Adrian Bohorquez

Adrian Bohorquez P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.1 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%20.8%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%6.8%

ROS IP43

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4550

CTRL3540

CMD4040

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	8	6	24	111	30	18	0	75%	3.0	18.4%	20.3%	-1.9%	0.0%	5.25	4.12	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	8	6	24	111	30	18	0	75%	3.0	18.4%	20.3%	-1.9%	0.0%	5.25	4.12	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	8	6	24	111	30	18	0	75%	3.0	27.0%	16.2%	10.8%	0.0%	5.25	2.85	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	12	53	219	62	27	2	75%	3.3	19.8%	15.1%	4.7%	1.4%	3.23	4.13	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	12	53	219	62	27	2	75%	3.3	19.8%	15.1%	4.7%	1.4%	3.23	4.13	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	12	53	219	62	27	2	75%	3.3	28.3%	12.3%	16.0%	0.9%	3.23	2.78	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	71	312	85	31	7	74%	3.8	20.4%	11.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.29	4.61	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	71	312	85	31	7	74%	3.8	20.4%	11.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.29	4.61	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	14	71	312	85	31	7	74%	3.8	27.2%	9.9%	17.3%	2.2%	4.29	3.30	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	19	18	60	253	69	32	3	95%	3.1	21.4%	14.9%	6.5%	1.5%	3.02	4.02	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	19	18	60	253	69	32	3	95%	3.1	21.4%	14.9%	6.5%	1.5%	3.02	4.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	MIN	3	3	4	16	4	1	0	100%	1.3	25.0%	6.2%	18.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.78	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	MIN	12	11	39	168	47	24	1	92%	3.2	28.0%	14.3%	13.7%	0.6%	4.19	2.87	—
2026	21	AA RAW	MIN	4	4	17	69	18	7	2	100%	4.2	26.1%	10.1%	15.9%	2.9%	1.06	3.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	13	13	67	285	62	35	8	100%	5.2	22.0%	12.5%	9.5%	2.9%	4.87	4.78	+0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	13	13	70	295	67	34	8	100%	5.4	22.8%	11.5%	11.3%	2.8%	4.67	4.57	+0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	13	13	72	302	71	33	8	100%	5.5	23.4%	10.9%	12.4%	2.8%	4.52	4.43	+0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	12	12	72	306	73	32	9	100%	6.0	23.8%	10.6%	13.2%	2.8%	4.42	4.35	+0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	12	12	72	306	73	32	9	100%	6.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.4%	2.8%	4.37	4.33	+0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	12	12	71	301	72	32	9	100%	6.0	23.9%	10.6%	13.3%	2.8%	4.37	4.37	+0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	12	12	69	293	70	32	9	100%	5.8	23.8%	10.8%	13.1%	2.9%	4.42	4.45	+0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	11	11	66	280	66	31	9	100%	6.0	23.6%	11.0%	12.6%	3.1%	4.52	4.58	+0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	10	10	62	263	61	30	9	100%	6.2	23.2%	11.3%	11.9%	3.3%	4.66	4.76	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	6	6	33	139	31	17	4	100%	5.5	22.0%	12.5%	9.5%	2.9%	4.88	4.79	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	10	10	51	215	49	25	6	100%	5.1	22.8%	11.5%	11.3%	2.8%	4.68	4.58	+0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	11	11	59	249	58	27	7	100%	5.4	23.4%	10.9%	12.4%	2.8%	4.53	4.44	+0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	11	11	64	270	64	29	8	100%	5.8	23.8%	10.6%	13.2%	2.8%	4.43	4.36	+0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	11	11	66	279	67	29	8	100%	6.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.4%	2.8%	4.38	4.34	+0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	11	11	66	279	67	30	8	100%	6.0	23.9%	10.6%	13.3%	2.9%	4.38	4.38	+0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	11	11	65	274	65	30	8	100%	5.9	23.8%	10.8%	13.1%	3.0%	4.43	4.46	+0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	10	10	63	266	63	29	8	100%	6.3	23.6%	11.0%	12.6%	3.1%	4.53	4.59	+0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	10	10	59	249	58	28	8	100%	5.9	23.2%	11.3%	11.9%	3.3%	4.67	4.77	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		91	91	527	2225	522	244	65	100%	5.8	23.5%	11.0%	12.5%	2.9%	4.52	4.12	+4.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	198	93	25	100%	5.8	23.5%	11.0%	12.5%	2.9%	4.52	4.12	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		62	50	208	895	182	130	17	81%	3.4	20.3%	14.5%	5.8%	1.9%	3.76	4.26	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	48	200	861	175	125	16	81%	3.4	20.3%	14.5%	5.8%	1.9%	3.76	4.26	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adrian Bohorquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	20.8%	14.0%	2.9%	—	4.59	22.7%	11.1%	209	-0.50	—	—	—
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	92
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	86
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	86
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	86
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	86
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	85
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.97	25.4%	12.1%	198	-0.37	3.66	272	85
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	84
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.92	22.1%	6.6%	260	-0.02	4.21	412	84
James Proctor R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP	3.99	22.0%	15.2%	1.5%	.277	4.39	14.0%	1.5%	48	+0.40	3.99	109	84
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	83
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	82
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.68	198	82
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	81
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.86	21.2%	7.8%	249	-0.10	3.82	319	81
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.41	20.0%	8.4%	215	-1.19	4.34	257	81
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	80
Dominic Pipkin R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	21	SP-	4.62	19.3%	12.2%	2.9%	.329	5.31	16.5%	0.7%	93	+0.69	4.62	292	80
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	80
Elvis Luciano R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	17.5%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	204	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	67	23.2%	11.3%	1.13	4.57
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22