Zavier Warren — OGILVIE

Zavier Warren1B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 S/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .217 / .143

PA23

HR0

K%30

BB%9

BABIP240

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	157	135	36	7	1	3	18	32	2	5	0	267	361	400	761	133	324	20	11	341	117	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	230	191	48	8	2	10	33	49	5	1	0	251	376	471	847	220	286	21	14	375	140	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	106	92	23	3	0	2	12	27	1	3	0	250	343	348	691	98	328	25	11	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	419	373	82	26	2	10	37	81	6	6	1	220	300	381	681	161	253	19	9	304	92	-4	+1	—	—	+9	0.6
2022	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	97	72	20	1	1	1	22	16	1	2	2	278	453	361	814	83	333	16	23	376	140	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	377	89	15	2	15	45	86	3	6	3	236	322	406	728	170	264	20	10	324	105	+3	+0	—	—	+9	1.2
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	316	65	8	1	11	43	98	6	4	3	206	312	342	654	136	255	26	12	297	87	-6	-0	—	—	+8	0.2
2025	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	412	94	14	6	11	53	113	3	11	2	228	320	371	691	143	279	24	11	307	94	-3	+1	—	—	+10	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	157	140	30	5	1	2	13	43	2	5	0	214	290	307	597	93	280	27	8	265	65	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	230	202	40	5	2	8	22	67	5	1	0	198	293	361	654	163	248	29	10	286	80	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	106	96	19	2	0	2	8	34	1	3	0	198	267	281	548	83	275	32	8	241	49	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	419	383	64	19	2	9	27	112	6	6	1	167	233	298	531	131	204	27	6	232	43	-28	+1	—	—	+9	-1.9
2023	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	391	79	15	2	11	31	114	3	6	3	202	266	335	601	133	246	27	7	261	63	-19	+0	—	—	+9	-1.0
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	329	56	7	1	7	30	120	6	4	3	170	252	261	513	91	227	32	8	231	42	-25	-0	—	—	+8	-1.8
2025	26	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	430	78	10	5	7	36	148	3	11	2	181	249	277	526	95	243	31	8	236	46	-31	+1	—	—	+10	-1.9
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	387	342	69	10	2	10	35	110	7	6	0	202	289	330	619	129	262	28	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	387	326	84	15	3	13	51	81	7	6	0	258	370	442	812	184	302	21	13	361	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	622	566	98	26	2	12	42	172	8	11	3	173	240	290	530	117	222	28	7	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	622	537	125	30	3	13	71	124	8	11	3	233	331	372	704	140	276	20	11	317	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	391	79	15	2	11	31	114	3	6	3	202	266	335	601	133	252	27	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	377	89	15	2	15	45	86	3	6	3	236	322	406	728	170	264	20	10	324	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	329	56	7	1	7	30	120	6	4	3	170	252	261	513	91	237	32	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	316	65	8	1	11	43	98	6	4	3	206	312	342	654	136	255	26	12	297	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	430	78	10	5	7	36	148	3	11	2	181	249	277	526	95	250	31	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	412	94	14	6	11	53	113	3	11	2	228	320	371	691	143	279	24	11	307	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	387	342	69	10	2	10	35	110	7	6	0	202	289	330	619	129	261	28	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	622	567	98	26	2	12	42	172	8	11	3	173	240	289	530	116	218	28	7	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	392	79	15	2	11	31	114	3	6	3	202	266	334	600	133	246	27	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	331	56	7	1	7	30	120	6	4	3	169	252	260	512	91	227	32	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	436	78	10	5	7	36	148	3	11	2	179	249	273	522	94	243	31	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	392	79	15	2	11	31	114	3	6	3	202	266	334	600	133	246	27	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	331	56	7	1	7	30	120	6	4	3	169	252	260	512	91	227	32	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	436	78	10	5	7	36	148	3	11	2	179	249	273	522	94	243	31	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	CIN	—	224	200	28	3	1	4	21	76	2	3	0	140	229	225	454	85	200	34	9	206	26	-20	+1	+0	-4	+5	-1.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	CIN	—	224	191	33	4	1	5	30	62	2	3	0	173	291	283	574	110	226	28	13	270	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	CIN	2%	23	21	3	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	143	217	143	360		238	30	9	238	47	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	27	AA MLE	CIN	—	247	221	31	3	1	4	23	83	2	3	0	140	228	217	445	77	201	34	9	209	28	-21	+1	+0	-4	+5	-2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	267	240	42	6	1	5	23	82	2	5	1	175	253	271	524	96	244	31	9	245	52	-15	+1	-1	-5	+6	-1.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	72	65	11	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	169	250	246	496	77	246	31	8	243	52	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	65	11	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	169	250	246	496	77	238	31	8	243	53	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	99	18	0	9	54	199	9	9	0	169	249	245	495	77	237	31	8	243	53	-37	+2	-2	-12	+14	-3.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2576	2319	425	74	13	52	199	753	29	43	12	183	256	294	550	110	242	29	8	246	53	-17	+1	-1	-5	+6	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	107	19	3	13	50	190	7	11	3	183	255	292	547	109	242	29	8	246	53	-37	+1	-2	-12	+14	-3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zavier Warren (OGILVIE)	27	40	45	50	50	170/247/266	96	238	4	4	31%	8%	47	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Mendez 2007 · AAA	27	42	44→45	50	41	212/261/328	116	286	12	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	227/285/352	125	299	12	10	27%	7%	80	-0.2	235/308/354	119	298	14	12	25%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Preston Palmeiro 2022 · AAA	27	41→48	45	45→40	40	210/250/327	118	268	13	7	27%	5%	61	-1.5	214/273/325	111	273	9	5	24%	7%	69	-0.9	206/272/307	101	261	7	2	23%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	40→37	40→45	44→45	42	191/261/284	93	292	8	6	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/275/335	115	311	11	6	31%	7%	72	-0.7	236/286/368	132	312	14	2	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Ronnie Dawson 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	43→45	47→55	44	210/278/322	112	284	10	16	29%	7%	71	-0.8	219/284/323	104	306	9	14	30%	7%	73	-0.6	207/274/297	90	299	8	13	31%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	42→47	42→45	47→50	38	208/246/310	102	276	10	12	28%	4%	55	-2.0	206/268/335	129	284	16	15	32%	7%	70	-0.8	167/238/292	126	216	19	18	32%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	185/259/301	116	276	11	10	35%	8%	59	-1.7	192/256/293	101	310	7	9	37%	7%	55	-1.9	161/217/252	92	301	0	4	44%	7%	27	-0.7
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA	27	41→48	42→45	54→50	44	203/257/311	108	265	8	15	26%	7%	59	-1.6	211/271/312	101	270	8	15	24%	8%	65	-1.2	191/255/263	73	242	4	18	22%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→41	42→45	51→50	41	177/263/272	95	295	11	13	41%	9%	55	-2.0	208/301/333	125	331	13	13	37%	10%	82	+0.0	220/323/371	151	334	16	13	35%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	198/251/294	96	258	11	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	207/272/315	108	259	12	13	24%	7%	67	-1.1	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Michael Reed 2022 · AAA	27	42	42→45	50→55	38	199/261/300	101	317	9	16	38%	7%	59	-1.7	208/267/311	103	334	10	19	38%	7%	63	-1.3	186/246/274	89	298	9	26	38%	7%	44	-0.7
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	42→45	50	41	199/258/307	108	258	10	13	26%	6%	60	-1.6	207/279/354	147	283	16	16	32%	6%	80	-0.2	169/253/329	160	225	20	20	34%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Willie Abreu 2021 · AA	26	42→46	40→45	49→55	39	205/257/295	90	295	7	15	32%	6%	56	-1.9	214/265/332	118	308	12	10	33%	5%	68	-1.0	198/244/317	119	283	13	9	34%	4%	54	-0.8
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	39→40	52→55	47	208/289/293	85	288	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	199/255/330	131	304	14	14	37%	6%	64	-1.3	163/220/293	131	245	14	17	39%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Myles Schroder 2015 · AA	27	46	42→45	55→50	38	224/267/333	109	295	8	13	26%	4%	68	-1.0	219/263/311	92	281	8	11	24%	4%	61	-1.5	208/257/309	101	272	8	7	26%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	40	44→45	46→50	47	201/273/313	112	254	12	9	26%	8%	67	-1.1	203/272/295	92	271	7	12	26%	8%	62	-1.4	188/262/262	74	255	4	15	26%	8%	49	-1.6
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	45→50	40	53→50	39	219/260/311	92	288	8	15	27%	4%	60	-1.6	215/262/320	105	289	10	14	28%	5%	63	-1.3	203/252/303	100	268	9	16	27%	5%	52	-0.9
✕Wade Gaynor 2015 · AAA	27	38→45	46→45	52→50	37	194/247/326	131	280	12	12	34%	6%	59	-1.6	184/226/297	113	259	11	13	32%	5%	45	-2.7	147/182/240	93	198	10	12	32%	4%	13	-3.7