Jared Kollar — OGILVIE

Jared Kollar P San Antonio Missions

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.54

FIP5.54

K%10.9%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	7	3	14	57	13	3	2	43%	2.0	16.9%	6.2%	10.7%	4.9%	5.27	5.13	—
2022	24	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	7	3	14	57	13	3	2	43%	2.0	22.8%	5.3%	17.5%	3.5%	5.27	3.76	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	88	376	69	26	5	90%	4.2	14.5%	7.7%	6.8%	1.9%	3.36	3.92	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	88	376	69	26	5	90%	4.2	14.5%	7.7%	6.8%	1.9%	3.36	3.92	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	19	88	376	69	26	5	90%	4.2	18.4%	6.9%	11.4%	1.3%	3.36	3.16	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	23	131	552	112	35	12	79%	4.5	16.6%	6.4%	10.2%	2.5%	3.65	3.87	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	23	131	552	112	35	12	79%	4.5	16.6%	6.4%	10.2%	2.5%	3.65	3.87	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	23	131	552	112	35	12	79%	4.5	20.3%	6.3%	13.9%	2.2%	3.65	3.38	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	16	113	514	71	47	18	52%	3.6	11.3%	9.0%	2.3%	4.1%	6.79	5.52	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	16	113	514	71	47	18	52%	3.6	11.3%	9.0%	2.3%	4.1%	6.79	5.52	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	16	113	514	71	47	18	52%	3.6	13.8%	9.1%	4.7%	3.5%	6.79	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SD	1	1	7	30	3	3	1	100%	7.0	10.9%	8.7%	2.3%	3.4%	5.54	5.54	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	13	13	76	323	45	26	11	100%	5.9	13.8%	8.0%	5.8%	3.5%	5.33	5.27	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	SD	12	12	72	304	43	25	11	100%	6.0	14.2%	8.4%	5.8%	3.7%	5.33	5.38	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	24	101	14	8	4	100%	6.0	13.8%	8.0%	5.8%	3.5%	5.33	5.27	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	SD	6	6	37	156	22	13	6	100%	6.2	14.2%	8.4%	5.8%	3.7%	5.33	5.38	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	61	257	36	21	9	100%	6.1	14.0%	8.2%	5.8%	3.6%	5.33	4.95	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	118	69	30	100%	6.0	14.0%	8.2%	5.8%	3.6%	5.33	4.95	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		88	61	345	1499	213	114	45	69%	3.9	14.2%	7.6%	6.7%	3.0%	4.67	4.49	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	35	200	868	124	66	26	69%	3.9	14.2%	7.6%	6.7%	3.0%	4.67	4.49	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jared Kollar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.54	10.9%	8.7%	3.4%	—	5.32	14.0%	5.8%	148	-0.22	—	—	—
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	86
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	84
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	84
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	83
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	83
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	81
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	80
Tony Bucciferro R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	25	SP-	5.11	6.8%	6.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	5.11	107	80
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	79
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	77
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	76
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	76
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	12.6%	5.3%	3.0%	.289	3.81	15.5%	7.0%	329	-0.56	3.13	593	76
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	76
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	76
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	75
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	75
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	75
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	74
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	76	12.9%	8.4%	1.38	5.40
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77