Gunner Mayer
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA5.24
FIP5.24
K%21.5%
BB%16.0%
K-BB%5.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 4 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 50% | 2.1 | 27.8% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 1.81 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 4 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 50% | 2.1 | 27.8% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 1.78 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 26 | 134 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 54% | 2.0 | 19.5% | 20.8% | -1.2% | 5.3% | 8.89 | 6.98 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 26 | 134 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 54% | 2.0 | 28.4% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 8.89 | 5.19 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 12 | 54 | 230 | 73 | 30 | 10 | 71% | 3.2 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.67 | 6.39 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 12 | 54 | 230 | 73 | 30 | 10 | 71% | 3.2 | 31.7% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 4.3% | 4.67 | 4.47 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 23 | 20 | 77 | 357 | 79 | 54 | 4 | 87% | 3.4 | 17.0% | 17.4% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 5.47 | 4.94 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 23 | 20 | 77 | 357 | 79 | 54 | 4 | 87% | 3.4 | 22.1% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 5.47 | 3.82 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 72 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 17.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 4.12 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 72 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 1.3% | 4.12 | 3.05 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 39 | 0 | 52 | 249 | 66 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 4.67 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 39 | 0 | 52 | 249 | 66 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 5.19 | 4.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 28 | 0 | 31 | 138 | 45 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 4.60 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 63 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 16.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 16.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 101 | 434 | 108 | 68 | 13 | — | — | 25.0% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 5.04 | 5.13 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | 21.5% | 16.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 63 | 45 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 15.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 61 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.17 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 58 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 5.29 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 15.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.17 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 5.29 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 114 | 80 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 4.86 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 128 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 167 | 41 | 304 | 1380 | 300 | 227 | 45 | 25% | 1.8 | 21.7% | 16.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.15 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 110 | 27 | 200 | 908 | 197 | 149 | 30 | 25% | 1.8 | 21.7% | 16.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gunner Mayer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 21.5% | 16.0% | 2.8% | — | 5.23 | 21.6% | 6.5% | 200 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 87 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 84 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 83 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 81 |
| Fernando Baez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 81 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 80 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .246 | 4.88 | 12.9% | -1.0% | 29 | +0.37 | 4.51 | 151 | 80 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 80 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 80 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 80 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 80 |
| Matt Lollis R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 79 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.36 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 3.8% | .287 | 3.16 | 26.8% | 20.6% | 26 | -2.20 | 3.16 | 253 | 79 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 79 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 79 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 79 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 79 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 79 |
| Sean Isaac R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 79 |
| Dario Beltre R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.4% | 17.0% | 1.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 110 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 21.6% | 15.4% | 1.15 | 5.20 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |