Chris Gau — OGILVIE

Chris Gau P Indianapolis Indians

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%18.8%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	13	0	25	102	30	7	3	0%	1.9	20.0%	8.6%	11.4%	4.1%	2.92	4.76	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	13	0	25	102	30	7	3	0%	1.9	29.4%	6.9%	22.5%	2.9%	2.92	3.10	—
2019	22	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	2	0	1	8	2	2	0	0%	0.5	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	36.00	4.16	—
2019	22	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	2	0	1	8	2	2	0	0%	0.5	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	36.00	5.10	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	49	203	80	13	6	0%	1.4	29.5%	6.0%	23.5%	3.3%	3.14	3.19	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	49	203	80	13	6	0%	1.4	39.4%	6.4%	33.0%	3.0%	3.14	2.22	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	57	233	61	16	7	3%	1.5	21.4%	7.4%	14.1%	3.6%	3.34	4.18	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	57	233	61	16	7	3%	1.5	26.2%	6.9%	19.3%	3.0%	3.34	3.40	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	54	218	66	20	3	8%	1.4	25.8%	8.3%	17.5%	1.8%	2.48	2.96	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	54	218	66	20	3	8%	1.4	25.8%	8.3%	17.5%	1.8%	2.48	2.96	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	3	54	218	66	20	3	8%	1.4	30.3%	9.2%	21.1%	1.4%	2.48	2.49	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	6	45	204	38	25	7	29%	2.2	15.3%	11.8%	3.5%	4.5%	4.57	5.76	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	6	45	204	38	25	7	29%	2.2	15.3%	11.8%	3.5%	4.5%	4.57	5.76	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	6	45	204	38	25	7	29%	2.2	18.6%	12.3%	6.4%	3.4%	4.57	5.09	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	PIT	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.5%	8.2%	3.2%	4.97	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	24	0	25	106	20	11	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	3.4%	5.01	5.08	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	3.4%	5.01	5.08	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	33	6	4	1	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	3.4%	5.01	4.70	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	102	25	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	3.4%	5.01	4.70	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		148	10	231	968	220	82	32	7%	1.6	22.7%	8.5%	14.2%	3.3%	3.43	4.09	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	9	200	839	190	71	28	7%	1.6	22.7%	8.5%	14.2%	3.3%	3.43	4.09	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Gau (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	18.8%	10.5%	3.2%	—	5.08	18.9%	8.2%	25	+0.11	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	90
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	87
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	81
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	81
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	81
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	80
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	78
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	78
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	78
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	78
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	78
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.8%	10.6%	1.26	4.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86