Zavier Warren — OGILVIE

Zavier Warren1B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 S/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .249 / .275

PA149

HR3

K%34

BB%9

BABIP246

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	387	342	69	9	2	10	35	110	7	6	0	202	289	327	617	126	262	28	9	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	387	326	84	15	3	13	51	81	7	6	0	258	370	442	812	184	302	21	13	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	622	564	93	24	2	14	44	179	8	11	3	165	235	289	524	124	210	29	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	622	537	125	30	3	13	71	124	8	11	3	233	331	372	704	140	276	20	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	391	79	18	2	11	31	131	3	6	3	202	266	343	609	141	269	31	7	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	377	89	15	2	15	45	86	3	6	3	236	322	406	728	170	264	20	10	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	329	55	7	1	7	30	128	6	4	3	167	249	258	508	91	241	35	8	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	316	65	8	1	11	43	98	6	4	3	206	312	342	654	136	255	26	12	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	430	73	9	4	7	36	169	3	11	2	170	239	258	497	88	251	35	8	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	412	94	14	6	11	53	113	3	11	2	228	320	371	691	143	279	24	11	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	CIN	—	224	200	27	3	1	4	21	80	2	3	0	135	224	220	444	85	198	36	9	207	17	-21	+1	+0	-4	+6	-1.9
YTD	27	AA	CIN	—	224	191	33	4	1	5	30	62	2	3	0	173	291	283	574	110	226	28	13	270	64	-9	+1	+0	-4	+6	-0.6
ROS	27	AA	CIN	2%	149	134	23	3	1	3	13	51	1	3	1	171	249	275	525	104	238	34	9	232	36	-11	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.9
ROS	27	MLB	CIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						240	33	0	228	32	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AA	CIN	—	227	203	27	3	1	4	21	81	2	3	0	133	221	217	438	84	195	36	9	207	17	-21	+1	+0	-4	+6	-1.9
TOT	27	AA	CIN	—	373	334	50	6	2	7	34	131	3	6	1	150	234	242	477	93	218	35	9	217	24	-32	+1	+0	-7	+11	-2.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CIN	27%	267	241	41	6	1	5	22	88	2	5	1	170	245	266	511	95	245	33	8	241	43	-17	+1	-1	-5	+8	-1.5
2027	28	MLB	CIN	27%	72	65	11	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	169	250	246	496	77	247	33	8	237	40	-5	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	75	68	11	2	0	1	6	25	1	1	0	162	240	235	475	74	238	33	8	237	40	-5	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	95	17	0	9	52	217	9	9	0	161	240	236	476	75	237	33	8	237	40	-44	+2	-2	-12	+18	-3.8
Career	—			—	2702	2431	433	76	13	57	211	856	30	46	13	178	252	290	543	112	243	32	8	243	44	-171	+4	-1	-48	+77	-14.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	104	18	3	14	51	206	7	11	3	178	252	291	543	113	242	32	8	243	44	-41	+1	-0	-12	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	157	135	36	7	1	3	18	32	2	5	0	267	361	400	761	133	324	20	11	341	119	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	230	191	48	8	2	10	33	49	5	1	0	251	376	471	847	220	286	21	14	375	145	+12	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2022	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	106	92	23	3	0	2	12	27	1	3	0	250	343	348	691	98	328	25	11	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	419	373	82	26	2	10	37	81	6	6	1	220	300	381	681	161	253	19	9	304	91	-4	+1	—	—	+12	0.9
2022	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	97	72	20	1	1	1	22	16	1	2	2	278	453	361	814	83	333	16	23	376	146	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	429	377	89	15	2	15	45	86	3	6	3	236	322	406	728	170	264	20	10	324	106	+3	+0	—	—	+12	1.5
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	370	316	65	8	1	11	43	98	6	4	3	206	312	342	654	136	255	26	12	297	86	-6	-0	—	—	+10	0.4
2025	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	478	412	94	14	6	11	53	113	3	11	2	228	320	371	691	143	279	24	11	307	93	-4	+1	—	—	+14	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zavier Warren (OGILVIE)	27	40	45	50	50	150/234/242	93	218	7	6	35%	9%	24	-2.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Mendez 2007 · AAA	27	42	45	50	41	212/261/333	121	288	13	12	30%	6%	62	-0.9	227/285/354	127	299	13	10	27%	7%	78	+0.2	234/304/354	120	298	14	12	25%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→40	43→45	51→50	40	173/258/271	97	302	12	13	43%	9%	46	-2.0	207/298/337	130	337	14	13	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/319/374	157	335	17	13	36%	11%	93	+0.8
✕Michael Reed 2022 · AAA	27	40	41→45	50→55	36	190/249/288	98	313	9	16	40%	6%	46	-2.0	208/266/318	110	338	11	19	39%	7%	60	-1.0	189/249/288	99	308	11	26	40%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	39→45	43→45	47→50	36	199/237/307	108	271	12	12	31%	4%	45	-2.1	205/268/345	140	282	18	15	33%	7%	69	-0.4	166/237/308	143	210	22	18	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Willie Abreu 2021 · AA	26	41→44	39→45	49→55	38	198/249/283	84	293	7	15	34%	6%	43	-2.2	212/262/336	124	308	13	10	34%	5%	64	-0.8	192/238/321	129	275	15	9	35%	4%	47	-0.8
✕Jesus Loya 2019 · AAA	27	42	40	51→50	37	208/247/291	84	284	8	13	29%	4%	44	-2.1	211/245/310	99	280	10	7	28%	4%	49	-1.8	194/219/267	73	255	8	0	27%	2%	26	-1.5
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	37→47	38→45	46→50	39	184/239/256	72	270	6	8	33%	6%	33	-2.9	217/255/317	100	318	11	17	34%	4%	54	-1.4	222/246/322	99	331	13	23	36%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	37→46	45→50	46→40	39	190/253/307	117	280	13	6	36%	7%	53	-1.5	205/270/321	116	336	11	7	39%	7%	63	-0.8	161/235/277	116	284	12	0	44%	7%	35	-0.6
✕Ronnie Dawson 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	44→45	47→55	43	211/279/333	122	288	12	16	30%	7%	70	-0.3	218/281/325	107	309	9	14	31%	6%	69	-0.4	205/271/294	90	304	7	13	33%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→50	41→40	53→50	38	215/254/309	94	285	9	15	28%	4%	53	-1.5	213/260/321	108	292	10	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	203/251/308	106	273	9	16	28%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	38→30	50	46	197/266/273	75	263	6	13	26%	8%	49	-1.8	209/278/289	80	298	7	14	30%	8%	58	-1.2	189/268/197	8	288	0	18	31%	9%	31	-0.6
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Wade Gaynor 2014 · AA	26	37→42	44→50	49→50	38	187/247/304	117	274	11	9	35%	6%	49	-1.8	183/227/309	126	266	13	12	35%	5%	42	-2.3	165/204/292	127	233	14	13	35%	4%	24	-2.6