Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 8 | 26 | 137 | 22 | 28 | 1 | 67% | 2.2 | 10.9% | 25.5% | -14.6% | 1.0% | 7.86 | 5.97 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 8 | 26 | 137 | 22 | 28 | 1 | 67% | 2.2 | 16.1% | 20.4% | -4.4% | 0.7% | 7.86 | 5.11 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 9 | 6 | 24 | 110 | 22 | 21 | 5 | 67% | 2.7 | 13.6% | 23.9% | -10.3% | 6.3% | 4.88 | 8.44 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 9 | 6 | 24 | 110 | 22 | 21 | 5 | 67% | 2.7 | 20.0% | 19.1% | 0.9% | 4.5% | 4.88 | 6.60 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 11 | 6 | 29 | 125 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 55% | 2.7 | 14.1% | 15.0% | -0.9% | 3.3% | 5.52 | 5.60 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 11 | 6 | 29 | 125 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 55% | 2.7 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 5.52 | 4.19 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 13 | 0 | 21 | 101 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 3.23 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 13 | 0 | 21 | 101 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 2.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 20 | 101 | 473 | 67 | 94 | 12 | 44% | 2.2 | 14.1% | 19.8% | -5.7% | 2.6% | 5.36 | 5.86 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 40 | 200 | 940 | 132 | 186 | 25 | 44% | 2.2 | 14.1% | 19.8% | -5.7% | 2.6% | 5.36 | 5.86 | -1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Lisander Brito (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.25 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 81 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 74 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 74 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 74 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 73 |
| Alex Valverde R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .321 | 6.00 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 166 | +2.28 | 3.72 | 423 | 73 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 73 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 72 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 72 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 72 |
| Jared Kollar R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | .359 | 4.59 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 332 | -0.73 | 3.90 | 345 | 71 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 71 |
| Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 71 |
| Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.21 | 23.8% | 13.1% | 0.8% | .360 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 211 | +0.75 | 2.97 | 280 | 70 |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 70 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.09 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .304 | 3.92 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 166 | -1.17 | 3.59 | 307 | 70 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.87 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .322 | 4.79 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 146 | +0.92 | 3.18 | 234 | 70 |