Jared Kollar P San Antonio Missions
Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147137vR 128
ERA5.69
FIP5.69
K%11.2%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%1.4%
ROS IP80
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
K: -7.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-8KBB: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -4.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +7.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: -0.67 (80 IP)-0.7WAR
-0.3-0.1-0.32628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL5555
CMD4040
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202224ALake Elsinore Storm731457133243%2.016.9%6.2%10.7%5.2%5.275.32
202224ALake Elsinore Storm731457133243%2.022.8%5.3%17.5%3.5%5.273.76
202325MIX2 levels2119883766926590%4.214.5%7.7%6.8%2.5%3.364.22
202325MIX2 levels2119883766926590%4.218.4%6.9%11.4%1.3%3.363.16
202426MIX2 levels2923131552112351279%4.516.9%6.8%10.1%2.5%3.653.90
202426MIX2 levels2923131552112351279%4.520.3%6.3%13.9%2.2%3.653.38
202527MIX2 levels311611351471471852%3.611.5%9.8%1.7%4.2%6.795.67
202527MIX2 levels311611351471471852%3.613.8%9.1%4.7%3.5%6.795.17
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBSD131380338383312100%6.211.2%9.8%1.4%3.5%5.695.69-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBSD131376323452912100%5.914.1%9.0%5.0%3.6%5.465.41-0.5
202830MLBSD121272304442811100%6.014.4%9.3%5.1%3.7%5.455.50-0.6
202729MLBSD44241011494100%6.014.1%9.0%5.0%3.6%5.465.41-0.2
202830MLBSD663715623156100%6.214.4%9.3%5.1%3.7%5.455.50-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10106125737249100%6.114.3%9.2%5.1%3.7%5.455.08-0.4
/ 200 IP33332008441227930100%6.014.3%9.2%5.1%3.7%5.455.08+0.7
Career886134514992161204869%3.914.4%8.0%6.4%3.2%4.674.64+3.1
/ 200 IP5135200868125702869%3.914.4%8.0%6.4%3.2%4.674.64+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jared Kollar (OGILVIE) 5.69 11.2%9.8%3.5% 5.45 14.2%5.1%148 -0.24
Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP 29 SP- 6.00 8.8%8.0%4.8%.346 5.44 10.6%-0.4%53 -0.56 5.44 117 82
Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 27 SP- 4.59 10.5%6.5%2.9%.301 4.59 111 82
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP 31 SP- 4.68 8.9%6.6%2.7%.346 4.95 8.4%-0.8%52 +0.27 4.68 104 81
Ivan Zavala R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 28 SP- 4.50 7.0%4.7%2.6%.312 4.84 12.2%4.3%50 +0.34 4.31 209 80
Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 27 SP- 4.69 14.9%8.8%3.2%.297 4.34 340 80
David Fletcher R 2028 · 5.92 FIP 30 SP- 5.92 7.6%10.5%3.9%.294 5.92 100 79
David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP 27 SP- 6.04 14.5%10.3%5.2%.306 4.52 239 79
Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 28 SP- 5.26 11.3%9.5%3.5%.368 4.25 412 78
Tony Bucciferro R 2023 · 4.96 FIP 25 SP- 4.96 6.8%6.2%3.0%.324 4.96 107 78
Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.26 FIP 26 SW 5.26 13.2%9.4%3.8%.321 4.24 328 76
Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP 27 SP- 4.65 12.4%8.5%2.8%.322 4.41 18.2%7.6%75 -0.24 4.41 210 75
Jordan Cooper R 2024 · 5.05 FIP 26 SP 5.05 9.2%10.2%2.6%.305 5.05 106 75
Matthew Shepherd R 2023 · 5.57 FIP 25 SP- 5.57 13.7%9.5%4.4%.390 5.57 116 75
Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 75
Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.69 FIP 31 SW 4.69 13.5%6.6%3.5%.315 4.31 11.5%3.2%106 -0.38 4.31 219 75
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 28 SP- 4.54 12.6%5.3%3.3%.289 3.95 15.5%7.0%329 -0.59 3.16 593 73
Mat Latos R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 28 SP- 4.94 13.4%9.6%3.2%.279 5.79 16.8%5.6%41 +0.85 3.68 244 73
Zach Nuding R 2024 · 4.99 FIP 26 SP- 4.99 12.6%9.3%3.2%.321 4.99 146 73
Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 72
Chris Jensen R 2025 · 5.29 FIP 27 SW 5.29 12.0%10.6%3.4%.347 4.73 488 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37613.2%9.4%1.405.54
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Mike Wright Jr. ('19)55217.7%8.4%1.536.00
Odrisamer Despaigne ('18)46313.5%8.1%0.965.54
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Sal Romano ('21)38617.0%8.8%1.295.10