Jesus Colina P ACL Reds
Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%22.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
K: +3.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+4KBB: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -1.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.44 (40 IP)+0.4WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202217ROKDSL Reds607309500%1.230.0%16.7%13.3%0.0%3.862.68
202217ROKDSL Reds607309500%1.230.0%16.7%13.3%0.0%3.862.67
202318ROKDSL Reds15025107241320%1.615.3%15.2%0.1%3.1%6.205.46
202318ROKDSL Reds15025107241320%1.622.4%12.1%10.3%1.9%6.203.79
202419ROKDSL Reds149461943112364%3.310.9%7.7%3.1%1.7%3.724.10
202419ROKDSL Reds149461943112364%3.316.0%6.2%9.8%1.5%3.723.38
202520ROKACL Reds1501988271010%1.320.9%14.2%6.7%1.1%8.533.72
202520ROKACL Reds1501988271010%1.330.7%11.4%19.3%1.1%8.532.52
▸ 2026 Season
202621ROKACL Reds180239733710%1.323.1%9.0%14.1%1.4%2.313.08+0.4
ROS21MLBCIN160167016720%1.022.5%9.4%13.0%2.9%4.384.38+0.0
ROS21MLBCIN022.5%9.4%13.0%2.9%4.384.38
2026 TOT21MLBCIN401674914329.2%8.2%21.0%1.8%3.173.62+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBCIN190208420720%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.274.20+0.1
202722MLBCIN100104210410%1.023.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.274.20+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career90104210410%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.273.82+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084420381200%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.273.82+3.7
Career6891205168758913%1.816.9%11.1%5.8%1.7%4.724.04+1.9
/ 200 IP11315200860145961513%1.816.9%11.1%5.8%1.7%4.724.04+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jesus Colina (OGILVIE) 4.38 22.5%9.4%2.9% 4.20 23.5%14.6%20 -0.18
Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 90
Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 89
Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 88
Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 21 SU 3.86 20.7%9.5%2.4%.352 3.94 23.6%12.5%119 +0.08 3.28 146 88
Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.48 16.7%7.5%121 -0.48 3.28 181 87
Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 21 SU 3.87 25.4%10.8%2.8%.333 3.98 22.8%8.1%173 +0.11 3.00 318 87
Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 87
Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 87
Kenny Oakley R 2027 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 87
Collin Kober R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 87
Devon Roedahl R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 86
Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 21 SU 4.65 22.0%9.9%3.9%.275 4.67 16.1%5.5%43 +0.02 4.65 140 85
Jeff Bain R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 21 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.339 4.13 19.1%10.7%274 +0.19 3.37 475 85
David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.7%10.0%2.6%.282 4.65 19.8%5.2%98 +0.71 3.94 154 85
Peyton Williams R 2028 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 85
Tyler Bray R 2028 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 85
Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 21 SU 3.59 21.9%11.5%1.6%.260 7.31 21.3%4.8%30 +3.72 3.59 112 85
Reilly Hovis R 2028 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 85
Sean Boyle R 2026 · 4.70 FIP 21 SU 4.70 21.3%7.8%4.4%.342 2.85 22.6%15.3%86 -1.85 2.85 496 85
Caleb Freeman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 21 SU 3.98 24.6%12.9%2.4%.267 5.17 21.7%8.1%58 +1.19 3.98 222 85