Peyton Williams — OGILVIE

Peyton Williams P Mississippi Braves

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 101

ERA4.44

FIP4.44

K%23.8%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	1	1	2	9	3	1	0	100%	2.0	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	4.50	1.69	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	1	1	2	9	3	1	0	100%	2.0	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	4.50	1.60	—
2021	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	20	0	23	103	31	9	2	0%	1.2	22.3%	10.3%	12.0%	2.1%	4.24	3.69	—
2021	23	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	20	0	23	103	31	9	2	0%	1.2	30.1%	8.7%	21.4%	1.9%	4.24	2.71	—
2022	24	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	34	1	49	219	57	24	5	3%	1.4	19.3%	12.9%	6.3%	2.6%	4.62	4.56	—
2022	24	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	34	1	49	219	57	24	5	3%	1.4	26.0%	11.0%	15.1%	2.3%	4.62	3.57	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	51	225	72	22	8	0%	1.4	25.0%	11.1%	13.9%	4.9%	5.26	5.06	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	51	225	72	22	8	0%	1.4	25.0%	11.1%	13.9%	4.9%	5.26	5.06	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	51	225	72	22	8	0%	1.4	32.0%	9.8%	22.2%	3.6%	5.26	3.61	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	6	0	8	39	7	7	0	0%	1.4	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	1.08	3.86	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	6	0	8	39	7	7	0	0%	1.4	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	1.08	3.86	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	6	0	8	39	7	7	0	0%	1.4	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	1.08	3.94	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ATL	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.0%	13.7%	3.1%	4.44	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	32	0	34	144	34	15	5	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.2%	13.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.55	0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.2%	13.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.2%	13.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	207	94	19	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.2%	13.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		98	2	134	595	131	72	19	2%	1.4	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.58	4.51	0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	3	200	890	197	108	28	2%	1.4	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.2%	4.58	4.51	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peyton Williams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	23.8%	10.0%	3.1%	—	4.55	23.5%	13.3%	34	+0.11	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	91
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	85
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	85
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	84
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	84
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	84
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	676	83
Dayan Díaz R 2017 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.96	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.51	3.08	205	83
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	83
J.J. Hoover R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	28	SU	4.56	22.6%	8.6%	4.2%	.350	5.77	20.3%	10.0%	137	+1.21	4.22	258	82
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	82
Blake Treinen R 2016 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	24.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.271	3.04	26.0%	17.7%	215	-0.28	1.53	547	82
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	82
Bryan Shaw R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	28	SU	3.73	25.1%	9.1%	2.9%	.277	3.83	21.1%	12.7%	203	+0.10	2.78	596	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	81
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	81
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	81
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	23.6%	10.1%	1.22	4.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33