David Matoma
P
Bradenton Marauders
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 154 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 131
ERA5.84
FIP5.84
K%15.3%
BB%16.1%
K-BB%-0.8%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 9 | 1 | 17 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 11% | 1.9 | 14.9% | 13.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.58 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 9 | 1 | 17 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 11% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.68 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 15 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.82 | 3.89 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 15 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.4% | 9.8% | 20.7% | 1.1% | 0.82 | 2.37 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 32 | 0 | 42 | 180 | 37 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.2% | 15.7% | -0.5% | 2.5% | 4.25 | 5.19 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 32 | 0 | 42 | 180 | 37 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 4.25 | 3.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 21 | 0 | 22 | 119 | 23 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.4% | 32.4% | -18.0% | 2.3% | 10.38 | 7.25 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PIT | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 16.1% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 5.84 | 5.84 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.3% | 16.1% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 5.84 | 5.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 48 | 232 | 40 | 50 | 5 | — | — | 17.3% | 21.6% | -4.3% | 2.3% | 7.87 | 6.47 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PIT | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 5.47 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 5.09 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 116 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 1 | 103 | 455 | 73 | 87 | 9 | 1% | 1.3 | 16.1% | 19.1% | -3.0% | 2.0% | 4.12 | 5.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 2 | 200 | 886 | 142 | 169 | 17 | 1% | 1.3 | 16.1% | 19.1% | -3.0% | 2.0% | 4.12 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Matoma (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.84 | 15.3% | 16.1% | 2.9% | — | 5.47 | 16.8% | 2.3% | 28 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Cory Thompson R 2028 · 5.42 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.42 | 15.2% | 15.7% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.28 | 16.3% | 10.6% | 131 | -1.14 | 3.48 | 218 | 90 |
| Jesse Stallings R 2027 · 6.02 FIP | 21 | SU | 6.02 | 13.2% | 15.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 4.01 | 11.6% | 5.0% | 128 | -2.01 | 3.47 | 151 | 90 |
| Alejandro Méndez R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.81 | 14.6% | 14.5% | 3.9% | .321 | 5.56 | 15.8% | -7.5% | 91 | -0.25 | 4.70 | 136 | 89 |
| Cole Ayers R 2028 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.49 | 13.0% | 15.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 3.96 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 152 | -1.53 | 3.52 | 171 | 88 |
| Nick Kuzia R 2027 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.18 | 16.5% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .361 | 5.13 | 17.6% | 6.6% | 60 | -0.05 | 4.55 | 231 | 88 |
| Michael Perez R 2027 · 5.68 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.68 | 18.3% | 16.1% | 3.8% | .296 | 4.58 | 23.6% | 8.4% | 109 | -1.10 | 4.35 | 131 | 88 |
| Chay Yeager R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.51 | 13.1% | 15.7% | 2.8% | .261 | 4.47 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 56 | -1.04 | 4.47 | 110 | 88 |
| Elison Joseph R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.25 | 17.4% | 19.2% | 2.2% | .254 | 4.61 | 23.5% | 6.8% | 133 | -0.64 | 3.45 | 217 | 87 |
| Jackson Rose R 2028 · 5.32 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.32 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .267 | 4.58 | 23.5% | 16.5% | 56 | -0.74 | 3.55 | 147 | 87 |
| Noah Takacs R 2028 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.82 | 12.5% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .301 | 5.77 | 13.8% | -2.3% | 83 | -0.05 | 5.15 | 122 | 87 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.77 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.4% | .273 | 5.01 | 15.6% | -1.9% | 68 | +0.24 | 3.72 | 123 | 86 |
| Ocean Gabonia R 2028 · 4.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.94 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.31 | 19.1% | 10.9% | 91 | -1.63 | 2.79 | 144 | 86 |
| Ryan Harbin R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.50 | 14.4% | 18.9% | 2.2% | .317 | 4.17 | 24.0% | 7.8% | 156 | -1.33 | 3.98 | 185 | 86 |
| Brooks Crawford R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.78 | 14.9% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.46 | 22.1% | 14.5% | 103 | -1.32 | 2.50 | 296 | 85 |
| Andrew Moore R 2027 · 6.93 FIP | 21 | SU | 6.93 | 12.9% | 21.8% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.76 | 26.5% | 8.4% | 103 | -3.17 | 3.36 | 190 | 85 |
| Stefan Raeth R 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 8.3% | 124 | -0.03 | 4.36 | 173 | 85 |
| Jose G. Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.75 | 13.8% | 18.3% | 2.7% | .357 | 4.96 | 14.6% | -1.0% | 108 | -0.79 | 3.63 | 163 | 85 |
| Angel Reyes R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.91 | 16.5% | 19.4% | 1.4% | .328 | 4.77 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 119 | -0.14 | 4.09 | 308 | 85 |
| Jeison Pena R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.45 | 16.3% | 20.9% | 2.0% | .289 | 4.33 | 13.9% | -2.5% | 43 | -1.12 | 3.36 | 161 | 85 |
| Jesus Rios R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.41 | 10.4% | 14.8% | 2.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 13.9% | 3.7% | 124 | -0.69 | 3.85 | 148 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 1.12 | 5.70 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |