Daniel Mielcarek

Daniel MielcarekSS ACL Dodgers

Age 20 S/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 97 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .267 / .278

PA97

HR2

K%38

BB%10

BABIP275

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.9M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$14M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	89	76	9	1	1	0	10	50	2	6	4	118	239	158	397	39	333	56	11	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	89	68	13	1	1	0	18	33	2	6	4	191	375	235	610	44	361	37	20	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	126	109	11	1	0	2	13	71	4	11	1	101	222	165	387	64	250	56	10	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	126	100	19	2	0	4	22	49	4	11	1	190	357	330	687	140	319	39	17	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	140	120	16	3	1	3	18	57	2	12	3	133	257	250	507	117	217	41	13	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	140	108	25	6	1	5	30	40	2	12	3	231	407	444	852	213	317	29	21	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	LAD	—	146	125	22	4	0	4	17	78	2	4	2	176	285	304	589	128	400	53	12	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
YTD	20	ROK	LAD	—	146	115	35	7	0	7	27	54	2	4	2	304	444	548	992	243	500	37	18	431	188	+14	+0	+0	+2	+4	2.1
ROS	20	ROK	LAD	0%	97	86	15	3	0	2	10	37	1	2	1	174	267	278	545	104	289	38	10	261	58	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	249	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	LAD	—	146	126	22	4	0	4	17	78	2	4	2	175	285	302	586	127	391	53	12	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
TOT	20	ROK	LAD	—	243	211	37	7	0	6	27	115	3	6	3	175	278	293	571	118	336	47	11	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	LAD	34%	261	229	44	8	1	6	27	95	3	5	2	192	286	314	600	122	291	36	10	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2028	22	MLB	LAD	48%	371	326	65	12	2	9	38	130	4	8	2	199	291	331	622	132	292	35	10	282	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.5
2029	23	MLB	LAD	54%	443	390	79	14	2	12	45	152	5	10	3	203	293	341	634	138	293	34	10	287	78	-11	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2030	24	MLB	LAD	55%	490	432	88	16	2	13	49	166	6	11	3	204	294	340	634	137	294	34	10	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2031	25	MLB	LAD	56%	516	453	93	17	2	14	52	175	6	12	4	205	295	344	640	139	294	34	10	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.0
2032	26	MLB	LAD	56%	530	465	96	17	2	15	54	179	6	13	4	206	297	348	646	142	294	34	10	292	81	-11	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.1
2033	27	MLB	LAD	55%	534	468	96	17	2	15	55	181	6	13	4	205	297	346	643	141	294	34	10	292	81	-11	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.1
2034	28	MLB	LAD	55%	531	465	95	17	2	15	55	181	6	12	4	204	297	346	643	142	294	34	10	291	81	-12	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2035	29	MLB	LAD	53%	523	458	93	17	2	14	54	179	6	12	3	203	295	341	636	138	293	34	10	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.8
2027	21	MLB	LAD	34%	90	80	15	3	0	2	9	33	1	2	1	188	278	300	578	112	287	37	10	263	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	LAD	48%	180	158	31	6	1	4	18	63	2	4	1	196	287	323	609	127	288	35	10	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	23	MLB	LAD	54%	240	211	42	8	1	6	24	82	3	5	2	199	290	332	622	133	289	34	10	275	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	24	MLB	LAD	55%	272	240	48	9	1	7	27	92	3	6	2	200	289	333	622	133	290	34	10	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	25	MLB	LAD	56%	289	255	51	9	1	8	29	98	3	7	2	200	289	337	626	137	290	34	10	279	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2032	26	MLB	LAD	56%	298	262	53	10	1	8	30	101	4	7	2	202	294	340	634	137	290	34	10	279	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2033	27	MLB	LAD	55%	295	259	52	9	1	8	30	100	4	7	2	201	294	336	629	135	290	34	10	279	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2034	28	MLB	LAD	55%	291	256	51	9	1	8	30	99	3	7	2	199	291	336	627	137	289	34	10	278	71	-9	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.2
2035	29	MLB	LAD	53%	279	245	49	9	1	7	29	95	3	6	2	200	292	331	623	131	289	34	10	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2234	1967	392	72	8	58	226	763	26	51	16	199	290	332	623	133	289	34	10	277	70	-76	+4	-1	+24	+63	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	114	21	2	17	66	222	8	15	5	199	291	332	623	133	290	34	10	277	70	-22	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4651	4077	800	143	19	120	480	1653	57	127	38	196	290	329	619	133	292	36	10	282	74	-139	+10	-2	+50	+132	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	112	20	3	17	67	231	8	18	5	196	290	332	622	135	292	36	10	282	74	-19	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	89	68	13	1	1	0	18	33	2	6	4	191	375	235	610	44	361	37	20	302	89	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	126	100	19	2	0	4	22	49	4	11	1	190	357	330	687	140	319	39	17	325	107	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	140	108	25	6	1	5	30	40	2	12	3	231	407	444	852	213	317	29	21	385	153	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,385	63	55	204	292	341	+26	+18	3.8	3.7
	/162	664	18	15	204	292	341	+7.1	+5.0	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Mielcarek (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	44→49	54→59	66	175/278/293	118	336	6	6	47%	11%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	42	41→45	55→50	50	202/289/303	101	287	8	16	30%	10%	67	-0.5	220/278/339	119	309	13	11	31%	7%	71	-0.3	222/264/350	128	302	16	8	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	196/264/288	92	278	8	16	31%	8%	52	-1.6	236/297/340	104	317	6	24	26%	7%	79	+0.3	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	41→47	41→50	49→50	44	202/257/305	102	265	8	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	223/285/351	128	285	12	10	25%	7%	77	+0.1	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	41→43	41→45	51→55	54	194/303/299	105	291	7	16	32%	13%	72	-0.2	205/300/298	93	293	6	20	29%	11%	70	-0.3	210/285/315	105	268	10	21	24%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Robel García 2012 · A	19	37	43→50	53→40	43	183/255/301	118	276	9	9	35%	8%	52	-1.6	184/251/272	88	280	5	5	33%	8%	42	-2.3	192/262/383	192	272	27	2	39%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→41	40→45	57→60	42	218/276/313	95	301	7	17	29%	7%	63	-0.9	213/275/311	98	289	7	22	27%	7%	63	-0.9	205/269/314	109	262	10	34	25%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→43	46→55	53→50	45	188/278/321	133	289	14	16	37%	10%	68	-0.5	217/294/348	131	331	14	16	35%	9%	81	+0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Adrian Placencia 2023 · A	20	38→37	47→45	49→50	46	186/284/320	134	305	15	12	40%	11%	70	-0.3	184/271/300	116	304	13	11	40%	10%	59	-1.1	154/256/281	127	255	16	6	43%	10%	47	-1.2
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→34	48→50	53→50	42	192/272/344	152	278	15	13	35%	8%	70	-0.3	196/254/341	145	281	17	14	35%	6%	62	-0.9	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	40→32	40→45	51→50	44	189/267/287	97	296	6	7	36%	9%	53	-1.5	190/262/303	113	294	11	12	36%	8%	56	-1.3	173/244/282	109	262	12	12	37%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	49	-1.8	209/271/322	113	297	9	5	31%	8%	63	-0.8	201/268/328	127	281	10	2	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	39	-2.5	203/261/310	107	295	9	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5