Yordin Chalas
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 22
RHP
6'4" / 175 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129119vR 110
ERA4.85
FIP4.85
K%19.4%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 20 | 0 | 24 | 106 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.33 | 4.72 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 20 | 0 | 24 | 106 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 1.9% | 3.33 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 51 | 224 | 72 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.09 | 4.38 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 51 | 224 | 72 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.1% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 2.2% | 4.09 | 2.96 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 17 | 71 | 330 | 68 | 38 | 4 | 65% | 2.7 | 16.4% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 6.06 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 17 | 71 | 330 | 68 | 38 | 4 | 65% | 2.7 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 6.06 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 10 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | 2.45 | — | — |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 43 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.85 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.85 | 4.85 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 64 | 266 | 52 | 35 | 7 | — | — | 19.5% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 4.01 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.85 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 48 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.68 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 51 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.54 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 52 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 53 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.39 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 52 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.68 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.54 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 43 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 46 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.39 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 47 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 202 | 0 | 212 | 896 | 195 | 95 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.04 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 90 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 97 | 17 | 157 | 704 | 136 | 86 | 15 | 18% | 1.6 | 19.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 4.75 | 4.14 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 22 | 200 | 895 | 173 | 109 | 18 | 18% | 1.6 | 19.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 4.75 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yordin Chalas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | — | 4.48 | 21.4% | 10.6% | 167 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 90 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 89 |
| William Kempner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 88 |
| Jack Carey R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 88 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 86 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 86 |
| Junior Rincon R 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 86 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 86 |
| Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 1.6% | .331 | 3.50 | 26.8% | 13.4% | 66 | -0.39 | 3.01 | 109 | 85 |
| Blake Holub R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.90 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.31 | 236 | 85 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.67 | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 140 | 85 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 84 |
| Brett Standlee R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% | .322 | 4.33 | 17.0% | 8.9% | 75 | +0.33 | 4.00 | 128 | 83 |
| Corey Black R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.14 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .310 | 3.60 | 22.1% | 6.0% | 53 | -0.54 | 3.60 | 139 | 83 |
| Peyton Stumbo R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.02 | 19.0% | 10.4% | 4.0% | .326 | 4.77 | 15.5% | 7.4% | 167 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 235 | 83 |
| Shane Broyles R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.90 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.59 | 25.7% | 14.5% | 159 | -0.31 | 3.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 83 |
| Tayler Scott R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 82 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 82 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 55 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 1.02 | 4.54 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Archie Bradley ('21) | 6 | 74 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 0.85 | 3.93 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |