Adrian Bohorquez
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
+0.2
WAR
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.8 · 2029
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%12.1%
IP61
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2029
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Twins | 8 | 6 | 24 | 111 | 30 | 18 | 0 | 18.4% | 20.3% | 0.0% | 5.25 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 16 | 12 | 53 | 219 | 62 | 27 | 2 | 19.8% | 15.1% | 1.5% | 3.23 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 19 | 14 | 71 | 312 | 85 | 31 | 7 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.29 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 2 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 9.53 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 58 | 26 | 8 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 67 | 285 | 67 | 31 | 8 | 23.4% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.93 | 4.12 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 63 | 26 | 8 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.28 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 67 | 281 | 68 | 25 | 8 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 4.14 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 71 | 25 | 8 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.12 | 4.05 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 69 | 292 | 73 | 25 | 8 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.04 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 69 | 292 | 73 | 25 | 8 | 25.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.97 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 73 | 25 | 8 | 25.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.98 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 286 | 72 | 24 | 8 | 25.1% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.00 | 4.01 | +0.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 70 | 24 | 8 | 25.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.03 | 4.05 | +0.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 67 | 24 | 8 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 64 | 23 | 8 | 24.6% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.19 | +0.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 60 | — | 60 | 251 | 61 | 23 | 8 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.23 | 4.28 | +0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 57 | — | 57 | 240 | 57 | 22 | 8 | 24.0% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.32 | 4.37 | +0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 54 | 21 | 8 | 23.6% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.42 | 4.48 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 45 | 34 | 154 | 669 | 137 | 97 | 13 | 20.4% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 4.27 | 4.32 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 44 | 200 | 869 | 178 | 126 | 17 | 20.4% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 4.27 | 4.32 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adrian Bohorquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.15 | 24.0% | 15.0% | 199 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 92 |
| William Kempner R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .277 | 3.24 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 68 | -0.80 | 3.24 | 129 | 92 |
| Aaron Holiday R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.81 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.20 | 19.7% | -3.3% | 59 | +0.39 | 4.72 | 116 | 91 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 91 |
| Gerson Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.76 | 23.6% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .294 | 5.22 | 21.3% | 2.0% | 17 | +1.46 | 3.66 | 349 | 91 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.69 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.16 | 3.69 | 122 | 91 |
| Yimmi Brasoban R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.90 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .261 | 4.36 | 16.7% | 5.3% | 78 | +0.46 | 3.33 | 149 | 90 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.1% | .275 | 4.24 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.26 | 3.32 | 181 | 90 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.23 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.10 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +0.87 | 4.23 | 152 | 89 |
| Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.71 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .295 | 5.34 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.63 | 4.71 | 137 | 89 |
| Jake Lyons R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.45 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.61 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.16 | 4.10 | 174 | 89 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .305 | 3.40 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.57 | 2.58 | 408 | 89 |
| José López R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.79 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 543 | 88 |
| Tyler Vogel R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.87 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .305 | 4.25 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 82 | -0.62 | 3.84 | 147 | 88 |
| Shane Broyles R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.95 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .338 | 3.75 | 25.7% | 14.5% | 159 | -0.20 | 3.30 | 218 | 88 |
| Mike Vasil R 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.64 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.65 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +1.01 | 3.64 | 429 | 88 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.51 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .289 | 4.17 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.34 | 3.86 | 242 | 88 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.45 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .331 | 6.10 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.65 | 4.45 | 283 | 88 |
| Craig Missigman R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.02 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .270 | 5.04 | 19.2% | 10.4% | 53 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 124 | 87 |
| Frank German R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.99 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.60 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 123 | -0.39 | 3.09 | 218 | 87 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.8 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.8 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.7 | $4M | +$0.6M |
| Totals | $9M | $22M | +$13M | ||