Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 26 L/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION177 act + 118 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .282 / .336

PA118

HR2

K%29

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO121

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	36	29	5	0	0	1	5	5	0	1	0	172	294	276	570	103	160	14	14	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	36	26	5	0	0	1	8	4	0	1	0	192	382	308	690	115	174	11	22	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	257	225	50	7	1	5	24	70	5	3	1	222	311	329	640	107	294	27	9	277	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	257	215	57	9	1	6	34	48	5	3	1	265	378	400	778	135	311	19	13	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	SF	—	177	162	36	9	1	4	11	60	1	0	1	222	276	364	640	142	323	34	6	276	69	-6	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
YTD	26	AA	SF	—	177	156	41	11	1	5	17	45	1	0	1	263	339	442	781	179	336	25	10	342	120	+4	-0	+0	+3	+5	1.2
ROS	26	AA	SF	2%	118	107	23	5	1	2	9	34	1	1	1	215	282	336	618	121	289	29	8	278	71	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	26	MLB	SF	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						284	50	0	267	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	AA	SF	—	179	164	36	9	1	4	11	61	1	0	1	220	273	360	632	140	320	34	6	276	69	-6	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
TOT	26	AA	SF	—	295	269	59	14	2	6	20	94	2	1	2	219	278	353	632	134	310	32	7	277	70	-10	-1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SF	33%	238	215	47	10	1	5	19	67	2	3	1	219	288	344	632	126	287	28	8	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2028	28	MLB	SF	50%	295	266	57	12	1	6	24	83	3	3	1	214	287	335	621	120	287	28	8	284	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2029	29	MLB	SF	56%	324	291	64	13	2	7	27	91	3	3	1	220	293	351	643	131	287	28	8	284	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2030	30	MLB	SF	59%	344	309	67	14	2	7	29	97	3	3	1	217	290	343	633	126	286	28	8	282	74	-10	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.4
2031	31	MLB	SF	61%	331	297	63	13	1	7	28	94	3	3	1	212	287	333	620	121	283	28	8	278	71	-11	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.2
2032	32	MLB	SF	63%	310	278	58	12	1	6	26	89	3	2	1	209	283	324	607	115	280	29	8	273	67	-12	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	SF	33%	79	72	15	3	0	2	6	22	1	1	0	208	278	333	612	125	282	28	8	271	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB	SF	50%	147	133	29	6	1	3	12	41	1	2	1	218	288	346	634	128	282	28	8	273	67	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB	SF	56%	181	162	35	7	1	4	15	51	2	2	1	216	291	346	636	130	282	28	8	273	67	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2030	30	MLB	SF	59%	204	183	39	8	1	4	17	57	2	2	1	213	287	333	620	120	280	28	8	271	66	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2031	31	MLB	SF	61%	203	182	39	8	1	4	17	58	2	2	1	214	289	335	624	121	278	29	8	267	63	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
2032	32	MLB	SF	63%	194	174	35	7	1	3	16	56	2	1	0	201	276	305	581	103	275	29	8	262	59	-9	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1010	908	192	39	5	20	83	286	10	10	4	211	285	331	616	120	283	28	8	269	64	-41	+0	-6	+18	+29	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	123	25	3	13	53	184	6	6	3	211	283	330	613	120	282	28	8	269	64	-26	+0	-4	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2253	2017	434	86	10	46	191	630	23	22	8	215	290	336	627	121	286	28	8	279	72	-72	+1	-10	+40	+64	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	125	25	3	13	55	182	7	6	2	215	291	335	626	120	286	28	8	279	72	-21	+0	-3	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	36	26	5	0	0	1	8	4	0	1	0	192	382	308	690	115	174	11	22	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	222	189	48	8	1	3	28	41	3	2	1	254	359	354	714	101	306	18	13	326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	24	ROK	ACL Giants	—	35	26	9	1	0	3	6	7	2	1	0	346	500	731	1.231	385	353	20	17	506	245	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,013	20	9	215	284	336	+18	+12	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	13	6	215	284	336	+11.9	+7.9	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Hanchey (OGILVIE)	26	38	38	44	51	219/278/353	134	310	6	1	32%	7%	70	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→40	45	48→45	47	230/289/360	130	280	12	7	22%	7%	81	+0.4	215/276/324	109	281	9	6	25%	7%	66	-0.6	188/254/272	84	256	5	1	27%	7%	40	-1.4
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→50	50	211/298/330	120	301	10	7	31%	11%	78	+0.2	203/285/335	132	340	13	12	41%	8%	73	-0.1	184/270/318	133	318	14	13	42%	8%	60	-0.5
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	42→44	45→50	47→50	44	210/277/340	130	280	12	8	29%	7%	71	-0.3	221/280/343	122	284	11	13	25%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/346	129	274	11	14	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	214/266/308	94	265	8	8	22%	5%	58	-1.2	208/275/342	134	258	16	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	51	219/303/311	93	267	8	4	21%	9%	76	+0.0	226/306/320	94	265	9	8	17%	9%	79	+0.3	228/311/314	85	261	9	7	15%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Bryce Windham 2023 · AA	26	44	40	46→50	54	211/293/304	93	256	8	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4	227/293/319	92	297	5	12	23%	8%	71	-0.3	239/299/327	88	317	3	15	24%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Michael Fransoso 2015 · A	25	45	46→45	49→50	50	225/294/353	128	266	14	8	21%	8%	82	+0.5	213/277/292	79	262	6	11	20%	7%	58	-1.2	192/259/218	26	237	0	13	17%	7%	30	-1.2
✕J.C. Escarra 2021 · A	26	40→46	42→45	48→45	43	202/255/299	97	243	10	5	22%	6%	51	-1.7	206/276/308	102	271	9	9	26%	7%	63	-0.9	223/294/353	130	256	11	4	17%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Chris Kroski 2008 · A	26	45	43→45	45→40	41	219/275/337	118	292	10	4	28%	6%	69	-0.4	210/273/321	111	280	9	5	27%	7%	64	-0.8	171/245/282	112	234	9	0	30%	9%	40	-0.5
✕Joel Weeks 2011 · A	26	46	40→45	47→45	44	221/269/311	90	275	7	8	22%	6%	59	-1.1	216/269/294	78	287	6	4	25%	7%	54	-1.4	208/262/265	58	278	4	0	25%	7%	44	-0.8
✕Beau Taylor 2016 · AA	26	41→45	40→45	44→30	44	201/267/292	90	282	8	4	30%	8%	54	-1.4	221/288/315	94	316	8	3	30%	8%	69	-0.4	218/307/332	114	311	11	1	30%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	44→50	39→45	46→50	47	209/288/295	86	289	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.8	213/282/321	108	300	10	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Mike Gilmartin 2013 · A	26	46→50	42→45	43→45	43	223/282/327	104	304	8	5	28%	7%	69	-0.4	210/281/313	103	292	10	7	29%	8%	66	-0.6	172/257/268	96	238	11	6	31%	8%	44	-1.2
✕Matt Wallach 2012 · AA	26	44	45→50	46→40	49	218/290/341	122	253	13	5	19%	7%	77	+0.1	204/275/291	87	266	9	5	26%	7%	58	-1.2	182/251/238	56	247	8	2	28%	7%	31	-1.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Raffy Lopez 2014 · AA	26	46→50	43→50	44→40	48	224/282/341	117	273	10	3	22%	7%	72	-0.2	220/276/303	83	295	7	4	26%	7%	60	-1.0	209/265/344	135	274	16	3	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→43	43→45	42→40	51	222/313/332	110	294	10	4	26%	10%	85	+0.7	235/325/339	104	322	10	6	27%	10%	92	+1.2	236/335/327	92	323	10	5	27%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	42→39	41→40	47→40	48	200/288/297	96	289	9	4	32%	10%	66	-0.6	202/274/303	101	276	11	5	29%	8%	60	-1.0	193/264/290	96	257	11	5	28%	8%	50	-1.3