Nerwilian Cedeño3B
San Antonio Missions
Age 24
S/R
6'0" / 175 lbs
AA
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .252 / .298
PA257
HR4
SB5
K%31
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
32→32
PWR
36→36
SPD
50→50
EYE
42→42
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-4M | $-18M | -$15M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 210 | 182 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 62 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .132 | .240 | .165 | .405 | .033 | .197 | 30 | 11 | .198 | 10 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 66 | 58 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .138 | .231 | .310 | .541 | .172 | .241 | 44 | 9 | .247 | 47 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 362 | 321 | 62 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 125 | 4 | 18 | 9 | .193 | .279 | .299 | .578 | .106 | .290 | 35 | 9 | .259 | 56 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | 2 teams | 289 | 263 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 103 | 3 | 8 | 6 | .171 | .240 | .285 | .526 | .114 | .250 | 36 | 7 | .235 | 38 | -20 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 406 | 370 | 65 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 138 | 6 | 9 | 6 | .176 | .241 | .281 | .522 | .105 | .260 | 34 | 6 | .226 | 31 | -32 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 271 | 252 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 74 | 2 | 9 | 3 | .202 | .247 | .282 | .529 | .079 | .270 | 27 | 5 | .233 | 36 | -19 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SD | 257 | 237 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 81 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .194 | .251 | .300 | .551 | .105 | .273 | 32 | 6 | .250 | 50 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | SD | 310 | 283 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .201 | .264 | .318 | .582 | .117 | .276 | 30 | 7 | .262 | 58 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | SD | 365 | 332 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 109 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .205 | .271 | .319 | .590 | .114 | .278 | 30 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | SD | 388 | 353 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .207 | .273 | .326 | .599 | .119 | .278 | 29 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | SD | 402 | 365 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 119 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .205 | .273 | .323 | .596 | .118 | .278 | 30 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | SD | 402 | 365 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 120 | 4 | 6 | 3 | .205 | .273 | .323 | .596 | .118 | .278 | 30 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | SD | 401 | 364 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 121 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .203 | .271 | .319 | .590 | .115 | .276 | 30 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -17 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 91% | SD | 389 | 353 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 119 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .201 | .269 | .312 | .581 | .110 | .275 | 31 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -18 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | SD | 372 | 339 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 116 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .198 | .263 | .310 | .573 | .112 | .273 | 31 | 7 | .258 | 55 | -19 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | SD | 344 | 313 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .192 | .258 | .297 | .555 | .105 | .271 | 32 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -19 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | SD | 301 | 273 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 98 | 3 | 1 | 3 | .190 | .258 | .289 | .548 | .099 | .269 | 33 | 7 | .246 | 46 | -18 | -1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5535 | 5023 | 973 | 188 | 33 | 96 | 408 | 1731 | 56 | 103 | 54 | .194 | .262 | .302 | .564 | .108 | .272 | 31 | 7 | .254 | 52 | -297 | -1 | -20 | +20 | +157 | -14.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 590 | 114 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 203 | 7 | 12 | 6 | .193 | .262 | .300 | .562 | .107 | .271 | 31 | 7 | .254 | 52 | -35 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +18 | -1.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 210 | 166 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 43 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .193 | .356 | .241 | .597 | .048 | .256 | 20 | 19 | .292 | 82 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 66 | 54 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .241 | .354 | .537 | .891 | .296 | .333 | 30 | 14 | .377 | 147 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 318 | 270 | 69 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 79 | 4 | 18 | 8 | .256 | .364 | .400 | .764 | .144 | .337 | 25 | 13 | .344 | 122 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 1.8 |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 44 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .237 | .326 | .421 | .747 | .184 | .348 | 34 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 272 | 241 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 6 | .220 | .300 | .382 | .682 | .162 | .286 | 28 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -3 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .273 | .529 | .273 | .802 | .000 | .600 | 35 | 35 | .406 | 169 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 406 | 357 | 77 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 107 | 6 | 9 | 6 | .216 | .303 | .347 | .651 | .132 | .287 | 26 | 10 | .293 | 83 | -8 | -1 | — | — | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 140 | 125 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .200 | .275 | .312 | .587 | .112 | .267 | 27 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 131 | 121 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .273 | .318 | .347 | .665 | .074 | .320 | 17 | 5 | .297 | 86 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nerwilian Cedeño (OGILVIE) | 24 | 32 | 36 | 50 | 42 | .194/.252/.298 | .105 | .273 | 4 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 50 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA |
24 | 41 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 39 | .206/.262/.303 | .097 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .212/.282/.306 | .094 | .294 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→29 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .191/.254/.286 | .095 | .257 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .192/.267/.310 | .118 | .259 | 14 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.266/.299 | .113 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A |
24 | 40→29 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .197/.258/.305 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .182/.252/.277 | .095 | .281 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA |
24 | 39→43 | 41→40 | 52→50 | 47 | .189/.268/.284 | .095 | .274 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.283/.304 | .100 | .299 | 9 | 14 | 32% | 10% | 65 | -0.7 | .195/.282/.288 | .093 | .289 | 8 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A |
24 | 39→42 | 38→40 | 53→55 | 43 | .189/.254/.273 | .084 | .278 | 5 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .202/.277/.294 | .092 | .298 | 7 | 19 | 31% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.277/.286 | .086 | .288 | 6 | 21 | 30% | 9% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A |
24 | 40→36 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 44 | .198/.264/.311 | .113 | .277 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.256/.313 | .121 | .277 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .169/.235/.296 | .126 | .243 | 11 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 39 | -1.0 |
|
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA |
24 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .199/.281/.326 | .127 | .271 | 13 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.278/.310 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .167/.262/.269 | .102 | .243 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 10% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA |
24 | 40→30 | 46→45 | 50 | 37 | .202/.259/.333 | .131 | .288 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.268/.306 | .096 | .313 | 9 | 17 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .216/.274/.290 | .074 | .331 | 7 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA |
24 | 44→39 | 36→40 | 53→60 | 43 | .202/.271/.274 | .073 | .306 | 2 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .217/.287/.297 | .080 | .314 | 3 | 27 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.288/.291 | .074 | .309 | 3 | 35 | 28% | 8% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA |
23 | 37→35 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 47 | .188/.265/.299 | .111 | .257 | 12 | 13 | 30% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.265/.284 | .098 | .270 | 9 | 13 | 32% | 9% | 53 | -1.5 | .142/.231/.224 | .082 | .210 | 8 | 12 | 34% | 9% | 22 | -1.5 |
|
✕Joseph Rosa 2021 · A |
24 | 42→43 | 38→40 | 43→50 | 42 | .202/.265/.279 | .078 | .281 | 6 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .213/.280/.324 | .111 | .312 | 10 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.282/.310 | .106 | .308 | 9 | 21 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A |
24 | 33→40 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .172/.252/.279 | .107 | .245 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.275/.301 | .110 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .177/.269/.279 | .102 | .246 | 10 | 3 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 38 | .190/.248/.301 | .111 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.266/.343 | .134 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tyler McDonough 2023 · A |
24 | 42→43 | 42→40 | 53→55 | 37 | .202/.256/.310 | .109 | .307 | 10 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.261/.306 | .097 | .319 | 8 | 18 | 35% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .210/.263/.301 | .091 | .312 | 7 | 20 | 33% | 6% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→36 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .191/.255/.290 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .203/.269/.317 | .114 | .286 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.313 | .134 | .265 | 12 | 20 | 35% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A |
24 | 42 | 40 | 50→45 | 47 | .202/.275/.299 | .097 | .279 | 7 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.260/.301 | .099 | .295 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .166/.212/.254 | .088 | .236 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 5% | 19 | -0.9 |
|
✕Eric Cole 2021 · A |
24 | 41→37 | 42→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .202/.256/.304 | .103 | .243 | 9 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .204/.271/.326 | .122 | .248 | 13 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .188/.262/.309 | .122 | .220 | 15 | 8 | 22% | 8% | 57 | -0.9 |
|
✕Marcus Littlewood 2016 · AA |
24 | 39 | 45 | 46→45 | 47 | .201/.268/.321 | .120 | .255 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .210/.266/.319 | .109 | .280 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .197/.254/.294 | .096 | .267 | 9 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 46 | -0.9 |
|
✕Taylor Gushue 2018 · A |
24 | 36 | 43→50 | 44→30 | 39 | .186/.235/.289 | .104 | .248 | 11 | 2 | 30% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .202/.253/.329 | .127 | .275 | 15 | 2 | 31% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.263/.338 | .136 | .278 | 16 | 0 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |