Adrian Bohorquez

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.7 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#449ETA2028MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	16	12	53	3.23	2.78	28.3%	12.3%	—	K 19.8% · BB 15.1% · FIP 4.13
2025	20	MIX2 levels	19	14	71	4.29	3.30	27.2%	9.9%	—	K 20.4% · BB 11.7% · FIP 4.61
2026	21	MIX3 levels	19	18	60	3.02	3.05	27.3%	12.6%	—	K 21.4% · BB 14.9% · FIP 4.02
2027PROJ	22	MLBMIN	1	1	2	5.02	5.02	21.9%	14.8%	0.0
2028PROJ51% MLB	23	MLBMIN	5	5	28	4.83	4.74	22.8%	13.1%	0.2
2029PROJ71% MLB	24	MLBMIN	7	7	39	4.65	4.55	23.4%	12.1%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Arb-3$2M

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 8.8, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 79%

CompsJames Proctor (age 23) · Jared Lyons (age 22) · Noah Denoyer (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%21.9%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	8	6	24	111	30	18	0	75%	3.0	18.4%	20.3%	-1.9%	0.0%	5.25	4.12	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	8	6	24	111	30	18	0	75%	3.0	27.0%	16.2%	10.8%	0.0%	5.25	2.85	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	12	53	219	62	27	2	75%	3.3	19.8%	15.1%	4.7%	1.4%	3.23	4.13	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	12	53	219	62	27	2	75%	3.3	19.8%	15.1%	4.7%	1.4%	3.23	4.13	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	12	53	219	62	27	2	75%	3.3	28.3%	12.3%	16.0%	0.9%	3.23	2.78	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	71	312	85	31	7	74%	3.8	20.4%	11.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.29	4.61	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	71	312	85	31	7	74%	3.8	20.4%	11.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.29	4.61	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	14	71	312	85	31	7	74%	3.8	27.2%	9.9%	17.3%	2.2%	4.29	3.30	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	18	60	253	69	32	3	95%	3.1	21.4%	14.9%	6.5%	1.5%	3.02	4.02	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	18	60	253	69	32	3	95%	3.1	21.4%	14.9%	6.5%	1.5%	3.02	4.02	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	18	60	253	69	32	3	95%	3.1	27.3%	12.6%	14.6%	1.2%	3.02	3.05	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIN	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	21.9%	14.8%	7.1%	2.8%	5.02	5.02	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	10	10	55	234	53	31	6	100%	5.5	22.8%	13.1%	9.6%	2.7%	4.82	4.73	+0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	10	10	55	234	55	28	6	100%	5.5	23.4%	12.1%	11.3%	2.7%	4.64	4.54	+0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	9	9	51	216	51	25	6	100%	5.7	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	2.7%	4.51	4.43	+0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	9	9	51	216	52	25	6	100%	5.7	23.9%	11.4%	12.6%	2.7%	4.44	4.40	+0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	8	8	50	211	50	24	6	100%	6.2	23.9%	11.5%	12.5%	2.8%	4.44	4.44	+0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	8	8	47	200	48	23	6	100%	5.9	23.8%	11.6%	12.2%	2.9%	4.49	4.52	+0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	7	7	44	185	44	22	6	100%	6.3	23.6%	11.8%	11.8%	3.0%	4.59	4.66	+0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	5	5	28	118	27	16	3	100%	5.6	22.8%	13.1%	9.6%	2.8%	4.83	4.74	+0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	7	7	39	165	38	20	5	100%	5.6	23.4%	12.1%	11.3%	2.7%	4.65	4.55	+0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	7	7	42	177	42	20	5	100%	6.0	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	2.7%	4.52	4.44	+0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	8	8	45	190	46	22	5	100%	5.6	23.9%	11.4%	12.6%	2.8%	4.45	4.41	+0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	8	8	45	190	45	22	5	100%	5.6	23.9%	11.5%	12.5%	2.8%	4.45	4.45	+0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	7	7	44	186	44	22	5	100%	6.3	23.8%	11.6%	12.2%	2.9%	4.50	4.53	+0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	7	7	41	173	41	20	5	100%	5.9	23.6%	11.8%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.67	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	49	284	1200	284	141	34	100%	5.8	23.7%	11.8%	11.9%	2.8%	4.55	4.15	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	200	99	24	100%	5.8	23.7%	11.8%	11.9%	2.8%	4.55	4.15	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		62	50	208	895	182	130	17	81%	3.4	20.3%	14.5%	5.8%	1.9%	3.76	4.26	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	48	200	861	175	125	16	81%	3.4	20.3%	14.5%	5.8%	1.9%	3.76	4.26	+2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 39 IPFIP 2.87 → 3.77 (+0.90)K% 28.0% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.98%	—	×0.770	21.54%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.29%	—	×1.150	16.43%
HR / BF /BF	0.60%	÷1.000	×1.250	0.74%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.87 → 3.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 17 IPFIP 3.77 → 4.64 (+0.87)K% 26.1% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.09%	—	×0.810	21.13%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.14%	—	×1.100	11.16%
HR / BF /BF	2.90%	÷1.000	×1.200	3.48%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.77 → 4.64, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 48 IPFIP 3.87 → 5.41 (+1.54)K% 26.6% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.64%	—	×0.740	19.71%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.68%	—	×1.180	13.79%
HR / BF /BF	2.80%	÷0.898	×1.300	4.06%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 80).

Result: FIP 3.87 → 5.41, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 23 IPFIP 2.02 → 2.86 (+0.84)K% 28.6% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.57%	—	×0.770	22.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.12%	—	×1.150	7.04%
HR / BF /BF	1.02%	÷0.962	×1.250	1.33%

Result: FIP 2.02 → 2.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Twins · 37 IPFIP 2.96 → 4.47 (+1.51)K% 27.2% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.15%	—	×0.680	18.46%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.26%	—	×1.250	14.07%
HR / BF /BF	1.32%	÷0.890	×1.400	2.08%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 78).

Result: FIP 2.96 → 4.47, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 16 IPFIP 2.35 → 3.37 (+1.01)K% 30.9% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.88%	—	×0.740	22.85%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.71%	—	×1.180	17.35%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.962	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.35 → 3.37, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Twins · 24 IPFIP 2.87 → 4.12 (+1.24)K% 27.0% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.03%	—	×0.680	18.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.22%	—	×1.250	20.27%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.003	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.87 → 4.12, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adrian Bohorquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.8%	—	4.57	23.3%	11.0%	162	-0.45	—	—	—
James Proctor R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP	3.99	22.0%	15.2%	1.5%	.277	4.39	14.0%	1.5%	48	+0.40	3.99	109	88
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	86
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	84
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	84
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	83
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	83
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	82
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	82
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	82
Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	20.0%	12.1%	2.6%	.360	3.82	19.0%	10.2%	132	-0.53	3.70	192	82
Brandon Young R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	22	SP	4.13	24.5%	12.3%	2.8%	.297	3.48	22.2%	14.6%	150	-0.65	3.03	492	81
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	81
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	81
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	80
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	80
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	80
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	51	23.4%	12.3%	1.08	4.62
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*