Robert Moore
2B Lehigh Valley IronPigs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAPHI | 435 | .240/.326/.364 | 9 | 19 | 64 | — | .217/.283/.307 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 398 | .203/.299/.346 | 8 | 6 | 58 | — | .188/.254/.295 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAAPHI | 314 | .226/.324/.467 | 15 | 7 | 74 | — | .193/.269/.375 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBPHI | 21 | .203/.272/.344 | 1 | 0 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 84 | .205/.275/.347 | 2 | 2 | 73 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 118 | .206/.276/.348 | 3 | 2 | 74 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 125 | 110 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 264 | 352 | 418 | 770 | 155 | 329 | 22 | 10 | 347 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 200 | 478 | 67 | 154 | 11 | 11 | 240 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 180 | 153 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 294 | 386 | 516 | 903 | 222 | 303 | 15 | 12 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 563 | 490 | 114 | 33 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 108 | 11 | 26 | 13 | 233 | 324 | 361 | 685 | 129 | 280 | 19 | 10 | 308 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 435 | 379 | 91 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 73 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 240 | 326 | 364 | 690 | 124 | 273 | 17 | 9 | 309 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 32 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 344 | 407 | 751 | 185 | 200 | 3 | 9 | 341 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 321 | 281 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 199 | 286 | 320 | 606 | 121 | 256 | 25 | 10 | 273 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 45 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 500 | 864 | 278 | 240 | 22 | 16 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 314 | 270 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 45 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 226 | 324 | 467 | 790 | 241 | 216 | 14 | 11 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 125 | 114 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 193 | 272 | 298 | 570 | 105 | 276 | 31 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 115 | 17 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 563 | 507 | 97 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 144 | 11 | 26 | 13 | 191 | 263 | 288 | 551 | 97 | 248 | 26 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 435 | 391 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 91 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 217 | 283 | 307 | 590 | 90 | 259 | 21 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 32 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 281 | 379 | 661 | 172 | 186 | 3 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 321 | 290 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 95 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 186 | 251 | 286 | 537 | 100 | 249 | 30 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 314 | 280 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 54 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 193 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 182 | 189 | 17 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 290 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 95 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 183 | 257 | 276 | 533 | 93 | 251 | 29 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 323 | 278 | 76 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 57 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 367 | 460 | 827 | 187 | 304 | 18 | 11 | 364 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 563 | 507 | 97 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 144 | 11 | 26 | 13 | 191 | 263 | 288 | 551 | 97 | 251 | 26 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 563 | 490 | 114 | 33 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 108 | 11 | 26 | 13 | 233 | 324 | 361 | 685 | 129 | 280 | 19 | 10 | 308 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 435 | 391 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 91 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 217 | 283 | 307 | 590 | 90 | 266 | 21 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 435 | 379 | 91 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 73 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 240 | 326 | 364 | 690 | 124 | 273 | 17 | 9 | 309 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 398 | 358 | 67 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 108 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 187 | 256 | 288 | 543 | 101 | 250 | 27 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 398 | 344 | 70 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 90 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 203 | 299 | 346 | 645 | 142 | 249 | 23 | 11 | 289 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 314 | 280 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 54 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 193 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 182 | 197 | 17 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 314 | 270 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 45 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 226 | 324 | 467 | 790 | 241 | 216 | 14 | 11 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 291 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 95 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 182 | 257 | 275 | 532 | 93 | 256 | 29 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 563 | 509 | 97 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 144 | 11 | 26 | 13 | 191 | 263 | 287 | 549 | 96 | 248 | 26 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 435 | 396 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 91 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 215 | 283 | 303 | 586 | 88 | 259 | 21 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 398 | 362 | 67 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 108 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 185 | 256 | 285 | 540 | 99 | 243 | 27 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 314 | 282 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 54 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 191 | 269 | 372 | 641 | 181 | 189 | 17 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 435 | 396 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 91 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 215 | 283 | 303 | 586 | 88 | 259 | 21 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 398 | 362 | 67 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 108 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 185 | 256 | 285 | 540 | 99 | 243 | 27 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 314 | 282 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 54 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 191 | 269 | 372 | 641 | 181 | 189 | 17 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 10% | 364 | 329 | 67 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 78 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 202 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 136 | 235 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 10% | 21 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 272 | 344 | 616 | 141 | 235 | 19 | 5 | 276 | 71 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 35% | 241 | 218 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 204 | 273 | 341 | 615 | 138 | 237 | 22 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 44% | 269 | 243 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 205 | 275 | 342 | 617 | 137 | 239 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 49% | 287 | 260 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 63 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 205 | 275 | 341 | 616 | 136 | 241 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 35% | 84 | 77 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 275 | 347 | 622 | 142 | 237 | 21 | 7 | 279 | 73 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 44% | 118 | 106 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 276 | 348 | 624 | 142 | 239 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 74 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 49% | 140 | 127 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 276 | 347 | 623 | 140 | 241 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 342 | 310 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 74 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 206 | 276 | 348 | 625 | 142 | 240 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 62 | -11 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 141 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 207 | 279 | 350 | 628 | 143 | 241 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 62 | -21 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3037 | 2734 | 542 | 135 | 9 | 57 | 213 | 709 | 51 | 96 | 43 | 198 | 269 | 317 | 586 | 119 | 244 | 23 | 7 | 261 | 62 | -32 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +22 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 116 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 152 | 11 | 21 | 9 | 198 | 270 | 316 | 586 | 118 | 244 | 23 | 7 | 261 | 62 | -21 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 314 PAwOBA .336 → .278 (−58)K% 14.3% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 11.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.89% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .336 → .278; ISO .241 → .190; BABIP .216 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 321 PAwOBA .267 → .235 (−33)K% 24.6% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.61% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.97% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.34% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.42% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.48% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .267 → .235; ISO .121 → .101; BABIP .256 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 32 PAwOBA .321 → .291 (−30)K% 3.1% → 3.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 3.12% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 3.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.075 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 6.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 11.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .291; ISO .185 → .158; BABIP .200 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 435 PAwOBA .302 → .263 (−39)K% 16.8% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.78% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.26% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×1.042 | 19.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.54% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | ×0.973 | ×1.042 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | ×0.973 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.10% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .302 → .263; ISO .124 → .097; BABIP .273 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 563 PAwOBA .303 → .247 (−56)K% 19.2% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.18% | ÷0.955 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.32% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×1.027 | 16.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷0.966 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×1.027 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.982 | ×1.027 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.67% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .303 → .247; ISO .129 → .102; BABIP .280 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ACarolina Mudcats · 125 PAwOBA .338 → .252 (−86)K% 22.4% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.40% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.40% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.030 | 19.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.76% | ÷1.036 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×1.030 | 7.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.66% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.65% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .338 → .252; ISO .155 → .107; BABIP .329 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 18 PAwOBA .235 → .166 (−69)K% 11.1% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.963 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 6.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .235 → .166; ISO .067 → .047; BABIP .154 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .