Kendal Meza — OGILVIE

Kendal Meza P ACL Mariners

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155147vR 138

ERA6.40

FIP6.40

K%20.7%

BB%23.9%

K-BB%-3.2%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	8	1	13	70	16	16	2	12%	1.6	15.5%	28.6%	-13.0%	3.9%	12.08	7.53	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	8	1	13	70	16	16	2	12%	1.6	15.5%	28.6%	-13.0%	3.9%	12.08	7.53	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	8	1	13	70	16	16	2	12%	1.6	22.9%	22.9%	0.0%	2.9%	12.08	6.42	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	36	162	48	32	0	92%	3.0	20.1%	24.7%	-4.5%	0.0%	2.25	4.53	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	36	162	48	32	0	92%	3.0	20.1%	24.7%	-4.5%	0.0%	2.25	4.53	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	11	36	162	48	32	0	92%	3.0	29.6%	19.8%	9.9%	0.0%	2.25	3.10	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	4	20	106	24	25	3	31%	1.5	15.4%	29.5%	-14.1%	4.5%	7.65	7.99	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	4	20	106	24	25	3	31%	1.5	15.4%	29.5%	-14.1%	4.5%	7.65	7.99	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	13	4	20	106	24	25	3	31%	1.5	22.6%	23.6%	-0.9%	2.8%	7.65	6.40	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	7	5	16	83	18	16	3	71%	2.3	14.7%	24.1%	-9.3%	5.1%	7.71	7.68	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	7	5	16	83	18	16	3	71%	2.3	14.7%	24.1%	-9.3%	5.1%	7.71	7.68	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	SEA	7	5	16	83	18	16	3	71%	2.3	21.7%	19.3%	2.4%	3.6%	7.71	5.69	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SEA	6	6	34	144	31	28	4	100%	5.7	21.4%	19.8%	1.6%	2.9%	5.94	5.78	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	SEA	3	3	17	72	15	14	2	100%	5.7	21.4%	19.8%	1.6%	2.9%	5.94	5.78	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	17	71	15	14	2	100%	5.6	21.4%	19.8%	1.6%	2.9%	5.94	5.40	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	179	168	24	100%	4.8	21.4%	19.8%	1.6%	2.9%	5.94	5.40	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		40	21	85	421	72	111	12	52%	2.1	17.1%	26.4%	-9.3%	2.8%	6.04	6.52	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	49	200	991	170	262	27	52%	2.1	17.1%	26.4%	-9.3%	2.8%	6.04	6.52	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kendal Meza (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.40	20.7%	23.9%	3.0%	—	5.78	21.4%	1.6%	34	-0.62	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	89
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	85
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	82
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	80
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	79
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	79
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	78
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	77
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	76
Yeriel Santos R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	19	SW	5.89	17.4%	22.9%	2.5%	.239	5.80	16.0%	-0.9%	276	-0.09	4.44	351	76
Bryan Sanchez R 2023 · 6.58 FIP	20	SP-	6.58	15.7%	19.3%	4.3%	.296	5.63	14.6%	-3.0%	65	-0.95	2.99	142	76
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	75
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	75
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	75
Gunner Mayer R 2021 · 6.96 FIP	21	SP-	6.96	19.5%	20.8%	5.2%	.400	5.07	20.7%	4.0%	179	-1.89	4.32	288	75
Yeri Perez R 2023 · 5.94 FIP	18	SP-	5.94	13.8%	26.5%	1.2%	.292	5.58	16.0%	-9.0%	136	-0.36	4.91	185	74
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	74
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	74
Rayner Castillo R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	19	SP-	5.89	15.6%	16.6%	3.6%	.353	5.61	15.0%	3.1%	247	-0.28	3.11	366	74