Ty Hanchey

C Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202323ROKACL Giants Or…36.192/.382/.3081139—.172/.294/.276
202424A/ROKSF257.265/.378/.4006366—.207/.292/.301
202626AA/A+SF250.253/.339/.4016165—.213/.274/.319
2027PROJMLE27MLBSF3.188/.254/.2840055-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBSF39.188/.255/.2851056-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%59
Whiff%53
BB%52
Z-Con%46
wRC+45
wOBA40
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJake Lowery (age 27) · Jackson Cluff (age 27) · Connor Hoover (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .254 / .284
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%7
BABIP268
ISO104
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 38
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT23
scouting grade only
POWER38
scouting grade only
EYE46
scouting grade only
SPEED44
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202323 ROKACL Giants Orange — 3626 5001 840 10 192382308690 115174 1122 313 39 — — — — — —
202424 ASan Jose Giants — 222189 48813 28413 21 254359354714 101306 1813 326 57 — — — — — —
202424 ROKACL Giants — 3526 9103 672 10 3465007311.231 385353 2017 506 122 — — — — — —
202626 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 209179 44914 22613 11 246338374713 128345 2911 317 65 — — — — — —
202626 A+Eugene Emeralds — 4138 11302 2131 00 289341526868 237391 325 380 62 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202323 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 3629 5001 560 10 172294276570 103135 1714 226 39 — — — — — —
202424 A MLESan Jose Giants — 222198 40612 19583 21 202282273555 71266 269 253 57 — — — — — —
202424 ROK MLEACL Giants — 3529 7102 3102 10 241353483836 241254 299 349 122 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 209187 41813 14743 11 219284321605 102323 357 264 65 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 4139 7201 1181 00 179220308527 128325 442 260 62 — — — — — —
202323 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 3629 5001 560 10 172294276570 103167 1714 226 39 — — — — — —
202323 ROK RAWACL Giants Orange — 3626 5001 840 10 192382308690 115174 1122 313 39 — — — — — —
202424 A MLE2 teams — 257227 47714 22695 31 207291300591 93274 279 266 66 — — — — — —
202424 A RAW2 teams — 257215 57916 34485 31 265378400778 135311 1913 351 66 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 250225 481014 16924 11 213278320598 107336 376 263 64 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAW2 teams — 250217 551216 24744 11 253339401740 147353 3010 327 64 — — — — — —
202323 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 3631 5001 560 10 161294258552 97135 1714 226 39 — — — — — —
202424 A MLE2 teams — 257228 47714 22695 31 206291298590 92264 279 266 66 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 250228 481014 16924 11 211278316593 105323 376 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 A MLE2 teams — 257228 47714 22695 31 206291298590 92264 279 266 66 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 250228 481014 16924 11 211278316593 105323 376 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLESF 2% 300272 521015 21974 41 191257291548 101272 327 249 55 -16 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXSF 2% 33 0000 010 00 188254284538 97268 330 245 55 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLESF 27% 145132 25512 10462 21 192258293551 101272 327 250 56 -8 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.3
202828 MLB CTXSF 27% 3936 7101 3120 00 188255285540 97268 318 246 56 -2 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3936 7101 3120 00 194256306562 111261 318 246 61 -2 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 11717017 502000 00 195257308565 113261 318 246 61 -34 +0 -3 +12 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 814728 14726413 6225412 94 202276302578 100285 318 258 61 -14 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 11721310 5020310 73 201276299576 98285 318 258 61 -35 +0 -2 +12 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 209 PAwOBA .310 → .264 (−46)K% 29.2% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.19%÷1.000×1.220——35.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.05%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9786.88%
HBP% /PA1.44%—×0.850—×0.9781.19%
Singles /BIP25.42%÷1.000×0.970×1.021×0.97824.63%
Doubles /BIP7.63%÷1.000×0.860×1.021×0.9786.55%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷1.000×0.950×1.021×0.9780.80%
Home runs /BIP3.39%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9782.59%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .310 → .264; ISO .128 → .105; BABIP .345 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 41 PAwOBA .369 → .260 (−109)K% 31.7% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.71%÷1.000×1.350——42.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.88%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9583.32%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.810—×0.9581.89%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.95820.92%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9589.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9580.00%
Home runs /BIP8.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9586.36%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .369 → .260; ISO .237 → .161; BABIP .391 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASan Jose Giants · 222 PAwOBA .320 → .253 (−67)K% 18.5% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.47%÷0.957×1.360——26.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.16%÷0.966×0.690—×0.9708.43%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.780—×0.9701.02%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷0.961×0.920×0.967×0.97021.83%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷1.012×0.830×0.967×0.9704.16%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.000×0.910×0.967×0.9700.58%
Home runs /BIP2.03%÷0.959×0.800—×0.9701.64%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .320 → .253; ISO .101 → .077; BABIP .306 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Giants · 35 PAwOBA .507 → .349 (−158)K% 20.0% → 28.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.997×1.440——28.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.14%÷1.062×0.620—×0.9459.46%
HBP% /PA5.71%—×0.720—×0.9453.89%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.003×0.820—×0.94520.33%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.927×0.720—×0.9453.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Home runs /BIP15.79%÷1.178×0.780—×0.9459.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 101, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .507 → .349; ISO .385 → .261; BABIP .353 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 36 PAwOBA .325 → .226 (−99)K% 11.1% → 15.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷1.036×1.440——15.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷1.022×0.620—×0.95512.87%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.004×0.820—×0.95514.19%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.107×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷1.377×0.780—×0.9552.46%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .325 → .226; ISO .115 → .073; BABIP .174 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).