Yordin Chalas — OGILVIE

Yordin Chalas P Hillsboro Hops

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.85

FIP4.85

K%19.4%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CMD3040

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	20	0	24	106	27	9	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	2.9%	3.33	4.56	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	20	0	24	106	27	9	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	2.9%	3.33	4.56	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	20	0	24	106	27	9	2	0%	1.2	25.5%	8.5%	17.0%	1.9%	3.33	3.06	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	51	224	72	24	5	0%	1.2	24.3%	12.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.09	4.25	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	51	224	72	24	5	0%	1.2	24.3%	12.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.09	4.25	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	51	224	72	24	5	0%	1.2	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	2.2%	4.09	2.96	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	71	330	68	38	4	65%	2.7	16.4%	11.7%	4.7%	0.9%	6.06	3.67	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	71	330	68	38	4	65%	2.7	16.4%	11.7%	4.7%	0.9%	6.06	3.67	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	17	71	330	68	38	4	65%	2.7	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	1.2%	6.06	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	10	0	11	44	9	8	1	0%	1.1	—	—	—	—	2.45	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	10	0	11	44	9	8	1	0%	1.1	—	—	—	—	2.45	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A+ RAW	ARI	7	0	9	31	8	4	0	0%	1.3	25.8%	12.9%	12.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.56	—
2026	22	AA RAW	ARI	3	0	2	13	1	4	1	0%	0.7	7.7%	30.8%	-23.1%	7.7%	13.50	10.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	67	281	58	32	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.5%	9.3%	2.6%	4.68	4.61	-0.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	65	0	68	288	62	31	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	2.6%	4.54	4.46	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	292	64	31	8	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.5%	11.5%	2.6%	4.44	4.38	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	292	65	30	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.4%	11.8%	2.6%	4.39	4.36	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	65	0	68	288	64	30	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.5%	11.7%	2.7%	4.39	4.40	+0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	280	62	30	8	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	63	267	58	29	8	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.9%	10.9%	2.9%	4.55	4.61	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	31	0	33	139	29	16	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.5%	9.3%	2.6%	4.68	4.61	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	46	0	48	203	44	22	5	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	2.6%	4.54	4.46	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	52	25	6	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.5%	11.5%	2.6%	4.44	4.38	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	57	0	60	253	56	26	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.4%	11.8%	2.6%	4.39	4.36	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	59	0	62	262	58	27	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.5%	11.7%	2.7%	4.39	4.40	+0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	58	0	61	258	57	27	7	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	56	0	59	249	54	27	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.9%	10.9%	2.9%	4.55	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		361	0	379	1599	350	171	43	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.7%	11.2%	2.7%	4.48	4.08	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	90	23	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.7%	11.2%	2.7%	4.48	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		97	17	157	704	136	86	14	18%	1.6	19.3%	12.2%	7.1%	1.9%	4.75	4.07	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	22	200	895	173	109	17	18%	1.6	19.3%	12.2%	7.1%	1.9%	4.75	4.07	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yordin Chalas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	19.4%	12.5%	2.6%	—	4.48	21.4%	10.5%	204	-0.37	—	—	—
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	90
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	89
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	88
Jack Carey R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	16.8%	10.9%	3.1%	.333	4.31	19.5%	8.2%	156	-0.46	3.79	250	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	86
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	86
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	86
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	85
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	84
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	83
Corey Black R 2015 · 4.19 FIP	23	SW	4.19	22.1%	13.9%	2.2%	.310	3.56	22.1%	6.0%	53	-0.63	3.56	139	83
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	83
Tayler Scott R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	23	SU	4.48	16.7%	12.7%	2.1%	.309	4.09	17.9%	6.2%	162	-0.39	3.22	528	83
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	83
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	65	21.5%	10.9%	1.03	4.53
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81