Zavier Warren1B
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 27
S/R
5'11" / 215 lbs
AA
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .260 / .312
PA250
HR6
K%32
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
45→45
SPD
50→50
EYE
49↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.8peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-17M | $-35M | -$18M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 387 | 343 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 109 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .207 | .292 | .350 | .642 | .143 | .265 | 28 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 622 | 566 | 98 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 168 | 8 | 11 | 3 | .173 | .240 | .293 | .534 | .120 | .217 | 27 | 7 | .236 | 39 | -43 | +1 | +0 | -11 | +18 | -3.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 429 | 392 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 125 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .199 | .261 | .342 | .603 | .143 | .255 | 29 | 7 | .267 | 63 | -18 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +12 | -1.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 370 | 329 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 128 | 6 | 4 | 3 | .167 | .249 | .267 | .517 | .100 | .237 | 35 | 8 | .231 | 35 | -27 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +10 | -2.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 478 | 430 | 78 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 154 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .181 | .249 | .293 | .542 | .112 | .250 | 32 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -32 | +1 | +0 | -9 | +14 | -2.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 73 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .156 | .250 | .266 | .516 | .109 | .200 | 30 | 10 | .225 | 30 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 177 | 159 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 56 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .189 | .263 | .308 | .571 | .119 | .254 | 32 | 8 | .258 | 55 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | 250 | 223 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .179 | .259 | .296 | .555 | .117 | .243 | 31 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -15 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | CIN | 267 | 240 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .188 | .264 | .300 | .564 | .112 | .246 | 27 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -11 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | CIN | 309 | 276 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 82 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .281 | .337 | .618 | .134 | .249 | 27 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | CIN | 336 | 300 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 90 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .200 | .279 | .327 | .606 | .127 | .249 | 27 | 9 | .271 | 65 | -13 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | CIN | 340 | 304 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .197 | .276 | .322 | .598 | .125 | .249 | 27 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | CIN | 334 | 299 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 92 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .272 | .318 | .590 | .124 | .247 | 28 | 9 | .263 | 60 | -15 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | CIN | 312 | 279 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .186 | .265 | .297 | .563 | .111 | .246 | 28 | 9 | .258 | 56 | -16 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.7 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | CIN | 273 | 245 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .180 | .258 | .278 | .536 | .098 | .244 | 29 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -15 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4634 | 4162 | 785 | 134 | 25 | 107 | 376 | 1335 | 48 | 50 | 14 | .189 | .264 | .310 | .574 | .121 | .246 | 29 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -236 | +4 | -20 | -83 | +131 | -20.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 584 | 111 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 187 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .190 | .266 | .313 | .579 | .123 | .247 | 29 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -33 | +1 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -2.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 157 | 135 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .267 | .361 | .400 | .761 | .133 | .324 | 20 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 230 | 191 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .251 | .376 | .471 | .847 | .220 | .286 | 21 | 14 | .375 | 145 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 106 | 92 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .250 | .343 | .348 | .691 | .098 | .328 | 25 | 11 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 419 | 373 | 82 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 81 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .220 | .300 | .381 | .681 | .161 | .253 | 19 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | 97 | 72 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .278 | .453 | .361 | .814 | .083 | .333 | 16 | 23 | .376 | 146 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 429 | 377 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 86 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .236 | .322 | .406 | .728 | .170 | .264 | 20 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 370 | 316 | 65 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 98 | 6 | 4 | 3 | .206 | .312 | .342 | .654 | .136 | .255 | 26 | 12 | .297 | 86 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 478 | 412 | 94 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 53 | 113 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .228 | .320 | .371 | .691 | .143 | .279 | 24 | 11 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +14 | 1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Zavier Warren (OGILVIE) | 27 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 50 | .191/.260/.312 | .121 | .263 | 6 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 58 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Victor Mendez 2007 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 45 | 49→50 | 41 | .214/.264/.335 | .121 | .290 | 12 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .227/.285/.354 | .127 | .300 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .237/.309/.361 | .124 | .299 | 15 | 12 | 25% | 9% | 88 | +0.3 |
|
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA |
27 | 38→47 | 45→50 | 47→40 | 39 | .195/.256/.315 | .120 | .286 | 13 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .205/.270/.325 | .120 | .330 | 12 | 7 | 38% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .168/.241/.293 | .125 | .286 | 13 | 0 | 43% | 7% | 41 | -0.5 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA |
27 | 44→42 | 48→50 | 47→50 | 41 | .223/.272/.364 | .142 | .286 | 15 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.260/.342 | .133 | .281 | 16 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.247/.315 | .120 | .261 | 16 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.4 |
|
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA |
27 | 39 | 47→50 | 44→40 | 47 | .203/.277/.337 | .134 | .268 | 16 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .200/.265/.347 | .147 | .255 | 18 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .186/.263/.326 | .140 | .247 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA |
26 | 41→42 | 47→45 | 45→40 | 41 | .208/.272/.337 | .129 | .274 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .214/.278/.342 | .128 | .278 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .177/.265/.331 | .155 | .216 | 16 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -0.2 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕James Boone 2009 · AA |
26 | 41 | 44→45 | 43→50 | 40 | .207/.267/.321 | .114 | .282 | 13 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .201/.255/.303 | .102 | .279 | 10 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .148/.191/.199 | .051 | .202 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 4% | -7 | -1.3 |
|
✕Trey Amburgey 2022 · AAA |
27 | 44 | 49→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .225/.269/.378 | .153 | .298 | 16 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .205/.255/.337 | .132 | .304 | 15 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .151/.205/.263 | .113 | .218 | 16 | 2 | 38% | 6% | 18 | -1.4 |
|
✕Justin Bloxom 2014 · AA |
26 | 44→52 | 44→50 | 43→40 | 44 | .217/.276/.335 | .117 | .293 | 12 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.280/.322 | .103 | .297 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.266/.305 | .096 | .283 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 54 | -0.7 |
|
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA |
27 | 40→43 | 48→60 | 48→40 | 42 | .207/.262/.346 | .139 | .270 | 16 | 3 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.257/.398 | .189 | .266 | 25 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .203/.249/.394 | .191 | .250 | 26 | 4 | 31% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ronnie Dawson 2022 · AAA |
27 | 39→48 | 44→45 | 46→55 | 42 | .197/.268/.314 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 15 | 33% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .218/.283/.328 | .110 | .303 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .211/.278/.313 | .102 | .300 | 10 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.7 |
|
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA |
26 | 41 | 47→40 | 48→55 | 41 | .209/.268/.341 | .133 | .288 | 15 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .231/.302/.338 | .107 | .302 | 9 | 28 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .241/.322/.332 | .091 | .312 | 6 | 48 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Preston Palmeiro 2022 · AAA |
27 | 40→47 | 44→45 | 45→40 | 39 | .204/.244/.318 | .114 | .267 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .213/.269/.328 | .115 | .274 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .205/.270/.313 | .108 | .262 | 8 | 2 | 24% | 7% | 58 | -0.6 |
|
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A |
26 | 41→37 | 47→50 | 45→40 | 42 | .208/.270/.338 | .131 | .276 | 15 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.284/.355 | .144 | .299 | 15 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .173/.267/.342 | .169 | .235 | 18 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Elier Hernandez 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38→48 | 46→50 | 45→50 | 35 | .197/.243/.314 | .117 | .280 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 4% | 50 | -1.8 | .232/.281/.377 | .145 | .306 | 15 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .240/.290/.387 | .147 | .311 | 14 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 49→50 | 50→55 | 37 | .194/.258/.343 | .149 | .284 | 16 | 15 | 36% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.264/.339 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 23 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.256/.306 | .115 | .275 | 14 | 30 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→41 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .181/.265/.280 | .099 | .307 | 11 | 12 | 42% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .204/.296/.339 | .135 | .334 | 15 | 13 | 39% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .217/.319/.382 | .165 | .335 | 19 | 13 | 37% | 12% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA |
26 | 40 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 45 | .202/.285/.330 | .128 | .282 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.302/.373 | .158 | .297 | 19 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .211/.305/.392 | .181 | .283 | 23 | 1 | 32% | 10% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA |
27 | 42→49 | 43→45 | 54→50 | 44 | .208/.262/.327 | .119 | .267 | 10 | 15 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .207/.263/.308 | .101 | .268 | 8 | 15 | 25% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.250/.263 | .077 | .240 | 5 | 18 | 23% | 8% | 36 | -1.0 |