Jonathan Mejía — OGILVIE

Jonathan MejíaSS Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 21 S/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION267 act + 178 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .261 / .268

PA178

HR4

SB5

K%37

BB%12

BABIP224

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	208	176	32	11	2	3	22	71	10	3	2	182	308	318	626	136	284	34	11	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	208	165	44	14	3	5	33	48	10	3	2	267	418	479	897	212	348	23	16	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	164	143	15	1	2	1	18	69	2	8	1	105	215	161	376	56	189	42	11	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	164	132	21	1	3	2	28	47	2	8	1	159	313	258	570	98	226	29	17	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	205	185	39	6	2	2	14	72	4	18	4	211	281	297	578	86	327	35	7	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	205	174	52	9	2	3	25	52	4	18	4	299	399	425	824	126	405	25	12	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	324	284	41	4	5	5	35	151	2	18	4	144	243	246	489	102	277	47	11	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	324	273	50	4	6	6	46	106	2	18	4	183	305	308	613	125	270	33	14	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	STL	—	267	223	35	7	2	9	38	98	3	7	6	157	288	327	615	170	218	37	14	277	70	-9	-1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
YTD	21	A	STL	—	267	210	43	8	3	11	51	69	3	7	6	205	367	429	796	224	241	26	19	355	130	+9	-1	+0	+3	+8	1.9
ROS	21	A	STL	0%	178	153	23	4	1	4	21	65	2	5	2	150	261	268	529	118	224	37	12	250	49	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		224	—	—	242	44	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	STL	—	267	224	35	7	2	9	38	98	3	7	6	156	288	326	614	170	217	37	14	277	70	-9	-1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
TOT	21	A	STL	—	445	376	58	11	3	13	59	163	5	12	8	154	277	303	580	149	221	37	13	266	62	-19	-1	+0	+5	+13	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	439	380	63	11	4	11	52	154	4	10	4	166	273	303	576	137	235	35	12	262	58	-21	+0	+0	+5	+12	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	STL	48%	490	425	74	13	4	13	57	165	5	11	5	174	279	315	595	141	241	34	12	271	65	-19	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.0
2029	24	MLB	STL	53%	522	451	80	14	4	14	61	172	5	11	5	177	282	319	602	142	245	33	12	276	70	-18	+0	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2030	25	MLB	STL	55%	537	464	83	14	4	15	63	174	5	12	5	179	284	323	607	144	246	32	12	280	72	-17	+0	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2031	26	MLB	STL	56%	544	469	86	15	4	16	64	177	6	12	5	183	289	335	624	151	246	33	12	280	73	-17	+0	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2032	27	MLB	STL	55%	543	468	85	15	4	16	64	177	6	12	5	182	288	333	621	152	246	33	12	281	73	-17	+0	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	151	131	22	4	1	4	18	53	1	3	1	168	273	305	579	137	234	35	12	254	53	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	STL	48%	237	205	35	6	2	6	28	80	2	5	2	171	277	307	584	137	241	34	12	263	59	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	STL	53%	275	238	42	7	2	8	32	90	3	6	3	176	282	324	606	147	245	33	12	269	64	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	STL	55%	294	255	45	8	2	8	34	95	3	6	3	176	281	318	598	141	246	32	12	272	66	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2031	26	MLB	STL	56%	303	261	47	8	2	9	36	98	3	7	3	180	287	330	616	149	246	32	12	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2032	27	MLB	STL	55%	299	259	47	8	2	9	35	97	3	7	3	181	286	332	618	151	246	32	12	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1559	1350	238	41	11	44	183	513	15	34	15	176	282	321	603	144	242	33	12	269	64	-64	+1	+0	+17	+44	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	99	17	5	18	76	214	6	14	6	176	281	320	600	144	243	33	12	269	64	-27	+0	+0	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	4154	3598	621	108	36	100	471	1447	51	120	42	173	277	306	583	133	251	35	11	265	61	-182	+7	+0	+45	+118	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	98	17	6	16	74	226	8	19	7	174	279	311	590	137	253	35	11	265	61	-28	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	208	165	44	14	3	5	33	48	10	3	2	267	418	479	897	212	348	23	16	401	165	+15	-0	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	18	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	33	28	3	1	0	0	4	10	1	1	0	107	242	143	385	36	167	30	12	201	12	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	131	104	18	0	3	2	24	37	1	7	1	173	331	288	619	115	242	28	18	292	82	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	205	174	52	9	2	3	25	52	4	18	4	299	399	425	824	126	405	25	12	370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	324	273	50	4	6	6	46	106	2	18	4	183	305	308	613	125	270	33	14	283	75	-9	+2	—	—	+9	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,879	49	43	174	275	311	+20	+12	-0.2	0.4
	/162	664	17	15	174	275	311	+7.1	+4.2	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Mejía (OGILVIE)	21	20	35	55	55	154/277/303	149	221	13	12	37%	13%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	49	-1.8	209/271/322	113	297	9	5	31%	8%	63	-0.8	201/268/328	127	281	10	2	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Brenny Escanio 2023 · A	20	36→37	41→30	51→55	46	178/266/277	99	265	8	16	33%	10%	51	-1.7	179/252/245	66	298	3	15	37%	9%	36	-2.7	167/242/222	55	282	3	17	38%	9%	24	-1.9
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Robert Moore 2023 · A	21	42→40	41→45	50	42	203/268/305	102	288	9	13	31%	7%	58	-1.2	192/255/288	96	258	8	15	27%	6%	48	-1.9	192/256/302	110	236	11	15	24%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Luis García 2022 · A	21	37	43→40	48→45	44	187/260/297	110	271	11	10	34%	8%	53	-1.5	179/271/279	100	279	10	9	36%	10%	54	-1.4	126/241/197	70	202	8	8	38%	11%	20	-1.2
✕Marcus Littlewood 2013 · A	21	40	40→45	48→45	41	198/248/289	92	267	8	7	29%	6%	44	-2.1	199/266/305	106	272	10	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	209/274/322	113	270	10	4	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Oliver Dominguez 2010 · A	21	41	40	53→45	45	201/262/294	93	269	7	12	27%	7%	52	-1.6	198/269/293	95	271	8	13	28%	8%	56	-1.3	185/262/279	95	257	8	12	29%	9%	46	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2023 · A	21	41→32	44→45	51→50	43	198/275/314	116	304	11	15	36%	9%	64	-0.8	190/252/301	111	285	11	11	35%	7%	50	-1.7	178/236/280	102	260	11	10	34%	6%	35	-1.5
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Alexander Vargas 2023 · A	21	32→40	40→45	49→55	35	164/217/248	84	265	8	19	40%	6%	21	-3.7	180/218/279	99	260	8	18	33%	4%	29	-3.2	180/217/283	102	245	8	21	29%	4%	27	-2.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/260	75	289	3	8	35%	7%	37	-2.7	200/248/293	93	296	7	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	188/236/280	92	275	7	5	33%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	38	-2.6	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	45	-2.1	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4