Miguel Cruz
P
ACL Cubs
Age 22
LHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
ROK
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%22.1%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 13 | 13 | 36 | 167 | 35 | 28 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 14.3% | 21.0% | -6.7% | 0.0% | 5.00 | 4.55 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 13 | 13 | 36 | 167 | 35 | 28 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 21.0% | 16.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 5.00 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 13 | 9 | 28 | 158 | 30 | 45 | 1 | 69% | 2.2 | 12.9% | 35.6% | -22.7% | 1.0% | 9.96 | 7.08 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 13 | 9 | 28 | 158 | 30 | 45 | 1 | 69% | 2.2 | 19.0% | 28.5% | -9.5% | 0.6% | 9.96 | 6.24 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 16 | 0 | 16 | 93 | 15 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.0% | 39.0% | -28.0% | 2.0% | 13.21 | 8.23 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 16 | 0 | 16 | 93 | 15 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 31.2% | -15.1% | 1.1% | 13.21 | 7.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.15 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 102 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 22 | 80 | 418 | 54 | 128 | 4 | 52% | 1.9 | 13.0% | 30.5% | -17.5% | 0.8% | 8.36 | 6.33 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 55 | 200 | 1049 | 137 | 320 | 9 | 52% | 1.9 | 13.0% | 30.5% | -17.5% | 0.8% | 8.36 | 6.33 | -2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miguel Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.53 | 22.9% | 11.8% | 20 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 82 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 77 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 76 |
| Josh Simpson L 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 75 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 75 |
| Tucker Novotny L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .272 | 4.65 | 17.9% | 0.5% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.81 | 112 | 73 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 72 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 71 |
| Matt Minnick L 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 71 |
| Jack O'Loughlin L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.15 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.2% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 239 | -0.17 | 3.83 | 348 | 71 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2029 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 71 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 71 |
| Joey Marciano L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.97 | 15.1% | 11.8% | 1.2% | .266 | 5.11 | 16.3% | 6.1% | 153 | +1.14 | 3.78 | 330 | 71 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.53 | 13.8% | -0.3% | 43 | +0.49 | 4.04 | 197 | 70 |
| Chase Watkins L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 70 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.77 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 1.1% | .321 | 5.13 | 16.5% | 4.4% | 87 | +1.36 | 3.77 | 150 | 69 |
| Jack Patterson L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 69 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 69 |
| Bailey Horn L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 69 |
| Jose E. Hernandez L 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.90 | 22.9% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .339 | 4.35 | 23.7% | 13.2% | 144 | +0.45 | 3.58 | 317 | 69 |