Josh Hendrickson

Josh Hendrickson P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 28 LHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%18.3%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 117 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	4	37	143	44	8	3	25%	2.3	21.8%	6.7%	15.1%	3.1%	1.95	3.80	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	4	37	143	44	8	3	25%	2.3	30.8%	5.6%	25.2%	2.1%	1.95	2.42	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	14	96	387	93	32	15	67%	4.6	19.6%	7.9%	11.7%	3.9%	3.57	4.60	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	14	96	387	93	32	15	67%	4.6	24.0%	8.3%	15.8%	3.9%	3.57	4.20	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	10	10	34	152	38	18	4	100%	3.4	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.8%	5.77	5.04	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	10	10	34	152	38	18	4	100%	3.4	25.0%	11.8%	13.2%	2.6%	5.77	3.97	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	108	506	91	49	25	88%	4.5	14.6%	10.3%	4.3%	5.6%	5.58	6.26	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	108	506	91	49	25	88%	4.5	14.6%	10.3%	4.3%	5.6%	5.58	6.26	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	108	506	91	49	25	88%	4.5	18.0%	9.7%	8.3%	4.9%	5.58	5.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	22	18	111	470	100	26	17	82%	5.0	17.7%	5.0%	12.7%	4.0%	4.72	4.42	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	22	18	111	470	100	26	17	82%	5.0	17.7%	5.0%	12.7%	4.0%	4.72	4.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	HOU	22	18	111	470	100	26	17	82%	5.0	21.3%	5.5%	15.7%	3.6%	4.72	3.99	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	HOU	1	1	6	27	5	3	1	100%	6.3	18.3%	9.9%	8.3%	3.3%	4.99	4.99	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	117	497	105	29	18	—	—	21.1%	5.8%	15.3%	3.6%	4.73	4.45	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	HOU	12	12	71	301	56	30	10	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.1%	8.5%	3.4%	5.00	5.05	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	67	283	53	29	10	100%	6.1	18.6%	10.3%	8.2%	3.6%	5.08	5.17	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	HOU	4	4	26	110	20	11	4	100%	6.5	18.5%	10.1%	8.5%	3.4%	5.00	5.05	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	6	6	37	156	29	16	6	100%	6.2	18.6%	10.3%	8.2%	3.6%	5.08	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	64	270	50	28	9	100%	5.8	18.5%	10.2%	8.3%	3.5%	5.05	4.74	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	157	88	28	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.2%	8.3%	3.5%	5.05	4.74	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		93	67	386	1658	291	132	72	72%	4.1	17.6%	8.0%	9.6%	4.4%	4.50	5.03	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	35	200	860	151	69	38	72%	4.1	17.6%	8.0%	9.6%	4.4%	4.50	5.03	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Hendrickson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	18.3%	9.9%	3.3%	—	5.11	18.5%	8.4%	138	+0.12	—	—	—
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	87
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	80
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	80
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	77
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	76
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	76
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	76
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	75
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	75
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	74
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	74
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	73
Michael Roth L 2018 · 4.83 FIP	28	SP	4.83	12.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	483	73
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	73
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	72
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	11.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	321	72
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	72
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	71
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	71
Mike Minor L 2016 · 5.63 FIP	28	SP	5.63	19.2%	11.8%	4.8%	.330	3.76	23.2%	16.4%	443	-1.87	2.43	807	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	71	18.4%	10.1%	1.31	5.02
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50