Daniel Mielcarek

SS ACL Dodgers
Age 21 S/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2265ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL LAD Mega126.190/.357/.33041116—.103/.238/.168
202519ROKDSL LAD Bauti…140.231/.407/.44451239—.119/.257/.212
202620ROKLAD152.292/.433/.5257467—.176/.280/.298
2027PROJMLE21MLBLAD262.178/.264/.2764555-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBLAD44.181/.267/.2871160-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBLAD100.186/.272/.3002265-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO90
wRC+85
wOBA78
BB%71
Chase%67
Speed18
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsAllan Castro (age 21) · C.J. Beatty (age 21) · Nomar Fana (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .262 / .273
PA78
HR1
K%35
BB%9
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 48
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER48
scouting grade only
EYE70
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 8968 13110 18332 64 191375235610 44361 3720 302 22 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 126100 19204 22494 111 190357330687 140319 3917 325 16 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL LAD Bautista — 140108 25615 30402 123 231407444852 213317 2921 385 39 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Dodgers — 152120 35707 28552 42 292433525958 233467 3618 418 67 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 8974 9110 12412 64 122261162424 41245 4613 200 22 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 126107 11102 15604 111 103238168406 65201 4812 192 16 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 140118 14312 20482 123 119257212469 93179 3414 226 39 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 152131 23404 17792 42 176280298578 122365 5211 267 67 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 8974 9110 12412 64 122261162424 41265 4613 200 22 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 8968 13110 18332 64 191375235610 44361 3720 302 22 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 126107 11102 15604 111 103238168406 65200 4812 192 16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 126100 19204 22494 111 190357330687 140319 3917 325 16 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 140118 14312 20482 123 119257212469 93176 3414 226 39 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL LAD Bautista — 140108 25615 30402 123 231407444852 213317 2921 385 39 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 152131 23404 17792 42 176280298578 122380 5211 267 67 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 152120 35707 28552 42 292433525958 233467 3618 418 67 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 8975 9110 12412 64 120261160421 40245 4613 200 22 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 126106 11102 15604 111 104238170408 66201 4812 192 16 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 140117 14312 20482 123 120257214471 94179 3414 226 39 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 152132 23404 17792 42 174280295575 121365 5211 267 67 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 126106 11102 15604 111 104238170408 66201 4812 192 16 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 140117 14312 20482 123 120257214471 94179 3414 226 39 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 152132 23404 17792 42 174280295575 121365 5211 267 67 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLELAD 0% 262232 41714 25913 51 178264276540 98265 3510 249 55 -14 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLELAD 34% 127113 21412 12431 31 184270291561 107267 349 258 60 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202923 MLB MLELAD 48% 207184 34614 19692 51 189274303578 114270 339 264 65 -9 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB MLELAD 53% 291259 49916 27953 72 193278313591 120272 339 269 69 -11 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
203125 MLB MLELAD 55% 350310 611128 331124 82 196281321602 124273 329 274 71 -12 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.0
203226 MLB MLELAD 56% 382339 681229 361204 92 199283327610 127274 319 277 73 -12 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.1
203327 MLB MLELAD 59% 397353 691229 371264 92 198282324606 126274 329 275 72 -13 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.1
203428 MLB MLELAD 61% 401357 701229 371284 82 196280320600 123273 329 273 71 -14 +1 -1 +4 +9 -0.1
203529 MLB MLELAD 63% 396352 691229 371274 72 194278314591 120272 329 269 68 -15 +1 -1 +4 +9 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXLAD 34% 4440 7101 4150 10 181267287554 106261 349 255 60 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXLAD 48% 10090 16302 9331 21 186272300571 114264 339 262 65 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXLAD 53% 153136 26414 14502 31 190275310585 120266 339 267 69 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXLAD 55% 192170 34615 18612 41 193278317596 124267 329 271 71 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
203226 MLB CTXLAD 56% 213189 37615 20672 51 196280323604 127268 319 274 73 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXLAD 59% 235209 41716 22742 51 195279321600 126268 319 273 72 -8 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXLAD 61% 246219 42716 23782 51 193278316594 123267 329 270 71 -9 +1 -0 +3 +5 -0.0
203529 MLB CTXLAD 63% 248221 42716 23802 51 191275310585 119266 329 267 68 -9 +1 -1 +3 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14311274 24541635 13345813 307 192275316592 124267 329 269 64 -51 +3 -1 +15 +31 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 11219316 602086 143 193276320595 126268 329 269 64 -23 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 31362767 509891565 309107537 9124 184275297572 113270 3410 263 64 -96 +6 -2 +28 +57 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 10418313 642238 195 181272291563 110267 3410 263 64 -24 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 152 PAwOBA .413 → .267 (−147)K% 36.2% → 52.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.18%÷1.000×1.440——52.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.42%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98511.25%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.720—×0.9850.93%
Singles /BIP32.31%÷1.000×0.820×1.032×0.98526.92%
Doubles /BIP10.77%÷1.000×0.720×1.032×0.9857.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.032×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP10.77%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9858.27%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .413 → .267; ISO .233 → .148; BABIP .467 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 140 PAwOBA .376 → .226 (−150)K% 28.6% → 34.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.007×1.220——34.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.43%÷1.022×0.700—×0.98514.46%
HBP% /PA1.43%—×0.700—×0.9850.98%
Singles /BIP19.12%÷1.031×0.680×0.965×0.98511.98%
Doubles /BIP8.82%÷1.093×0.600×0.965×0.9854.60%
Triples /BIP1.47%÷1.150×0.600×0.965×0.9850.73%
Home runs /BIP7.35%÷1.075×0.470—×0.9853.17%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 106, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .376 → .226; ISO .213 → .101; BABIP .317 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 126 PAwOBA .318 → .192 (−126)K% 38.9% → 47.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.89%÷0.994×1.220——47.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.46%÷1.030×0.700—×0.99511.80%
HBP% /PA3.17%—×0.700—×0.9952.21%
Singles /BIP25.49%÷0.988×0.680×0.977×0.99517.04%
Doubles /BIP3.92%÷0.953×0.600×0.977×0.9952.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.079×0.600×0.977×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP7.84%÷1.095×0.470—×0.9953.35%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .318 → .192; ISO .140 → .060; BABIP .319 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 89 PAwOBA .300 → .200 (−99)K% 37.1% → 46.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.08%÷0.978×1.220——46.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.22%÷1.050×0.700—×1.00813.59%
HBP% /PA2.25%—×0.700—×1.0081.58%
Singles /BIP31.43%÷0.998×0.680—×1.00821.59%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷0.985×0.600—×1.0081.75%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷0.937×0.600—×1.0081.84%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.325×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .300 → .200; ISO .044 → .027; BABIP .361 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).