Nerwilian Cedeño

Nerwilian Cedeño3B San Antonio Missions

Age 24 S/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 257 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .240 / .278

PA22

HR0

K%30

BB%6

ISO93

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	210	166	32	6	1	0	40	43	2	4	1	193	356	241	597	48	256	20	19	292	84	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	66	54	13	8	1	2	9	20	1	2	0	241	354	537	891	296	333	30	14	377	141	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	318	270	69	13	4	6	42	79	4	18	8	256	364	400	764	144	337	25	13	344	119	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2022	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	44	38	9	2	1	1	5	15	0	0	1	237	326	421	747	184	348	34	11	324	106	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	272	241	53	12	3	7	25	75	3	6	6	220	300	382	682	162	286	28	9	303	91	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	17	11	3	0	0	0	6	6	0	2	0	273	529	273	802		600	35	35	406	161	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	357	77	14	6	7	39	107	6	9	6	216	303	347	651	132	287	26	10	293	85	-7	-1	—	—	+9	0.1
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	140	125	25	8	0	2	12	38	1	4	1	200	275	312	587	112	267	27	9	265	66	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	131	121	33	6	0	1	7	22	1	5	2	273	318	347	665	74	320	17	5	297	87	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	210	182	24	4	1	0	24	62	2	4	1	132	240	165	405	33	194	30	11	198	20	-20	+0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	58	8	5	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	138	231	310	541	172	242	44	9	247	53	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	318	282	54	9	3	5	30	109	4	18	8	191	278	298	576	106	284	34	9	259	61	-15	+0	—	—	+7	-0.7
2023	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	272	250	42	8	2	6	17	100	3	6	6	168	230	288	518	120	243	37	6	231	42	-19	-1	—	—	+6	-1.4
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	9	0	2	0	154	353	154	507		489	53	24	266	66	-1	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	370	62	11	4	6	26	147	6	9	6	168	234	268	501	100	250	36	6	220	35	-31	-1	—	—	+9	-2.4
2025	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	140	130	24	7	0	2	7	44	1	4	1	185	232	285	516	100	257	31	5	228	40	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	131	123	27	4	0	1	5	30	1	5	2	220	256	276	532	57	273	23	4	236	46	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	210	182	24	4	1	0	24	62	2	4	1	132	240	165	405	33	197	30	11	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	210	166	32	6	1	0	40	43	2	4	1	193	356	241	597	48	256	20	19	292	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	58	8	5	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	138	231	310	541	172	241	44	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	66	54	13	8	1	2	9	20	1	2	0	241	354	537	891	296	333	30	14	377	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	321	62	10	3	6	34	125	4	18	9	193	279	299	578	106	290	35	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	362	308	78	15	5	7	47	94	4	18	9	253	359	403	762	149	338	26	13	342	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	289	263	44	8	2	6	21	109	3	8	6	167	237	281	518	114	253	38	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	289	252	56	12	3	7	31	81	3	8	6	222	314	377	691	155	295	28	11	309	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	370	62	11	4	6	26	147	6	9	6	168	234	268	501	100	257	36	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	357	77	14	6	7	39	107	6	9	6	216	303	347	651	132	287	26	10	293	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	271	252	52	12	0	3	13	74	2	9	3	206	251	290	541	83	275	27	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	271	246	58	14	0	3	19	60	2	9	3	236	296	329	625	93	296	22	7	281	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	210	182	24	4	1	0	24	62	2	4	1	132	240	165	405	33	194	30	11	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	59	8	5	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	136	231	305	536	169	242	44	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	321	62	10	3	6	34	125	4	18	9	193	279	299	578	106	284	35	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	289	263	44	8	2	6	21	109	3	8	6	167	237	281	518	114	257	38	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	371	62	11	4	6	26	147	6	9	6	167	234	267	501	100	250	36	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	271	254	52	12	0	3	13	74	2	9	3	205	251	287	538	83	265	27	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	289	263	44	8	2	6	21	109	3	8	6	167	237	281	518	114	257	38	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	406	371	62	11	4	6	26	147	6	9	6	167	234	267	501	100	250	36	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	271	254	52	12	0	3	13	74	2	9	3	205	251	287	538	83	265	27	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	SD	2%	22	21	4	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	190	227	238	465	48	259	32	5	236	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	31%	310	285	56	11	2	5	19	91	3	6	3	196	254	302	556	105	263	29	6	249	55	-17	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	45%	365	335	67	13	2	7	23	105	4	7	3	200	260	313	573	113	265	29	6	257	60	-17	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	49%	388	355	72	14	2	8	26	111	4	7	3	203	265	321	586	118	266	29	7	260	62	-17	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	52%	402	368	75	15	2	8	27	115	4	7	3	204	266	321	586	117	266	29	7	261	63	-18	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.8
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	31%	96	89	17	3	0	2	6	28	1	2	1	191	250	292	542	101	260	29	6	241	55	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	45%	163	150	30	6	1	3	10	47	2	3	1	200	259	313	573	113	262	29	6	249	60	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	49%	191	174	35	7	1	4	13	55	2	4	2	201	265	322	586	121	264	29	7	252	62	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	52%	207	189	37	7	1	4	14	59	2	4	2	196	259	307	565	111	264	29	7	252	63	-9	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	657	602	119	23	3	13	43	189	7	13	6	198	259	311	570	113	263	29	7	250	51	-31	+0	-0	+2	+14	-1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	118	23	3	13	43	187	7	13	6	198	260	312	573	114	263	29	7	250	51	-30	+0	-0	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3091	2810	526	104	19	50	220	975	33	77	37	187	254	291	545	104	264	32	7	244	51	-71	+1	-1	+5	+32	-3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	111	22	4	11	46	205	7	16	8	188	255	294	549	107	264	32	7	244	51	-31	+0	-0	+2	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	662	12	12	201	258	313	+2	+1	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	12	12	+2.4	+1.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nerwilian Cedeño (OGILVIE)	24	29	36	50	42	186/240/278	92	259	3	5	30%	6%	46	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA	24	39→45	41→40	52→50	48	193/272/288	95	272	8	14	30%	10%	61	-1.5	206/286/302	96	299	8	14	31%	10%	69	-0.9	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA	24	41	43→40	45	39	205/261/304	100	284	11	9	31%	6%	60	-1.6	212/283/302	90	288	7	8	27%	7%	68	-1.0	215/293/302	88	284	7	7	25%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	41	40	50→45	45	198/270/295	97	282	7	10	30%	8%	61	-1.5	202/259/302	100	295	8	7	32%	7%	59	-1.7	165/211/251	86	235	9	0	33%	5%	27	-1.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Zavier Warren 2023 · AA	24	37→38	45	52→45	45	192/261/314	121	250	13	7	28%	8%	63	-1.4	192/258/304	112	258	12	7	29%	7%	59	-1.6	181/250/286	104	246	12	7	30%	8%	51	-1.6
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	42→40	48→50	43	189/244/290	101	253	9	11	29%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/290	98	272	8	17	30%	7%	56	-1.9	174/247/262	88	248	6	22	30%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Eliezer Zambrano 2011 · AA	24	41	37→30	49→40	36	200/234/268	68	271	4	7	27%	4%	40	-3.1	211/256/293	82	265	6	6	22%	5%	55	-2.0	214/245/261	47	247	4	2	15%	3%	40	-1.0
✕Riccio Torrez 2014 · AA	24	41→35	40	47→45	40	199/257/291	92	247	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	205/257/299	94	273	7	8	27%	4%	57	-1.8	159/183/231	72	226	4	4	31%	2%	8	-1.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Mario Yepez 2012 · A	24	41	40	48→45	39	203/246/293	90	260	7	6	25%	4%	51	-2.3	204/261/288	84	286	6	5	29%	6%	55	-1.9	179/238/244	65	247	6	2	28%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/268/301	87	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	225/275/316	91	323	0	8	28%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Eric Cole 2021 · A	24	42→39	42→45	51→45	47	205/263/309	104	250	9	6	22%	7%	61	-1.5	205/272/323	118	251	13	8	23%	8%	68	-1.0	184/259/302	117	217	14	8	22%	8%	59	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps