Kendal Meza
P
ACL Mariners
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125115vR 106
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
K%22.7%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 8 | 1 | 13 | 70 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 12% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 28.6% | -13.0% | 3.7% | 12.08 | 7.46 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 8 | 1 | 13 | 70 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 12% | 1.6 | 22.9% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 12.08 | 6.42 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 11 | 36 | 162 | 48 | 32 | 0 | 92% | 3.0 | 20.1% | 24.7% | -4.5% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 4.53 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 11 | 36 | 162 | 48 | 32 | 0 | 92% | 3.0 | 29.6% | 19.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 13 | 4 | 20 | 106 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 31% | 1.5 | 15.4% | 29.5% | -14.1% | 5.1% | 7.65 | 8.35 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 13 | 4 | 20 | 106 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 31% | 1.5 | 22.6% | 23.6% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 7.65 | 6.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 7 | 5 | 16 | 83 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 71% | 2.3 | 14.7% | 24.1% | -9.3% | 5.1% | 7.71 | 7.68 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.66 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 31 | 143 | 32 | 23 | 5 | — | — | 22.1% | 16.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.29 | 6.27 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.09 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 21 | 85 | 421 | 72 | 111 | 12 | 52% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 26.4% | -9.3% | 2.9% | 6.04 | 6.60 | -1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 49 | 200 | 991 | 170 | 262 | 29 | 52% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 26.4% | -9.3% | 2.9% | 6.04 | 6.60 | -2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kendal Meza (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 23.2% | 12.6% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Juan Mendez R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 81 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 80 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 79 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 78 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 78 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 78 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 77 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 76 |
| Lisandro Almonte R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.83 | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .310 | 5.17 | 20.5% | 3.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 3.92 | 128 | 76 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 75 |
| Grant Holman R 2027 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 75 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 74 |
| Trayson Kubo R 2027 · 5.01 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.01 | 19.8% | 15.6% | 2.9% | .450 | 4.86 | 17.7% | 1.4% | 66 | -0.15 | 4.40 | 107 | 74 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.69 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .260 | 4.57 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 177 | +0.88 | 3.69 | 247 | 74 |
| Chris Campos R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 74 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 74 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 74 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 73 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 73 |
| Victor Simeon R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.81 | 17.7% | 13.8% | 0.8% | .266 | 4.14 | 21.3% | 5.1% | 105 | +0.33 | 3.21 | 180 | 73 |