Nerwilian Cedeño

3B San Antonio Missions
Age 25 S/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202321A+/ROKSD289.222/.314/.3777851—.175/.247/.289
202422A+SD406.216/.303/.3477940—.176/.241/.276
202523AA/A+SD271.236/.296/.3293945—.206/.251/.286
2027PROJMLE25MLBSD3.200/.254/.2930056-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB26MLBSD50.203/.258/.3021160-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBSD86.204/.260/.3051261-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA
ISO48
Speed46
Whiff%45
BB%37
K%35
wRC+25
CompsLuis Mendez (age 25) · Jeff Dominguez (age 25) · Tyler Friis (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .254 / .293
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP262
ISO104
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2272829
Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 34
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT41
scouting grade only
POWER34
scouting grade only
EYE38
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201917 ROKDSL Padres — 210166 32610 40432 41 193356241597 48256 2019 292 20 — — — — — —
202119 ROKACL Padres — 6654 13812 9201 20 241354537891 296333 3014 377 55 — — — — — —
202220 ALake Elsinore Storm — 318270 691346 42794 188 256364400764 144337 2513 344 64 — — — — — —
202220 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 4438 9211 5150 01 237326421747 184348 3411 324 106 — — — — — —
202321 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 272241 531237 25753 66 220300382682 162286 289 303 50 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL Padres — 1711 3000 660 20 273529273802 600 3535 406 65 — — — — — —
202422 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 406357 771467 391076 96 216303347651 132287 2610 293 40 — — — — — —
202523 AASan Antonio Missions — 140125 25802 12381 41 200275312587 112267 279 265 42 — — — — — —
202523 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 131121 33601 7221 52 273318347665 74320 175 297 49 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201917 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 210178 22410 28522 41 124250157407 34165 2513 198 20 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6658 8511 6291 20 138231310541 172244 449 249 55 — — — — — —
202220 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 318282 56935 301114 188 199285305590 106298 359 263 64 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 272249 44826 18943 66 177241297538 120251 357 242 50 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Padres — 1713 2000 490 20 154353154507 482 5324 264 65 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 406370 651146 261386 96 176241276517 100254 346 228 40 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 140129 24702 8441 41 186239287526 101258 316 230 42 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 131123 28401 5281 52 228264285548 57274 214 240 49 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 210178 22410 28522 41 124250157407 34172 2513 198 20 — — — — — —
201917 ROK RAWDSL Padres — 210166 32610 40432 41 193356241597 48256 2019 292 20 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6658 8511 6291 20 138231310541 172241 449 249 55 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWACL Padres — 6654 13812 9201 20 241354537891 296333 3014 377 55 — — — — — —
202220 A MLE2 teams — 362321 631045 341264 189 196281299580 103301 359 263 64 — — — — — —
202220 A RAW2 teams — 362308 781557 47944 189 253359403762 149338 2613 342 64 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE2 teams — 289263 46826 211033 86 175244289533 114256 367 243 51 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAW2 teams — 289252 561237 31813 86 222314377691 155295 2811 309 51 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 406370 651146 261386 96 176241276517 100260 346 228 40 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWFort Wayne TinCaps — 406357 771467 391076 96 216303347651 132287 2610 293 40 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 271252 531203 13722 93 210255294548 83278 275 235 45 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW2 teams — 271246 581403 19602 93 236296329625 93296 227 281 45 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 210178 22410 28522 41 124250157407 34165 2513 198 20 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6659 8511 6291 20 136231305536 169244 449 249 55 — — — — — —
202220 A MLE2 teams — 362321 631045 341264 189 196281299580 103298 359 263 64 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE2 teams — 289263 46826 211033 86 175244289533 114265 367 243 51 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 406371 651146 261386 96 175241275516 100254 346 228 40 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 271254 531203 13722 93 209255291546 83266 275 235 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 406371 651146 261386 96 175241275516 100254 346 228 40 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 271254 531203 13722 93 209255291546 83266 275 235 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESD 2% 321297 601314 18853 62 203257298555 95268 266 251 56 -17 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSD 2% 33 0000 010 00 200254293546 93262 330 247 56 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESD 31% 161148 30612 10422 31 206261308569 101269 266 257 60 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.4
202927 MLB MLESD 42% 204188 39813 12542 41 207263310573 103269 266 258 61 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXSD 31% 5047 10201 3130 10 203258302560 100263 266 253 60 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXSD 42% 8680 15301 5231 21 204260305565 101264 276 255 61 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 136127 25502 8361 31 197250283533 87258 266 254 49 -6 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 12024010 381725 145 198251287537 89259 266 254 49 -31 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 21041903 352691528 15865223 6028 185256281537 96262 318 241 49 -24 +1 +0 +2 +11 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 1092159 492017 199 185257284541 99261 318 241 49 -32 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 140 PAwOBA .257 → .230 (−27)K% 27.1% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.14%÷1.054×1.220——31.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.86%÷1.020×0.700—×1.0275.54%
HBP% /PA0.71%—×0.870—×1.0270.64%
Singles /BIP17.24%÷0.964×0.920×1.016×1.02717.17%
Doubles /BIP9.20%÷0.963×0.840×1.016×1.0278.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.940×1.016×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP2.30%÷0.950×0.800—×1.0271.99%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .257 → .230; ISO .112 → .100; BABIP .267 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 131 PAwOBA .294 → .240 (−54)K% 16.8% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.79%÷0.989×1.270——21.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.34%÷0.984×0.710—×0.9983.85%
HBP% /PA0.76%—×0.790—×0.9980.60%
Singles /BIP26.26%÷1.013×0.920×0.976×0.99823.23%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷1.071×0.810×0.976×0.9984.46%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.120×0.850×0.976×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP1.01%÷0.941×0.800—×0.9980.86%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .294 → .240; ISO .074 → .056; BABIP .320 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 406 PAwOBA .286 → .228 (−57)K% 26.4% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.35%÷0.982×1.270——34.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.36%÷1.043×0.710—×1.0126.45%
HBP% /PA1.48%—×0.790—×1.0121.18%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.997×0.920×0.985×1.01218.39%
Doubles /BIP5.60%÷0.973×0.810×0.985×1.0124.65%
Triples /BIP2.40%÷1.082×0.850×0.985×1.0121.88%
Home runs /BIP2.80%÷0.916×0.800—×1.0122.47%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 116, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .286 → .228; ISO .132 → .105; BABIP .287 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 272 PAwOBA .296 → .242 (−54)K% 27.6% → 34.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.57%÷1.014×1.270——34.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷0.983×0.710—×1.0276.54%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.790—×1.0270.89%
Singles /BIP18.67%÷0.956×0.920×0.966×1.02717.83%
Doubles /BIP7.23%÷1.118×0.810×0.966×1.0275.20%
Triples /BIP1.81%÷1.150×0.850×0.966×1.0271.33%
Home runs /BIP4.22%÷0.848×0.800—×1.0274.09%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .296 → .242; ISO .162 → .132; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Padres · 17 PAwOBA .399 → .264 (−135)K% 35.3% → 51.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷0.983×1.440——51.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA35.29%÷0.972×0.620—×0.98522.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP60.00%÷1.006×0.820—×0.98548.15%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.931×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.912×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .399 → .264; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .600 → .482. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 318 PAwOBA .338 → .263 (−75)K% 24.8% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.84%÷0.968×1.360——34.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.21%÷0.992×0.690—×1.0309.47%
HBP% /PA1.26%—×0.780—×1.0301.01%
Singles /BIP24.08%÷1.020×0.920×0.993×1.03022.22%
Doubles /BIP6.81%÷1.115×0.830×0.993×1.0305.18%
Triples /BIP2.09%÷1.000×0.910×0.993×1.0301.95%
Home runs /BIP3.14%÷0.938×0.800—×1.0302.76%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .338 → .263; ISO .144 → .112; BABIP .337 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Padres · 66 PAwOBA .373 → .249 (−124)K% 30.3% → 43.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.30%÷1.000×1.440——43.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0088.52%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.720—×1.0081.10%
Singles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.820—×1.0084.86%
Doubles /BIP23.53%÷1.000×0.720—×1.00817.07%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0082.13%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0084.62%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .373 → .249; ISO .296 → .201; BABIP .333 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 DSLDSL Padres · 210 PAwOBA .287 → .198 (−89)K% 20.5% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.48%÷1.000×1.220——24.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.57%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02213.29%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.700—×1.0220.68%
Singles /BIP20.33%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.02213.43%
Doubles /BIP4.88%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0222.84%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0220.47%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .287 → .198; ISO .048 → .029; BABIP .256 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .