David Matoma — OGILVIE

David Matoma P Bradenton Marauders

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 154 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.94

FIP5.94

K%15.3%

BB%17.0%

K-BB%-1.7%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	1	17	64	14	7	0	11%	1.9	14.9%	13.7%	1.2%	0.0%	0.00	3.58	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	9	1	17	64	14	7	0	11%	1.9	14.9%	13.7%	1.2%	0.0%	0.00	3.58	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	9	1	17	64	14	7	0	11%	1.9	21.9%	10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.68	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	15	0	22	92	28	9	1	0%	1.5	20.7%	12.2%	8.5%	1.7%	0.82	3.81	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	15	0	22	92	28	9	1	0%	1.5	20.7%	12.2%	8.5%	1.7%	0.82	3.81	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	15	0	22	92	28	9	1	0%	1.5	30.4%	9.8%	20.7%	1.1%	0.82	2.37	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	32	0	42	180	37	24	3	0%	1.3	15.2%	15.7%	-0.5%	2.3%	4.25	5.08	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	32	0	42	180	37	24	3	0%	1.3	15.2%	15.7%	-0.5%	2.3%	4.25	5.08	—
2025	19	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	32	0	42	180	37	24	3	0%	1.3	20.6%	13.3%	7.2%	1.7%	4.25	3.97	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	34	0	38	201	44	48	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	28.4%	-12.1%	2.0%	8.69	6.42	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	34	0	38	201	44	48	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	28.4%	-12.1%	2.0%	8.69	6.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	PIT	1	0	2	6	1	1	0	0%	1.7	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.80	—
2026	20	A RAW	PIT	33	0	37	195	43	47	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	24.1%	-2.1%	1.5%	9.08	5.14	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	38	0	40	169	28	26	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	15.1%	1.7%	2.9%	5.64	5.55	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	19	0	20	84	14	13	2	0%	1.1	16.8%	15.1%	1.7%	2.9%	5.64	5.55	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	83	14	13	2	0%	1.0	16.8%	15.1%	1.7%	2.9%	5.64	5.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	142	132	20	0%	1.1	16.8%	15.1%	1.7%	2.9%	5.64	5.17	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		90	1	119	537	89	105	10	1%	1.3	16.5%	19.6%	-3.1%	1.8%	4.45	5.19	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	2	200	900	149	177	16	1%	1.3	16.5%	19.6%	-3.1%	1.8%	4.45	5.19	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Matoma (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.94	15.3%	17.0%	2.9%	—	5.55	16.8%	1.7%	40	-0.39	—	—	—
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	89
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	89
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	89
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	89
Jesse Stallings R 2016 · 6.02 FIP	21	SU	6.02	13.2%	15.0%	3.9%	.296	4.10	11.6%	5.0%	128	-1.92	3.48	151	88
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	88
Luis Ramirez R 2022 · 4.92 FIP	20	SU	4.92	14.0%	16.5%	1.7%	.273	5.05	15.6%	-1.9%	68	+0.13	3.72	123	88
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	88
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	88
Ryan Harbin R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	20	SU	5.47	14.4%	18.9%	2.2%	.317	4.19	23.9%	8.1%	156	-1.28	3.84	185	87
Jesus Colina R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	18	SU	5.30	15.3%	15.2%	2.9%	.265	4.00	17.2%	7.6%	103	-1.30	3.82	128	87
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	87
Jeison Pena R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	20	SU	5.53	16.3%	20.9%	2.1%	.289	4.36	13.9%	-2.5%	43	-1.17	3.40	161	87
Jose G. Gonzalez R 2022 · 5.86 FIP	20	SU	5.86	13.8%	18.3%	2.9%	.357	4.91	14.6%	-1.0%	108	-0.95	3.63	165	87
Angel Reyes R 2018 · 4.91 FIP	20	SU	4.91	16.5%	19.4%	1.4%	.328	4.51	17.1%	5.7%	119	-0.40	3.99	308	86
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	86
Christian Rodriguez R 2023 · 5.51 FIP	18	SU	5.51	15.5%	21.4%	1.8%	.268	4.93	17.0%	1.1%	169	-0.58	4.34	183	85
Brendan Hardy R 2021 · 6.99 FIP	21	SU	6.99	15.9%	33.1%	1.9%	.324	3.67	22.9%	7.9%	83	-3.32	2.54	137	85
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	16.2%	15.9%	1.12	5.76
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48