Peyton Williams
P
Mississippi Braves
+0.3
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%14.1%
IP51
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Braves | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 20 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 4.24 | 3.66 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 34 | 1 | 49 | 219 | 57 | 24 | 5 | 19.3% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 37 | 0 | 51 | 225 | 72 | 22 | 8 | 25.0% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 5.26 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 6 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.08 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 50 | 20 | 7 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 49 | 20 | 7 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 40 | 18 | 6 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 38 | — | 38 | 161 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.87 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 5.00 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 2 | 134 | 595 | 131 | 72 | 19 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.54 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 3 | 200 | 890 | 196 | 108 | 28 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.54 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Williams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.47 | 23.2% | 13.7% | 144 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 89 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 88 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 86 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.54 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .277 | 3.88 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | +0.34 | 2.86 | 596 | 86 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 86 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.25 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .247 | 4.33 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 39 | +1.08 | 3.25 | 160 | 86 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.61 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% | .350 | 5.75 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 86 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .327 | 4.82 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.30 | 2.39 | 676 | 85 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 85 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.30 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .271 | 2.97 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.54 | 521 | 85 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .358 | 3.95 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.52 | 3.08 | 205 | 85 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 84 |
| Trevin Michael R 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 84 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% | .307 | 6.39 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.43 | 2.85 | 299 | 84 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.63 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 124 | 84 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.38 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .253 | 3.83 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.45 | 2.84 | 484 | 83 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 83 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.16 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | .275 | 3.85 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 103 | -0.31 | 2.36 | 309 | 83 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 83 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2029 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.