Jonathan MejíaSS Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 21 S/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.8 · 2031
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .251 / .262
PA320
HR5
SB9
K%41
BB%9
MLB%0%
BAT: -20.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.90-0.9WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2020
PWR
3535
SPD
5555
EYE
5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2031

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Arb-3$0.9M+0.8$4M+$3M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.8$4M+$3M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.7$3M+$2M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1M+0.5$3M+$2M
2035Ext / FA-deal$1M+0.3$2M+$0.6M
2036Ext / FA-deal$7M
Totals $12M $15M +$3M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals 208177 311023 217010 32 .175.298.305.603 .130.269 3410 .271 66 -8 -0 +0 +2 +6 -0.0
202318 ROK2 teams 164143 15121 18682 81 .105.215.161.376 .056.187 4111 .184 -1 -19 +1 +0 +2 +5 -1.1
202419 ROKFCL Cardinals 205185 39622 14724 184 .211.281.297.578 .086.327 357 .256 54 -11 +2 +0 +2 +6 -0.1
202520 APalm Beach Cardinals 324285 40454 341512 184 .140.237.232.468 .091.273 4710 .216 24 -28 +2 +0 +3 +9 -1.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202621 APalm Beach Cardinals 6960 10212 9270 24 .167.275.333.609 .167.258 3913 .242 43 -4 -1 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
ROS21 MLBSTL 251222 36624 251032 73 .162.253.261.514 .099.277 4110 .244 45 -16 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.6
TOT21 MLBSTL 320282 46836 341302 97 .163.258.277.534 .113.272 4111 .243 44 -20 -1 +0 +3 +9 -0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202722 MLB 11%STL 371325 58938 401263 105 .178.274.298.573 .120.261 3411 .264 60 -17 +0 +0 +4 +11 -0.2
202823 MLB 28%STL 443388 7211410 481444 125 .186.282.312.594 .126.265 3311 .274 68 -16 +0 +0 +5 +13 0.2
202924 MLB 45%STL 490429 8213412 541554 126 .191.287.324.611 .133.267 3211 .281 73 -15 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.4
203025 MLB 60%STL 516448 8814513 581625 136 .196.295.337.633 .141.268 3111 .285 76 -14 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.7
203126 MLB 77%STL 530460 9114514 601665 136 .198.297.341.638 .143.269 3111 .287 78 -13 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.8
203227 MLBSTL 534463 9114514 611685 125 .197.297.339.636 .143.269 3111 .287 78 -13 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.8
203328 MLBSTL 532460 9014514 621685 115 .196.298.339.637 .143.268 3212 .286 77 -14 +0 -1 +6 +15 0.7
203429 MLBSTL 524453 8714413 611675 115 .192.295.327.622 .135.267 3212 .284 75 -15 +0 -1 +6 +15 0.5
203530 MLBSTL 515446 8513413 601664 104 .191.292.325.617 .135.265 3212 .281 73 -16 +0 -2 +6 +15 0.3
203631 MLBSTL 501434 8213412 581634 84 .189.290.320.611 .131.263 3312 .277 70 -17 +0 -3 +5 +14 -0.0
203732 MLBSTL 483420 7712411 561604 74 .183.285.310.595 .126.262 3312 .272 66 -18 -0 -4 +5 +14 -0.3
203833 MLBSTL 454395 7211410 521544 64 .182.284.306.590 .124.260 3411 .267 62 -19 -0 -4 +5 +13 -0.6
203934 MLBSTL 408355 61938 471423 64 .172.274.282.556 .110.258 3512 .261 58 -19 -0 -5 +4 +12 -0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 74536488 119718867166 829250575 18577 .184.284.311.595 .126.267 3411 .271 66 -288 +6 -20 +80 +211 -1.0
/ 162G 650566 10416614 722187 167 .184.284.307.591 .124.267 3411 .271 66 -25 +0 -2 +7 +18 -0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals 208165 441435 334810 32 .267.418.479.897 .212.348 2316 .401 165 +15 -0 +6 2.1
202318 APalm Beach Cardinals 3328 3100 4101 10 .107.242.143.385 .036.167 3012 .201 12 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals 131104 18032 24371 71 .173.331.288.619 .115.242 2818 .292 82 -3 +1 +4 0.2
202419 ROKFCL Cardinals 205174 52923 25524 184 .299.399.425.824 .126.405 2512 .370 141 +10 +2 +6 1.8
202520 APalm Beach Cardinals 324273 50466 461062 184 .183.305.308.613 .125.270 3314 .283 75 -9 +2 +9 0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jonathan Mejía (OGILVIE) 21 20 35 55 55 .165/.251/.262 .097.281 59 41% 9% 41 -1.2
Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A
20 37 38→40 54→60 42 .177/.252/.256 .078.282 519 36% 8% 39 -2.5 .189/.255/.265 .076.277 511 31% 7% 42 -2.3 .172/.238/.215.043.2393627%7%20-1.1
Luis Alexander Basabe
2018 · A
21 40→41 41→45 53→50 38 .196/.247/.297 .102.286 815 34% 6% 46 -2.0 .197/.259/.301 .104.308 1014 37% 7% 53 -1.5 .189/.259/.295.106.303111439%8%49-1.0
Nerwilian Cedeño
2023 · A
21 42→34 43→45 51→50 44 .203/.280/.321 .117.309 1015 35% 9% 67 -0.5 .191/.255/.298 .107.283 1011 34% 7% 51 -1.7 .179/.237/.275.096.25791033%6%35-1.5
Viandel Pena
2023 · A
22 38→39 39→40 54→55 39 .183/.242/.268 .085.293 617 38% 7% 37 -2.6 .194/.255/.268 .074.293 418 32% 8% 42 -2.3 .193/.253/.263.070.27931930%7%36-1.4
Jamari Baylor
2023 · A
22 40 42→45 50→55 41 .172/.280/.276 .105.337 1018 46% 10% 58 -1.2 .187/.287/.297 .110.339 1116 43% 10% 66 -0.6 .170/.275/.273.103.306121843%10%53-0.5
Alexander Vargas
2023 · A
21 34→40 40→45 49→55 36 .174/.228/.260 .087.275 819 39% 6% 29 -3.2 .179/.219/.278 .099.258 918 33% 4% 29 -3.2 .181/.217/.282.101.24382129%4%27-2.1
Brenny Escanio
2023 · A
20 37→36 41→40 51→55 46 .181/.269/.282 .101.270 816 33% 10% 54 -1.4 .180/.256/.247 .067.291 415 36% 9% 38 -2.6 .167/.244/.223.056.27431737%9%24-1.9
Rudy van Heydoorn
2010 · A
21 33 41→45 41→50 41 .168/.252/.259 .091.262 98 37% 8% 41 -2.3 .197/.275/.307 .110.307 115 36% 9% 63 -0.9 .204/.303/.338.134.29214232%11%83+0.2
Junior Perez
2022 · A
21 38 44→45 53→55 36 .179/.246/.295 .117.318 1116 44% 8% 46 -2.0 .184/.257/.299 .115.319 1223 42% 8% 53 -1.5 .172/.245/.284.112.290122942%8%41-1.8
Jase Bowen
2022 · A
21 37→40 42→45 53→55 35 .184/.244/.282 .097.281 1012 37% 5% 43 -2.2 .196/.251/.317 .121.287 1416 35% 5% 54 -1.4 .198/.249/.325.127.276152233%5%52-1.2
Hayden Cantrelle
2022 · AA
23 35 41→45 54→55 54 .169/.297/.268 .099.266 823 35% 14% 64 -0.8 .189/.306/.297 .108.297 820 34% 13% 74 -0.1 .191/.310/.302.111.29992134%12%74-0.0
Cole Roederer
2021 · A
21 38→33 43→45 51→50 43 .192/.259/.300 .108.274 1113 33% 8% 53 -1.5 .205/.268/.319 .114.301 1212 34% 7% 62 -0.9 .179/.252/.298.118.265141136%8%49-1.0
Christian Cairo
2022 · A
21 39→47 40 52→60 45 .186/.279/.272 .086.285 715 34% 9% 56 -1.3 .195/.294/.278 .083.290 617 31% 11% 63 -0.8 .215/.301/.289.073.31043529%9%66-0.3
Payton Henry
2018 · A
21 40→31 41→45 46→30 38 .191/.255/.294 .102.304 84 38% 7% 50 -1.7 .187/.253/.289 .102.316 102 41% 6% 48 -1.9 .246/.293/.382.135.32219129%4%83+0.2
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 40 .188/.259/.305 .117.281 129 36% 7% 55 -1.4 .194/.278/.291 .097.346 78 42% 9% 59 -1.1 .146/.273/.221.075.3593452%12%39-0.5
Anderson Tejeda
2019 · A
21 39→38 43→45 50 35 .194/.238/.308 .113.299 108 38% 5% 45 -2.1 .191/.239/.309 .118.323 1214 42% 6% 46 -2.0 .143/.198/.249.107.264131849%6%11-1.9
Flemin Bautista
2021 · A
21 39 44→50 50 41 .191/.260/.307 .116.296 1112 37% 8% 55 -1.4 .188/.252/.280 .092.310 85 39% 7% 45 -2.1 .140/.209/.215.075.2327040%7%10-1.4
Tucker Mitchell
2023 · A
22 38 43→50 51→45 35 .183/.259/.287 .104.311 1111 42% 6% 51 -1.7 .198/.263/.310 .112.287 137 34% 6% 58 -1.2 .185/.242/.280.095.26113533%5%38-1.0
C.J. Beatty
2010 · A
21 41 41→50 51→40 41 .201/.256/.299 .098.284 99 31% 7% 51 -1.7 .211/.273/.328 .117.294 105 29% 8% 66 -0.6 .207/.273/.340.134.28111229%8%65-0.4
Allan Castro
2023 · A
20 38→43 40→45 54→50 40 .186/.249/.285 .099.276 68 33% 6% 44 -2.1 .202/.269/.315 .113.278 912 29% 8% 61 -1.0 .202/.273/.316.115.271101428%8%60-0.8