Jordan Mikel
P
Birmingham Barons
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 190 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128118vR 109
ERA4.80
FIP4.80
K%17.3%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%8.6%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 51 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.57 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 51 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 2.1% | 4.50 | 3.35 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 6 | 47 | 193 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 33% | 2.6 | 12.8% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 4.9% | 4.05 | 6.16 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 6 | 47 | 193 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 33% | 2.6 | 19.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.05 | 4.58 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 2 | 23 | 96 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 13% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 1.7% | 3.09 | 3.18 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 2 | 23 | 96 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 13% | 1.6 | 32.3% | 9.4% | 22.9% | 3.1% | 3.09 | 3.27 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 63 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.9 | 21.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 1.3% | 5.52 | 3.09 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 63 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.9 | 24.7% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 2.0% | 5.52 | 3.19 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 25 | 2 | 46 | 192 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 8% | 1.8 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.11 | 5.18 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 25 | 2 | 46 | 192 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 8% | 1.8 | 19.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 2.1% | 4.11 | 3.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 44 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 43 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 42 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 40 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.51 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 76 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 10 | 215 | 923 | 174 | 94 | 28 | 9% | 1.8 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 9 | 200 | 860 | 162 | 88 | 26 | 9% | 1.8 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Mikel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.88 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 113 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 87 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 86 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 85 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .284 | 4.80 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 297 | 84 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 84 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 83 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 83 |
| Jose Casilla R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 83 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 83 |
| Scott Burke R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 119 | 83 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 82 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 82 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 82 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.31 | 15.9% | 2.3% | 20 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 254 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 82 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2025 · 5.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | .301 | 3.92 | 26.2% | 21.8% | 50 | -1.28 | 3.44 | 213 | 81 |
| Josh Zeid R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 17.7% | 8.9% | 1.23 | 4.83 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |