Jordan Mikel
P
Birmingham Barons
+0.2
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.9%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.1%
IP38
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 28 | 0 | 40 | 187 | 51 | 20 | 4 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.49 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 18 | 6 | 47 | 193 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 4.05 | 6.06 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 15 | 2 | 23 | 96 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 3.09 | 3.19 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 31 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 63 | 22 | 5 | 21.6% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 5.52 | 3.05 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 25 | 2 | 46 | 192 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 4.11 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 20.2% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 20.0% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 31 | — | 31 | 133 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 117 | 10 | 215 | 923 | 174 | 94 | 25 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 4.30 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 9 | 200 | 860 | 162 | 88 | 23 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 4.30 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Mikel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 20.1% | 11.0% | 110 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 89 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.12 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .339 | 3.39 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.73 | 3.11 | 166 | 88 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 84 |
| Jack Dallas R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.58 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 169 | 84 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.47 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | -0.13 | 3.16 | 254 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 83 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 82 |
| Bayden Root R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 82 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 82 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 1.3% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 114 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 82 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 82 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .374 | 2.68 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.45 | 2.68 | 229 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 81 |
| Austin Adams R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.51 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.28 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.28 | 162 | 81 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 81 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 81 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 81 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .340 | 3.98 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 94 | +0.38 | 2.68 | 177 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.