Zavier Warren

1B Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 28 S/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AAMIL370.206/.312/.34211441—.167/.249/.258
202526AAMIL478.228/.320/.371111143—.176/.243/.269
202627AACIN224.173/.291/.2835322—.134/.220/.219
2027PROJMLE28MLBCIN2.184/.256/.2860052-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB29MLBCIN30.184/.256/.2851152-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
BB%77
Chase%72
Speed65
Whiff%55
Z-Con%55
K%33
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsVictor Mendez (age 27) · Myles Schroder (age 28) · Luis Ugueto (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .256 / .286
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%8
BABIP256
ISO106
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 157135 36713 18322 50 267361400761 133324 2011 341 68 — — — — — —
202122 ACarolina Mudcats — 230191 488210 33495 10 251376471847 220286 2114 375 80 — — — — — —
202223 AABiloxi Shuckers — 10692 23302 12271 30 250343348691 98328 2511 315 53 — — — — — —
202223 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 419373 8226210 37816 61 220300381681 161253 199 304 45 — — — — — —
202223 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 9772 20111 22161 22 278453361814 83333 1623 376 140 — — — — — —
202324 AABiloxi Shuckers — 429377 8915215 45863 63 236322406728 170264 2010 324 65 — — — — — —
202425 AABiloxi Shuckers — 370316 658111 43986 43 206312342654 136255 2612 297 41 — — — — — —
202526 AABiloxi Shuckers — 478412 9414611 531133 112 228320371691 143279 2411 307 43 — — — — — —
202627 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 224191 33415 30622 30 173291283574 110226 2813 270 22 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 157140 30512 13432 50 214290307597 93284 278 268 68 — — — — — —
202122 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 230202 40528 22675 10 198293361654 163248 2910 286 80 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 10696 20302 8341 30 208276302578 94279 328 246 53 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 419383 651929 271056 61 170236300536 131203 256 234 45 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 429391 7916211 311143 63 202266338603 136247 277 265 65 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 370329 55717 301206 43 167249258508 91224 328 229 41 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 478431 761147 351483 112 176243269512 93237 317 232 43 — — — — — —
202627 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 224201 27314 20762 30 134220219439 85191 349 201 22 — — — — — —
202122 A MLE2 teams — 387342 6910210 351107 60 202289330619 129262 289 279 75 — — — — — —
202122 A RAW2 teams — 387326 8415313 51817 60 258370442812 184302 2113 361 75 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLE3 teams — 622566 9926212 421658 113 175242292533 117220 277 236 46 — — — — — —
202223 A+ RAW3 teams — 622537 12530313 711248 113 233331372704 140276 2011 317 46 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 429391 7916211 311143 63 202266338603 136252 277 265 65 — — — — — —
202324 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 429377 8915215 45863 63 236322406728 170264 2010 324 65 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 370329 55717 301206 43 167249258508 91232 328 229 41 — — — — — —
202425 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 370316 658111 43986 43 206312342654 136255 2612 297 41 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 478431 761147 351483 112 176243269512 93242 317 232 43 — — — — — —
202526 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 478412 9414611 531133 112 228320371691 143279 2411 307 43 — — — — — —
202627 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 224201 27314 20762 30 134220219439 85190 349 201 22 — — — — — —
202627 AA RAWChattanooga Lookouts — 224191 33415 30622 30 173291283574 110226 2813 270 22 — — — — — —
202122 A MLE2 teams — 387342 6910210 351107 60 202289330619 129263 289 279 75 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLE3 teams — 622567 9926212 421658 113 175242291533 116218 277 236 46 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 429392 7916211 311143 63 202266337603 135247 277 265 65 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 370331 55717 301206 43 166249257506 91224 328 229 41 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 478437 761147 351483 112 174243265509 92237 317 232 43 — — — — — —
202627 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 224200 27314 20762 30 135220220440 85191 349 201 22 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 370331 55717 301206 43 166249257506 91224 328 229 41 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 478437 761147 351483 112 174243265509 92237 317 232 43 — — — — — —
202627 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 224200 27314 20762 30 135220220440 85191 349 201 22 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLECIN 2% 274248 46725 22872 51 182255280535 98255 328 245 52 -16 +1 +0 -5 +6 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXCIN 2% 22 0000 010 00 184256286542 102256 500 248 52 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLECIN 23% 133120 22312 11421 31 183255279534 97255 328 244 52 -8 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.9
202829 MLB CTXCIN 23% 3028 6101 290 10 184256285542 101256 307 247 52 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3028 6101 290 10 214267357624 143278 307 247 51 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 13122022 431950 220 216268361628 145279 307 247 51 -37 +4 -7 -12 +14 -3.8
Career— MLE — 27582484 446791455 21381131 4612 180253289542 110237 298 243 51 -14 +1 -1 -4 +5 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 10519313 501917 113 179252289541 109237 298 243 51 -37 +2 -4 -12 +14 -3.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 224 PAwOBA .263 → .201 (−62)K% 27.7% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.68%÷1.000×1.220——33.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.39%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9788.91%
HBP% /PA0.89%—×0.840—×0.9780.73%
Singles /BIP17.83%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.97815.24%
Doubles /BIP3.10%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×0.9782.62%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.000×0.880×0.950×0.9780.63%
Home runs /BIP3.88%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9783.03%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .263 → .201; ISO .110 → .086; BABIP .226 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 478 PAwOBA .305 → .232 (−73)K% 23.6% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.64%÷0.932×1.220——30.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.09%÷1.008×0.680—×0.9887.39%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.840—×0.9880.52%
Singles /BIP21.07%÷0.976×0.920×0.950×0.98818.64%
Doubles /BIP4.68%÷1.091×0.910×0.950×0.9883.67%
Triples /BIP2.01%÷1.083×0.880×0.950×0.9881.53%
Home runs /BIP3.68%÷1.170×0.800—×0.9882.48%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .305 → .232; ISO .143 → .101; BABIP .279 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 370 PAwOBA .294 → .229 (−64)K% 26.5% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.49%÷0.994×1.220——32.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.62%÷0.989×0.680—×0.9987.97%
HBP% /PA1.62%—×0.840—×0.9981.36%
Singles /BIP20.64%÷0.972×0.920×0.950×0.99818.52%
Doubles /BIP3.67%÷0.971×0.910×0.950×0.9983.26%
Triples /BIP0.46%÷0.900×0.880×0.950×0.9980.43%
Home runs /BIP5.05%÷1.198×0.800—×0.9983.36%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .294 → .229; ISO .136 → .097; BABIP .255 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 429 PAwOBA .318 → .265 (−54)K% 20.0% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.05%÷0.924×1.220——26.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.49%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0127.22%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.840—×1.0120.59%
Singles /BIP19.59%÷0.988×0.920×0.970×1.01217.89%
Doubles /BIP5.15%÷0.827×0.910×0.970×1.0125.57%
Triples /BIP0.69%÷0.900×0.880×0.970×1.0120.66%
Home runs /BIP5.15%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0123.95%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .318 → .265; ISO .170 → .140; BABIP .264 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 419 PAwOBA .297 → .234 (−63)K% 19.3% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.33%÷0.977×1.270——25.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.59%÷0.944×0.710—×0.9986.45%
HBP% /PA1.43%—×0.790—×0.9981.13%
Singles /BIP15.07%÷1.083×0.920×0.983×0.99812.55%
Doubles /BIP8.90%÷1.049×0.810×0.983×0.9986.74%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷0.900×0.850×0.983×0.9980.63%
Home runs /BIP3.42%÷0.885×0.800—×0.9983.09%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .297 → .234; ISO .161 → .131; BABIP .253 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 106 PAwOBA .310 → .246 (−65)K% 25.5% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.47%÷0.976×1.220——31.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.32%÷1.027×0.680—×1.0277.70%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.840—×1.0270.81%
Singles /BIP27.69%÷1.060×0.920×0.950×1.02723.44%
Doubles /BIP4.62%÷0.973×0.910×0.950×1.0274.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880×0.950×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷1.012×0.800—×1.0272.50%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .310 → .246; ISO .098 → .080; BABIP .328 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 230 PAwOBA .368 → .286 (−81)K% 21.3% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.30%÷0.996×1.360——29.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.35%÷1.017×0.690——9.73%
HBP% /PA2.17%—×0.780——1.70%
Singles /BIP19.72%÷0.990×0.920×0.999—18.31%
Doubles /BIP5.63%÷1.177×0.830×0.999—3.97%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷1.052×0.910×0.999—1.22%
Home runs /BIP7.04%÷0.974×0.800——5.78%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .368 → .286; ISO .220 → .170; BABIP .286 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 157 PAwOBA .337 → .268 (−69)K% 20.4% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.38%÷1.001×1.350——27.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.46%÷0.988×0.710—×1.0128.34%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.810—×1.0121.04%
Singles /BIP24.27%÷0.982×0.910×0.989×1.01222.51%
Doubles /BIP6.80%÷1.132×0.830×0.989×1.0124.99%
Triples /BIP0.97%÷0.956×0.820×0.989×1.0120.83%
Home runs /BIP2.91%÷1.155×0.830—×1.0122.12%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .337 → .268; ISO .133 → .096; BABIP .324 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .