Josh Hendrickson
P
Reading Fightin Phils
+0.8
WAR
Age 28
LHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.8 · 2026
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.1%
IP107
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 16 | 4 | 37 | 143 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.95 | 3.81 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 21 | 14 | 96 | 387 | 93 | 32 | 15 | 19.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.57 | 4.63 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 10 | 10 | 34 | 152 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 5.77 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 24 | 21 | 108 | 506 | 91 | 49 | 25 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 5.58 | 6.32 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 19 | 107 | 451 | 98 | 43 | 15 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 19 | 104 | 441 | 95 | 42 | 15 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.66 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 18 | 101 | 428 | 92 | 40 | 14 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.69 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 18 | 98 | 413 | 88 | 39 | 14 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.74 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 94 | 397 | 83 | 38 | 14 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.77 | 4.82 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 90 | 379 | 78 | 37 | 13 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.92 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 85 | 360 | 73 | 36 | 13 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 5.03 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 80 | 339 | 68 | 35 | 13 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 5.07 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 75 | 318 | 68 | 31 | 12 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 5.01 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 49 | 275 | 1188 | 209 | 110 | 54 | 17.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 4.42 | 5.31 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 36 | 200 | 864 | 152 | 80 | 39 | 17.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 4.42 | 5.31 | -0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Hendrickson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 3.3% | — | 4.70 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 304 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .341 | 4.37 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.07 | 3.37 | 393 | 87 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.44 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | .289 | 5.28 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | -0.16 | 5.28 | 128 | 83 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.97 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.04 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.07 | 3.44 | 291 | 82 |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.57 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 112 | 82 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 353 | 81 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.82 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 79 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.50 | 18.7% | 10.2% | 1.2% | .345 | 4.75 | 15.6% | 6.1% | 89 | +1.25 | 3.50 | 383 | 78 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.80 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 311 | 76 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.97 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .321 | 7.14 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +3.17 | 3.97 | 165 | 75 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.66 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 203 | 75 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 74 |
| James Gillheeney L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.81 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 129 | 74 |
| Madison Bumgarner L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.86 | 19.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .268 | 4.21 | 21.8% | 16.5% | 396 | +0.35 | 2.79 | 1,257 | 74 |
| Orlando Lara L 2028 · 4.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.15 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.07 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | -0.08 | 3.83 | 426 | 74 |
| Eric Wooten L 2023 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.99 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 116 | 74 |
| Chipper Smith L 2023 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 109 | 73 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.11 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.14 | 16.4% | 7.1% | 68 | +1.03 | 4.11 | 182 | 73 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.14 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 300 | 73 |
| John Anderson L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.19 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 235 | 73 |
| John Gast L 2024 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.1% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 122 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.