Luis Martinez
Luis Martinez
P
DSL Phillies Red
Age 20
LHP
6'0" / 213 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION6 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
IP7
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 7 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 16.1% | 16.9% | 4.3% | 3.97 | 6.27 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 7 | — | 7 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 16.1% | 16.9% | 4.3% | 3.97 | 6.27 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 0 | 200 | 1041 | 176 | 176 | 53 | 16.1% | 16.9% | 4.3% | 3.97 | 6.27 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.22 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 244 | 89 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.25 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .324 | 2.67 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.58 | 1.89 | 131 | 86 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.88 | 21.6% | 8.6% | 98 | -0.73 | 2.88 | 129 | 86 |
| Denny Bentley L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 85 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2029 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 84 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.99 | 291 | 84 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 353 | 83 |
| Fernando Sanchez L 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.05 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .318 | 3.89 | 17.7% | 6.9% | 213 | -0.16 | 3.12 | 303 | 83 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 83 |
| Garvin Alston L 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 82 |
| Riley Frey L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.04 | 22.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .417 | 4.71 | 17.9% | 10.6% | 169 | +0.67 | 3.90 | 187 | 82 |
| Ryan Rolison L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.88 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 4.10 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 191 | +0.22 | 3.63 | 351 | 82 |
| Johan Simon L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 147 | 82 |
| Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.58 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .262 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.5% | 135 | +1.42 | 3.58 | 271 | 81 |
| Carlos Peña L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.17 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 1.4% | .301 | 3.85 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 145 | +0.68 | 3.17 | 556 | 81 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 81 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 81 |
| Antonio Jimenez L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.40 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 4.34 | 19.4% | 7.8% | 248 | +0.94 | 3.31 | 422 | 80 |
| Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 80 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.