Jordan Mikel — OGILVIE

Jordan Mikel P Birmingham Barons

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%17.3%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	40	187	51	20	4	0%	1.4	20.5%	12.5%	7.9%	2.8%	4.50	4.49	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	40	187	51	20	4	0%	1.4	27.3%	10.7%	16.6%	2.1%	4.50	3.35	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	6	47	193	38	18	7	33%	2.6	12.8%	11.6%	1.2%	4.6%	4.05	6.04	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	6	47	193	38	18	7	33%	2.6	19.7%	9.3%	10.4%	3.6%	4.05	4.58	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	2	23	96	31	9	3	13%	1.6	26.4%	11.0%	15.3%	1.7%	3.09	3.19	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	2	23	96	31	9	3	13%	1.6	26.4%	11.0%	15.3%	1.7%	3.09	3.19	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	2	23	96	31	9	3	13%	1.6	32.3%	9.4%	22.9%	3.1%	3.09	3.27	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	59	255	63	22	5	0%	1.9	21.6%	8.7%	12.8%	1.2%	5.52	3.04	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	59	255	63	22	5	0%	1.9	21.6%	8.7%	12.8%	1.2%	5.52	3.04	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	59	255	63	22	5	0%	1.9	24.7%	8.6%	16.1%	2.0%	5.52	3.19	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	25	2	46	192	38	14	4	8%	1.8	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	3.2%	4.11	4.51	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	25	2	46	192	38	14	4	8%	1.8	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	3.2%	4.11	4.51	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	25	2	46	192	38	14	4	8%	1.8	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	2.1%	4.11	3.49	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CWS	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	17.3%	8.7%	8.7%	2.8%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55	0	58	244	43	22	7	0%	1.0	17.8%	8.9%	8.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.72	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	CWS	52	0	55	233	42	21	7	0%	1.1	18.0%	9.1%	8.9%	3.1%	4.76	4.82	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	CWS	21	0	22	93	17	8	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	8.9%	8.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.72	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	CWS	30	0	31	131	24	12	4	0%	1.0	18.0%	9.1%	8.9%	3.1%	4.76	4.82	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	40	20	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	9.0%	8.9%	3.1%	4.73	4.40	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	76	27	0%	1.1	17.9%	9.0%	8.9%	3.1%	4.73	4.40	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		117	10	215	923	174	94	25	9%	1.8	18.8%	10.2%	8.7%	2.7%	4.44	4.28	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	9	200	860	162	88	23	9%	1.8	18.8%	10.2%	8.7%	2.7%	4.44	4.28	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Mikel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	17.3%	8.7%	2.8%	—	4.77	17.9%	8.9%	113	+0.09	—	—	—
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	88
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	87
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	87
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	86
David Martinez R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	14.2%	8.3%	1.8%	.284	4.76	15.0%	7.9%	230	+0.84	3.92	297	86
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	85
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	85
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	85
Cody Hall R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.5%	9.3%	1.1%	.306	4.08	23.1%	11.7%	66	+0.57	3.51	134	85
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	85
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	84
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	84
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	84
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	84
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	83
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	83
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	82
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	82
Tristan Archer R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	27	SU	3.65	18.0%	7.2%	2.1%	.286	5.11	15.0%	6.8%	30	+1.46	2.40	321	82
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	17.7%	8.9%	1.15	4.71
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43